Cap Metro Report wo appendix
Transcript of Cap Metro Report wo appendix
2011
Matt Sandidge and John Overman
Texas Transportation Institute
11/30/2011
CapitalMetroCNGImplementationStudy
2
TableofContentsListofFigures.............................................................................................................................................................4
ListofTables...............................................................................................................................................................5
KeyFindings...............................................................................................................................................................6
1. Introduction......................................................................................................................................................9
PurposeoftheStudy..........................................................................................................................................9
OrganizationofReport...................................................................................................................................10
2. CNGStateofthePractice..........................................................................................................................11
MethodologyforLiteratureReviewandPeerStudy.........................................................................11
LiteratureReview........................................................................................................................................12
PeerAgencySelectionandDataCollection......................................................................................12
PurposeofUsingCNG.....................................................................................................................................15
HistoricalContext........................................................................................................................................15
FuelCost..........................................................................................................................................................15
PeerAgencyObjectives.............................................................................................................................17
CNGImplementation.......................................................................................................................................18
CNGFuelingStation....................................................................................................................................18
GasDetection.................................................................................................................................................23
ElectricalSystemImprovements..........................................................................................................23
HeatingVentilationandAirConditioningImprovements.........................................................23
FacilityUpgradeCosts...............................................................................................................................23
ContractversusOwnandOperate.......................................................................................................24
PeerTransitAgencyExperience...........................................................................................................26
CNGServicePlanning......................................................................................................................................27
CapitalMetroServicePlanning..................................................................................................................28
Short‐RangeServicePlanning................................................................................................................28
Long‐RangeTransitPlanning.................................................................................................................30
CNGIncentivesandTaxCredits.................................................................................................................31
FederalIncentivesandTaxCredits.....................................................................................................31
StateIncentivesandTaxCredits...........................................................................................................32
EmissionsConsiderations.............................................................................................................................33
HistoricalImplicationsofUsingCNGinTransitFleets...............................................................33
Modern‐DayImplicationsofUsingCNGinTransitFleets.........................................................33
BusFleetMaintenance,Safety,andTraining........................................................................................35
3
CNGSafetyConsiderations......................................................................................................................35
MaintenanceConsiderations..................................................................................................................35
MaintenanceTrainingConsiderations...............................................................................................35
KeyFindings.......................................................................................................................................................36
ObjectivesforUsingCNG..........................................................................................................................36
CNGImplementation..................................................................................................................................36
ServicePlanning...........................................................................................................................................36
TaxCredits......................................................................................................................................................37
Emissions........................................................................................................................................................37
Maintenance...................................................................................................................................................37
3. CapitalMetroLife‐CycleCostAnalysis...............................................................................................39
AbouttheLCCModel.......................................................................................................................................39
LCCMethodology..............................................................................................................................................39
Scenarios.........................................................................................................................................................39
ModelInputs..................................................................................................................................................39
ModelOutputs...............................................................................................................................................43
LCCwithCredits...........................................................................................................................................49
KeyFindings.......................................................................................................................................................50
4. FinancialRisksAssociatedwithImplementingCNG....................................................................51
Fuel‐SelectionRiskOverview......................................................................................................................51
CapitalCostExpendituresandCostRecovery.....................................................................................52
PaybackPeriodandRateofReturn.....................................................................................................52
CapitalMetroProcurementConsiderations....................................................................................55
LCCScenarioConsiderations.......................................................................................................................56
KeyFindings.......................................................................................................................................................57
References................................................................................................................................................................59
AppendixA:..............................................................................................................................................................60
Bus‐FleetInventoryandRehabilitationAnalysis....................................................................................60
4
ListofFiguresFigure2‐1FuelPrice:DieselversusCNG,September2005toJuly2011.....................................16 Figure2‐2GasDryeratRPTAinPhoenix,Arizona.................................................................................19 Figure2‐3CompressingStations...................................................................................................................19 Figure2‐4CNGBufferStorage.........................................................................................................................20 Figure2‐5CapitalMetroMaintenanceFacilities.....................................................................................30 Figure3‐1LCCScenarioComparison...........................................................................................................46 Figure3‐2LCCScenarioComparisonII.......................................................................................................47 Figure3‐3LCCperBus.......................................................................................................................................48 Figure3‐4LCCperMile......................................................................................................................................49 Figure4‐1LCCofPurchaseScenarios..........................................................................................................55 FigureA‐1Fixed‐RouteVehicleBreakdown.............................................................................................61 FigureA‐2Fixed‐RouteVehiclesbyFacility..............................................................................................62 FigureA‐3AverageAgeofFixed‐RouteBus..............................................................................................63 FigureA‐4AverageVehicleAgebyFacility...............................................................................................63 FigureA‐5AverageFixed‐RouteMileagebyType..................................................................................64 FigureA‐6AverageFixed‐RouteMileagebyFacility.............................................................................65 FigureA‐7AverageMileagebyModelYear...............................................................................................65 FigureA‐8AverageMilesperGallonbyBusType..................................................................................66
5
ListofTablesTable2‐1PeerTransitAgencies.....................................................................................................................13 Table2‐2PeerAgencyCNGPrices.................................................................................................................17 Table2‐3PeerAgencyImplementationObjectives...............................................................................17 Table2‐4Peer‐AgencyFuelingStation........................................................................................................22 Table2‐5PeerAgencyFacilityModifications...........................................................................................24 Table2‐6ContractversusOwnandOperateOptions...........................................................................25 Table2‐7PeerAgencyContractversusOwnandOperate.................................................................26 Table2‐8MaintenanceCostofFuelStation..............................................................................................26 Table2‐9ContractorsforFuelSupplyandStationMaintenance.....................................................27 Table2‐102010CNGEngineEPACertificationTest.............................................................................34 Table2‐11GHGEmissionfrom2006CNGandDieselBuses.............................................................34 Table2‐12PeerTrainingExperience...........................................................................................................36 Table3‐1LCCMScenariosandInputs..........................................................................................................40 Table3‐2LCCMOutputs.....................................................................................................................................44 Table3‐3Natural‐GasPricesperDGE.........................................................................................................45 Table3‐4LCCMwithCredits............................................................................................................................50 Table3‐5LCCTotals............................................................................................................................................50 Table4‐1PaybackPeriodwithandwithoutCredits.............................................................................53 Table4‐2LCCofPurchaseScenarios............................................................................................................54 Table4‐3CapitalMetroProcurementScenario.......................................................................................55 Table4‐440‐FootBusPurchaseScenarios(NoCredits).....................................................................56 Table4‐5LCCHigh‐ImpactVariables...........................................................................................................56 Table4‐6CNGBreakevenFuelPricewithDiesel....................................................................................57 Table4‐7DieselBreakevenFuelPricewithCNG....................................................................................57 Table4‐8CNGMaintenanceBreakevenPricewithDiesel..................................................................57
6
KeyFindingsThefollowingprovidesasummaryofkeyfindingsfromthestudyofthecompressednaturalgas(CNG)–fueledfleetattheCapitalMetropolitanTransitAuthority(CapitalMetro).TexasTransportationInstitute(TTI)researchersconductedaliteratureandpeerreviewtogaincurrentinformationontheuseofCNGintransitvehicles.Inaddition,TTIconductedalife‐cyclecostanalysiscomparingCNGtoothertransittechnologies.Thefollowinglistprovidesthekeyfindingsfromthereport.TransitAgencyObjectivesforUsingCNGVehicles
AgenciesbeganusingCNG‐fueledvehicleslargelytoreduceemissions.AllpeeragenciesstatedthatemissionreductionwasthedrivingforcebehindswitchingtoCNG.
Agenciessaidasecondaryobjectivewastobenefitfromahistoricallylower,morestablepricefornaturalgasthandiesel.
PeeragenciesdidnotchooseCNGtoloweroperatingcosts.TransitAgencyCNGImplementation
PeeragenciestypicallyhaveacontractforfuelandareabletonegotiatetheCNGpricebasedonusage.
PeeragenciesoperatingCNG‐fueledfleetshaveatleastonefuelingstationon‐site.Ofthesevenagencies,fivehaveatleasttwofuelingstationsorplansfortwo.
Twoagenciespurchaseliquefiednaturalgas(LNG)andconvertittoCNG,whiletheremainingpeeragenciespurchasenaturalgasandcompressitintoCNG.
Thecostofmaintenance‐facilitymodificationstoaccommodateCNGvehiclesisdrivenbythesizeandageofthefacility.
Agencieshavemultipleoptionsindevelopinganarrangementfornatural‐gassupplyandcompression.Theseinclude“ownandoperate,”“ownandpartiallyoperate,”“leaseandoperate,”“leaseandpartiallyoperate,”and“turnkey.”
o Threepeeragenciesuse“ownandoperate,”andfouragenciesuse“ownandpartiallyoperate.”
o “Ownandpartiallyoperate”providesstabilityinCNGfuelingoperationsbecausestationmaintenanceknowledgeisretainedthroughcontractwithathirdparty.
ServicePlanningConsiderations ModernCNGtransitvehicleshaveatotaloperatingrangesimilartothatofdiesel
vehicles—between350and450milesbetweenrefueling. CNGvehiclesareheavierduetothefueltanks.Inaddition,CNGvehicleshave
reducedlow‐speedtorqueascomparedtodieselvehicles.ThismakesCNGtransitvehiclesundesirableforregionswithsteepgrades.
CNGtechnologyiscompatiblewithCapitalMetro’sshort‐andlong‐rangeplans.
7
TaxCreditsandIncentives MultiplefederalandstategrantsandcreditsexistforimplementingaCNGbus
operation. ThemostsignificantincentiveforoperatingCNGtransitvehiclesisthe$0.54per
dieselgallonequivalent(DGE)federaltaxcredit.ThiscreditexpiresDecember31,2011;however,U.S.CongressH.R.1380proposestoextendthiscredit.
EmissionsConsiderations
The2010emissionstandardsonheavy‐dutydieselenginesmaketheemissionsbenefitsofoperatingCNGlessdramatic.
The2010CNGenginereportedlyhasa17percentreductioningreenhousegas(GHG)tailpipeemissionscomparedtothecleanestdieselengines.
MaintenanceConsiderations
The2010dieselengineshavehighermaintenancecoststhanpreviousdieselmodels.This,incombinationwithnewCNGenginetechnologyandreducedmaintenancecost,makesthemaintenancecostsofdieselandCNGenginescomparable.
Life‐CycleCost(LCC)Comparison TheCNGscenariohasalowerLCCthanthedieselandhybridscenarios.The
followinglistprovidesthetotalcostforeachLCCscenariowithoutcredits:o CNG40footbus—$135,440,657.o Diesel40footbus—$143,640,998.o Hybrid40footbus—$165,484,742.
FueleconomyandthepriceoffuelhavemajorimpactsontheoutputoftheLCCmodel.MinoradjustmentsmadetothesevariablesleadtosignificantchangesintheLCC.
Thecostofbuilding,maintaining,andoperatingaCNGfuelingfacilityissignificant;however,thepriceadvantageofnaturalgasoutweighstheinfrastructurecosts.
Fleetsizematters—infrastructurecostpervehicleisreducedforeachadditionalvehicle.
Withoutcreditsorincentives,thesavingsovera12‐yearvehiclelifeareabout$8.2million,oralmost$700,000peryear.
Withcreditsorincentives,savingsoverdieselareabout$21millionover12years,orabout$1.75millionperyear.
CNGFinancialRiskAssessment ThepriceofCNGperDGEwouldneedtoaverage$2.54fortheLCCsofCNGand
dieseltobreakeven.Thiswouldrepresentanincreaseofabout23percentinthecostofCNGperDGE.
Thepriceofdieselwouldneedtodropto$3.38fortheLCCsofCNGanddieseltobreakeven.Thisrepresentsadecreaseof14percentinthepriceofdiesel.
MaintenancecostsforCNGwouldneedtoincrease20percentto$0.90permilefortheCNGscenariotohavethesameLCCasthedieselscenario.
8
ToimplementaCNGfuelingoperation,theagencyneedsatleast11CNGvehiclestobreakevenwiththecostofoperatingdieselvehiclesovera12‐yearvehiclelife.
WhenusingtheCapitalMetrobuspurchasescenariosintheLCC,thepurchaseof302CNGvehiclesinsteadofdieselorhybridvehiclesleadstoabout$22millioninsavingsoverthecumulativeservicelivesofthevehicles(12yearsforeachvehicle).
9
1. Introduction
PurposeoftheStudyThepurposeofthestudywastoprovidetechnicalassistancetoCapitalMetropolitanTransitAuthority(CapitalMetro)inevaluatingandimplementingacompressednaturalgas(CNG)–fueledbusfleet.TheTexasTransportationInstitute(TTI)completedthestudyinconjunctionwithasimilarprojectsponsoredbytheMetropolitanTransitAuthorityofHarrisCounty(METRO)inHouston,Texas.Thisstudyinvolvedthreeprimarytasks:
Conductstate‐of‐the‐practicescan,review,andpeerresearch.Thepurposeofthistaskwastoconductastate‐of‐the‐practicereviewofCNGbus‐fleetandservicepracticesusingonlinepublishedresourcesandpersonalcontacts.ThedesktopscanandreviewidentifiedCNG‐fleet‐implementationexperiencesattransitagenciesanddocumentedtheindustrystatusofCNGuseinbusfleets.
