caps.gov. Web viewGender . Political Identification. Age. Ethnicity. GROUPS. Totl. Males. Females....

PROGRAMMER NOTES:RESPONDENTS SHOULD BE RANDOMLY ASSIGNED TO ONE OF 8 GROUPS THAT ARE MATCHED IN TERMS OF GENDER (D2), AGE (D1), ETHNICITY (D4) AND POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION (M3).

Gender Political Identification Age EthnicityGROUPS Totl

Males

Females

Demo

Repub

Indep

18-34

35-54 55+

Caucasian Black

Hispanic

Asian/

Other

# of Int

52% 48% 34% 26% 40% 23% 39% 38% 69% 12% 13% 6%

1 CLINTON1

400 208 192 136 104 160 92 156 152 276 48 52 24

2 CLINTON2

400 208 192 136 104 160 92 156 152 276 48 52 24

3 SANDERS 800 416 384 272 208 320 184 312 304 552 96 104 48

4 TRUMP1 400 208 192 136 104 160 92 156 152 276 48 52 24

5 TRUMP2 400 208 192 136 104 160 92 156 152 276 48 52 24

6 CRUZ 800 416 384 272 208 320 184 312 304 552 96 104 48

7 RUBIO1 400 208 192 136 104 160 92 156 152 276 48 52 24

8 RUBIO2 400 208 192 136 104 160 92 156 152 276 48 52 24

TOTAL 4000

2080 1920 1360 1040 1600 920 1560 1520 2760 480 520 240

S1. Are you a Citizen of the United States? 1. Yes2. No

IF NO, STOP.

S2. Are you over 18 years of age?

1. Yes2. No

IF NO, STOP.

AgeD1. What is your age? ____ (a number)

GenderD2. What is your gender?

1. Male 2. Female

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RaceD4. What is your race? Please select all that apply to you.

1. White2. Hispanic or Latino3. Black or African American4. Native American or American Indian5. Asian6. Pacific Islander7. Other (Please specify)8. Decline to state (MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE)

IF SELECTED 2+ FROM OPTIONS 1- 7 AT D4D4b. Which of the following races do you most identify with? Please select one

DISPLAY CHOICES SELECTED IN QD4

1. White2. Hispanic or Latino3. Black or African American4. Native American or American Indian5. Asian6. Pacific Islander7. Other (Please specify)

CODE RACE, DO NOT ASK1. White IF QD4 = ONLY C1 OR QD4B = C12. Hispanic IF QD4 = ONLY C2 OR QD4B= C23. African-American or Black IF QD4 = ONLY C3 OR QD4B = C34. Asian or Pacific Islander IF QD4 = ONLY C5 OR ONLY C6 OR QD4B = C5 OR QD4B = C65. Other IF QD4 = ONLY C4 OR ONLY C7 OR D4B = 4 OR D4B = 7

S3. In which state do you reside? (SHOW DROP DOWN OF STATES IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER, SHOW EACH STATE ONLY ONCE)

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Likely Voter

S4. How likely are you to vote in November's presidential election?

1. Very likely2. Probably3. Possibly4. Not at all

Mood/Political Orientation

M1. Do you approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as President of the United States?

1. Strongly approve2. Approve somewhat3. Disapprove somewhat4. Strongly disapprove

M2. Do you think the next President of the United States should continue the policies of President Obama or should the next president make more liberal or more conservative policies?

1. Continue the policies of President Obama2. Make more conservative policies3. Make more liberal policies4. Not sure

M3. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself:1. A Democrat2. A Republican3. An independent

IF M3==1 SKIP TO M4AIF M3==2, SKIP TO M4BIF M3==3, SKIP TO M4C

ASK IF M3 = DEMOCRATM4a. Do you consider yourself a strong Democrat or a weak Democrat?

1. Strong Democrat2. Weak Democrat

[SKIP TO M5]

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ASK IF M3 = REPUBLICANM4b. Do you consider yourself a strong Republican or a weak Republican?

