Capital Structure and Its Product Market Determinants
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Transcript of Capital Structure and Its Product Market Determinants
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Fore School of Management, B 18 Qutab Institutional Area, New Delhi 110016, India
E-mail: [email protected]
Asia-Pacifc Business ReviewVol. VI, No. 2, April - June 2010
pp. 41-49, ISSN: 0973-2470
Capital Structure and Product Market Determinants:
Empirical Evidence from the Indian Automobile Industry
Himanshu Joshi
This paper provides insights into the way in which the capital structure is determined by product market determinants, research and
development activity and protability. This paper is an attempt to test relevance of empirical evidences found in matured markets to
the Indian market condition. Automobile industry is taken up for the study because of its oligopoly nature and easy availability of
product prices. Some of the results are very different from the similar studies conducted in the advanced economies. It is found that
the rms in the same industry can have different capital structures and there is a negative correlation between the protability and
capital structure of the companies. Interestingly, no correlation is found between R&D expenses and capital structure of the company.
It was also concluded that no extra market power is attained because of high leverage.
Keywords: Capital Structure, Product Market, Market Structure, Protability, Market Power, Capital Expenditure
Introduction
Capital structure refers to the way a corporation
nances its assets through some combination of
equity, debt, or hybrid securities. A rms capital
structure is thus, the composition or structure of
its liabilities. The modern theory of capital structure
began with the celebrated paper of Modigliani
and Miller (1958). Their paper paved way for the
development of alternative theories by showingunder what conditions capital structure is irrelevant.
The alternative theories include agency cost theory,
Asymmetric information theory, Product/input market
interactions theory, corporate control considerations
theory and the tax incentive theory. All these theories
have been subjected to extensive empirical testing
in the context of developed countries, particularly
USA. A few studies report international comparison
of capital structure determinants. Similar studies have
been conducted in emerging markets of South East
Asia that provide evidence on capital structure and its
determinants. (Pandey, 2001; Annuar and Shamsher,
1993; Ariff, 1998).
The recent focus of the researches on capital structure
has been on the interaction between capital structure
and product market structure. Brander and Lewis
(1986), Bolton and Scharfstein (1990), Maksimovic
(1988), and Ravid (1988) offer theoretical framework
for linkage between capital structure and market
structure. Phillips (1995) provides surveys of the
theoretical and empirical relationship between capital
structure and market structure. Chevalier (1993), and
Phillips (1995) investigated the empirical relation
between capital structure and market structure for
US Companies. Rathinasamy, Krishnaswamy and
Mantripragada (2000) conducted similar study in the
international context using data from 47 countries.
Predicted cubic relationship between capital structure
and market power and tested it for Malaysia.
Present study is an attempt to nd out the relevance of
capital structure and product market power interaction
evidences in the Indian context. This paper tried to
answer few important questions: Do Firms in the
same industry have same capital structures? Is this
the case that more leverage would lead to aggressive
production and create Market power to the rm?
Do highly leveraged rms tend to indulge in more
research and development activities? Empirical
studies are conducted to nd the relation between
variables like Protability, R&D and sales expenses
with Debt- Equity ratio in case of Indian Automobile
Industry. Auto mobile industry is chosen because of
its oligopoly nature and easy availability of product
prices. Some of the results are very different from the
similar studies conducted in the developed economies.
It is found out that Firms in the same industry can
have different capital structures and there is negative
correlation between the Protability and Debt-Equity
ratio of the companies. Interestingly no correlation is
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found in R&D expense with Debt-Equity ratio of the
company.
Theoretical FrameworkFirms raise investment funds in a number of ways.
They can borrow from banks and other nancial
institutions or they can issue various kinds of debt,
preferred stock, warrants, and common equity. A rms
mix of these different sources of capital is referred
to as its capital structure. Capital structure could be
dened in different ways. In the US, it is common to
dene capital structure in terms of long term debt ratio.
In a number of countries, particularly the emerging
markets, companies employ both short term and long
term debt for nancing their assets, including current
assets. For testing the validity of empirical evidencesfound in the developed economies in Indian context
we have dened our dependent variable - capital
structure as long term Debt to Equity ratio.