Assessfacility,serviceplanning,operations,andmaintenanceconsiderationsforimplementingaCNGbusfleet.
Estimatethelife‐cyclecost(LCC)ofaCNGfleet.ThepurposeofthistaskwastoconductanLCCanalysisforaCNGbusfleet.TheLCCanalysisusesthespreadsheetmodelfromTransitCooperativeResearchProgram(TCRP)Report132:AssessmentofHybridBusTechnology(2009)forestimatinglife‐cyclecostsforbothhybridandCNGbuses.
AsaresultofchangingconditionsatCapitalMetroduringtheproject‐performanceperiod,CapitalMetroandTTImodifiedthescopeofservices.Originally,CapitalMetrorequestedanLCCanalysisofabusretrofitandrepower.However,duringtheproject,CapitalMetroinsteadrequestedanLCCanalysisforthepurchaseofnewbuses(seeChapter3ofthisreport),usingCNGascomparedtootherfueloptionssuchascleandiesel.Thisanalysiswasrequiredtoconfirmorrevisethechoiceoffuelforfuturebusfleets.CapitalMetroisrequiredtocomplywithSenateBill650,signedbyGovernorRickPerryonJune17,2011.Thelegislationrequirestheauthoritytooutsourceanytransitservicesthatarenotprovidedwhollybyemployeesoftheauthority.TheeffectivedateofthelegislationisSeptember1,2012.ThecurrentemployeesofStarTran,Inc.,anentityincorporatedasastatenonprofit,arenotdirectemployeesoftheauthority.ThemembersofStarTran,Inc.,havedeclinedtoacceptemploymentasdirectemployeesoftheauthority;therefore,CapitalMetrowilloutsourcealltransitservices.TherequiredchangeintheCapitalMetrolaborstructuremeansthataturnkeycontractforCNGfuelingisthepreferredalternativeifCNGisthepreferredfuelchoice.ArevisedfinancialplanprovidesthatCapitalMetromayhavetheresourcestoprocurenewbusesinsteadofaretrofitandrepoweroftheexistingfleet.Thesechangesinconditionsaffectedtheworkdescribedintheoriginalscopeofservices.Inconsiderationofnewexistingconditions,amodificationtothescopeofserviceswasmade.
10
AppendixAcontainstheresultsofacost/benefitanalysisofaretrofitandrepowerconductedpriortothemodificationoftheoriginalscopeofservices.ThisanalysiswasdiscontinuedbutcontainsmeaningfulfleetinformationandsupportsworkconductedfortheLCConnewbusprocurementpresentedinChapter3.
OrganizationofReportThereportisorganizedintothreechapters.Thechaptersareasfollows:
Chapter2,“CNGStateofthePractice,”providesinformationonCNGtransit‐vehicleoperationandimplementationbasedondatacollectedfromrelevantliteratureandtheexperienceofeightpeeragenciescurrentlyoperatingsizableCNGtransitfleets.
Chapter3,“CapitalMetroLife‐CycleCostComparison,”providesacostcomparisonofthe12‐yearlifecycleoftwofleetpurchasescenarios.ThescenariosincludeCNG,diesel,andhybridpurchasescenarios.
Chapter4,“FinancialRisksAssociatedwithImplementingCNG,”offersinformationonfinancialrisksassociatedwithimplementingandoperatingaCNGvehiclefleet.
Attheendofeachchapterisalistofkeyfindingsfromtheresearch.Thekeyfindingsserveasasummaryofeachchapter.
11
2. CNGStateofthePracticeThissectionprovidesareviewoftheCNG‐bus‐fleetstateofthepracticeandpeerresearch.TTIresearchersconductedaliteraturereview,andinterviewedandcollecteddatafromeighttransitagenciesoperatingCNGbuses.ThepurposeofthistaskwastoexaminecurrentliteratureonCNGuseandimplementationintransitfleets.Additionally,thistaskprovidedinformationonpeertransitagenciesthathaveimplementedCNG‐fueledfleets,andexaminedthekeyplanningfactorsthataffectCNGimplementationdecisions.Thesectionisdividedintothefollowingsubsections:
MethodologyforLiteratureReviewandPeerStudy—providestheTTImethodologyfortheliteraturereviewandpeerselection,andbasicdetailsoneachofthepeeragencies.
PurposeofUsingCNG—providesanoverviewofthereasonsagenciesconsiderusingCNGasafuelfortransitvehicles.Thesubsectionprovidesreasonsidentifiedwithintheliteratureandalsofeedbackfromthepeertransitagencies.
CNGImplementation—providesadiscussionofthedifferentwaysanagencymayimplementaCNGfuelingoperation.ThesubsectionprovidesinformationoncontractingouttheCNGfuelingstationandonfuelpurchasing.
CNGServicePlanning—providesthehistoricalconsiderationofusingtransitvehiclespoweredbyCNG.ThesubsectionalsoprovidesinformationonthelatesttechnologyforCNGbusoperation.
CapitalMetroServicePlanning—providesinformationonCapitalMetrocurrentandlongrangetransitplans.ThesubsectionprovidesinformationonhowCNGtiesintoCapitalMetro’sserviceplans.
CNGIncentivesandTaxCredits—providesinformationonthecurrentstateandfederalincentivesandtaxcreditsavailabletotransitagenciesoperatingCNGvehicles.
EmissionsConsiderations—providesadiscussionofthehistoricalemissionsbenefitsandinformationonnewtechnologyandemissionsstandards.
BusFleetMaintenance,Safety,andTraining—providesinformationonthemaintenanceconsiderationrelatedtoCNGvehicles.ThesubsectionalsoprovidesinformationonsafetyandtrainingforaCNGfuelingandbusmaintenanceoperation.
KeyFindings—providesasummaryofthestateofthepracticeresearchconductedbyTTI.
MethodologyforLiteratureReviewandPeerStudyTTIsoughtcurrentresourcestouseinthestate‐of‐the‐practicereview.TTIusedacombinationofavailableliteratureandinformationgatheredfromtransitagenciesoperatingCNGtransitvehicles.ThissectionprovidesthemethodologythatTTIresearchersusedtogathertheavailableliteratureandcollectinformationfrompeertransitagencies.
12
LiteratureReviewAsoutlinedinthescopeofwork,TTIconductedareviewofonlineliterature.TTIuseddatabasesavailablefromtheTexasA&MUniversitylibraryasameanstocollectthemostrecentstudiesconductedontheuseofCNGincurrenttransitoperations.TTIresearchersalsousedtheTransportationResearchBoard’s(TRB’s)TransportResearchInternationalDocumentationdatabasetolocaterelevantliterature.AmainsourceofdataoriginatedfromTRB’sTCRP.TheTCRPreportsusedforthereviewincludeReport38:GuidebookforEvaluating,Selecting,andImplementingFuelChoicesforTransitBusOperations,andtheupdatetothatreport,Report146:GuidebookforEvaluatingFuelChoicesforPost‐2010TransitBusProcurements(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).TRBdevelopedthesereportstoguidetransitagenciesinfuelchoiceforfleets.
PeerAgencySelectionandDataCollectionTTIresearchersusedapeer‐selectionmethodologytooltoidentifypeersforcomparison.Inaddition,bothCapitalMetroandMETROidentifiedagenciesthattheywantedtolearnabout.ThepeerselectiontoolwascreatedbyTCRPReport141:AMethodologyforPerformanceMeasurementandPeerComparisoninthePublicTransportationIndustry.Thetoolcomparesanumberofcharacteristicstogetalikenessscoretoaparticularagency.Themethodisanobjectivewaytoselectpeeragencies.Thecharacteristicsusedforcomparisonincludethefollowing:
Rail(yesorno). Railonly(yesorno). Heavyrail(yesorno). Urbanareapopulation. Totalvehiclemilesoperated. Totaloperatingbudget. Populationdensity. Statecapital(yesorno). Percentageofcollegestudents. Populationgrowthrate. Percentageoflow‐incomepopulation. Annualdelay(hours)pertraveler. Freewaylanemilespercapita. Percentageofservicedemandresponse. Percentageofservicepurchased. Distancesfrompeercity. Serviceareatype—Agenciesareassignedoneofeightservicetypes,dependingon
thecharacteristicsoftheirservice(e.g.,entireurbanarea,centralcityonly,orcommuterserviceintoacentralcity).
Thetop25agencieswiththehighestlikenessscorewerethenfurtheranalyzedtodeterminethevehiclemix.TTIresearchersidentifiedpeersagencieshavingaminimumof50CNG‐fueledvehicles.
13
TTIresearcherscontactedmaintenancedirectorsfromeachoftheagencies,providedaquestionnairetoeachdirector,andtalkedthrougheachquestion.Inaddition,aTTIresearcherconductedasitevisitwithRPTAinPhoenix,Arizona,andSunMetroinElPaso,Texas,andspentseveralhoursdiscussingtheCNGfuelingprogramwithagencyrepresentatives.Table2‐1providestheagenciesparticipatinginthepeerreview.
Table2‐1PeerTransitAgencies
TransitAgencyServiceAreaSize
ServiceAreaPopulation
FleetSize1
CNGFleet %CNG
FoothillTransit 327 1.5million 303 270 89%NorthCountyTransitDistrict
403 0.85million 120 90 75%
Omnitrans 456 1.4million 169 166 98%RegionalPublicTransitAuthority 732 2.5million 172 135 78%
SacramentoRegionalTransitDistrict 277 1.1million 212 212 100%
SunMetro 205 0.6million 163 150 92%
SunTran 230 0.5million 240 88 37%WashingtonMetropolitanAreaTransitAuthority 692 3.3million 1,492 461 31%
Source:NationalTransitDatabase,20091.Peeragencyinterview
Thefollowingsubsectionsintroduceeachofthetransitagenciesusedinthepeeranalysis.CityofTucsonDepartmentofTransportation(SunTran).SunTranisthetransitagencyforTucson,Arizona,andisafunctionoftheCityofTucson.Theagencyprovidespublictransportationservicetoanareaof230squaremilesandincludesapopulationof544,000.SunTranprovideslocalfixed‐routeanddemand‐responseparatransitandpark‐and‐rideserviceforthearea.SunTranoperatesafleetof240fixed‐routetransitvehiclesthatinclude151biodiesel,88CNG,and1hybriddieselvehicles.SunTranbeganoperatingCNGtransitvehiclesin1991.SunTranownsandoperatestheCNGfuelingprogram.TheCityofTucsonsharestheCNGfuelingstationwithotherfunctionsoftheCityofTucson.SunTranhasnotpurchasednewCNGvehiclessince2000;however,withtherecentfluctuationsinthepriceofdiesel,theagencyisconsideringpurchasingnewCNGvehicles.Omnitrans.OmnitransislocatedinSanBernardino,California,andprovidesbustransitservicefortheSanBernardinoValleyinsouthernCalifornia.Theagencyprovidespublictransportationservicetoanareaof456squaremilesandincludesapopulationof1.4millionresidents.Omnitransprovideslocalfixed‐routeanddemand‐responseparatransitfortheservicearea.Omnitranshas169fixed‐routetransitvehicles,consistingof166CNGand3hybrid‐dieselvehicles.OmnitransbeganoperatingCNGvehiclesin1997andoperatestwoliquidcompressednaturalgas(LCNG)fuelingstations(itpurchasesLNGandconvertsittoCNG).Omnitrans’mostrecentCNGprocurementincluded272009NewFlyer40‐footvehicles,withoptionsforupto90vehicles.
14
CityofElPaso’sMassTransitDepartment(SunMetro).SunMetroisadepartmentoftheCityofElPasoandprovidespublictransportationtotheElPasocitylimits.SunMetroprovideslocalfixed‐routeanddemand‐responseparatransitforitsservicearea.TheSunMetroserviceareais205squaremilesandincludesapopulationofabout600,000.SunMetrooperates150fixed‐routeCNGvehiclesand13LNGvehicles.SunMetrobeganoperatingCNGvehiclesin1993.Theagencybeganfuelingusingaslow‐fillCNGoperation.TheagencynowusestheLCNGmethodbyconvertingLNGtoCNG.SunMetrohastwofuelingstationsforthevehiclefleetand78,000gallonsofLNGstorage,whichisreplenishedeachday.Theagency’smostrecentCNGvehicleprocurementincludedamixof10335‐footand40‐footNorthAmericanBusIndustriestransitvehicles.FoothillTransit.FoothillTransitisajoint‐powersauthorityof22membercitiesintheSanGabrielandPomonaValleysinsouthernCalifornia.TheFoothillTransitserviceareaencompasses327squaremilesandapopulationof1.5million.FoothillTransitoperateslocalfixed‐routebusservice,busrapidtransit,anddemand‐responseparatransitforitsservicearea.FoothillTransitoperates277CNG,23diesel,and3electrictransitvehicles.TheagencybeganoperatingCNGvehiclesin2002,andsincethenallprocurementshavebeenforCNGvehicles.Themostrecentprocurementincluded14NorthAmericanBusIndustries42‐foottransitvehicles.NorthCountyTransitDistrict(NCTD).NCTDislocatedinSanDiego,California,andhasaserviceareaof403squaremiles.Theserviceareaincludesapopulationof850,000.NCTDprovideslocalfixed‐routebusservice,demand‐responseparatransit,commuterrail,andlight‐railtransitservice.Theagencyoperatesamixofbustransitvehicles.Thefleetmixincludes30dieselvehiclesand90CNGvehicles.Theagencybeganoperating6CNGvehiclesin1991,andin2000,theagencybeganprocuringonlyCNGvehicles.Themostrecentprocurementincluded13NewFlyer40‐foottransitvehicles.RegionalPublicTransitAuthority(RPTA).RPTAislocatedinPhoenix,Arizona,andhasaserviceareaof732squaremilesandincludesapopulationof2.5million.RPTAoperateslocalfixed‐routebusservice,park‐and‐ridecommuterservice,busrapidtransit,anddemand‐responseparatransit.Theagencyoperatesafleetof172fixed‐routetransitvehicles,consistingof37dieseland135CNGvehicles.RPTAbeganoperatingCNGin2002.TheagencyhasbeenreplacingdieselvehicleswithCNGvehicles.RPTAmostrecentlypurchased3740‐footNewFlyerCNGtransitvehicles.WashingtonMetropolitanAreaTransitAuthority(WMATA).WMATAislocatedinWashington,D.C.,hasaserviceareaof692squaremiles,andincludesapopulationof3.3million.WMATAoperateslocalfixed‐route,park‐and‐ride,bus‐rapid‐transit,anddemand‐response‐paratransitbusservice.Inadditiontobustransit,WMATAoperatesfiveheavy‐raillineswithintheservicearea.WMATAhasafixed‐routebusfleetof1,492vehicles.Thefleetconsistsof602diesel,461CNG,and429‐hybriddieselvehicles.WMATAbeganoperatingCNGvehicles2001,beginningwithafleetof64CNGvehicles.