1. Strong Republican2. Weak Republican

[SKIP TO M5] ASK IF M3 = INDEPENDENTM4c. Do you think of yourself as closer to one of the two parties?

1. Lean Democrat2. Lean Republican3. Do not lean to one party or the other

M5. Which best describes your political ideology?1. Strong Liberal2. Lean liberal3. Moderate 4. Lean conservative5. Strong conservative

M6. All in all, do you think things in the Nation are on the right track or wrong track?1. Right Track2. Wrong Track

M7. The following is a list of some of the issues that will probably be discussed in this year’s presidential election campaign. For each one, please tell me how important that issue is to you.

Acrossa. Very importantb. Somewhat importantc. Somewhat unimportantd. Very unimportant

Down [RANDOMIZE ORDER]1. Terrorism 2. Economy and jobs3. Healthcare4. Federal Budget Deficit5. Immigration6. Taxes7. Women’s rights 8. Corruption9. Race relations10. The environment11. National Security and Defense12. Income inequality

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M8. Which issue is most important to you? (Pick one)

[RANDOMIZE ORDER]1. Terrorism 2. Economy and jobs3. Healthcare4. Federal Budget Deficit5. Immigration6. Taxes7. Women’s rights 8. Corruption9. Race relations10. The environment11. National Security and Defense12. Income inequality

M9. How strong is the US national security today? 1. Very Strong2. Somewhat Strong3. Somewhat Weak4. Very Weak

M10. How strong is the US economy today? 1. Very Strong2. Somewhat Strong3. Somewhat Weak4. Very Weak

M11. For you and your family personally, has the economy been strong or weak? 1. Very Strong2. Somewhat Strong3. Somewhat Weak4. Very Weak

Vote/Horserace

H1. Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton?

1. Very Favorable2. Favorable3. Unfavorable4. Very Unfavorable5. No Opinion

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H2. Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Donald Trump?


H3. Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Ted Cruz?


H4. Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Bernie Sanders?


H5. Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Barack Obama?


H6. Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Mitt Romney?


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USE THE TABLE BELOW TO DETERMINE RESPONDENT'S PATH TO NEXT QUESTION

State 1st Instruction 2nd instructionAlabama Go to H7a Alaska Go to H7a Arizona Go to H7a Arkansas Go to H7a California Go to H7b Colorado Go to H7a Connecticut Go to H7b Delaware Go to H7b

District of Columbia If M3 = Democrat Go to H7BIf M3 = Republican Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11

Florida Go to H7a Georgia Go to H7a Hawaii Go to H7a Idaho Go to H7a Illinois Go to H7a Indiana Go to H7b Iowa Go to H7a Kansas Go to H7a

Kentucky If M3 = Democrat Go to H7BIf M3 = Republican Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11

Louisiana Go to H7a Maine Go to H7a Maryland Go to H7b Massachusetts Go to H7a Michigan Go to H7a Minnesota Go to H7a Mississippi Go to H7a Missouri Go to H7a Montana Go to H7b

Nebraska If M3 = Republican Go to H7BIf M3 = Democrat Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11

Nevada Go to H7a New Hampshire Go to H7a New Jersey Go to H7b New Mexico Go to H7b New York Go to H7b North Carolina Go to H7a

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State 1st Instruction 2nd instructionNorth Dakota Go to H7B Ohio Go to H7a Oklahoma Go to H7a Oregon Go to H7b Pennsylvania Go to H7b Rhode Island Go to H7b South Carolina Go to H7a South Dakota Go to H7b Tennessee Go to H7a Texas Go to H7a Utah Go to H7a Vermont Go to H7a Virginia Go to H7a

Washington If M3 = Republican Go to H7BIf M3 = Democrat Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11

West Virginia Go to H7b Wisconsin Go to H7b

Wyoming If M3 = Democrat Go to H7BIf M3 = Republican Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11

H7A. Did you vote in your state’s caucus or primary election this year?

1. Yes2. No

IF H7A == YES, CONTINUEIF H7A==NO, SKIP TO H11

H8A. In which party’s primary or caucus?