Market structure implies a rms monopoly, or
oligopoly or competitive power. We have taken up
the case of Indian automobile industry which is
characterised as an oligopoly market. Firms in the
oligopoly market can benet from debt if higher debt
to equity ratios allows them to commit to an aggressive
output policy that they otherwise would not be able
to carry out. (Brander and Lewis, 1986). A rm may
wish to send a message to its competitors that it plansto increase its production. If the competitors ignore
this message, the added production is likely to reduce
the product prices and thus reduce prot for both the
rms and its competitors. However if this message is
credible, the competitors may accommodate the rm
by reducing its output instead of engaging in price war.
In this case, the aggressive policy does increase the
rms prots. When aggregate industry demand for a
product is highly uncertain, higher output generally
increases risk because it leads to higher prots when
product demand turns out to be high, but lower prots
when demand turns out to be low. Hence, since higherleverage increases rms appetite for risk, the greater
a rms leverage, the greater its incentive to produce
at high level of output. So there should be positive
relation between rms capital structure and market
power.
Another important nding in capital structure and
market power interaction is the negative relation
between operating prot and leverage. The relation
reects pecking order of nancing behavior. When
rms generate substantial amounts of cash from their
operations, they tend to pay down debt before payingout dividends and repurchasing shares. When rms
generate insufcient cash to cover investment needs,
they tend to borrow rather than issue stock to cover
the shortfall.
There exists negative relationship between Selling
and Research & Development expenses and capital
structure. Firms with large selling and R&D expenses
may have little taxable earnings and hence, may only
be able to utilize rarely, if at all, debt tax shields. In
addition, rms with high R&D and selling expenses
are likely to be growth rms that produce specialized
products. To the extent that these are indeed growthrms, these rms are not likely to have access to
sizable amounts of debt nancing because of the debt
holder- equity holder conicts.
Literature Review
The modern theory of capital structure began with
the celebrated paper of Modigliani and Miller (1958).
Their paper paved way for the development of
alternative theories by showing under what conditions
capital structure is irrelevant. Harris and Raviv (1991)
have identied ve categories of determinants of
capital structure. Based on the determinants these aresome of the theories.
(i) Agency cost theory
(ii) Asymmetric information theory
(iii) The Theoretical Tax Incentive.
(iv) Corporate control considerations theory
(v) Product/input market interactions theory
A signicant fraction of the effort of researchers has
been devoted to models in which capital structure is
determined by agency costs, i.e., costs due to conictsof interest. Research in this area was initiated by
Jensen and Meckling (1976) building on earlier work
of Fama and Miller (1972). Agency models have been
among the most successful in generating interesting
implications. In particular, these models predict that
leverage is positively associated with rm value,
default probability, extent of regulation, free cash
ow, liquidation value, extent to which the rm is
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a takeover target, and the importance of managerial
reputation. Also, leverage is expected to be negatively
associated with the extent of growth opportunities,
interest coverage, the cost of investigating rm prospects, and the probability of reorganization
following default. Finally, the result that rm value
and leverage are positively related follows from the
fact that these two endogenous variables move in the
same direction with changes in the exogenous factors.
Therefore, leverage increasing (decreasing) changes
in capital structure caused by a change in one of these
exogenous factors will be accompanied by stock price
increases (decreases).
The introduction into economics of the explicit
modeling of private information has made possible a
number of approaches to explaining capital structure.In these theories, rm managers or insiders are
assumed to possess private information about the
characteristics of the rms return stream or investment
opportunities. This stream of research began with the
work of Ross (1977) and Leland and Pyle (1977).
In another, capital structure is designed to mitigate
inefciencies in the rms investment decisions that
are caused by the information asymmetry. This branch
of the literature starts with Myers and Majluf (1984)
and Myers (1984). Myers and Majluf (1984) imply that
leverage increases with the extent of the informational
asymmetry. Ross (1977), Leland and Pyle (1977),
Blazenko (1987), John (1987), Poitevin (1989), all
derive a positive correlation between leverage and
value in a cross section of otherwise similar rms. Ross
(1977) also predicts a positive correlation between
leverage or value and bankruptcy probability, while
Leland and Pyle (1977) predict a positive correlation
between value and equity ownership of insiders.