15
SacramentoRegionalTransitDistrict(SACRT).SACRTislocatedinSacramento,California,hasaserviceareaof277squaremiles,andincludesapopulationof1.1million.SACRToperateslocalfixed‐route,park‐and‐ride,anddemand‐response‐paratransitbusservice.Inaddition,SACRToperatestwolight‐railtransit(LRT)linesthroughouttheservicearea.Theagencyhasafixed‐routefleetof212CNGvehicles.SACRTbeganoperatingCNGvehiclesin1993andbeganreplacingallexistingdieselvehicleswithCNGvehicles.Themostrecentvehicleprocurementconsistedof9140‐footOriontransitvehicles.
PurposeofUsingCNG
HistoricalContextTransitagenciesbeganusingCNGinthe1990sinresponsetothepoliticalrhetoricwarningaboutU.S.dependenceonforeignoilandtoimproveairquality.Atthefederallevel,threelawsencouragedthesegoals:
TheCleanAirActAmendmentsof1990requiredcitieswithsignificantair‐qualityissuestousevehiclesthatmetaspecificemissionsstandardstartingwithmodelyear1994buses.
TheEnergyPolicyActof1992promotedtheuseofalternative‐fueledvehiclestoreducethedependenceonforeignoil.
TheAlternativeMotorFuelsActof1998encouragedthedevelopment,testing,anddemonstrationofalternative‐fueledvehiclesandincludedaprovisionfortheDepartmentofEnergytoassistgovernmentagenciesintestingalternative‐fuelbusesinurbansettings(Eudy2002).
Inthe1990s,manystatesimplementedmorestringentrequirementsfortransitagencies.In1991,theTexasLegislaturepassedlegislationthatrequired30percentoftransit‐agencyvehiclestobepoweredwithcleanertechnologybySeptember1991(Eudy2002).InCalifornia,theCaliforniaAirResourcesBoard(1998)required1996modelyearornewerbusestoreducenitrogenoxide(NOx),makingtheemissionstandardfortransitbusesmorestringentthantheEnvironmentalProtectionAgency(EPA)standard(ArcadisGerahtyandMiller,Inc.1998).ByswitchingtousingCNG‐poweredtransitvehicles,agenciesreducedNOxemissions.TTIresearchersprovidedetailsoncurrentemissionsandenvironmentalconsiderationsmoreindepthintheEmissionsConsiderationsectionofthischapter.
FuelCostNatural‐gasretailsalesareofteninunitsoftherms,whereonethermisequalto100,000Britishthermalunits(atraditionalunitofenergy).Inordertocomparenatural‐gasusetodieseluse,TTIresearchersrefertonatural‐gasvolumeintermsofdieselgallonequivalent(DGE).Historically,thecostofCNGperDGEislessthandieselandisareasonmanyagencieshavechosentoimplementCNGbusfleetsoverdiesel‐fueledfleets.CleanCities,partoftheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,producesaquarterlypricereportcalledtheCleanCitiesAlternativeFuelPriceReport(U.S.DepartmentofEnergy2011b).Thisreportprovidespricesforthe
16
regionalandnationwidefuelpriceaveragesforgasoline,diesel,CNG,ethanol(E85),propane,biodiesel(B20),andbiodiesel(B99‐B100).ThelatestreportreleasedwasforthequarterendinginJuly2011.Figure2‐1providesthehistoricpricesofbothCNGanddieselperDGE.
Source:CleanCitiesAlternativeFuelPriceReport,July2011
Figure2‐1FuelPrice:DieselversusCNG,September2005toJuly2011ThefiguredisplaysthatthepriceofCNGhastrendedlowerthandieselforthepast11years.ThefigurealsoshowsthatspikesinfuelpricesthathaveoccurredoverthelastdecadearetypicallylowerinmagnitudeforCNGthandiesel.Since2009,thepriceofCNGhasbeenrelativelystable,whiledieselhastrendedupward.Table2‐2providesasummaryofthepricepeertransitagenciesarecurrentlypayingforCNGintermsofDGE.ThepurchasepriceofCNGreportedbythepeeragenciesoftenincludesadditionalfeesbecauseofvarioustermsandconditionsinthepurchasecontract.Forexample,thesefeesmayincludepriceadjustmentstocoverthemaintenanceandelectricitycostsassociatedwithCNGdeliveryandfuelingfacilities.Additionally,notallagencieswereabletoprovidethecostofCNGintermsofDGE.Intheseinstances,researchersconvertedthereportedpricetoDGE.
17
Table2‐2PeerAgencyCNGPrices
Agency PriceperDGE Comments
FoothillTransit$0.69Arcadia/$0.84Pomona
Maintenancecostswereremoved
NCTD $0.58 Commodityonly
Omnitrans NotavailableContractforfuelishedged;couldnotdisclose
RPTA $1.17 Includesmaintenanceandelectricity
SACRT $0.80
ThepriceincludesafeetoDepartmentofGeneralservices(about0.0065%)and0.0513perthermtoPG&Efordelivery
SunMetro $1.83PurchasedasLNGandconvertedtoCNG
ThepriceperDGEhassomevariationbetweentheagencies.Thisisaresultoffuelcontractsandthearrangementsinwhichfuelispurchased.SunMetroreportedthehighestfuelprice,andOmnitransreportedthesecondhighestfuelprice.BothoftheseagenciesactuallypurchaseLNGandconvertittoCNG.Therefore,thepurchasepriceperDGEistypicallydependentonthefuelsourcesupplierandthearrangementtheagencyhaswiththesuppliertopurchasefuel.Fuel‐purchasingarrangementsarediscussedinmoredepthinalatersectionofthisreport.
PeerAgencyObjectivesThepeerstudyidentifiedreasonstheagenciesuseCNGasatransitfuel.Table2‐3providesasummaryofthesereasons.
Table2‐3PeerAgencyImplementationObjectives
Agency EmissionReduction
LowerFuelPrice
StabilityofFuelPrice
LowerOperatingCosts
DomesticFuelSource
Comments
FoothillTransit X X X X X Emissionsrequirement
NCTD X EmissionsrequirementOmnitrans X EmissionsrequirementRPTA X X X X X SACRT X X EmissionsrequirementSunMetro X X X X SunTran XAlltransitagencieslistedemissionsreductionasareasonforimplementingaCNGfuelingoperation.Thesecondmostreportedreasonisthepriceadvantageofnaturalgasoverdiesel.FuelpricestabilityandtheadvantagesofusingadomesticfuelsourcearethethirdmoststatedreasonforusingCNG.Theleastimportantreasonreportedbytransitagencieswasloweroperatingcosts.Agenciesdiscussedthathistoricallythemaintenancecostsof
18
CNGvehicleshavebeenhigherthanthoseondieselvehicles,thusmakingoperatingsavingsonfuelnegligible.AdiscussionofthecostofmaintainingCNGvehiclesversusdieselvehiclesisprovidedinthesafetyandmaintenanceconsiderationssectionofthischapter.
CNGImplementationThissectionoftheliteratureandpeerreviewprovidesdetailsonCNGimplementation.TransitagencieshavetheoptiontocontractouttheCNGfuelingoperationtoathird‐partyprovider.Thesecontractarrangementsallowforflexibilityintheoperationsandfinancialstructureofvehiclefueling.Additionally,whenimplementingCNG,transitagenciesusuallyneedtomakemodificationstotheirbusmaintenancefacilities.Thissectionprovides:
DiscussionofthefacilityimprovementsandmodificationsnecessaryforCNGimplementation.
InformationonthecommoncontractarrangementsassociatedwithaCNGfuelingoperation.
Implementationstrategiesandexperienceofpeertransitagencies.
CNGFuelingStationTransitagenciesoperatingCNGtransitvehiclesmusthaveaCNGfuelingstationon‐sitedesignedtoaccommodatethecapacityofthefleet.Fuelingstationshavefourmaincomponents:
Gasdryertoremovemoistureinthenaturalgas(seeFigure2‐2). Compressorstocompressthegastoapressureof3600‐4500poundspersquare
inch(psi)(seeFigure2‐3). Bufferstoragetoallowcompressorstoremainrunningduringtheagency’sfueling
window(thisreducesstressoncompressorsfromconstantturningoffandon)(seeFigure2‐4).
Fueldispenserstoprovidefueltovehicles.
19
Figure2‐2GasDryeratRPTAinPhoenix,Arizona
Figure2‐3CompressingStations
20
Figure2‐4CNGBufferStorage
Agencieshavetheabilitytocustomizefuelingstationstomeettheirfuelingneeds.TheneedsaredependentonthenumberofCNGvehiclestorefuel,thefuelingwindowavailable,andthestaffavailabletorefuelthevehicles.Thefuelingneedsoftheagencydeterminethenumberandtypeofcompressorstheagencymusthave.Thetotalflowinstandardcubicfeetperminute(SCFM)fromthecompressorsdeterminesthenumberofbusesandhowquicklytheyarefueled.Agenciescandeterminethenumberofcompressorsandsizeofcompressorsrequiredbytakingthefuelloadperbus,multipliedbythenumberofbusesfueledpernight,dividedbytheproductivetimeduringafuelingshifteachnight.Agenciesmustalsoprovideredundantcompressors.Redundancyprovidesback‐upcompressionsothatifonecompressorfails,theredundantcompressorcanmakeupfortheloss.Thisisalsobeneficialwhencompressorsareundergoingroutinemaintenance(AdamsandHome2010).Dependingonthefleetreplacementorexpansionplans,thestationshouldhaveroomforadditionaldispensersandadditionalcompressors(AdamsandHome2010).AreportsponsoredbytheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory(NREL)andconductedbyR.AdamsandD.B.Horne,titledCNGTransitBusExperienceSurvey,providedthesurveyresultsof10transitagenciesoperatingCNGtransitfleets.Thestudyrevealedpreferencesoftypesofcompressorsused—gasorelectricdrive.Thereportstates,“Sevenofthe10respondentseithercurrentlyorpreviouslyownedCNGstationswithnaturalgas‐engine‐drivencompressors.Twooftheseagencieshavealreadyconvertedtoelectric‐drivecompressors,andtwomoreindicatedthattheywouldgoelectriciftheycoulddoitover.”Thereportstatesthatelectric‐drivencompressorstypicallyhavelowerenergy
21
costs,arequieter,andrequirenospecialenvironmentalpermit.Thereportalsostatesthattheindustryisshiftingtowardelectriccompressors.TTIresearchersaskedpeeragenciesseveralquestionsaboutCNGfuelingstations.Table2‐4providesinformationoneachofthepeers’fuelingstationsandcompressors.ThetableshowsmanyoftheagencieshavemultipleCNGfuelingstations.Thetablealsoshowsthatthenumberofcompressorsateachstationvariesfromtwotosix.Eachofthepeeragencieshasafast‐filloperation,withthemajorityoftheagenciesabletofilleachvehicleinunder10minutes.SunMetro’sandOmnitrans’filltimesare15and8minutes,respectively.TheseagenciesconvertLNGtoCNG,andthereforethefuelingprocessisdifferentthantheotheragencies.SunMetroandOmnitransdonotusecompressorsinthefuelingprocess;therefore,notallagencieshaveinformationoncompressors.Ofthepeeragencies,onlyFoothillTransitoperatesastationusingagas‐drivencompressor.Allotherstationscontainelectric‐drivecompressors.Theelectricalexpensesforeachofthefuelingstationsvaries.RPTApays$0.06perthermofnaturalgasused.Infiscalyear2011,SACRThadanelectricityexpenseof$311,211foritsonestationoperatingfivecompressors.Infiscalyear2011,NCTDhadanelectricityexpenseof$271,133foritstwostationswithfourcompressorsintotal.Theagenciesreviewedcurrentlyhavefewfuelingcapacityissues.However,SunMetroandSunTrannotedthatcoldweatheraffectsthespeedandcompletenessofrefueling.SACRTnotedthatthesizeoftanksonsomevehicleslimitedthemileagerange;thesevehicleshadtocomeinformiddayrefueling.Adjustmentsinonboardtankcapacityandimprovementstothefuelingstation,enablingamorecompletefill,curtailedthefueling‐capacityissue.NCTDstatedthatfuelcapacitycouldbeanissueifadditionalvehiclesareaddedtotheEscondidofacility.
