Capital Structure and Its Product Market Determinants

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    Fore School of Management, B 18 Qutab Institutional Area, New Delhi 110016, India

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Asia-Pacifc Business ReviewVol. VI, No. 2, April - June 2010

    pp. 41-49, ISSN: 0973-2470

    Capital Structure and Product Market Determinants:

    Empirical Evidence from the Indian Automobile Industry

    Himanshu Joshi

    This paper provides insights into the way in which the capital structure is determined by product market determinants, research and

    development activity and protability. This paper is an attempt to test relevance of empirical evidences found in matured markets to

    the Indian market condition. Automobile industry is taken up for the study because of its oligopoly nature and easy availability of

    product prices. Some of the results are very different from the similar studies conducted in the advanced economies. It is found that

    the rms in the same industry can have different capital structures and there is a negative correlation between the protability and

    capital structure of the companies. Interestingly, no correlation is found between R&D expenses and capital structure of the company.

    It was also concluded that no extra market power is attained because of high leverage.

    Keywords: Capital Structure, Product Market, Market Structure, Protability, Market Power, Capital Expenditure

    Introduction

    Capital structure refers to the way a corporation

    nances its assets through some combination of

    equity, debt, or hybrid securities. A rms capital

    structure is thus, the composition or structure of

    its liabilities. The modern theory of capital structure

    began with the celebrated paper of Modigliani

    and Miller (1958). Their paper paved way for the

    development of alternative theories by showingunder what conditions capital structure is irrelevant.

    The alternative theories include agency cost theory,

    Asymmetric information theory, Product/input market

    interactions theory, corporate control considerations

    theory and the tax incentive theory. All these theories

    have been subjected to extensive empirical testing

    in the context of developed countries, particularly

    USA. A few studies report international comparison

    of capital structure determinants. Similar studies have

    been conducted in emerging markets of South East

    Asia that provide evidence on capital structure and its

    determinants. (Pandey, 2001; Annuar and Shamsher,

    1993; Ariff, 1998).

    The recent focus of the researches on capital structure

    has been on the interaction between capital structure

    and product market structure. Brander and Lewis

    (1986), Bolton and Scharfstein (1990), Maksimovic

    (1988), and Ravid (1988) offer theoretical framework

    for linkage between capital structure and market

    structure. Phillips (1995) provides surveys of the

    theoretical and empirical relationship between capital

    structure and market structure. Chevalier (1993), and

    Phillips (1995) investigated the empirical relation

    between capital structure and market structure for

    US Companies. Rathinasamy, Krishnaswamy and

    Mantripragada (2000) conducted similar study in the

    international context using data from 47 countries.

    Predicted cubic relationship between capital structure

    and market power and tested it for Malaysia.

    Present study is an attempt to nd out the relevance of

    capital structure and product market power interaction

    evidences in the Indian context. This paper tried to

    answer few important questions: Do Firms in the

    same industry have same capital structures? Is this

    the case that more leverage would lead to aggressive

    production and create Market power to the rm?

    Do highly leveraged rms tend to indulge in more

    research and development activities? Empirical

    studies are conducted to nd the relation between

    variables like Protability, R&D and sales expenses

    with Debt- Equity ratio in case of Indian Automobile

    Industry. Auto mobile industry is chosen because of

    its oligopoly nature and easy availability of product

    prices. Some of the results are very different from the

    similar studies conducted in the developed economies.

    It is found out that Firms in the same industry can

    have different capital structures and there is negative

    correlation between the Protability and Debt-Equity

    ratio of the companies. Interestingly no correlation is

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    found in R&D expense with Debt-Equity ratio of the

    company.

    Theoretical FrameworkFirms raise investment funds in a number of ways.

    They can borrow from banks and other nancial

    institutions or they can issue various kinds of debt,

    preferred stock, warrants, and common equity. A rms

    mix of these different sources of capital is referred

    to as its capital structure. Capital structure could be

    dened in different ways. In the US, it is common to

    dene capital structure in terms of long term debt ratio.

    In a number of countries, particularly the emerging

    markets, companies employ both short term and long

    term debt for nancing their assets, including current

    assets. For testing the validity of empirical evidencesfound in the developed economies in Indian context

    we have dened our dependent variable - capital

    structure as long term Debt to Equity ratio.