1. Democrats2. Republicans3. Other Party4. Did not vote

IF H8A==DEMOCRATS, GO TO H9AIF H8A == REPUBLICANS, GO TO H10AOTHERWISE GO TO H11

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H9A. For whom did you vote?

1. Hillary Clinton2. Bernie Sanders3. Martin O’Malley4. Someone else

H10A. For whom did you vote?

1. Jeb Bush2. Ben Carson3. Chris Christie4. Ted Cruz5. Carly Fiorina6. John Kasich7. Rick Perry8. Marco Rubio9. Donald Trump10. Someone Else

SKIP TO H11H7B. Do you plan to vote in your state’s caucus or primary election this year?

1. Yes2. No

IF H7B == YES, SKIP TO H8BIF H7B==NO, SKIP TO H11.

H8B. In which party’s primary or caucus?

1. Democrats2. Republicans3. Other Party4. Did not vote

IF H8B==DEMOCRATS, GO TO H9BIF H8B == REPUBLICANS, GO TO H10BOTHERWISE GO TO H11

H9B. Which candidate do you prefer?

1. Hillary Clinton2. Bernie Sanders3. Someone else

GO TO H11

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H10B Which candidate do you prefer?

1. Ted Cruz 2. Donald Trump3. Someone Else

GO TO H11

H11. If the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Donald Trump2. Hillary Clinton3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

H12. If the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Donald Trump2. Bernie Sanders3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

H13. If the general election is between Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Ted Cruz2. Hillary Clinton3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

H14 If the general election is between Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Ted Cruz2. Bernie Sanders3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

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H15a. If the general election is between Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Marco Rubio2. Hillary Clinton3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

H15b. If the general election is between Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Marco Rubio2. Bernie Sanders3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

H16 (DT28). If a conservative alternative ran as a 3rd party candidate, who would you most likely vote for - the third party candidate, Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump?

1. Hillary Clinton2. Donald Trump3. Third Party Candidate4. Unsure5. Not Voting

H17. If Michael Bloomberg ran as a 3rd party candidate, who would you most likely vote for?

1. Michael Bloomberg2. Hillary Clinton3. Donald Trump4. Unsure5. Not Voting

H18. For each of the following candidates, please indicate whether you would likely vote for that person or not?

Acrossa. Definitely Would Vote Forb. Very Likely Vote Forc. Somewhat Likelyd. Neither Likely nor Unlikelye. Somewhat Unlikelyf. Very Unlikelyg. Definitely Would Not Vote For

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Down1. Hillary Clinton2. Donald Trump3. Ted Cruz4. Bernie Sanders5. Marco Rubio6. Michael Bloomberg

H19. In general, do you think you will vote for a Democrat or a Republican for Congress in the November elections?

1. Democrat2. Republican3. Unsure4. Not Voting

Issues

I1. How well do you think Hillary Clinton would handle each of the following issues if elected president?

Acrossa. Very wellb. Somewhat wellc. Slightly welld. Not well at all

Down [RANDOMIZE ORDER]1. National security2. Racial equality and minority rights3. Women’s rights4. Healthcare5. Economy and jobs6. Immigration7. Environment 8. Taxes9. Terrorism10. Moral Values

I2. How well do you think Donald Trump would handle each of the following issues if elected president?


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I3. How well do you think Ted Cruz would handle each of the following issues if elected president?



I4. How well do you think Bernie Sanders would handle each of the following issues if elected president?


Down [RANDOMIZE ORDER]1. National security2. Racial equality and minority rights3. Women’s rights

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4. Healthcare5. Economy and jobs6. Immigration7. Environment 8. Taxes9. Terrorism10. Moral Values

I5. Which comes closest to your views?1. The growing number of newcomers from other countries threatens traditional

American customs and values, or 2. The growing number of newcomers from other countries strengthens American

society.

I6. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following?

Acrossa. Agreeb. Disagree

Down [RANDOMIZE ORDER]1. Undocumented immigrants in the United States who have lived here at least 5 years

and paid their taxes should be able to apply for permanent residency or U. S. citizenship.