Table2‐4Peer‐AgencyFuelingStation
Agency
CNG Fueling Capacity Compressor Details
Fueling Stations
Natural Gas Inlet Pressure
CNG Storage
Compressors at Each Station
Fuel Dispensers
Fuel Time Vehicles Fueled per
Night
Midday refuel
Capacity Limitations Capacity Answers Electric or
Gas Total SCFM
Discharge Pressure
Gas Expenses
Annual Electricity Expenses
Foothill Transit
2 Unknown Buffer only
8 (electric) and 6 (gas)
P = 6 A = 4
10 minutes or less
P = 150 A = 129
0 None None Both P = 5,648 A = 3,650
4,500 psi Not
separately metered
Unknown
NCTD 2 O = 256 psi E = 140 psi
Buffer only
2 2 at each
O = 6 minutes
E = 8 minutes
O = 40 E = 30
No
Charges for electricity; fill time could be an issue if the fleet is
increased at Escondido
Enough labor at Oceanside to fill and clean vehicles
fast enough
Electric O = 1,200 E = 500
3,600 psi Not
separately metered
$271,133
Omnitrans 2 N/A
60,000 and
20,000 LNG
N/A 2 at each station
8 minutes 140‐150 No None Maintain excess capacity for LNG
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
RPTA 1 100 psi Buffer only
3 4 4 minutes 135 No None Enough tank
storage on vehicles to reach 480 miles
Electric 1,500 3,600 psi Not
separately metered
0.06 per therm
SACRT
1 (#2 is being con‐
structed)
400 psi Buffer only
5 and 3 4 and 4 6‐7
minutes 135 No Initially yes
The tank size on vehicles was increased, and improvements in 2002 to station allowed for all
buses to be fueled in the evening. Initially would
swap out the bus midday.
Electric Unknown 3,600 psi Not
separately metered
$311,211
Sun Metro 2 N/A
60,000 and
18,000 LNG
N/A 4 and 1
15 minutes or less;
worst case 30 minutes
150 Yes but not
needed
The cold weather impacts how quickly the bus can be fueled
None N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Sun Tran 1 Unknown Buffer only
4 2 fast fill and 1 slow fill
5‐7 minutes; slow fill is 20‐30 minutes
88 No Temperature impacts more complete fill
Made 3600 psi intake to get more
complete fill; improved this
about 4 years ago
Electric Unknown 3,600 psi Not
separately metered
No
GasDetectionNaturalgas(CH4)isignitableatconcentrationsinairbetween5and15percent.AgenciesmustmeetlocalandnationalfiresafetycodessuchasthoserequiredbytheNationalFireProtectionAssociationCode52whenimplementingaCNGfuelingoperation.Agenciesmusthavediscussionswiththefiremarshaltoensurethefacilitiesareuptolocalfirecode.TodetectandpreventconcentrationsofCNG,maintenancefacilitiesmustbeequippedwithmethanedetectionsensorsaboveallservicebaystodetectleaks.Thesesensorsareconnectedtoamastercontrolpanel.Twotypesofdetectionsystemsaretypicallyused—catalyticbeadandinfrared.Acatalyticbeaddetectionsystemhasaplatinumcoilembeddedinacatalyst.Whengasesreachthecoil,areactionoccurs,causingtheelementtoheatupandtriggerthesensor.Infraredmethanedetectionusesinfraredradiationtodeterminegaslevelsintheair(GeneralMonitorsn.d.).Infrareddetectionisthemostcommonlyinstalledtoday(RichardsonandMcAllister2009).TheCentralArkansasTransitAuthority(CATA)hadastudycompletedonimplementingaCNGfuelingoperationin2009.Thestudystatedthatthemainshopwouldneed24methanesensors(12bayswithtwosensorsperbay).Thesensorsarepositioneddirectlyovertheactualrepairbays.Thepaintboothandbodyshopalsorequiresensors.Eachfuelinglaneandwashbayrequiretwosensorseach,equalinganadditionalsixsensors.Sincethefuelingandwashbuildingisseparatefromthemainfacility,thebuildingrequiresazonecontrolpanelthatlinkstothemasterpanelinthemainfacility.Eachcompressorskidrequiresamethanesensorwithacontrolpanellinkedtothemastercontrolpanel.Ifthecompressorskidisanopen‐aircanopy,nomethanedetectionisnecessary(RichardsonandMcAllister2009).
ElectricalSystemImprovementsAgenciesmusthaveelectricalsystemimprovementswithinthemaintenancefacilitywhenCNGisimplementedtomeetNationalFireProtectionAssociationcodes.Thesecodesrequireelectricalconnectionsanddevicesfoundwithin18inchesofthelowestportionoftheceilingtobeclassifiedasexplosionproof(Class1,DivisionII).Tomeetthisrequirement,certainelectricalconnectionsareupgradedorthelightfixtureslowered.Theelectricalsystemmustbeconnectedtothemethanedetectionsystem.Ifthedetectionsystemdetectsagasleak,thesystemshutsdownelectricalsupply(RichardsonandMcAllister2009).
HeatingVentilationandAirConditioningImprovementsAgenciesoperatingCNGtransitvehiclesmusthavemechanicalventilationsystems.Theseventilationsystemsareresponsibleforventingtheroomatsixroomairexchangesperhour.Ifagasleakisdetected,theventilationrateincreasesto12airexchangesperhour,andalldoorsautomaticallyopen(ArcadisGerahtyandMiller,Inc.1998).
FacilityUpgradeCostsThecostofmodifyingthemaintenancefacilitiesforCNGoperationvarieswidelydependingonthesizeandageofthefacility.TheCATACNGstudyestimatesthecostofretrofittingits
24
facilitiestobeCNGcompliantwouldcostroughly$150,000.CATAoperatesafleetofabout50fixed‐routebuses,whichwouldindicatethesizeofthemaintenancefacilityissubstantiallysmallerthanotherlargeagencies(300+vehicles).TheCATAestimateislowerthanwouldbethecaseatlargertransitagencies.LeslieEudy,inthereportNaturalGasinTransitFleets:AReviewofTransitExperience,statesthatthecostsofmodifyingamaintenancefacilitytomakeitcompliantwithCNGcouldrangefrom$100,000to$10million.Eudyexplainsthemostimportantvariablesarethesizeandageofthefacility(Eudy2002). TTIresearchersaskedpeertransitagenciesaboutthemodificationsrequiredduringCNGimplementationandthecostsassociatedwiththosemodifications.ManyoftheagenciesimplementedCNGintheearly1990sandcouldnolongersupplyarecordofthefacilitymodificationcosts.Intheearly2000s,NCTDretrofittedaportionofanexistingfacilitytoaccommodatetheuseofCNG.TheNCTDretrofitcosttheagencyabout$75,000.Table2‐5providestheresponsestofacilitymodificationdiscussions.
Table2‐5PeerAgencyFacilityModificationsTransitAgency
YearofImplementation
FacilityModifications
FoothillTransit
2002 FacilitywasbuiltwithCNGfuelingability
NCTD 200110bayswithmethanedetection,twoautomaticroll‐updoors,exhaustfans,andfire‐proofdoortoseparatefromtheotherpartofthefacility
Omnitrans 1997 Methanedetection,fallprotection,LNGstorage,pumps,vaporizer,andCNGbufferstorage
RPTA 1998 FacilitywasbuiltwithCNGfuelingability
SACRT 1993Emergencyshutdownifmethanedetected,exhaustfans,andexplosion‐prooffixtures
SunMetro 1993Explosion‐prooffixtures,methanedetectors,airexchangers,fireextinguishers,andexhausthosetoventgas;lightswerelowered
SunTran 1991 Methanedetectionanddefuelingstation
ContractversusOwnandOperateTransitagencieshavetheoptiontoownandoperatetheCNGfuelingstationorcontractitouttoathird‐partyprovider.ACNGfuelingstationrequiresexpertiseandinstitutionalknowledgeformaintainingandtroubleshootingproblemsinnatural‐gascompression.TherequirementsofCNGfuelingoperationsaresometimesbettersuitedtoacompanythatspecializesinoperatingandmaintainingCNGfuelingstations.Thissectiondescribesthearrangementsavailabletotransitagenciesandprovidesinformationoneachofthepeertransitagencies’CNGfuelingoperations.TheCNGfuelingarrangementtypesincludethefollowing:ownandoperate,ownandpartiallyoperate,leaseandoperate,leaseandpartiallyoperate,andturnkey.Table2‐6providesthearrangementsavailabletotransitagencieswhenimplementinganon‐siteCNGfuelingoperation.
25
Table2‐6ContractversusOwnandOperateOptions
TypeofArrangement
FuelingStation
MaintenanceofFuelingStation
MaintenanceofVehicles
FuelingofVehicles FuelSupply
Ownandoperate In‐house In‐house In‐house In‐house ContractedOwnandpartiallyoperate In‐house Contracted In‐house In‐house Contracted
Leaseandoperate Contracted Contracted In‐house In‐house ContractedLeaseandpartiallyoperate
Contracted Contracted In‐house In‐house Contracted
Turnkey Contracted Contracted In‐house In‐house Contracted
Athirdpartyprovidesfuelsupplyineachscenarioarrangement.Thefuelsuppliercanbethelocalgascompany,thelocalmunicipality,orthethirdpartyusedfornatural‐gascompressormaintenance.AsTable2‐6indicates,transitagencystafforcontractstaff(e.g.,FirstTransit,Veolia,etc.)conductthemaintenanceandfuelingofCNGvehiclesin‐houseineacharrangement.Acommonarrangementfoundinthepeerresearchisownandpartiallyoperate.Inthisarrangement,thetransitagencycontractsforcompressormaintenanceandmonitoring.Whenanagencyleasesthecompressorsfromathirdparty,thethirdpartymaintainsthecompressors.Thethird‐partycompanycanalsoupgradeoraddadditionalcompressorsifthetransitagency’sdemandsurpassesthefuelingstation’scapacity.ThereportNaturalGasinTransitFleets:AReviewoftheTransitExperienceprovidesinformationonthebenefitsanddownsidetoowningorcontractingouttheCNGfuelingstationoperations(Eudy2002).Forownandoperate,theadvantagesanddisadvantagesareasfollows:
Advantages:o Ownershipofthestationprovidestheagencycontrolofthefueling
operation.o Thetotalcosttotheagencyislowerifthestationisefficientlymanaged.
Disadvantages:o Up‐frontcapitalcostsarehighfortheagency.o Theagencyisresponsibleformaintenanceandoperation.
Forcontractingtoathirdparty,theadvantagesanddisadvantagesareasfollows:
Advantages:o Up‐frontcapitalcostsarelowornonexistent.o Stationmaintenanceisconductedbythecontractor.o Along‐termcontractcanprovideastablefuelprice.o Thecontractorhasexperience.o Continuingupgradestofacilitycanbeperformed.
Disadvantages:o Theagencymayhavepossibleissueswithproprietarytechnology.o Theagencytakesariskontheperformanceofthecontractor.o Contractingcanbepotentiallymoreexpensiveoverallthanownership.
26
PeerTransitAgencyExperienceTable2‐7displaysthearrangementsinwhicheachofthepeeragenciesoperateandmaintainCNGfuelingoperations.
Table2‐7PeerAgencyContractversusOwnandOperateTransitAgencies
FuelingStation MaintenanceofFuelingStation
MaintenanceofVehicles
FuelingofVehicles FuelSupply
FoothillTransit
In‐house Contracted In‐house In‐house Contracted
NCTD In‐house Contracted In‐house In‐house Contracted
Omnitrans In‐house Contracted In‐house In‐house Contracted
RPTA In‐house Contracted In‐house In‐house Contracted
SACRT In‐house In‐house In‐house In‐house Contracted
SunMetro In‐house In‐house In‐house In‐house Contracted
SunTran In‐house In‐house In‐house In‐house Contracted
Eachpeertransitagencymaintainsandfuelsvehiclesin‐house.Additionally,eachagencyownstheCNGfuelingstation(s).ContractorsspecializinginCNGfuelingoperationsallowforstabilityinfuelingwithinatransitagency.Thefunctionmostcommonlycontractedoutismaintenanceofthefuelingstation.Fuel‐stationcompressorsrequireongoingmaintenancethatmaybemoreappropriateforacontractortocomplete.RPTA,Omnitrans,FoothillTransit,andNCTDcontractoutfuel‐stationmaintenance.Theseagenciescontractformaintenanceonaper‐thermbasis.Maintenancecontractsnegotiatedbetweentheentitiesinvolvemultiplevariablestoreachacostperthermformaintenance.ThecostofmaintenanceperthermisdeterminedbythetotalnumberofCNGthermstheagencyusesaswellasthenumber,age,condition,andtype(gasorelectricdrive)ofcompressorshousedatthefuelingstation.Table2‐8providestheamounteachagencypaysforstationmaintenance.