    Market structure implies a rms monopoly, or

    oligopoly or competitive power. We have taken up

    the case of Indian automobile industry which is

    characterised as an oligopoly market. Firms in the

    oligopoly market can benet from debt if higher debt

    to equity ratios allows them to commit to an aggressive

    output policy that they otherwise would not be able

    to carry out. (Brander and Lewis, 1986). A rm may

    wish to send a message to its competitors that it plansto increase its production. If the competitors ignore

    this message, the added production is likely to reduce

    the product prices and thus reduce prot for both the

    rms and its competitors. However if this message is

    credible, the competitors may accommodate the rm

    by reducing its output instead of engaging in price war.

    In this case, the aggressive policy does increase the

    rms prots. When aggregate industry demand for a

    product is highly uncertain, higher output generally

    increases risk because it leads to higher prots when

    product demand turns out to be high, but lower prots

    when demand turns out to be low. Hence, since higherleverage increases rms appetite for risk, the greater

    a rms leverage, the greater its incentive to produce

    at high level of output. So there should be positive

    relation between rms capital structure and market

    power.

    Another important nding in capital structure and

    market power interaction is the negative relation

    between operating prot and leverage. The relation

    reects pecking order of nancing behavior. When

    rms generate substantial amounts of cash from their

    operations, they tend to pay down debt before payingout dividends and repurchasing shares. When rms

    generate insufcient cash to cover investment needs,

    they tend to borrow rather than issue stock to cover

    the shortfall.

    There exists negative relationship between Selling

    and Research & Development expenses and capital

    structure. Firms with large selling and R&D expenses

    may have little taxable earnings and hence, may only

    be able to utilize rarely, if at all, debt tax shields. In

    addition, rms with high R&D and selling expenses

    are likely to be growth rms that produce specialized

    products. To the extent that these are indeed growthrms, these rms are not likely to have access to

    sizable amounts of debt nancing because of the debt

    holder- equity holder conicts.

    Literature Review

    The modern theory of capital structure began with

    the celebrated paper of Modigliani and Miller (1958).

    Their paper paved way for the development of

    alternative theories by showing under what conditions

    capital structure is irrelevant. Harris and Raviv (1991)

    have identied ve categories of determinants of

    capital structure. Based on the determinants these aresome of the theories.

    (i) Agency cost theory

    (ii) Asymmetric information theory

    (iii) The Theoretical Tax Incentive.

    (iv) Corporate control considerations theory

    (v) Product/input market interactions theory

    A signicant fraction of the effort of researchers has

    been devoted to models in which capital structure is

    determined by agency costs, i.e., costs due to conictsof interest. Research in this area was initiated by

    Jensen and Meckling (1976) building on earlier work

    of Fama and Miller (1972). Agency models have been

    among the most successful in generating interesting

    implications. In particular, these models predict that

    leverage is positively associated with rm value,

    default probability, extent of regulation, free cash

    ow, liquidation value, extent to which the rm is

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    a takeover target, and the importance of managerial

    reputation. Also, leverage is expected to be negatively

    associated with the extent of growth opportunities,

    interest coverage, the cost of investigating rm prospects, and the probability of reorganization

    following default. Finally, the result that rm value

    and leverage are positively related follows from the

    fact that these two endogenous variables move in the

    same direction with changes in the exogenous factors.

    Therefore, leverage increasing (decreasing) changes

    in capital structure caused by a change in one of these

    exogenous factors will be accompanied by stock price

    increases (decreases).

    The introduction into economics of the explicit

    modeling of private information has made possible a

    number of approaches to explaining capital structure.In these theories, rm managers or insiders are

    assumed to possess private information about the

    characteristics of the rms return stream or investment

    opportunities. This stream of research began with the

    work of Ross (1977) and Leland and Pyle (1977).

    In another, capital structure is designed to mitigate

    inefciencies in the rms investment decisions that

    are caused by the information asymmetry. This branch

    of the literature starts with Myers and Majluf (1984)

    and Myers (1984). Myers and Majluf (1984) imply that

    leverage increases with the extent of the informational

    asymmetry. Ross (1977), Leland and Pyle (1977),

    Blazenko (1987), John (1987), Poitevin (1989), all

    derive a positive correlation between leverage and

    value in a cross section of otherwise similar rms. Ross

    (1977) also predicts a positive correlation between

    leverage or value and bankruptcy probability, while

    Leland and Pyle (1977) predict a positive correlation

    between value and equity ownership of insiders.