2. All undocumented immigrants should be deported.3. A wall should be built across the US-Mexico border to stop illegal immigration.4. Illegal immigrants should be able to receive US driver’s licenses.

I7. Should the United States strengthen regulations governing the sale of guns, including federal background checks to prevent people who have committed felonies or who have mental illnesses from purchasing guns?

1. Yes2. No

I7b. Which comes closest to your view?

1. We have enough gun laws in the United States and we just need to enforce them.2. We have too many gun laws in the United States.3. We need new, tougher gun laws.

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I8. The next president should ramp up the U.S. bombing campaign in Iraq and Syria and do whatever is necessary to destroy the Islamic State.

1. Strongly agree2. Agree somewhat3. Disagree somewhat4. Strongly disagree

I8a. Would you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to fight ISIS?

1. Strongly favor2. Favor somewhat3. Oppose somewhat4. Strongly oppose

I9. Should the United States increase spending on national defense significantly, even if that means increasing the deficit?

1. Strongly agree2. Agree somewhat3. Disagree somewhat4. Strongly disagree

I10. The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a trade agreement between the United States and 11 other countries that spurs job growth by removing barriers for trading goods and services. Do you support or oppose the TPP?

1. Support strongly2. Support somewhat3. Oppose somewhat4. Oppose strongly 5. Not Sure

I11. The best way to jumpstart growth is through fundamental tax reform. There should be a simple flat tax of 10 percent for all income groups.

1. Strongly agree2. Agree3. Disagree4. Strongly disagree

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I12. Those making over $250,000 a year should pay a higher percent of their income in taxes than those making less than that amount.


I13. Should the United States repeal the Affordable Care Act (known as Obama Care)?

1. Yes2. No3. Not Sure

I14. On abortion, which comes closest to your view? The United States should…

1. Keep abortion legal in all circumstances2. Allow abortion in most circumstances before the 20th week3. Only allow abortion in cases of rape or incest, or when the life of the mother is in

danger4. Ban all abortion

I15. Women in similar jobs to men make approximately 70 cents for every dollar earned by their male counterparts. Should federal law require that companies pay women the same amount when they do the same work as male employees?

1. Yes2. No

[SPLIT SAMPLE INTO 8 GROUPS AS DETAILED IN SCREENER][GROUP = {CLINTON1, CLINTON2, SANDERS, TRUMP1, TRUMP2, CRUZ, RUBIO1, RUBIO2}]

IF GROUP == CLINTON1 OR CLINTON2, GO TO MH1IF GROUP == SANDERS, GO TO MS1IF GROUP ==TRUMP1 OR TRUMP2, GO TO MT1IF GROUP ==CRUZ, GO TO MC1IF GROUP ==RUBIO1 OR RUBIO2, GO TO MR1

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[GROUP == CLINTON1 OR CLINTON2]

MH1. Which terms describe Hillary Clinton and which do not?

Acrossa. Yesb. No

Down1. Strong Leader2. Right Experience to be President3. Cares about people like me4. Honest5. Divisive6. Dangerous7. Out of Touch8. Able to get things done9. Inspirational10. Compassionate

MH2. Which terms describe Donald Trump and which do not?

Acrossa. Yesb. No

Down1. Strong Leader2. Right Experience to be President3. Cares about people like me4. Honest5. Divisive6. Dangerous7. Out of Touch8. Able to get things done9. Inspirational10. Compassionate

MH3. Which candidate will fight for the underdog?

1. Clinton 2. Trump 3. Neither 4. Both

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MH4. Which candidate will fight for the average American?

1. Clinton2. Trump 3. Neither 4. Both

MH5. Which candidate will heal partisan wounds?

1. Clinton2. Trump3. Neither4. Both

MH6. Which candidate will be good for America’s families? 1. Clinton2. Trump3. Neither4. Both

MH7. Which candidate will be good for the economy?


MH8. Which candidate will be good for Wall Street?


[SPLIT SAMPLE – ½ SEE MH9A AND ½ SEE MH9B]ASK IF GROUP CLINTON1MH9a. Which candidate would do a better job leading our armed forces?