Table2‐8MaintenanceCostofFuelStationAgency CostofFuelStationMaintenance
perDGENCTD $0.30FoothillTransit $0.39Arcadiaand$0.84PomonaRPTA $0.20Omnitrans* $270,000peryear
*OmnitransusesanLCNGoperationthatdoesnotusecompressors,soithasadifferenttypeofmaintenancecontract.Insomeinstances,thecontractorprovidingmaintenancetothefuelingstationisalsothefuelsupplier.NCTDandOmnitransusethesamecontractorforbothfuelsupplyandstationmaintenance.However,OmnitranshasthesamecontractorforeachfunctionbecausetheoriginalcontractorforthefuelsupplywasboughtoutafterOmnitranshadalreadyenteredintoacontractwiththem;therefore,Omnitranshastwoseparatecontractsforfuelsupplyandstationmaintenance.Table2‐9liststhecontractorsforthefuelsupplyandstationmaintenanceforthepeeragencies.
27
Table2‐9ContractorsforFuelSupplyandStationMaintenance
Agency FuelSupplier StationMaintenanceNCTD Trillium TrilliumFoothillTransit SouthernCaliforniaGas CleanEnergyRPTA CityofMesa CleanEnergy
Omnitrans*CleanEnergyandAppliedLNGTechnology
CleanEnergy
CNGServicePlanningThissectiondiscussestheserviceplanningimplicationsforCNGvehicles.ThesectionprovidesabriefhistoryofCNG‐vehicleserviceplanningandprovidesinformationonsomeoftheconsiderationswithtoday’savailabletechnology.Duringthelate1980sandearly1990s,manytransitagenciesintheUnitedStatesbeganoperatingCNGtransitvehicles.Manyofthesevehicleshadanoperatingrangeof150to200miles.Whenthebusrouterequiredmoremiles,thesebuseshadtorefuelatmiddaytocompletetheday’sservice.Anotherservice‐planningconcerninvolvedtheroadgradeonwhichtheCNGvehiclesoperated.WhenCNGvehiclesoperatedonhills,thevehiclesometimesstruggledtomakeitupthehill.TheweightoftheCNGfueltank—about3,000lb—contributedtothisproblemandaffectedtheperformanceofthevehicle.Inaddition,CNGenginesoperatedathighertemperatures,andoperatingonhotdaysledtotheriskofoverheating(Eudy2002).Agenciesconsideredtheseitemswhendevelopingserviceplans.Today,transitpropertiesoperatingbothCNGanddieselvehiclestypicallymixthetwobustypesontheroutesprovided.TheRegionalPublicTransitAuthorityinPhoenix,Arizona,hasafleetof135CNGvehiclesand37biodieselvehicles.Thebusesareintermixedandexpectedtooperateoneachofthefixedroutes.Theexceptionstothisarethebusesusedforbus‐rapid‐transit(BRT)service.ThesevehicleshaveaspecificdesignandoperateonlyontheBRTroutes.TheRPTAexpectstheCNGanddieselvehiclestohavearangeofmorethana400milesandsufficienthorsepowertotraverseallroutes(Hyinke2011).TheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryevaluatedWMATAin2006.WMATAhad232busesoperatingoutoftheBladensburgdepot,ofwhich164wereCNGpowered.ThedieselandCNGvehicleswereinterchangeableonallroutesthatused40‐footbuses(Chandleretal.2006).Oftheeighttransitagenciesusedinthepeeranalysis,threeoftheagenciesdonotoperatedieselvehiclesatall.Therefore,allvehiclesmustbeabletocompleteallroutes.CNGperformsataslightlylowerlevelthandieselinaccelerationandhillclimbing.CNGengineshavepeakpowerratingssimilartocomparabledieselengines;however,theyhavereducedlow‐speedtorqueduetothelowervolumetricefficiencyofCNGengines.Thelow‐speedtorquecombinedwiththeincreasedweightoftheCNGfueltanksleadstoaccelerationreductions.In2006,theCityofSanFranciscopurchasedhybridelectricratherthanCNGduetothehillyoperatingconditionswithinSanFrancisco(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).AccordingtoTCRPReport146:GuidebookforEvaluating
28
FuelChoicesforPost‐2010,thenewestCumminsWestportenginesclaimtohavea30percentincreaseinlow‐speedtorqueforitsstoichiometric,cooledexhaustgasrecirculation(EGR)enginecomparedtoitspreviousengine(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).ModernCNGtransit‐vehicletechnologyallowsforgreaterrangeduetofuelingandfuel‐storagetechnology.TheincreasedrangeisattributabletogettingamorecompleteCNGfillandincreasedfuelcapacity.SACRTstruggledwiththerangeofCNGvehiclesthroughthe1990s.In2002,thenewCNGbusesreceivedbytheagencyhadincreasedtankcapacity.Inaddition,SACRTmademodificationstothefuelingstationtoincreasethecompletenessoftheCNGfillonbuses(Barnhart2011).TCRPReport146documentsthefuelefficiencyofCNGvehiclesasbeingabout2.7milespergallon(mpg).Thefuelefficiencyofavehicleisdependentontheoperatingcharacteristicsofthebusroute.TCRPreport146providesthemilespergallonofdieselasbeingabout3.2.Oftheeightpeeragenciesreviewed,theaveragemilespergallonreportedfortheCNGfleetis3.42.Thelowvalueis2.7mpg,andthehighvalueis3.98mpg.CNGvehiclesrequireNGfuelingstationsforfuel.TransitagencieswithmultiplegaragesmayonlyhaveoneCNGfuelingstation.ThisusuallymeansthatCNGbusesmustbehousedoutofthesamegarageandarenotinterchangedwithbusesatothergarages.Oftheeightpeertransitagencies,threehavetwofuelingstation,andSACRTisintheprocessofconstructinganadditionalfacility.
CapitalMetroServicePlanningThepurposeofthissectionistodocumentCapitalMetro’sshort‐andlong‐rangeplansforbusserviceandexaminetheimpactsofCNGimplementationonexistingandfuturebusserviceplanning.
Short‐RangeServicePlanningCapitalMetrohasadetailedshort‐rangeserviceplan,ServicePlan2020,outliningtheagency’sstrategicplanningforthedecade.ServicePlan2020servesasacomprehensiveoperationsanalysisoftheentirefixed‐routesystem,outliningstrategicplansforbecomingmorecostefficientandeffectiveatserviceprovision,whileincreasingridership.Theserviceplantiesintotheoverallagencystrategytoimproveservicesystem‐wideandaddadditionalservicebasedupontheadoptedservicestandards.CapitalMetro’sregularservicechanges(occurringannuallyinAugust,January,andJune)aredesignedtoimplementtheelementsoftheplan,specificallytoenhanceserviceefficiencybystreamliningserviceandreducingand/oreliminatingroutesthatarepoorperformers.TherecommendationsofServicePlan2020includethefollowingsystem‐wideimprovements:
Designbusservicetobettermeetthetransitneedsoftheregion. Increasetransitridership,andinturnimprovetrafficcongestionandairquality. Increasethecost‐effectivenessofbusoperations.
29
Theservicechangesoccurringin2011willreallocateresourcessavedinthepreviousyear,improvespecificservices,andsimplifytheoveralltransportationnetwork.Inaddition,proposedservicechangesplaceemphasisonpotentialmarketopportunities,especiallyareaswhereresidentialandcommercialgrowthisoccurring.Anumberoflow‐ridershiptripsweretargetedbyCapitalMetrostaffin2010andselectedforeliminationin2011.Proposedservicewillbeaddedtoroutesexperiencingovercrowdingoron‐timeperformanceissues,ortoalleviatethefutureretirementofarticulatedbuses.ServicechangescanbesummarizedbygroupingthemintothethreeservicechangeperiodsforMetro:January,June,andAugust.RecentCapitalMetrochangesreflecttherecommendationsofServicePlan2020andtheServiceStandardsthatwereestablished,andcanbecategorizedas:
Routemodifications/realignments. Routeeliminations. Tripeliminations. Frequencyreductions/additions. Minorscheduleadjustments.
In2009,CapitalMetroimplementedservicechangesandrealignedrouteswithvaryinggarages,whichreducedoverallroutedeadhead.Forexample,Routes37and137,whichprimarilyserveeastAustintodowntown,wererelocatedfromthegarageat5thStreetandPleasantValleytoCapitalMetro’s51stStreetfacility,reducingtheamountofdeadheadrequiredtoreachtheendofthelineineastAustinatLoyolaandDeckerLane.Figure2‐5providesamapoftheCapitalMetrofacilities.
30
Figure2‐5CapitalMetroMaintenanceFacilities
Long‐RangeTransitPlanningIn2004,CapitalMetrointroducedAllSystemsGo(ASG),theagency’slong‐rangetransportationplan.AllSystemsGowasdesignedtobetheregion’slong‐rangetransportationplantoaddresstherapidpopulationgrowthoccurringinAustinandthesurroundingcommunities.TheASGplanlookedatbothlanduseandtransportation,andincludedplansforexpandedfixed‐routeservices,busrapidtransit,raillines,andpark‐and‐ridegrowth.AllSystemsGotiesintotheregional20‐yearplandevelopedbythelocalmetropolitanplanningorganization,CapitalAreaMetropolitanPlanningOrganization(CAMPO).AlloftheprojectsoutlinedinCapitalMetro’sASGplanareincludedinCAMPO’s2035planandtheTransportationImprovementProgram(TIP),whichCAMPOmanages.AllSystemsGoidentifiestransitimprovementsandincludesthefollowingelements:
Long‐rangeserviceimprovements. New,relocated,andexpandedtransitpassengerfacilities. Streamlinedlocalfixedroutes. Futurebusrapidtransitonheavilytraveledcorridors. RedLinerailserviceexpansionandfuturerailserviceontheGreenLine. Expandedexpressserviceandnewpark‐and‐ridefacilities.
31
CapitalMetroiscurrentlybeginningtheprocesstoupdatethelong‐rangeplanfortheagency.Thenewsystemplanisslatedtolookatpotentialservicethroughtheyear2035fortheregion,whichwouldincludeananalysisoftransitserviceinuptofivecounties.Althoughfuturelong‐rangeplansaffectthetypeofvehiclesusedoncertainroutes—forexample,theline‐haulroutes1and3,whichwouldbeconvertedtoBRT‐typevehicles—thelocal‐routevehicleplanningwillmorethanlikelynotbeaffectedoverthelongterm.SinceCapitalMetromadeapreviousefforttoalignthelocalfixedrouteswiththenearestfacilities,thereshouldbenomajorlong‐termchangestothemajorfixed‐routealignmentsthatwouldpreventtheusageofCNGvehiclesonlocalfixedroutes.Further,althoughtherearesomerollinghillstothewestofAustin,noneofthecurrentorfutureplannedalignmentswouldlimitCNGvehiclesfrombeingintroducedintothefleet.
CNGIncentivesandTaxCreditsTransitagenciesusingalternativefuelssuchasCNGhavetheopportunitytoreceivefederalandstateincentivesandtaxcredits.Thissectionprovidesthemostcurrentinformationontheavailabilityofthosecredits.
FederalIncentivesandTaxCreditsAtthefederallevel,themostsignificantincentivefortheusersofCNGincludestheAlternativeFuelExciseTaxCredit.ThiscreditiseffectivethroughDecember31,2011,andprovides$0.54perDGEofCNGused.StateandlocalgovernmentsthatdispenseCNGfromanon‐sitefuelingstationforuseinvehiclesqualifyfortheincentive.Theagencymustfirstusethetaxcreditagainstanytaxliabilitytheagencyhas.Agenciesmayclaimtheexcessoverthefuel‐taxliabilityasadirectpaymentfromtheInternalRevenueService(IRS).Publictransitagenciesarenotliableforthefederalfuelexcisetax;therefore,agenciesoperatingCNGclaimtheentireAlternativeFuelExciseTaxCredit(U.S.DepartmentofEnergy2011a).AnadditionaltaxcreditavailableatthefederallevelistheAlternativeFuelInfrastructureTaxCredit.ThisisataxcreditavailableforthecostofalternativefuelingequipmentplacedintoserviceafterDecember31,2005.Alternativefuelsincludenaturalgas,liquefiedpetroleumgas,hydrogen,electricity,E85,ordieselfuelblendscontainingaminimumof20percentbiodiesel.Thetaxcreditprovidesupto30percentofthecost,nottoexceed$30,000,forequipmentplacedintoservicein2011.Equipmentplacedintoservicein2009and2010mayreceiveacreditfor50percentofeligiblecosts,nottoexceed$50,000.Agenciesthatinstallmultiplefuelingstationsatseparatelocationscanreceivethecreditforeachlocation.ThiscreditalsoexpiresDecember31,2011(U.S.DepartmentofEnergy2011a).AgenciesoperatingalternativelyfueledvehiclesareeligibleforImprovedEnergyTechnologyLoans.TheU.S.DepartmentofEnergyprovidestheseloansthroughtheLoanGuaranteeProgram.Eligibleprojectsincludethosethatreduceairpollutionandgreenhousegases,andsupportearlycommercialuseofadvancedtechnologies(U.S.DepartmentofEnergy2011a).