    Following the growing importance of takeover

    activities in the 1980s, the nance literature began to

    examine the linkage between the market for corporate

    control and capital structure. These papers exploit

    the fact that common stock carries voting rightswhile debt does not. Harris and Raviv (1988) and

    Stulz (1988), capital structure affects the outcome of

    takeover contests through its effect on the distribution

    of votes, especially the fraction owned by the manager.

    Harris and Raviv (1988) also show that targets of

    unsuccessful tender offers will have more debt on

    average than targets of proxy ghts. They also show

    that among rms involved in proxy ghts, leverage

    is lower on average when the incumbent remains in

    control.

    In theoretical tax incentive, hypothesis is that an

    increase in tax rate will increase value of rm tax-shield. The rm reduces income by deducting

    paid interest on debt and thereby reducing their tax

    liabilities. An increase in tax rates should hence

    increase leverage.

    Capital structure models based on product/input market

    interactions are in their infancy. These theories have

    explored the relationship between capital structure

    and either product market strategy or characteristics

    of products/inputs. The strategic variables considered

    are product price and quantity. These strategies are

    determined to affect the behavior of rivals, and capital

    structure in turn affects the equilibrium strategies

    and payoffs. Models involving product or input

    characteristics have focused on the effect of capital

    structure on the future availability of products, parts

    and service, product quality, and the bargaining game

    between management and input suppliers.

    The models show that oligopolists will tend to have

    more debt than monopolists or rms in competitive

    industries (Brander and Lewis, 1986), and that the debt

    will tend to be long term (Glazer, 1989). If, however,

    tacit collusion is important, debt is limited, and debt

    capacity increases with the elasticity of demand

    (Maksimovic, 1988). Firms that produce products that

    are unique or require service and/or parts and rms for

    which a reputation for producing high quality products

    is important may be expected to have less debt; other

    things equal (Titman, 1984). Phillips (1995) provides

    surveys of the theoretical and empirical relationship

    between capital structure and market structure.

    Chevalier (1993), and Phillips (1995) investigated

    the empirical relation between capital structure and

    market structure for US Companies. Rathinasamy,

    Krishnaswamy and Mantripragada (2000) conducted

    similar study in the international context using data

    from 47 countries. Pandey (2001) predicted cubicrelationship between capital structure and market

    power and tested it for Malaysia.

    Research Methodology

    The data for Indian automobile companies for last six

    years have been collected from CMIE Prowess. Capital

    structure data for NIFTY fty companies is collected

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    from national stock exchange website. Hypotheses

    were formulated and statistically tested using various

    statistical tools. The tools used in this study are

    ANOVA single factor, t-test and correlation. We havetested relationship of capital structure with various

    determinants like product market power, research

    and development expenditures, Selling expenses and

    protability. We have dened our dependent variable

    of capital structure as long term debt to equity ratio.

    Product market power is dened as average change

    in product prices divided by net investment. Product

    prices are calculated by dividing annual sales by

    number of units being sold. For measuring relationship

    between R&D expenditure and capital structure we

    have calculated R&D expenses to Sales Ratio. For

    measuring relationship between selling expenses and

    capital structure we have calculated Sales expenses to

    Sales Ratio.

    Results and Discussions

    Based on theoretical framework we have formulated

    the following hypotheses for purpose of empirical

    testing:

    Hypothesis I: Firms in the same Industry tend to

    choose similar capital structure.

    Null Hypothesis H0: There is no signicant difference

    in capital structure within Indian automobile industryrms.

    Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is signicant

    difference in capital structure within Indian automobile

    industry rms.

    Hypothesis II: Firms in different industries would

    choose different capital structures.

    Null Hypothesis H0: There is no signicant difference

    in capital structure for Nifty Fifty rms and Indian

    automobile rms.

    Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is signicantdifference in capital structure for Nifty Fifty rms and

    Indian automobile rms.

    Hypothesis III: There is a negative correlation

    between proftability and capital structure.

    Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation between

    protability and capital structure for Indian automobile

    rms.

    Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a negative

    correlation between protability and capital structure

    for Indian automobile rms.

    Hypothesis IV: There is a negative correlation

    between selling expenses and capital structure.

    Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation between

    Selling Expense and capital structure for Indian

    automobile rms.

    Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a negative

    correlation between Selling Expense and capital

    structure for Indian automobile rms.

    Hypothesis V: There is positive correlationbetween R&D expenses and capital structure.

    Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation between

    R&D expenses and capital structure for Indian

    automobile rms.

    Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a positive

    correlation between R&D Expense and capital

    structure for Indian automobile rms.