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ASK IF GROUP CLINTON2MH9b. Which candidate would do a better job leading our armed forces as Commander in

Chief?


MH10 (HC31). Countries all over the world, such as England, Germany, France, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and India, have previously had or currently have women as Prime Ministers/Presidents. Do you think it is a problem that the United States has not had a single female president?

1. Yes2. No

MH11 (CH25). On the campaign trail, Hillary Clinton has recently said, “kindness matters, whether it’s to a friend, a neighbor, a colleague, a fellow student—whether it’s in the classroom, or a doctor’s office, or in a business—we need to do more to help each other.” Does this statement make you more likely or less likely to support Hillary Clinton in the general election for President?

1. Much more likely to Support Clinton2. Somewhat more likely to Support Clinton3. Somewhat more likely to Support Trump4. Much more likely to Support Trump5. Neither

MH12 (HC38). Many have accused Hillary Clinton of playing the gender card. In response to these accusations, she has said "If talking about equal pay, paid family leave, affordable child care, and women's health is playing the gender card, deal me in." Does hearing this make you more or less likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?


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MH13 (HC 36). Fox News’ Megyn Kelly called out Donald Trump recently for being a sexist. “You have called women you don’t like ‘fat pigs’, ‘dogs’, ‘slobs’, and ‘disgusting animals.” Does hearing this make you more likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?


MH14 (HC 37). Donald Trump recently tweeted: “If Hillary Clinton can’t satisfy her husband what makes you think she can satisfy America?” Does hearing this make you more or less likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?


MH15 (CH37). “Hillary Clinton has long been driven by her faith.” Does hearing this make you more or less likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?


MH16. If the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?


GO TO D5

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[GROUP == SANDERS]

MS1. Many politicians have worked on Wall St. at some time in their careers. Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate with ties to Wall St?

1. More Likely2. Neutral/Doesn’t matter3. Less Likely

MS2. Former NYC mayor Michael Bloomberg has been mentioned as a possible third party candidate for President. Michael Bloomberg spent his career building a company from scratch that now generates 9 billion dollars every year. How important is it that our next president’s wealth is self-made?

1. Very Important2. Important3. Unimportant4. Very unimportant5. Unsure

MS3. How much do you agree with the following statement: Hillary Clinton’s political career has been defined by controversies, from Whitewater to Benghazi and the use of a private email server and these controversies make her unfit for serving as President?

1. Strongly Agree2. Somewhat Agree3. Somewhat Disagree4. Strongly Disagree5. No Opinion

MS4. How much do you agree with the following statement: America is better off with new leadership and new people in Washington, D.C?


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MS5. How much do you agree with the following statement: ‘The Democrats are beholden to special interest groups, including environmentalists, unions, and trial lawyers. As long as the Democrats have power, there is no hope to make the changes that America needs right now?’

1. Strongly Agree2. Somewhat Agree3. Somewhat Disagree4. Strongly Disagree

MS6. How much do you agree with the following statement: Donald Trump’s temperament, especially his vulgar comments about his opponents, women, and minority groups, make him unfit to be President?


MS7. How much do you agree with the following statement: If Donald Trump were Commander in Chief, with access to the nuclear codes, I would be in greater fear for the security of the United States?


MS8. How much do you agree with the following statement: ‘The Republicans are beholden to their special interests groups including corporate leaders, the NRA, and military contractors, and as long as the Republicans have power, there is no hope to make the changes that America needs right now?


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MS9. 3.3 million Americans work at or below the $7.25 federal minimum wage. Would you be more or less likely to support a candidate who plans to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour by 2020?

1. I would be more likely to support a candidate who plans to raise the minimum wage to $15

2. I would be less likely to support a candidate who plans to raise the minimum wage to $15

3. Not sure

MS10. During the financial collapse of 2008, financial institutions received a $700 billion bailout from American taxpayers because of concerns that they might fail. Given the fact that three of the four largest financial institutions are 80% bigger today than they were before the 2008 bailout, would you be more or less likely to support a candidate who plans to break up the big banks?