32
ThefederaltaxcreditsexpireDecember31,2011.Thereisproposedlegislationthataimstoextendthetaxcredits—H.R.1380:NewAlternativeTransportationtoGiveAmericansSolutionsActof2011.ThebillwasintroducedtotheHouseofRepresentativesonApril6,2011.Thebillincludesextensionsofexistingtaxcreditsandexpandedtaxcredits.Thebillcallsforthefollowingincentivesfornaturalgasoperations(Kalet2011):
Extensionoftheexcisetaxcredit($0.54DGE). IncreaseoftheAlternativeFuelInfrastructureTaxCredit(from30percent,upto
$30,000,to50percent,upto$100,000). Vehiclepurchases:
o Forlight‐dutyvehicles,80percentofthecostdifferential,upto$7,500.o Forheavy‐dutyvehicles,80percentofthecostdifferential,upto$65,000.o Additionaltaxincentivesfornatural‐gas‐vehicleoriginalequipment
manufacturers(OEMs).SeveralHousecommitteesarecurrentlyreviewingthebill.
StateIncentivesandTaxCreditsTheTexasCommissionforEnvironmentalQuality(TCEQ)hasmultipleincentivesforagencieslookingtoimplementCNG.Thefollowinglistdetailstheavailablestate‐levelincentives(U.S.DepartmentofEnergy2011):
AlternativeFuelingInfrastructureGrantseffectiveSeptember1,2011,provide50percentoftheeligiblecosts,upto$500,000,toconstruct,reconstruct,oracquireafacilitytostore,compress,ordispensealternativefuelsinTexasair‐qualitynonattainmentareas.
NaturalGasVehicleandFuelingInfrastructureGrantseffectiveSeptember1,2011,providetheincrementalcostsofpurchasingCNG‐fueledvehicles.Thegrantalsoprovidesfundingforfuel‐stationdevelopment.Theinfrastructuregrantamountsmaynotexceed$100,000foraCNGfuelingstation,$250,000foranLNGstation,or$400,000forastationprovidingbothformsofnaturalgas.Stipulationstiedtothegrantfundsincludetherequirementofthefundedfuelingstationtobeopentothepublicandwithin3milesofaninterstatehighway.ThegrantprogramendsAugust31,2017.
EmissionsReductionIncentiveGrantsprovidefundsforclean‐airprojectstoimproveairqualityinthestate’snonattainmentareas.Eligibleprojectsincludethosethatinvolveheavy‐dutyvehiclereplacement,retrofit,orrepower;alternative‐fueldispensinginfrastructure;idlereductionandelectrificationinfrastructure;andalternative‐fueluse.
NewTechnologyResearchandDevelopmentGrantsprovidefundsforalternative‐fuelandadvanced‐technologydemonstrationandinfrastructureprojectstoencourageandsupportresearch,development,andcommercializationoftechnologiesthatreducepollution.
TheTexasCleanFleetProgramencouragesownersoffleetstoremovedieselvehiclesfromtheroadandreplacethemwithalternativelyfueledvehicles.The
33
programprovidesgrantfundstocovertheincrementalcostsofreplacingdieselvehicleswithalternativelyfueledvehicles.Thenewvehiclesmustreduceemissionsofnitrogenoxidesorotherpollutantsbyatleast25percent.
TheNaturalGasVehicle(NGV)InitiativeGrantProgramencouragespublic‐sectorfleetsincertaincountiestoincreasetheuseofheavy‐dutyNGVs.ThegrantsaimtocovertheincrementalcostofreplacingdieselvehicleswithNGVs.
TheNaturalGasProgramprovidedbytheTexasGeneralLandOfficeofferscompetitivepricesonnaturalgastoschooldistrictsandotherstateandlocalpublicentitiesforuseinNGVs.
EmissionsConsiderationsManyagenciesthatbeganusingCNGinthe1990sandearly2000sdidsofortheenvironmentalbenefitsCNGtransitvehiclesoffered.Thissectionprovidesinformationonthehistoricandcurrentimplicationsoftheair‐qualityimpactsofCNGtransitvehicles.
HistoricalImplicationsofUsingCNGinTransitFleetsTraditionallyCNGtransitvehicleshavecleaner‐burningenginesproducingfeweremissionsthandieselvehicles.TheearlyCNGtransitvehicleswerecapableofhavingextremelylowparticulate‐matterrates.CNGvehiclesalsohadthepotentialtoachieveNOxratesabout50percentlowerthanthedieselbaselinewhenproperlycalibrated.TheloweremissionsratesarearesultofCNGengineshavingamorecompleteburnoflighthydrocarbons(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).However,theNOxratewassensitivetotheair/fuelratio.TheNOxratesofnatural‐gasenginescouldeasilyexceedthedieselbaselineintheeventthefuelsystemwasmiscalibratedorgiveninadequatemaintenance(ArcadisGerahtyandMiller,Inc.1998).Becauseofthepossiblesignificantair‐qualitybenefitsCNGtransitvehiclesoffered,manytransitagenciesimplementedCNGfleets.
Modern‐DayImplicationsofUsingCNGinTransitFleetsEPAhasputmorestringentemissionsregulationsondieselengines;therefore,thegapbetweenCNGanddieselenginesisclosing.TheairpollutantsthatfallundertheCleanAirActincludehydrocarbons,NOx,particulatematter,non‐methanehydrocarbons,andcarbonmonoxide(CO)(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).Newemissionsstandardsbecameeffectivein2004,2007,and2010—eachtimebecomingmorestringent.Thechangesthatcamein2007and2010requiredsignificantchangesforCNGbuses.ThesechangesincludedsomemodificationstoCNGenginesandexhausttreatmentsystems(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).The2010emissionstandardshavecreateddifferencesintheemissionsofCNGanddieselvehicles.TCRPReport146saysthatatypical2006CNGbusemitslessCOandNOxthana2006dieselbus,butthe2010dieselbusmayhavelowerCOemissionsthannatural‐gasbuses.Toachievethe2010emissionstandards,dieseltransitvehiclesneedadieselparticulatefilterandaselectivecatalystreduction.CNGvehiclesmustusestoichiometriccooledexhaust‐gasrecirculationwithathree‐waycatalyst(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).
34
The2010emissionstechnologyisrelativelynew,andthenumberofemissionstestsavailableislimited.However,TCRPReport146providesEPAcertificationdataavailableon2010CNGvehicles.Table2‐10providestheEPAcertificationtestresultsforthe2010CNGengine.
Table2‐102010CNGEngineEPACertificationTestEmissionType Grams/Mile
Carbonmonoxide 21.91Nitrogenoxides 0.22Particulatematter 0.00Non‐methanehydrocarbons 0.02
Source:(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011)
Transitagenciesmustalsoconsidergreenhousegases(GHGs).GHGsconsistofcarbondioxide(CO2),CH4,andnitrousoxide(N2O).TheGHGofmostconcernisCO2.TherearetwosourcesofGHGsfromvehicleoperations:
Well‐to‐tankemissionsarereleasedduringfuelexploration,development,production,refining,deliverytorefuelingsites,andtherefuelingprocess.
Tank‐to‐wheelemissionsoccurduringoperationofthevehicleandprimarilyescapefromthetailpipe.
Well‐to‐tankGHGemissionsrangebetween20to30percentofthetotallifecycleofGHGemissions.Well‐to‐tankemissionsareestimatedtobe12percenthigherforCNGthanfordiesel(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).TCRPReport146providesCO2comparisonsfor2006dieselandCNGtransitvehicles.Table2‐11providesinformationonGHGemissionsfrom2006transitvehicles.
Table2‐11GHGEmissionfrom2006CNGandDieselBuses CO2EquivalentGrams/Mile* Diesel CNG ChangewithCNGWelltotank Total 636 711 12%increaseTanktowheels CO2 2,258 1,872 17%reduction CH4 3 230 76‐foldincrease N2O 46 14 69%reduction Total 2,306 2,117 8%reductionTotalwelltowheels Total(net) 2,942 2,828 4%reduction
Source:(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011)*Assumes1gCH4=23gCO2;1gN2O=296gCO2
Whencomparing2006dieselandCNGvehicles,CNGhasaslightedgeoverall.CumminsWestportproducestheonlyCNGenginecurrentlyavailablefortransitvehicles.The2010CNGenginereportedlyhasa17percentreductioninGHGtailpipeemissionscomparedto
35
thecleanestcomparabledieselengines(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).
BusFleetMaintenance,Safety,andTrainingTransitagenciesthatimplementaCNGoperationprovideacertainleveloftrainingtomechanics.Inaddition,somestatesrequireadifferentlevelofcertificationformechanicstoworkonCNG.ThissectionprovidesinformationonCNGmaintenancetrainingandsafety.
CNGSafetyConsiderationsNaturalgasisignitableatconcentrationsinairbetween5and15percent.Odorantaddedtonaturalgasmakesitdetectableatconcentrationsbelow5percent.CNGleaksarecharacterizedassloworfastleaks.Slowleaksresultfromasmallgapsuchasaloosefuel‐linefitting.Fastleakscanoccurfromaruptureinahigh‐pressurelineintherefuelingsystem.Eachtypeofleakposesafirehazardrisk(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).ThehighpressureofCNGposesapotentialrisktomechanicswhileworkingonthevehicle.Gasreleasedfrompressureorthermal‐reliefdevices,oranimproperordamagedfittingorhigh‐pressureline,cancauseinjury.Animproperlyfittedordamagedrefuelinghosecandisconnectedandwhipindividualsstandingnear.
MaintenanceConsiderationsCNGtransitvehiclesrequireafewspecialmaintenanceconsiderations.TCRPReport146providesalistofthemaintenanceneedsthatarerelevantforCNGbuses(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011):
Periodicspark‐plugreplacementsforspark‐ignitedengines(incontrasttotypicallylower‐maintenancecompressionignitiondieselengines).
PossiblegreaterfrequencyofbrakeandsuspensioncomponentreplacementasaresultoftheheavierweightofCNGbusescomparedtodieselbuses.
AnnualvisualinspectionofonboardCNGfueltanks(perAmericanNationalStandardforNaturalGasVehicleContainers).
RecommendedemptyingofonboardCNGtanksbeforeworkingonthefuelsystem. Periodicmaintenanceofrefuelingequipment(gasdryer,compressor,etc.).
MaintenanceTrainingConsiderationsMechanicsrequiresomeadditionaltrainingwhenworkingonCNGtransitvehicles,andinTexasmechanicsmusthavecertificationthroughtheRailroadCommissionofTexas.TheTexasStatutesNaturalResourceCode116providesadditionalinformationregardingthelicensingandcertificationofCNGuseinTexas(TexasConstitutionandStatutes2011).Inthepeerstudy,TTIresearchersaskedagenciesaboutrequiredtrainingforCNGvehicles.Table2‐12providesthepeerresponsesaboutmaintenance‐trainingrequirements.
36
Table2‐12PeerTrainingExperience
TransitAgency TrainingRequired Cross‐trainedforMultipleTechnologies
SunMetroTrainingoneachnewbusorder(notCNGspecific);CNGcertification Yes
RPTA 40hours(notCNGspecific) YesOmnitrans 20hours(notCNGspecific) YesFoothillTransit Contractorresponsibility YesSACRT Safetybriefings,noCNGrequirement YesSunTran 8‐16hoursonCNGspecific;CNGcertification YesNCTD 4hours(notCNGspecific) Yes
Asseeninthepeerresearch,thereistypicallynorequirementbytheagencytohaveadditionalCNGtraining.SunTranandSunMetrohaveadditionalcertificationrequirements.Allpeeragencies’havemechanicstrainedtoworkoneachtypeofvehicletheagencyoperates.
KeyFindings
ObjectivesforUsingCNG
AgenciesbeganusingCNG‐fueledvehicleslargelytoreduceemissions.Secondarypurposesincludethefactthathistoricallynaturalgashashadalower,morestablepricethandiesel.AllpeeragenciesstatedthatemissionreductionwasthedrivingforcebehindswitchingtoCNG.
PeeragenciesdidnotchooseCNGtoloweroperatingcosts.
CNGImplementation
PeeragenciestypicallyhaveacontractforfuelandareabletonegotiateCNGfuelpricebasedonusage.
PeeragenciesoperatingCNG‐fueledfleetshaveatleastonefuelingstationon‐site.Ofthesevenagencies,fivehaveatleasttwofuelingstationsorplansfortwo.
OmnitransandSunMetropurchaseLNGandconvertittoCNG,whiletheremainingpeeragenciespurchasenaturalgasandcompressitintoCNG.
Thecostofmaintenance‐facilitymodificationstoaccommodateCNGvehiclesisdrivenbythesizeandageofthefacility.
Agencieshavemultipleoptionsindevelopinganarrangementfornatural‐gassupplyandcompression.Theseinclude“ownandoperate,”“ownandpartiallyoperate,”“leaseandoperate,”“leaseandpartiallyoperate,”and“turnkey.”Threepeeragenciesuse“ownandoperate,”andfouragenciesuse“ownandpartiallyoperate.”
ServicePlanning
ModernCNGtransitvehicleshaveatotaloperatingrangesimilartothatofdieselvehicles—between350and450milesbetweenrefueling.
37
CNGvehiclesareheavierduetothefueltanks.Inaddition,CNGvehicleshavereducedlow‐speedtorqueascomparedtodieselvehicles.ThismakesCNGtransitvehiclesundesirableforregionswithsteepgrades.
CNGtechnologyiscompatibletoCapitalMetro’sshort‐andlong‐rangeplans.
TaxCredits
MultiplefederalandstategrantsandcreditsexistforimplementingaCNGbusoperation.
ThemostsignificantincentiveforoperatingCNGtransitvehiclesisthe$0.54‐per‐DGEtaxcredit.ThiscreditexpiresDecember31,2011;however,H.R.1380proposestoextendthiscredit.