    Hypothesis VI: There is a positive correlation

    between Market power and capital structure.

    Null Hypothesis H0: There is no correlation betweenMarket Power and capital structure for Indian

    automobile rms.

    Alternative Hypothesis H1: There is a positive

    correlation between Market Power and capital

    structure for Indian automobile rms.

    Hypotheses Testing

    To test rst hypothesis which is Firms in the same

    Industry tend to choose similar capital structure, we

    have calculated debt equity ratios for various rms

    in Indian automobile industry. Our null hypothesis in

    this case therefore is there is no signicant difference

    in capital structure within the Indian automobile

    industry rms. Table 1 - a shows the data for debt-

    equity ratio for various rms in Indian automobile

    industry. Firms with Zero or near zero debt are not

    included. Table 1 - b shows the statistics of ANOVA

    test conducted for debt equity ratios of various rms

    in the automobile industry. The P-value (Table 1 - b)

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    being less than 0.05 our null hypothesis cannot be

    accepted. Therefore rms in the same industry need

    not have similar capital structure. The result is against

    what has been proved in earlier research conducted

    in developed economies. The difference in the result

    can be attributed to the difference in the structure of

    players in both the countries. In India most of the rmsare either joint venture between domestic and foreign

    players or foreign subsidiary. Most of the funding in

    these companies is through equity from the holding

    companies. Players like Maruti Suzuki, General

    Motors and HSCI have Zero tolerance to Debt.

    To test our second hypothesis which is, rms in the

    different industries would choose different capital

    structures, we have compared average debt equity

    ratio of Indian automobile industry with average

    debt-equity ratio for Nifty 50 companies. Our

    null hypothesis in this case therefore is, there is no

    signicant difference among the capital structure ofrms from different industries. Table 2 - a shows the

    comparative data for average debt-equity ratio for

    Nifty fty companies and rms of Indian automobile

    industry. Table 2 - b shows the summary statistics of

    T-test for debt equity ratio of Indian automobile

    rms with Nifty fty companies. The P-value for two

    tails is 0.088253142 which is less than 0.05 therefore

    rejecting our null hypothesis and proving alternative

    hypothesis which is Firms in different industries

    would choose different capital structures. The result is

    as expected and in line with the other research done in

    developed market.

    Table 3 shows the Average Debt-Equity Ratio, Average

    Protability to Sales Ratio, Average Selling Expense

    to Sales Ratio, Average R&D Expense to Sales

    Ratio, and Market Power Ratio for Indian Automobile

    Firms.

    To test our third hypothesis, which is, there is

    negative correlation between protability and capital

    structure, we have formulated null hypothesis, there

    is no correlation between protability and capital

    structure for rms in Indian automobile industry and

    our alternative hypothesis is that there is negative

    correlation between protability and capital structure.

    To measure protability we have calculated PBIT to

    total assets ratio for Indian automobile industry rms

    for last six years (Table 3). Table 4 shows the summary

    statistics of correlation coefcient between capital

    structure and protability. Since test statistic (-2.6764)

    falls out of acceptance level (critical statistics -2.015),

    null hypothesis is rejected and alternative hypothesis

    is proved to be true. We found that there exists a

    negative correlation between protability and capital

    structure.

    Table 1(a): Debt-Equity Ratios for Various Firms under Indian Automobile Industry

    Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Ford 1.7671 1.588 1.979 2.265 1.174 0.83 HM 1.824 3.609 0.981 1.451 1.318 0.775

    Hyundai 0.5409 0.519 0.254 0.273 0.254 0.431

    M&M 0.63 0.227 0.441 0.239 0.433 0.471

    Mahindra Renault 0 0.438 1.109

    Tata Motors 0.457 0.322 0.594 0.414 0.312 0.506

    Table 1(b): ANOVA Statistics for Debt Equity Ratios of Various Firms in the Automobile Industry

    Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F Crit.

    Between Groups 11.1931 5 2.23861 8.05061 9.42E-05 2.57189

    Within Groups 7.50782 27 0.27807

    Total 18.7009 32

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    To test our fourth hypothesis, which is there is anegative correlation between selling expenses and

    capital structure; we have calculated total selling

    expense to total sales ratio. Total selling expense

    is the summation Selling expenses, advertisement

    expenses and distribution expenses. (Table 3). Table 5

    shows the summary statistics of correlation coefcient

    between the two variables. Our null hypothesis in this

    case is that there exist no correlation between selling

    expenses and capital structure. Since the test statistic(2.191430043) falls outside the acceptance region

    the null hypothesis cannot be true. Ironically in this

    case instead of negative correlation one can observe

    positive correlation. The reasons for this particular

    behavior can be attributed to the reason that all the

    products are well tested in various other markets to

    be termed special products so they could raise Debt

    easily.