Following the growing importance of takeover
activities in the 1980s, the nance literature began to
examine the linkage between the market for corporate
control and capital structure. These papers exploit
the fact that common stock carries voting rightswhile debt does not. Harris and Raviv (1988) and
Stulz (1988), capital structure affects the outcome of
takeover contests through its effect on the distribution
of votes, especially the fraction owned by the manager.
Harris and Raviv (1988) also show that targets of
unsuccessful tender offers will have more debt on
average than targets of proxy ghts. They also show
that among rms involved in proxy ghts, leverage
is lower on average when the incumbent remains in
control.
In theoretical tax incentive, hypothesis is that an
increase in tax rate will increase value of rm tax-shield. The rm reduces income by deducting
paid interest on debt and thereby reducing their tax
liabilities. An increase in tax rates should hence
increase leverage.
Capital structure models based on product/input market
interactions are in their infancy. These theories have
explored the relationship between capital structure
and either product market strategy or characteristics
of products/inputs. The strategic variables considered
are product price and quantity. These strategies are
determined to affect the behavior of rivals, and capital
structure in turn affects the equilibrium strategies
and payoffs. Models involving product or input
characteristics have focused on the effect of capital
structure on the future availability of products, parts
and service, product quality, and the bargaining game
between management and input suppliers.
The models show that oligopolists will tend to have
more debt than monopolists or rms in competitive
industries (Brander and Lewis, 1986), and that the debt
will tend to be long term (Glazer, 1989). If, however,
tacit collusion is important, debt is limited, and debt
capacity increases with the elasticity of demand
(Maksimovic, 1988). Firms that produce products that
are unique or require service and/or parts and rms for
which a reputation for producing high quality products
is important may be expected to have less debt; other
things equal (Titman, 1984). Phillips (1995) provides
surveys of the theoretical and empirical relationship
between capital structure and market structure.
Chevalier (1993), and Phillips (1995) investigated
the empirical relation between capital structure and
market structure for US Companies. Rathinasamy,
Krishnaswamy and Mantripragada (2000) conducted
similar study in the international context using data
from 47 countries. Pandey (2001) predicted cubicrelationship between capital structure and market
power and tested it for Malaysia.
Research Methodology
The data for Indian automobile companies for last six
years have been collected from CMIE Prowess. Capital
structure data for NIFTY fty companies is collected
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from national stock exchange website. Hypotheses
were formulated and statistically tested using various
statistical tools. The tools used in this study are
ANOVA single factor, t-test and correlation. We havetested relationship of capital structure with various
determinants like product market power, research
and development expenditures, Selling expenses and
protability. We have dened our dependent variable
of capital structure as long term debt to equity ratio.
Product market power is dened as average change
in product prices divided by net investment. Product
prices are calculated by dividing annual sales by
number of units being sold. For measuring relationship
between R&D expenditure and capital structure we
have calculated R&D expenses to Sales Ratio. For
measuring relationship between selling expenses and
capital structure we have calculated Sales expenses to
Sales Ratio.
Results and Discussions
Based on theoretical framework we have formulated
the following hypotheses for purpose of empirical
testing:
Hypothesis I: Firms in the same Industry tend to
choose similar capital structure.
Null Hypothesis H0: There is no signicant difference
in capital structure within Indian automobile industryrms.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is signicant
difference in capital structure within Indian automobile
industry rms.
Hypothesis II: Firms in different industries would
choose different capital structures.
Null Hypothesis H0: There is no signicant difference
in capital structure for Nifty Fifty rms and Indian
automobile rms.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is signicantdifference in capital structure for Nifty Fifty rms and
Indian automobile rms.
Hypothesis III: There is a negative correlation
between proftability and capital structure.
Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation between
protability and capital structure for Indian automobile
rms.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a negative
correlation between protability and capital structure
for Indian automobile rms.
Hypothesis IV: There is a negative correlation
between selling expenses and capital structure.
Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation between
Selling Expense and capital structure for Indian
automobile rms.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a negative
correlation between Selling Expense and capital
structure for Indian automobile rms.
Hypothesis V: There is positive correlationbetween R&D expenses and capital structure.
Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation between
R&D expenses and capital structure for Indian
automobile rms.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a positive
correlation between R&D Expense and capital
structure for Indian automobile rms.