Emissions
The2010emissionstandardsonheavy‐dutydieselenginesmaketheemissionsbenefitsofoperatingCNGlessdramatic.
The2010CNGenginereportedlyhasa17percentreductioninGHGtailpipeemissionscomparedtothecleanestdieselengines.
Maintenance
The2010dieselengineshavehighermaintenancecoststhanpreviousdieselmodels.This,incombinationwithnewCNGenginetechnologyandreducedmaintenancecost,makesthemaintenancecostsofdieselandCNGenginescomparable.
3. CapitalMetroLife‐CycleCostAnalysisTTIresearchersusedtheLLCmodeldevelopedbyTCRPReport132todeterminethecapital,variable,andtotallife‐cyclecostofdifferentvehiclepurchasescenarios.TTIresearchersuseddataavailablefromCapitalMetroandnationallyestablishedassumptionsasinputsforthemodel.Thissectionofthereportoutlinesthemethodology,inputs,assumptions,andresultsoftheLCCmodelforCapitalMetro.
AbouttheLCCModelThe Life-Cycle Cost Model (LCCM) was developed as part of TCRP Report 132: Assessment of Hybrid-Electric Transit Bus Technology, published in 2009. The LCCM was developed using a variety of inputs, including literature reviews, surveys, and detailed data gathering from government agencies, the fuel industry, and transit agencies. The LCCM is being used here to compare the various upfront and recurring (life-cycle) costs of owning and operating diesel, hybrid, and CNG buses, in various configurations. The model allows inputs based on an agency’s actual operational experience, but also has default data inputs that were obtained from operating experience at several transit agencies. The input factors that have the greatest effect on LCC include fuel pricing, average speed, vehicle mileage, fleet size, and facility costs. Unpredictable future fuel pricing is the greatest challenge of reliable LLC prediction and has the most profound effect on LCC outputs. Input factors that have minor impact include tax and purchase incentives and air conditioning and heating use.
LCCMethodology
ScenariosTTIresearchersworkedwithCapitalMetrorepresentativestogatherdataanddevelopassumptionsfortheLCCM.Researcherscollecteddataonthreescenariosofbuspurchases:
CNG40‐footbuses. Diesel40‐footbuses. Hybrid40‐footbuses.
ThesethreescenariosrepresenttheplannedprocurementsofCapitalMetro.
ModelInputsTheLCCMallowsuserstoselecteitherdefaultvaluesorinputactualfleetagencydatafortheinputvariables.TTIresearcherssoughttogatherthemostcurrentdataavailablefromactualCapitalMetrofleetdata,literaturesources,ormutuallyagreed‐upondefaultvariableinputsandassumptions.Whenavailable,TTIusedactualfleetdataprovidedbyCapitalMetro.Fordefaultassumptions,TTIreviewedthevariousmodelinputswithCapitalMetrostafftoensurethemodelwasrepresentativeofthefleet.ThissectiondescribesthemodelinputsandhighlightstheinputvariableswiththegreatestimpactonLCC.Thissectionalso
40
detailstheassumptionsmadebyTTIwithineachofthemodel’ssections.Table3‐1providestheinputsusedforeachmodelvariable.
Table3‐1LCCMScenariosandInputs
# VariableInputs CNG40Foot
Diesel40Foot
Hybrid40Foot
1 Technology(typeofbus) CNG Diesel Hybrid
2 Numberofvehiclesinpurchase 100 100 100
3 Purchaseyear 2013 2013 2013
4 Annualmileagepervehicle 45,000 45,000 45,000
5 Fueleconomy
5A Averagespeed 13.3 13.3 13.3
5B Air‐conditioningload 9 9 9
5C Heaterload 6 6 6
5D Fueleconomies 3.1 3.6 3.8
6 Purchasecost(in1,000dollars) 440.33 405 580
7 Extendedpowertrainwarrantycosts 0 0 0
8Enginerebuild/replacementcostsforbuslifetime(6,4yearand7,5yearschedule) 35.5 35.5 17.88
9Transmissionrebuild/replacementcostsforbuslifetime 27.81 27.81 67.87
10 Trainingcosts(in1,000dollars) 70 0 0
11 Unscheduledmaintenancecosts 0.44 0.42 0.45
12 Scheduledmaintenancecosts 0.31 0.23 0.2
13 Infrastructure‐specificcosts
13A Neworadditionalinfrastructurecosts 2,500 0 0
13BOperatingandmaintenance(O&M)costsforfacilities 462.85 0 0
14 Hybrid‐specificcosts
14A Diagnosticequipment 0
14B Energy‐storagereplacement 52.06
14C Spareenergy‐storagepacks 154.27
15 Projectedaveragefuelcosts 2.07 3.93 3.93
16 Incentives,credits,andtaxes
16A Fueltaxes
Figuredintopurchaseprice 0.20 0.20
16B Fuelcredits 0 0 0
16C Purchasecredits 0 0 0
16D Miscellaneouscreditsandgrants 0 0 0
16E Miscellaneousfuture‐yearone‐timecosts 0 0 0
41
Thefollowingisanexplanationofeachvariableinput:1. Technology(typeofbus)—TheLCCMmakesrequiredcalculationsforeachtypeof
busselectedineachcolumn.ThebuseschosenfortheLCCMincludeCNG40‐foot,diesel40‐foot,andhybrid‐diesel40‐footvehicles.
2. Numberofvehiclesinpurchase—Tocomparethelife‐cyclecostsofvehiclepurchases,TTIresearchersused100busesforeachscenario.
3. Purchaseyear—TheLCCMmakesthenecessaryinflationcalculationsandother(technology‐based)calculationsbasedonspecificpurchaseyears.Thepurchaseyear2013isusedfortheLCCMbasedonCapitalMetro’spossible2013procurement.
4. Annualmileagepervehicle—TTIresearchersusedtheaverageannualmileageprovidedbyCapitalMetroforeachscenario.Averageannualmileageis45,000perbus.
5A. Averagespeed—TTIresearchersusedtheactualaveragespeedprovidedbyCapitalMetro.Theaveragespeedis13.3mph.
5B. Air‐conditioningload—TheLCCMallowstheusertoconsidertheeffectairconditioning(AC)hasonfueleconomybyselectinganumericvaluefrom0to10.CapitalMetroprovidedanair‐conditioningloadof9outof10.CapitalMetrooperatesthebusairconditionersthemajorityoftheyearandthoughtitwasnecessarytousealoadof9withinthemodel.
5C. Heaterload—Themodelallowsfortheaccommodationofheaterloadsonfuelefficiency.Thedefaultvalueis5,whichindicatesthebusisnotequippedwithanauxiliaryheater(oritisnotused);10indicatesthattheauxiliaryheaterisalwaysused(i.e.,afrigidclimate).SinceCapitalMetrooperatestheairconditionerthemajorityoftheyearandoperatestheheateronlyacouplemonthsoftheyear,theheaterloadis6.
5D. Fueleconomies—TTIresearchersusedactualfueleconomiesprovidedbyCapitalMetroforthe40‐footdieselscenario.Themilespergallonforthehybrid‐dieselscenarioistwo‐tenthshigherthandieselaccordingtoCapitalMetroexperience.CapitalMetrodeterminedthattheagency’soperatingconditionsaresimilartothatofElPaso’sSunMetro;therefore,theSunMetroaveragemilespergallonforCNGvehiclesisused.
6. Purchasecost—CapitalMetroprovidedtheaveragepurchasepriceofthevehiclesforeachscenario.Thepurchasepriceofthevehiclesisexpressedin1,000dollarsperbus.Additionally,annualfueltaxwasaddedtothecostofCNGvehicles.Thisis$444peryear.Overa12‐yearlife,thisequalsapproximately$5,328.
7. Extendedpowertrainwarrantycosts—Themodelallowsforaone‐timecostperbusforextendedwarranties.Researchersassumedtherewerenoextendedwarrantiesaddedtothepurchases.
8. Enginerebuild/replacementcostsforbuslifetime—Forallbustypes,thesecostsapplytorebuildingtheinternalcombustionengine(ICE),andarebasedonreplacingtheoriginalenginewitharebuiltunitobtainedfromanOEM‐authorizedrebuildingfacility.TTIresearchersandCapitalMetrostaffagreedtousethemediumdefaultfortheenginerebuildvariable.
9. Transmissionrebuild/replacementcostsforbuslifetime—FordieselandCNGbuses,thesecostsarebasedonreplacingtheoriginalautomatictransmissionwitharebuilt
42
unitobtainedfromanOEM‐authorizedrebuildingfacility.Forhybridbuses,costsarebasedonremovingtheoriginalhybriddrivesystemandreplacingitwithafactoryremanufacturedunit.TTIresearchersandCapitalMetrostaffagreedtousethemediumdefaultforthetransmissionrebuildinput.
10. Trainingcosts—ThecostsoftrainingoperatorsandmechanicsonnewhybridandCNGdieselbusesareincrementalto(aboveandbeyond)trainingcostsassociatedwithdieselbuses.CapitalMetroprovidedacostoftrainingcurrentstaffonCNGvehiclesofabout$70,000.
11. Unscheduledmaintenancecosts—TTIresearchersconsultedwithCapitalMetroonthemaintenancecostsofvehicles.Theagreed‐uponassumptionforunscheduledmaintenanceisthemediumdefaultavailablewithintheLCCMforeachvehicletype.
12. Scheduledmaintenancecosts—TTIresearchersconsultedwithCapitalMetroonthemaintenancecostsofvehicles.Theagreed‐uponassumptionforscheduledmaintenanceisthemediumdefaultavailablewithintheLCCMforeachvehicletype.
13. Infrastructure‐specificcosts—ThissectionoftheLCCMaccountsforthecostsassociatedwithconstructingafuelingfacilityandmodifyingotherbusfacilitiesalongwithcostsassociatedwithoperatingandmaintainingthefuelingfacility.TTIusedtheruleofthumbprovidedbyTCRPReport146forCNGinfrastructure.Thisis$1millionplus$15,000foreveryCNGvehicle.CapitalMetroagreedthatthisisanappropriateestimate.
13B.O&Mcostsforfacilities—ThissectionrepresentscostsneededtomaintaintheCNGfuelinginfrastructureonanannualbasisandincludescostsassociatedwithpoweringtheCNGfuelingcompressors,rebuildingthem,andmaintainingtheoverallCNGinfrastructure.TheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryconductedasurveyin2009and2010thatincludedamedianvalueformaintainingaCNGfuelingstation($0.18perDGE)andalsopoweringaCNGfuelingstation($0.18perDGE).Thisvaluewasappliedtothenumberofgallonsthefleetwoulduseoverayear,basedonthelistedmilespergallonandnumberofannualmiles.
14A.Diagnosticequipment—TheLCCMaccountsforhybriddiagnosticequipmentcostsincrementalto(aboveandbeyond)dieselandCNGbuses.CapitalMetrocurrentlyhasdiagnosticequipmentforhybridvehiclesandwouldnotneedtopurchasenewequipmentforadditionalhybridvehicles.
14B.Energy‐storagereplacement—Thissectionisonlyapplicabletohybridvehicles.CapitalMetrosaidthatthemediumdefaultwithintheLCCMisanappropriateestimateforthemodel.
14C. Spareenergy‐storagepacks—Thissectionaccountsforthecostsofkeepingspareenergy‐storagepacksininventory(asopposedtokeepingabusdownuntilareplacementpackisorderedandarrives).CapitalMetrosaidthatthemediumdefaultwithintheLCCMisanappropriateestimateforthemodel.
15. Projectedaveragefuelcosts—Thissectionestimatesthecostoffuelforthe12yearsofthevehicle’slife.Fuel‐costcalculationsinthissectiondonotincludetaxes.TTIusedthelatestpriceprovidedbytheCleanCitiesAlternativeFuelPriceReporttoestimatethepriceoffuel.
16A.Fueltaxes—Thissectionaccountsforthepriceoftaxesonfuel.Nofederaltaxwasadded.TTIusedonlystatetaxfordiesel.FueltaxforCNGiswithinthepurchasepriceofthevehicle.
43
16B.Fuelcredits—CNGreceivesapproximately$0.54perDGEthroughDecember31,2011.Thereisapossibleextension,H.R.1380.Thisfieldisleftblankinthe“nocredit”model.
16C,16D,and16Ewereleftblankinthe“nocredit”model.Themodelwithcreditsandincentivesincludes:
TCEQAlternativeFuelingInfrastructureGrants—$500,000incapitalassistance(ifAustinbecomesanareaofnon‐attainment).
TCEQNaturalGasVehicleandFuelingInfrastructureGrants—incrementalcostoftheCNGvehicle(about$30,000).
AlternativeFuelExciseTaxCredit—$0.54perDGEtaxcreditthroughDecember31,2011.
AlternativeFuelInfrastructureTaxCredit—upto$30,000onCNGinfrastructure.
ModelOutputsTheLCCMprojectsthe12‐yeartotalcostofeachpurchasescenario.Table3‐2providestheresultsofthemodel.Thecolumnsintheoutputtablereflectthethreepurchasescenarios.Therowsofthetableprovideeachoftheexpensesassociatedwiththepurchasescenarios.Thelastthreerowsofthetableprovidethecapital,variable,andtotalLCC.TheCNGscenariohasthelowestlife‐cyclecosts.Thedieselscenariohasalowertotallife‐cyclecostascomparedtothehybridscenario.Asstatedpreviously,certainvariableshaveagreatereffectonLCC.ForthisLCCMscenario,thevariableswiththegreatestimpactontheLCCare:
Annualmileagepervehicle. Fueleconomy. PriceperDGE.