    Table 2(a): Average Debt-Equity Ratio for Nifty Fifty Companies and Firms of Indian Automobile Industry

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Market D-E Ratio 0.74418 0.70846 0.68864 0.7134 0.81218 0.59184Automobile Ind D-E Ratio 0.73101 0.8029 0.57699 0.39339 0.38448 0.41724

    Table 2(b): Summary Statistics of T-test for Debt- Equity Ratio of Indian Automobile Firms with Nifty

    Fifty Companies

    Variable 1 Variable 2

    Mean 0.70978 0.551

    Variance 0.00521 0.0334

    Observations 6 6

    Hypothesized Mean Difference 0

    df 7

    t Stat 1.97945

    P(T

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    To test our fth hypothesis which is, there is negative

    correlation between R&D expenses and capital

    structure, we have calculated R&D expense to sales

    ratio for rms under study. (Table 3). Table 6 shows the

    summary statistics of correlation coefcient between

    R&D expense to sales ratio and capital structure for

    the Indian automobile rms. Since our test statistics

    (-0.226) falls under critical statistics at 5% signicance

    level, our null hypothesis is accepted. From the result

    it can be inferred that there is no correlation between

    R&D expenses and leverage. The reasons for this

    particular behavior can be attributed to the technologytransfer from the foreign holding companies to Indian

    Companies. Except Tata Motors and Mahindra &

    Mahindra, and to some extent Hindustan Motors, no

    other company has considerable R& D expenses as

    percentage of sales.

    To test our last hypothesis which is, there is positive

    correlation between Market power and Capital

    Structure, we have calculated market power by the

    formula (average change in price/ net investment/1000).

    (Table 3). Table 7 shows the summary statistics of

    correlation between the two variables. Since our Test

    statistic (0.682) falls under critical statistics (2.353),

    our null hypothesis is not rejected. Thus we found

    no correlation between market power and capital for

    Indian automobile rms.

    Table 4: Summary Correlation between Proftability and Capital Structure.

    Average PBIT/Total assets

    of Auto Industry

    Average D-E ratio of Auto

    IndustryAverage PBIT/Total assets of Auto Industry 1

    Average D-E ratio of Auto Industry -0.66600459 1

    Table 5: Summary Correlation Table between Selling Expenses and Capital Structure

    Average of selling exp/sales Debt-Equity Ratio

    Average of selling exp/sales 1

    Debt-Equity Ratio 0.73863 1

    Table 6: Summary Correlation between R&D expenses and capital structure

    Average D-E ratio of

    Auto Industry

    Average R&D to sales

    Ratio of Auto Industry

    Average D-E ratio of Auto Industry 1

    Average R&D to sales Ratio of Auto Industry -0.1118 1

    Table 7: Summary Correlation between Market Power and Capital Structure

    Average change in price/

    capital work in progress

    Average debt-equity

    ratio

    Average change in price/ capital work in progress 1

    Average debt-equity ratio -0.490841159 1

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    Conclusion

    Capital structures of companies in different industries

    can be different; the reasons behind this difference can

    be attributed to the difference of norms in between

    the industries, difference in the products, operational

    cycles in the industry and policies of the company.

    Firms in the Indian automobile industry have adopted

    different capital structures and there is negative

    correlation between the Protability and capital

    structure of the companies. Some of the results

    are very different from the similar studies in the

    Developed economies. Interestingly no correlation is

    found in R&D expense with Debt-Equity ratio of the

    company. Reasons for this behavior can be attributed

    to structure of Indian automobile industry, where most

    of the companies in the Industry are Indian subsidiaries

    of foreign companies and these companies are not

    investing sufcient funds in R&D activities. They

    normally rely on their foreign holding companies

    for technology transfers. This result is also being

    conrmed by the fact that Indian companies without

    any signicant foreign collaboration (Tata Motors and

    Mahindra & Mahindra) show signicant investment

    in R&D activity and there seems to be a positive

    correlation between their R&D expenses and Capital

    Structure. Also percentage marketing expenses as

    sales of Automobiles companies in India is less than

    their counterparts in Developed economies. We foundno correlation between market power and capital

    structure for the rms in Indian automobile industry.

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