Cape Vincent, NY~ Zogby Survey

8/6/2019 Cape Vincent, NY~ Zogby Survey

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I BOPEZOGBYinternational

Date: May 25, 2011

To: Urban Hirschey

[email protected]

From: Cheryl Korn

cheryl. [email protected]

RE : Results from Community Vision poll

Methodology

IBOPEZogby International was commissioned by the Town of Cape Vincent to conduct

a telephone survey of seasonal and year round residents. The survey was conducted from

5/9/11 through 5/12/11.

The target sample is 300 interviews with approximately 32 questions asked. Samples

are randomly drawn from listed telephone directories of CapeVincent NYalong with a client

supplied list of homeowners in CapeVincent. IBOPEZogby International surveys employ

sampling strategies in which selection probabilities are proportional to population size within

area codes and exchanges. Up to six calls are made to reach a sampled phone number.

Cooperation rates are calculated using one of AAPOR'sapproved methodoloqles! and are

comparable to other professional public-opinion surveys conducted using similar sampling

strateqies.? Weights are applied to ownership type, age and gender to better reflect the

population. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in

sub-groups. The MOEcalculation is for sampling error only.

SAMPLING

The majority of telephone lists for polls and surveys are produced in the IT department

at IBOPEZogby International. Vendor-supplied lists are used for regions with complicated

speclflcatlons, e.g., some Congressional Districts. Customer-supplied lists are used for special

projects like customer satisfaction surveys and organization membership surveys.

ISee COOP4 (p.36) in Standard Definitions: Final Dispositions of Case Codes and Outcome Rates a/Surveys. The

American Association for Public Opinion Research, (revised 2008).

2 Cooperation Tracking Study: April 2003 Update, Jane M. Sheppard and Shelly Haas. The Council for Marketing &Opinion Research (CMOR). Cincinnati, Ohio (2003).

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IBOPEZOGBYinternat ional

Telephone lists generated in our IT department are called from a nationally published

set of phone CDs of listed households, ordered by telephone number. Residential (or

business) addresses are selected and then coded by region, where applicable. An appropriate

replicate! is generated from this parent list, applying the replicate algorithm repeatedly with avery large parent list, e.g., all of the U.S.

Acquired lists are tested for duplicates, coded for region, tested for regional coverage,

and ordered by telephone, as needed.

The resulting list is loaded into the CAT! application and the randomize function within

the CAT! software is run to further assure a good mix for the telephone list.

For this particular project, the client provided IBOPEZogby International with about

1,200 property owners. IBOPEZogby International searched for telephone numbers and were

able to procure numbers for about 25% of them. Telephone numbers for all listed telephones

as well as all voter records for CapeVincent were also used.

The phone list generated had 290 property owners with addresses outside of Cape

Vincent, along with about 2,000 phone numbers for Cape Vincent year round.

INTERVIEWING

Interviews are conducted at IBOPEZogby International by professional interviewers

trained on our computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CAT!) computer system. A policy

requiring one supervisor to no more than twelve interviewers is used. The sample

management module of the CATI system gives all prospective respondent households in the

source telephone list the same chance of joining the sample. Regional quotas are employed

to ensure adequate coverage nationwide.

WEIGHTING

Reported frequencies and crosstabs are weighted using the appropriate demographic

profile to provide a sample that best represents the targeted population from which the

sample is drawn. The proportions comprising the demographic profile are compiled from

historical exit poll data, census data, and from IBOPEZogby International survey data.

SAMPLING ERROR

Sampling Error, often referred to as the Margin of Error, is the percentage that survey

results are likely to differ from the actual due to the size of the sample drawn. If a survey

were conducted of all the members of a population, the sampling error would be zero. There

are other sources of possible error in survey research such as sample design error and

measurement error.

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IBOPEZOGBYinta rn atton al

Narrative Summary

1. Do you consider yourself a seasonal or year round resident of Cape Vincent, New York?

Seasonal

Year round

63%

38%

Three out of five (63%) of survey respondents consider themselves seasonal residents

of Cape Vincent, NewYork, while two out of five (38%) consider themselves year round.

2. Generally speaking do you think things in the Cape Vincent area are going in the right

direction, or are they off on the wrong track?

Wrong track 40%

Right direction 38

Not sure 22

Two out of five (40%) think things in the Cape Vincent area are off on the wrong track,

while another two out of five (38%) think things are going in the right direction. More than a

fifth (22%) is not sure.

3. Overall, would you say you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat

unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Cape Vincent?

Very favorable 48% Favorable 82%

Somewhat favorable 34

Somewhat unfavorable 13 Unfavorable 17Very unfavorable 3

Not sure 1

Four out of five (82%) have a favorable overall opinion of CapeVincent, while about a

fifth (17%) have an unfavorable opinion of it.

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IBOPEZOGBYinternational

4-5. Please tell me how you would rate the tollowinq=Exceltent; Good, Fair, or Poor.

The performanceorthe economy

In CapeVincent*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.