1. I would be more likely to support a candidate who plans to break up the big banks2. I would be less likely to support a candidate who plans to break up the big banks3. Not sure

MS11. In America today, the top 0.1% of Americans own as much wealth as the bottom 90%. At this time of unprecedented wealth and income inequality, some are calling for an increase in income tax rates on the richest Americans and taxes on estates of multi-millionaires and billionaires. Would you be more or less likely to support a candidate who will make sure the rich pay their fair share in taxes?

1. I would be more likely to support a candidate who will make the rich pay more in taxes

2. I would be less likely to support a candidate who will make the rich pay more in taxes

3. Not sure

MS12. Would you trust a candidate for President to make good foreign policy decisions if that candidate opposed the War in Iraq in 2003? 1. I trust his ability to make foreign policy decisions2. I do not trust his ability to make foreign policy decisions

MS13. Considering all of these statements, if the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Donald Trump2. Bernie Sanders3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

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GO TO D5[GROUP = TRUMP1 OR TRUMP2]

MT1. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

Acrossa. Strongly agreeb. Agreec. Disagreed. Strongly disagree

Down1. Donald Trump shares your values2. Hillary Clinton shares your values3. Donald Trump cares about people like you.4. Hillary Clinton cares about people like you.

MT2. Donald Trump promises to build a wall along the US-Mexico border and to deport illegal immigrants currently in the country. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?

1. Much more likely2. Somewhat more likely3. Somewhat less likely4. Much less likely

MT3. The United States doesn’t win anymore. The United States is losing on trade, losing on foreign policy, and losing on jobs. Donald Trump knows how to negotiate good deals and will make America great again. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


MT4. As you may know, Donald Trump has said that Mexicans in the United States are “rapists,” and continues to use racist language. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


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MT5. As you may know, Donald Trump has frequently sworn on the campaign trail, has threatened to punch a protester, and alluded to the size of his sexual organs in a debate. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


MT6. The United States is at war with ISIS and radical Islamic terrorism. Hillary Clinton is too weak and politically correct to deal with this threat. Donald Trump is the only candidate who will do what is necessary to keep America safe. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


MT7. Police officers are the most disrespected people in the United States. Politicians like Hillary Clinton choose to advocate for criminals over police officers, but Donald Trump will never turn his back on our police officers. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


MT8. The FBI is currently investigating Hillary Clinton for allegedly sending classified information illegally over a private email server when she was Secretary of State. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


[SPLIT TRUMP GROUP: HALF GET MT8A; HALF DO NOT GET MT8A]

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ASK IF GROUP IS TRUMP1MT8a. Suppose the FBI recommends that Hillary Clinton and her aides be prosecuted over

the use of her email server. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?

Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likely

MT9. Before Islamic militants attacked a U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, killing four Americans, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton repeatedly rejected appeals to increase security at the consulate. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


MT10. Hillary Clinton has made over $21 million since 2013 by making speeches to private companies such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?


MT11. Considering all of these statements, if the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?


MT12. Do you favor or oppose these policies?

Acrossa. Favorb. Oppose

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Down1. Raising the gas tax to fix our roads and bridges 2. Requiring companies like Apple to unlock the phones of suspected terrorists 3. Reducing taxes for corporations that bring their overseas profits back to America 4. Legalizing marijuana 5. Making college free at state universities 6. Offering universal free pre-kindergarten 7. Taxing capital gains at the same rate as taxes on wages 8. Requiring police to wear body cameras when on duty

MT13. Do think that political correctness is a big issue or not today?

1. Yes, it's a big issue2. No, it's not a big issue

MT14. Do think the campaign has gone too far and been embarrassing or is it shaking up the establishment in a good way?

1. Gone too far and been embarrassing2. Shaking up the establishment in a good way

GO TO D5.

[GROUP == CRUZ]

MC1. The next President will nominate at least one Supreme Court Justice. Do you think that Ted Cruz would appoint Justices who are too liberal, too conservative, or just about right?