Hypothesis VI: There is a positive correlation
between Market power and capital structure.
Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation betweenMarket Power and capital structure for Indian
automobile rms.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a positive
correlation between Market Power and capital
structure for Indian automobile rms.
Hypotheses Testing
To test rst hypothesis which is Firms in the same
Industry tend to choose similar capital structure, we
have calculated debt equity ratios for various rms
in Indian automobile industry. Our null hypothesis in
this case therefore is there is no signicant difference
in capital structure within the Indian automobile
industry rms. Table 1 - a shows the data for debt-
equity ratio for various rms in Indian automobile
industry. Firms with Zero or near zero debt are not
included. Table 1 - b shows the statistics of ANOVA
test conducted for debt equity ratios of various rms
in the automobile industry. The P-value (Table 1 - b)
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being less than 0.05 our null hypothesis cannot be
accepted. Therefore rms in the same industry need
not have similar capital structure. The result is against
what has been proved in earlier research conducted
in developed economies. The difference in the result
can be attributed to the difference in the structure of
players in both the countries. In India most of the rmsare either joint venture between domestic and foreign
players or foreign subsidiary. Most of the funding in
these companies is through equity from the holding
companies. Players like Maruti Suzuki, General
Motors and HSCI have Zero tolerance to Debt.
To test our second hypothesis which is, rms in the
different industries would choose different capital
structures, we have compared average debt equity
ratio of Indian automobile industry with average
debt-equity ratio for Nifty 50 companies. Our
null hypothesis in this case therefore is, there is no
signicant difference among the capital structure ofrms from different industries. Table 2 - a shows the
comparative data for average debt-equity ratio for
Nifty fty companies and rms of Indian automobile
industry. Table 2 - b shows the summary statistics of
T-test for debt equity ratio of Indian automobile
rms with Nifty fty companies. The P-value for two
tails is 0.088253142 which is less than 0.05 therefore
rejecting our null hypothesis and proving alternative
hypothesis which is Firms in different industries
would choose different capital structures. The result is
as expected and in line with the other research done in
developed market.
Table 3 shows the Average Debt-Equity Ratio, Average
Protability to Sales Ratio, Average Selling Expense
to Sales Ratio, Average R&D Expense to Sales
Ratio, and Market Power Ratio for Indian Automobile
Firms.
To test our third hypothesis, which is, there is
negative correlation between protability and capital
structure, we have formulated null hypothesis, there
is no correlation between protability and capital
structure for rms in Indian automobile industry and
our alternative hypothesis is that there is negative
correlation between protability and capital structure.
To measure protability we have calculated PBIT to
total assets ratio for Indian automobile industry rms
for last six years (Table 3). Table 4 shows the summary
statistics of correlation coefcient between capital
structure and protability. Since test statistic (-2.6764)
falls out of acceptance level (critical statistics -2.015),
null hypothesis is rejected and alternative hypothesis
is proved to be true. We found that there exists a
negative correlation between protability and capital
structure.
Table 1(a): Debt-Equity Ratios for Various Firms under Indian Automobile Industry
Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ford 1.7671 1.588 1.979 2.265 1.174 0.83 HM 1.824 3.609 0.981 1.451 1.318 0.775
Hyundai 0.5409 0.519 0.254 0.273 0.254 0.431
M&M 0.63 0.227 0.441 0.239 0.433 0.471
Mahindra Renault 0 0.438 1.109
Tata Motors 0.457 0.322 0.594 0.414 0.312 0.506
Table 1(b): ANOVA Statistics for Debt Equity Ratios of Various Firms in the Automobile Industry
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F Crit.
Between Groups 11.1931 5 2.23861 8.05061 9.42E-05 2.57189
Within Groups 7.50782 27 0.27807
Total 18.7009 32
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To test our fourth hypothesis, which is there is anegative correlation between selling expenses and
capital structure; we have calculated total selling
expense to total sales ratio. Total selling expense
is the summation Selling expenses, advertisement
expenses and distribution expenses. (Table 3). Table 5
shows the summary statistics of correlation coefcient
between the two variables. Our null hypothesis in this
case is that there exist no correlation between selling
expenses and capital structure. Since the test statistic(2.191430043) falls outside the acceptance region
the null hypothesis cannot be true. Ironically in this
case instead of negative correlation one can observe
positive correlation. The reasons for this particular
behavior can be attributed to the reason that all the
products are well tested in various other markets to
be termed special products so they could raise Debt
easily.