**Differences in totals reflect rounding.

66

Four out of five (79%) give a positive rating to the quality of life in CapeVincent, while

a fifth (19%) gives a negative rating to it.

Two out of three (66%) give a negative rating to the performance of the economy in

CapeVincent, one in four (23%) gives it a positive rating.

6. In your opinion, what are the three most important issues facing Cape Vincent? (Do not

read. Choose up to THREE)

Industrial wind turbine projects 59%

Economic growth and job creation 48

The potential closing of CapeVincent Elementary School 37

Taxes 17

The environment/public green spaces/parks 7Skilled workforce 4

Healthcare 4

Other= 31

Not sure 12

*Other responses: (Number in parenthesis denotes frequency of response) Elected

officials/government ethics (23); Tourism/more attractions (15); Water issues/problems (9);

Education/saving school (7); Fishing/fishery (5); Acceptance of everyone-seasonal and year round (5);

Lack of growth/keep community growing (3); Conditions of the river/pollution in the lake (3); Unrest

and hostility of people because of wind turbines (3); Clean up needed/properties in village not attractive

(3); Sales of homes/lots of real estate available (3); The waterfront (2); Farming and agriculture leaving

the area (2); Put sewers in instead of septic tanks (2)

One each: Infrastructure; Attract more business/economic development to area; Lack of water to

Tibbetts Point; Population decline; Bickering about school and turbines; Loss of revenue from tourists

not coming because of windmills; Wind turbines, in general; Services for senior citizens; Upcoming

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I BOPEZOGBYinternational

elections; No work-no income-nothing for children to do; Codes enforcement; Water and extending

property; Gas prices for boaters; The lighthouse; Access to the dump

Cannot think of any other issues (2)

Three out of five (59%) name the industrial wind turbine projects as one of the three

most important issues facing CapeVincent, while half (48%) cite economic growth and job

creation. About two-fifths (37%) say the potential closing of CapeVincent Elementary School

is one of the three most important issues Cape Vincent faces, and about a third (31%) name

some other issue as one of the three most important.

7. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the

Industrial Wind Turbine projects being proposed for the Cape Vincent area?

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Somewhat oppose

Strongly opposeNot sure

27%

20

8

33

12

Support 470/0

Oppose 41

Opinions about the Industrial Wind Turbine projects being proposed for the Cape

Vincent area appear to be mixed, with nearly half (47%) of the residents surveyed saying

they support such a project, and two-fifths (41%) saying they oppose it. Twelve percent is

not sure.

8. (Asked of those who support the Industrial Wind Turbine projects.) Why do you

support the wind power project being proposed for the Cape Vincent area?

(Number in parenthesis denotes frequency of response)

Alternative energy source (25)

Good for the economy (25)

Brings in money/revenue (9)

Good for the environment (8)

Could reduce taxes (7)

Renewable source of energy/saves energy (7)

Everyone will benefit from it (6)

Good for the economy and the environment (6)

Might bring down electricity costs (5)

Good for the people (3)

If it makes money, I support (3)

Farms in area need money/work (3)

Put in proper places (3)Makes no difference to me (2)

There is nothing else in Cape Vincent (2)

19%

19

7

6

5

5

4

4

4

2

2

2

21

1

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IBOPEZOGBYinternationaL

Will affect the beauty of the St. Lawrenceand wildlife (2) 1

Too large of a project (2) 1

Opposebecauseof no zoning (2) 1

Personally oppose them-but it will be good for the economy (1) 1

I believe in atomic power (1) 1

Do not believe wind turbines should be in tourist areas (1) 1

The way the issue is being handled (1) 1

Unwisechoice of wind company (1) 1

Will have a negative impact on economy (1) 1

Will ruin the beauty of CapeVincent and benefit no one (1) 1

Not efficient and intrusive-no consideration from Board (1) 1

Oppose-but has no issue as long is a good distance from scenic areas (1) 1

Not sure what problems it will pose for environment (1) 1

Will make people leave/move away from area (1) 1

Destruction of total plan of town (1) 1

Do not believe they are necessary (1) 1

Oppose-but will give people in area a break in power (1) 1

Oil companies being unfair-turbines not what they are telling us (1) 1

Taxpayers involved (1) 1

Partly environment and partly we are not going to benefit (1) 1

Are other more important issues-such as keeping the school open (1) 1

Not sure (2) 1*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.

Eleven percent say they oppose the wind power project because they see it as an

eyesore within CapeVincent, while ten percent each say it will only benefit a few or they think

it came about in an unethical way.

10. Do you think that wind turbines located near the River will increase or decrease tourism,or will it have no effect at all?

Decrease 47%

No effect at all 43

Increase 6

Not sure 4

About half (47%) think that wind turbines located near the River will decrease tourism,

while more than two-fifths (43%) think they will have no effect at all on it. Six percent think

that wind turbines located near the Riverwill increase tourism.

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IBOPEZOGBYinternatiu n a t

11. Do you think that wind turbines located near the River will increase or decrease land

values, or will it have no effect at all?