1. Too Liberal2. Too Conservative3. Just About Right

MC2. Do you think that Donald Trump would appoint Justices who are too liberal, too conservative, or just about right?


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MC3. Do you think that Hillary Clinton would appoint Justices who are too liberal, too conservative, or just about right?


MC4. ISIS seeks to destroy our very way of life. We must defeat them. That starts by calling the enemy by its name – radical Islamic terrorism – and securing the border.


MC5. The next president should ramp up the U.S. bombing campaign in Iraq and Syria and do whatever is necessary to destroy the Islamic State.


MC6. President Obama’s agreement with Iran poses catastrophic risk to the security of the United States and our allies. Under no circumstance should a U.S. President lift sanctions and grant nuclear capability to a nation that proudly chants “Death to America.”


MC7. The best way to jumpstart growth is through fundamental tax reform. There should be a simple flat tax of 10 percent for all income groups.


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MC8. We should repeal every word of Obamacare. In its place, we should enact reforms that make health care personal, portable, and affordable.


MC9. We must harness our nation’s energy resources and remove federal impediments to energy exploration. The next president should approve the Keystone Pipeline and empower the private sector to create good-paying American jobs.


MC10. We should eliminate the IRS, the Department of Education, the Department of Energy, the Department of Commerce, and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.


Trump GOP

MC11. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

Acrossa. Strongly agreeb. Agreec. Disagreed. Strongly disagree

Down1. The Republican Party should stand behind Donald Trump as the Republican

Presidential nominee.2. The Republican Party should embrace more of Donald Trump’s values.3. Donald Trump will make America great again.4. Donald Trump is similar to me.5. The middle class will suffer under President Donald Trump.6. President Donald Trump will reform a broken political system.

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MC12. If Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president, would that make you more or less likely to turn out to vote in this November’s general election?


MC13. Overall, how do you view the Republican Party?

1. Very Positively2. Slightly Positively3. Neither Positively nor Negatively4. Slightly Negatively5. Very Negatively

MC14. Has this view changed since before the election season started?

1. Yes, my view has become more positive throughout the election season2. Yes, my view has become more negative throughout the election season3. No, my view has not changed throughout the election season

MC15. If the general election is between Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Ted Cruz2. Hillary Clinton3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

GO TO D5

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GROUP==RUBIO

SPLIT SAMPLE: ½ OF GROUP=RUBIO GET MR1A, ½ OF GROUP==RUBIO GET MR1B.

ASK IF GROUP IS RUBIO1MR1a. Currently, illegal immigrants contribute 11.6 billion dollars in taxes. What do you think

is the best strategy regarding the issue of illegal immigrants?

1. They should have a path to citizenship if they pay taxes2. They should stay legally if they pay taxes but not be allowed to apply for citizenship3. They should not stay in the U.S.4. Don’t know 5. Decline to state

ASK IF GROUP IS RUBIO2MR1b. Some Americans claim that illegal immigrants are taking away jobs from low-wage

workers. What do you think is the best strategy regarding the issue of illegal immigrants?1. They should have a path to citizenship if they pay taxes2. They should stay legally if they pay taxes but not be allowed to apply for citizenship3. They should not stay in the U.S.4. Don’t know 5. Decline to state

MR2. What is your position on the following statement: It is acceptable to allow Syrian refugees to come to this country if they go through a strict security clearance?1. Agree2. Disagree, the risks are too high3. Disagree, we should expedite the process4. Don’t know 5. Decline to state

MR3. What is your position on the following statement: Climate change is not an important issue, and we shouldn’t spend more tax dollars on it?1. Agree2. Disagree3. Don’t know 4. Decline to state

Planned Parenthood receives federal funding through Medicaid reimbursements in order to provide abortion services. What is your position on the following two statements?

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MR4. Life begins at conception. The U.S. government should not help fund Planned Parenthood because its funding abortion is equivalent to its supporting murder.


MR5. The U.S. government should not fund Planned Parenthood because it has created incentives for women to seek abortions. This disrupts American family culture.