Table 2(a): Average Debt-Equity Ratio for Nifty Fifty Companies and Firms of Indian Automobile Industry
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Market D-E Ratio 0.74418 0.70846 0.68864 0.7134 0.81218 0.59184Automobile Ind D-E Ratio 0.73101 0.8029 0.57699 0.39339 0.38448 0.41724
Table 2(b): Summary Statistics of T-test for Debt- Equity Ratio of Indian Automobile Firms with Nifty
Fifty Companies
Variable 1 Variable 2
Mean 0.70978 0.551
Variance 0.00521 0.0334
Observations 6 6
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
df 7
t Stat 1.97945
P(T
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To test our fth hypothesis which is, there is negative
correlation between R&D expenses and capital
structure, we have calculated R&D expense to sales
ratio for rms under study. (Table 3). Table 6 shows the
summary statistics of correlation coefcient between
R&D expense to sales ratio and capital structure for
the Indian automobile rms. Since our test statistics
(-0.226) falls under critical statistics at 5% signicance
level, our null hypothesis is accepted. From the result
it can be inferred that there is no correlation between
R&D expenses and leverage. The reasons for this
particular behavior can be attributed to the technologytransfer from the foreign holding companies to Indian
Companies. Except Tata Motors and Mahindra &
Mahindra, and to some extent Hindustan Motors, no
other company has considerable R& D expenses as
percentage of sales.
To test our last hypothesis which is, there is positive
correlation between Market power and Capital
Structure, we have calculated market power by the
formula (average change in price/ net investment/1000).
(Table 3). Table 7 shows the summary statistics of
correlation between the two variables. Since our Test
statistic (0.682) falls under critical statistics (2.353),
our null hypothesis is not rejected. Thus we found
no correlation between market power and capital for
Indian automobile rms.
Table 4: Summary Correlation between Proftability and Capital Structure.
Average PBIT/Total assets
of Auto Industry
Average D-E ratio of Auto
IndustryAverage PBIT/Total assets of Auto Industry 1
Average D-E ratio of Auto Industry -0.66600459 1
Table 5: Summary Correlation Table between Selling Expenses and Capital Structure
Average of selling exp/sales Debt-Equity Ratio
Average of selling exp/sales 1
Debt-Equity Ratio 0.73863 1
Table 6: Summary Correlation between R&D expenses and capital structure
Average D-E ratio of
Auto Industry
Average R&D to sales
Ratio of Auto Industry
Average D-E ratio of Auto Industry 1
Average R&D to sales Ratio of Auto Industry -0.1118 1
Table 7: Summary Correlation between Market Power and Capital Structure
Average change in price/
capital work in progress
Average debt-equity
ratio
Average change in price/ capital work in progress 1
Average debt-equity ratio -0.490841159 1
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Conclusion
Capital structures of companies in different industries
can be different; the reasons behind this difference can
be attributed to the difference of norms in between
the industries, difference in the products, operational
cycles in the industry and policies of the company.
Firms in the Indian automobile industry have adopted
different capital structures and there is negative
correlation between the Protability and capital
structure of the companies. Some of the results
are very different from the similar studies in the
Developed economies. Interestingly no correlation is
found in R&D expense with Debt-Equity ratio of the
company. Reasons for this behavior can be attributed
to structure of Indian automobile industry, where most
of the companies in the Industry are Indian subsidiaries
of foreign companies and these companies are not
investing sufcient funds in R&D activities. They
normally rely on their foreign holding companies
for technology transfers. This result is also being
conrmed by the fact that Indian companies without
any signicant foreign collaboration (Tata Motors and
Mahindra & Mahindra) show signicant investment
in R&D activity and there seems to be a positive
correlation between their R&D expenses and Capital
Structure. Also percentage marketing expenses as
sales of Automobiles companies in India is less than
their counterparts in Developed economies. We foundno correlation between market power and capital
structure for the rms in Indian automobile industry.
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