Decrease 57%

No effect at all 28

Increase 7

Not sure 8

Three out of five (57%) think that wind turbines located near the River will decrease

land values, three in ten (28%) think they will have no effect at all. Seven percent think that

wind turbines located near the River will increase land value.

12. Should the Town Board impose a moratorium on wind turbines to allow for time to amend

the zoning law to address industrial and private wind turbines?

Yes 59%

No 26

Not sure 15

Three out of five (59%) say the Town Board should impose a moratorium on wind

turbines to allow for time to amend the zoning law to address industrial and private wind

turbines, while one in four (26%) say it should not.

13. How would you rate the job the Town Board has done in assessing the pros and cons of

industrial wind turbines-excellent, good, fair, or poor?

Excellent 3% Positive 220/0

Good 19

Fair 24 Negative 57

Poor 34

Not sure 21

Three out of five (57%) give a negative rating to the job the Town Board has done in

assessing the pros and cons of industrial wind turbines, while a fifth (22%) gives a positive

rating to it.

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I BOPEZOGBYinternat ional

14-16. Now, please tell me if you think the following is very important, somewhat important,

not very important or not at all important in Cape Vincent.

*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.

Nearly all think tourism (99%), economic development (97%), and the waterfront and

recreation (97%) is important in CapeVincent.

17. Do you agree or disagree that the waterfront is an important economic draw for Cape

Vincent?

Agree 97%

Disagree 2

Not sure 1

Nearly all (97%) agree that the waterfront is an important economic draw for Cape

Vincent.

18. Wouldyou support or oppose the growth and development of Cape Vincent's waterfront?

Support 86%

Oppose 8

Not sure 6

Nine in ten (86%) support the growth and development of CapeVincent's waterfront,

while 8% oppose such an action.

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IBOPEZOGBYiots rn ratio n al

19. Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very

unfavorable opinion of the French Festival?

Very favorable

Somewhat favorable

Somewhat unfavorable

Very unfavorable

Not familiar

Not sure

67%

24

4

1

3

3

Favorable 91%

Unfavorable 4**

**Differences in totals reflect rounding.

Nine in ten (91%) have a favorable opinion of the French Festival; with the large

majority (67%) saying they have a very favorable opinion of it. Four percent have an

unfavorable opinion of the French Festival.

20. Would you consider being a volunteer for the French Festival this July?

Yes

No

Not sure

32*%

63

4*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.

Three out of five (63%) would not consider being a volunteer for the French Festival

this July, while a third (32%) would consider it.

21. (Asked of those who are not considering being a volunteer.) Which of the following

make you more likely to consider volunteering for the French Festival? (Choose all that

apply)

Having more information about how to volunteer and what is involved 22%

Knowing I could volunteer my time before the actual event 10

Receiving an incentive for volunteering, such as free tickets to festival events 4

Having the event scheduled on a different weekend 2other= 31

I have no interest in the French Festival 40

Not sure 6

*Other responses: Not interested-poor health/disabled(13); Not interested-too busythesedays(11); Not interested-age/too old (9); Not interested-will beawayfrom CapeVincent (5); Not

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I BOPEZOGBYlnternatlu nal

interested-not in CapeVincent longenough/onlythere onweekends(4); Not interested-no longer

wish to volunteer (2); Noneof the above (2); Mustoffer morefor children (2)

One each: Not interested-husband is deployed; Not sureof schedule/plansduring that time; IfIcouldvolunteer for just one day; Wouldvolunteer, if they neededhelp badly; Softball tournament and parade

are great attractions; Donating 1.5 million walleyeto DECfrom the FrenchFestival

Two out of five (40%) say they are not considering being a volunteer for the French

Festival because they have no interest in it, while 22% say having more information about

how to volunteer and what is involved would make them more likely to consider volunteering.

22. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the

proposed closure of the Cape Vincent Elementary School if it saved money, but meant that

students who attended Cape Vincent Elementary would have to be bused to Clayton

Elementary School?

Strongly support 9% Support 220/0

Somewhat support 13

Somewhat oppose 14 Oppose 63

Strongly oppose 49

Not sure 15

Three out of five (63%) oppose the proposed closure of the Cape Vincent Elementary

School if it saved money, but meant that students who attended Cape Vincent Elementary

would have to be bused to Clayton Elementary School. A fifth (22%) supports such an action.

23. (Asked of those who oppose the school closing.) Which of the fol/owing statements

best describes your opinion about how the Cape Vincent Elementary School can be saved

from closure? (Choose only ONE)

Statement A: I would support a local tax increase to keep the school open.

Statement B: I would support attracting more families with children to the Cape

Vincent area to keep the school open.

Statement B 67%

Statement A 15

Neither 15

Not sure 3

Two out of three (67%) report Statement B, "I would support attracting more families

with children to the Cape Vincent area to keep the school open," best describes their opinion

about how the Cape Vincent Elementary School can be saved from closure, while 15% say

Statement A, "I would support a local tax increase to keep the school open" best describestheir opinion. Fifteen percent say neither statement best describes their opinion.

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Cape Vincent, NY~ Zogby Survey

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