Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts ...

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Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes
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Transcript of Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts ...

Page 1: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Capital Structure

Basic concepts: no taxes

Page 2: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts

Capital-structure and pie theory

No-arbitrage pricing.

Example: shares for debt

Value

Required return on the levered firm.

Page 3: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Financial Leverage, EPS, and ROE

Current Proposed

Assets $20,000 $20,000

Debt $0 $8,000

Equity $20,000 $12,000

Debt/Equity 0.00 0.67

Interest rate n/a 8%

Shares 400 240

Share price $50 $50

Page 4: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Comments

Straight swap of equity for debt Market prices unchanged Real asset unchanged

Page 5: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Financial leverage and risk

Three states: bust, normal, boom. Probabilities not explicit. Look at each state separately.

Page 6: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

EPS, ROE, Current Structure

Shares Outstanding = 400

Bust Normal Boom

EBIT $1,000 $2,000 $3,000

Interest 0 0 0

Net income $1,000 $2,000 $3,000

EPS $2.50 $5.00 $7.50

ROA 5% 10% 15%

ROE 5% 10% 15%

Page 7: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

EPS and ROE under Proposed Capital Structure

Shares Outstanding = 240

Bust Normal Boom

EBIT $1,000 $2,000 $3,000

Interest 640 640 640

Net income $360 $1,360 $2,360

EPS $1.50 $5.67 $9.83

ROA 5% 10% 15%

ROE 3% 11% 20%

Page 8: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Find the point of equal EPS

For understanding the situation, not because it is a key to anything.

Let x = EBIT Solve x/400 = (x - 640)/240 Solution x = 1600. EPS = 4 per share, in either structure

Page 9: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Financial Leverage and EPS

(2.00)

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

1,000 2,000 3,000EBIT

EP

SDebt

No Debt

Break-even Point

Page 10: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Modigliani-Miller (MM) Model

Perpetual Cash Flows (convenient) Firms and investors can borrow and

lend at the same rate (convenient) Only value matters No transaction costs (convenient) No taxes

Page 11: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Homemade is a big concept

What financial managers do in the firm…

can be duplicated by investors in the market …

if they want to. Implication: financial managers can’t

raise value by restructuring.

Page 12: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Homemade leverage

Instead of the firm swapping equity for debt.

The investor does it himself, by borrowing.

It works out just as well.

Page 13: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Borrow $8000, buy the unlevered firm for $20,000

Bust Normal Boom

Earnings $1000 $2000 $3000

Interest at 8% $640 $640 $640

Net Profits $360 $1360 $2360

ROE (on $12K) 3% 11% 20%

Same as owning the levered firm

Page 14: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Okay, don’t buy the whole firm

Buy 10%, forty shares for $2000. Borrow $800. Total cost $1200 Same as having 10% of the levered

firm, that is, 24 shares at $50 per share.

Page 15: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Homemade annihilation of leverage

Idea. Form a portfolio. Part lending… part the levered firm. Portfolio has the action of the unlevered

firm. A levered firm is a portfolio.

Page 16: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Buy the levered firm (240 shares) and lend 8000

Cost of Portfolio = 12000 + 8000 = 20000

Boom Normal Bust

EPS $1.50 $5.67 $9.83

Earnings $360 $1360 $2360

Interest at (8%) $640 $640 $640

Net cash flow $1000 $2000 $3000

ROE 5% 10% 15%

(Net cash flow / $2,000)

Page 17: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

The firm is a veil

A way for shareholders to hold a portfolio.

Page 18: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

The MM Propositions I & II (No Taxes)

P1: Value is unaffected by leverage P1: VL = VU

P2: Leverage increases the risk and return to stockholders(formula to follow)

Page 19: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Proposition II of M-M

rB is the interest rate

rs is the return on (levered) equity r0 is the return on unlevered equity

B is value of debt SL is value of levered equity

rs = r0 + (B / SL) (r0 - rB)

Page 20: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Quick derivation of MM II

Uses MM I. Value unchanged. Uses cash flow constraint.

Page 21: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Value Random cash flow

A a

B b

Va+b a+b

Page 22: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Va+b = A + B

No arbitrage pricing.

Suppose Va+b not equal to A + B.

Suppose Va+b > A + B.

The potential arbitrage is to buy a and b separately and then sell a+b as a unit.

Gain = Va+b - A – B, which is > 0.

Position a + b – (a+b) = 0 is riskless

Page 23: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Complete markets

Cash flows a and b must be tradable.

e.g., not gambling debts

e.g., not insurance contracts

Page 24: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Value Random cash flow

Shares SL sL

Bonds B b

Unlevered firm SU sU = sL + b

For instance, capital structure

Conclusion: SU= SL + B

Page 25: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Problem: market rate of return on levered shares

Increased risk of levered shares. Solution using definition of rates of

return and MM I.

Page 26: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

BSS LU

bss LU

MM I

Cash flows

bsEsE LU )()(

bb

s

Ls

U

r

br

r

sEr

r

sEr

)()(

00

BrSrSr bLsU 0

Page 27: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

BSS LU

BrSrSr BLSU 0

MM I

Expectedcash flows

BrSrBSr BLSL )(0

BrBSrSr BLLS )(0

(*)

Page 28: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

BrBSrSr BLLS )(0

BrrSrSr BLLS )( 00

LBS S

Brrrr )( 00

Page 29: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Weighted average cost of capital

A reorganization of MM 2 with no taxes. Go back to equation (*) in the

derivation, divide by SL + B

Page 30: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

MM Proposition II no tax

Debt-to-equityratio (B/S)

Cost of capital: r(%)

.r0

rS

rWACC

rB

LBS S

Brrrr )( 00

Page 31: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Exam review

What is the weighted average cost of capital?

Page 32: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Answer

Give the definitions and the formula. rB = bond rate

rS = expected return on shares

B = market value of bonds S = market value of shares TC = corporate tax rate

Page 33: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.

Conclusion

WACC =(S/(S+B))rS + (B/(S+B))(1-TC)rB

Page 34: Capital Structure Basic concepts: no taxes. Chapter 15 Capital Structure: Basic Concepts  Capital-structure and pie theory  No-arbitrage pricing.