MR6. While serving as Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton failed to protect American officials in Benghazi, Libya. Do you think this detracts from her reputation as an experienced foreign policy candidate?

1. Yes2. No

MR7. While serving as Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton threatened national security by using a private email server to conduct government business. Does this make you less confident in her ability to lead the country in diplomatic affairs?

1. Yes2. No

MR8. During her time as Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton failed to protect the U.S. Embassy in Benghazi, Libya. She also risked revealing information integral to the security of the United States through using her private email to conduct government business. Do you believe that Hillary Clinton would adequately protect the United States in an increasingly dangerous world?

1. Yes2. No

MR9. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has flip-flopped her views on marriage equality, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and the Keystone Pipeline, among other issues. How does this inconsistency impact your view of Hillary Clinton as a 2016 Presidential nominee?

1. Positively2. Negatively3. No impact

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The Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, expands public and private health insurance coverage and requires almost all Americans to purchase health insurance or face a fine. What is your position on the following two statements?

MR10. Congress should repeal Obamacare because it has led to runaway costs, limited individual choices, and has done more damage than good.


MR11. Congress should repeal Obamacare because it costs our economy 716 billion dollars a year and is increasing insurance rates.


MR12. Would you agree or disagree with the following statement: It is irresponsible to decrease military and defense spending during a period when terrorist attacks are occurring more frequently in Europe.1. Agree2. Disagree3. Don’t know4. Decline to state

MR13. If the general election is between Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?

1. Marco Rubio2. Hillary Clinton3. Not Voting4. Not Sure

GO TO D5

Demographics

EmploymentD5. Which of the following best describes your current employment status?

1. Employed Full-time2. Employed Part-Time

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3. Self-employed4. Out of work and looking for work5. Out of work but not looking for work6. Homemaker7. Student8. Military personnel9. Retired10. Unable to work11. Decline to state

EducationD6. What is the highest degree or level of education that you have COMPLETED?

1. Grade School2. Some high school, no diploma3. High school graduate, diploma, or the equivalent (for example: GED)4. Some college credit, no degree5. Trade/technical/vocational training6. Associate Degree7. Bachelor’s Degree8. Master’s Degree9. Doctoral Degree10. Other (Please specify)11. Decline to state

Marital StatusD8. What is your current marital status?

1. Single, never married2. Married or domestic partnership3. Widowed4. Divorced5. Separated6. Decline to state

Voter RegistrationD9. Are you registered to vote at your present address?

1. Yes2. No3. Not Sure

ReligionD10. What is your religion?

1. Evangelical Protestant2. Non-Evangelical Protestant3. Roman Catholic

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4. Mormon5. Other Christian6. Jewish7. Muslim8. Hindu9. Buddhist10. Atheist/Agnostic11. Other

Attend ChurchD11. How often do you attend religion services, events, or gatherings?

1. Daily2. Weekly3. A few times per month4. Once a month5. Almost never

Importance of ReligionD12. How important or unimportant is religion in your life?

1. Very important2. Somewhat important3. Somewhat unimportant4. Very unimportant

Gun OwnerD13. Does anyone in your household own a gun?

1. Yes2. No

HomeownerD14. Do you rent or own a home?

1. Rent2. Own3. Do not rent or own but live with someone who does4. Other

Urban / RuralD15. Do you live in a suburban, urban, or rural area?

1. Urban 2. Suburban3. Rural

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ZIPD16. For purposes of quality control, please provide us with your ZIP Code: ________

IncomeD17. What was your total household income during 2015?

1. Less than $10,0002. $10,000 to $19,9993. $20,000 to $29,9994. $30,000 to $39,9995. $40,000 to $49,9996. $50,000 to $59,9997. $60,000 to $69,9998. $70,000 to $79,9999. $80,000 to $89,99910. $90,000 to $99,99911. $100,000 to $149,99912. $150,000 to $200,00013. More than $200,00014. Decline to state

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caps.gov. Web viewGender . Political Identification. Age. Ethnicity. GROUPS. Totl. Males. Females....

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