Ultimately,theamountoffuelanagencyusesandthepriceoffuelhavethegreatestimpactontheLCC.The“fuelcosts”rowprovidestheamountoffuelusedineachpurchasescenario.Thiscategoryshowsthewidevariationinfuelcostbasedonthetypeofvehicleused.TheCNGscenariohassignificantlylowerfuelcostascomparedtotheotherscenarios.ThefuelpriceforCNGusedinthismodelscenariois$1moreperDGEcomparedtowhatmanypeeragenciescurrentlypayforCNGfuel.TTIresearchersandCapitalMetrostaffagreedtouseahigherthanaveragefuelpriceforCNG.Otherfuel‐pricingscenariosobservedintheliteraturehaveusedarangeoffuelpricingwithhigh,medium,andlowvalues.ThedecisiontousearelativelyhighCNGfuelpricevaluerepresentsamaximumanticipatedCNGfuelcost.
44
Table3‐2LCCMOutputs
Scenario Comparisons: Tabulated Results (All Medium Values) Overall Parameters
Base Year: 2011 Length: 40 foot Vehicle Life: 12 Purchase Scenario Number CNG 40 Foot Diesel 40 Foot Hybrid 40 Foot
Technology CNG Diesel Hybrid-Diesel Number of Units 100 100 100
Purchase Year 2013 2013 2013Mileage per Year 45,000 45,000 45,000
Cost Inputs
Purchase Scenario Number 1 2 3 One-Time Costs
Training (in 1,000 dollars) 70.00 0.00 0.00Hybrids—Diagnostics (in 1,000 dollars) 0.00 0.00 0.00Fueling Infrastructure (in 1,000 dollars) 2500.00 0.00 0.00
One-Time Grants (in 1,000 dollars) 0.00 0.00 0.00One-Time Costs per Bus
Purchase (in 1,000 dollars) 440.33 405.00 580.00Purchase after Discount (in 1,000 dollars) 440.33 405.00 580.00
Warranty (in 1,000 dollars) 0.00 0.00 0.00ICE Replacement (in 1,000 dollars) 35.50 35.50 17.88
Transmission (in 1,000 dollars) 27.81 27.81 67.87Hybrids—Energy Storage Replacement (in 1,000 dollars) 0.00 0.00 52.06
Hybrids—Spare Energy Storage (in 1,000 dollars) 0.00 0.00 154.27Variable Costs
Facilities Operating Cost per Year (in 1,000 dollars) 522.58 0.00 0.00Unscheduled Maintenance Costs (dollars per mile) 0.44 0.42 0.45
Scheduled Maintenance Costs (dollars per mile) 0.31 0.23 0.20Total Maintenance Costs (dollars per mile) 0.75 0.65 0.65
Fuel Economy (miles per gallon) 3.10 3.60 3.80Gallons per Year per Bus 14,516 12,500 11,842
Fuel Costs (with Taxes) (dollars per gallon) 2.07 4.13 4.13Fuel Costs (with Taxes and Credits) (dollars per gallon) 2.07 4.13 4.13
Yearly Operating Grants (in 1,000 dollars) 0.00 0.00 0.00Total Lifecycle Costs (Base Year Dollars)
Purchase Scenario Number 1 2 3Subtotals
Vehicle Related Capital Costs 50,364,000 46,831,000 71,935,270 Other Capital Costs 2,570,000 - -
Vehicle Unscheduled Maintenance Costs 23,633,897 22,452,202 24,224,745 Vehicle Scheduled Maintenance Costs 16,543,728 12,407,796 10,635,254
Fuel Costs 36,058,065 61,950,000 58,689,474 Other Variable Costs 6,270,968 - -
Totals Total Capital 52,934,000 46,831,000 71,935,270
Total Variable 82,506,657 96,809,998 93,549,472
Total 135,440,657 143,640,998 165,484,742
45
Forexample,a2009NRELsurveyofCNGfleetsusedaCNGfuelpriceof$1.30DGE,andanotherNRELsurveyused$1.81DGE(AdamsandHome2010).Thelow,medium,andhighdefaultfuelpricesfortheLCCMare$1.66,$2.00,and$2.15,respectively.Table3‐3providesthenaturalgaspricesfoundinliteratureresearch,peerexperience,andfederalfuel‐pricesources.
Table3‐3Natural‐GasPricesperDGECNGPrice Source
$2.07 AlternativeFuelPriceReport,July2011
$0.60‐$1.80 Peerexperience$1.50 LCCMlowdefault$1.84 LCCMmedium default$2.02 LCCMhighdefault
Whenchoosingafuel,anagencymustalsoconsiderthecapitalinvestmentforvehiclesandinfrastructure.TheCNGandhybridscenarioseachhavehighercapitalcostsascomparedtothedieselpurchasescenario.Mostofthecapitalexpenditureisthepurchasecostofthevehicles;however,CNGrequiressignificantfuelinginfrastructure,andhybridvehiclesrequiresdiagnosticequipment.AdditionalcostsassociatedwithCNGareannualoperatingandmaintenancecosts.CNGfuelingfacilitieshavecompressorspoweredbyelectricityornaturalgas.Thesecompressorsrequireasignificantamountofenergyandongoingmaintenance.ThecostofoperatingandmaintainingtheCNGfuelingstationisonthe“othervariablecosts”line.Figure3‐1andFigure3‐2providethetotalLCCofeachscenario.Asdiscussedpreviously,bothCNGscenarioshavealowerLCCascomparedtoeachoftheotherscenarios.Thefiguresclearlyshowthatvariablecosts(whichincludefuel)arelowerintheCNGscenario.AsseeninFigure3‐3,thetotalLCCperbusforeachscenariorangesfrom$1.4milliontoalmost$1.7million.Sinceeachscenarioincludesabuspurchaseof100vehicles,thedifferencesbetweenthescenariosinLCCperbusissimilartothatofthetotalLCC.Figure3‐4providestheLCCpermileforeachscenario.Thecostpermileisdrivenbythetotalmilesthefleetisexpectedtotravel,dividedbytheLCCofthescenario.Thescenariostravelingthemostmileswhilemaintainingthelowestcosthavethelowestcostpermile.Thescenariowiththehighestcostpermileishybrid‐diesel,andthescenariowiththelowestcostpermileisCNG.
46
Figure3‐1LCCScenarioComparison
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
CNGCNG 40'
DieselDiesel 40'
Hybrid-DieselHybrid 40'
Mill
ions
of D
olla
rs
Vehicle Related Capital Costs
Other Capital Costs
Vehicle Unscheduled Maintenance Costs
Vehicle Scheduled Maintenance Costs
Fuel Costs
Other Variable Costs
Total Capital
Total Variable
Total
47
Figure3‐2LCCScenarioComparisonII
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
CNGCNG 40'
DieselDiesel 40'
Hybrid-DieselHybrid 40'
Mill
ions
of D
olla
rs
Total Capital Cost
Total Variable Cost
Total Life Cycle Cost
48
Figure3‐3LCCperBus
-
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
CNGCNG 40'
DieselDiesel 40'
Hybrid-DieselHybrid 40'
Mill
ions
of
Dol
lars
per
Bus
Total Capital Cost per Bus
Total Variable Cost per Bus
Total Life Cycle Cost per Bus
49
Figure3‐4LCCperMile
LCCwithCreditsTTIresearchersappliedavailablegrantstotheLCCtodetermineabest‐casescenariofortheCNGimplementationandoperation.Researchersappliedthefollowinggrantsandcreditstothemodel:
TCEQAlternativeFuelingInfrastructureGrants—$500,000incapitalassistance(ifAustinbecomesanareaofnon‐attainment).
TCEQNaturalGasVehicleandFuelingInfrastructureGrants—incrementalcostoftheCNGvehicle(about$30,000).
AlternativeFuelExciseTaxCredit—$0.54perDGEtaxcredit. AlternativeFuelInfrastructureTaxCredit—upto$30,000onCNGinfrastructure.
Table3‐4containstheresultsofthemodelwithcredits.
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
CNGCNG 40'
DieselDiesel 40'
Hybrid-DieselHybrid 40'
Dol
lars
Total Capital Cost per Bus Per Mile
Total Variable Cost per Bus Per Mile
Total Life Cycle Cost per Bus per Mile
50
Table3‐4LCCMwithCredits
Costs CNG Diesel Hybrid
Vehicle‐relatedcapitalcosts 47,364,000 46,831,000 71,935,270
Othercapitalcosts 2,040,000 ‐ 11,219
Vehicleunscheduledmaintenancecosts 23,760,000 22,680,000 24,300,000
Vehiclescheduledmaintenancecosts 16,740,000 12,420,000 10,800,000
Fuelcosts 26,651,613 61,950,000 58,689,474
Othervariablecosts 5,554,200 ‐ ‐
Totalcapital $49,404,000 $46,831,000 $71,935,270
Totalvariable $73,422,581 $97,050,000 $93,789,474
Total $122,826,581 $143,881,000 $165,724,744
Asseeninthetable,thecreditsprovidesubstantialbenefitstotheCNGtransit‐vehiclescenario.TheCNGscenariowouldexperienceabouta$21millionsavingsoverthe12‐yearlifeofthevehicles.
KeyFindings TheCNGscenariohasalowerLCCthanthedieselandhybridscenarios.Table3‐5
provideseachscenario’stotalLCCwithoutcredits.
Table3‐5LCCTotalsScenario TotalLCC
CNG40foot $135,440,657Diesel40 foot $143,640,998Hybrid40 foot $165,484,742
FueleconomyandthepriceoffuelhavemajorimpactsontheoutputoftheLCCM.MinoradjustmentsmadetothesevariablesleadtosignificantchangesintheLCC.
Thecostofbuilding,maintaining,andoperatingaCNGfuelingfacilityissignificant;however,thepriceadvantageofnaturalgasoutweighstheinfrastructurecosts.
Fleetsizematters—infrastructurecostpervehicleisreducedforeachadditionalvehicle.
Withoutcreditsorincentives,thesavingsovera12‐yearvehiclelifeareabout$8.2million,orapproximately$700,000peryear.
Withcreditsorincentives,savingsoverdieselareabout$21millionover12years,orabout$1.75millionperyear.
51
4. FinancialRisksAssociatedwithImplementingCNGInherentfinancialriskscomewithoperatinganytypeoffueledvehicles.ThistaskidentifiesandanalyzestherisksassociatedwithimplementingaCNGfuelingprogram.Thetaskisdividedintothefollowingsections:
Fuel‐selectionriskoverview—providesinformationonavarietyofrisksassociatedwithfuelchoice.ThesourceoftheinformationisTCRPReport146:GuidebookforEvaluatingFuelChoicesforPost‐2010TransitBusProcurements.
Capital‐costexpendituresandcostrecovery—providesinformationonthepaybackperiodandrateofreturnwhenoperatingCNGvehicles.Thissectionalsoprovidesananalysisofthefleetsizeandcostsavingsexperienced.
LCCscenarioconsiderations—providesinformationonscenariosinwhichincreasesordecreasesinhigh‐impactcostvariableswouldmakeCNGoperationlessattractive.
Fuel‐SelectionRiskOverviewTCRPReport146providesanoverviewofrisksassociatedwithfuelselectionfortransitvehicles.Agenciesshouldconsiderfivetypesofriskwhenselectingafueltype:
Infrastructurerisks—theriskoflossthatmayoccurbecauseoftheunavailabilityofoneormoreuniquesupplycomponentsnecessaryforeffectiveoperationofasystem.Inthecaseoftransitfuelortechnology,itcanbeaninterruptioninthesupplyorunavailabilityoffuel,fuel‐specificequipment,maintenanceservices,warrantyservice,replacementofspareparts,etc.,withinareasonabletimeandatareasonablecost(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).
Technologyrisks—risksfrommultiplefactorsassociatedwiththeintroductionofanewtechnology,suchasfuelcells,hybrid‐electricvehicles,CNGandLNGsystems,etc.Theriskscouldincludehigher‐than‐expectedcosts,lowerperformance,highermaintenanceandservicecosts,moreservicecallsanddowntime,safetyissues,durability,infrastructuredevelopmentandstability,trainedpersonnel,etc.,directlyattributabletothenoveltechnology(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).
Performancerisks—risksduetothelossthatmayoccurfromtheinefficientoperationsofacomponent,subsystem,ortheentiresystem.Theseinefficienciesmaycomefromtechnologicallimitations,limitationsduetoconfigurationissues(e.g.,higherweightofaCNGbus),morefrequentfailures(e.g.,problemswithLNGcontainment),inexperiencedsupportpersonnel,inappropriatefuelquality,etc.(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).
Safetyrisks—risksatthefirstlevelofimpactincludingdeath,injury,anddamagetoproperty.Safetyriskscanalsohaveseveresecondaryimpacts,andinthecaseoftransitbuses,justtheperceptionofasafetyissuecangroundafleetandimposesevereredesign,modification,insurance,andothercosts.Thefactorofsafetyisakeyriskconsideration(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).
52
Fuelavailabilityrisks—theriskofanagencyexperiencingadisruptioninfuelsupply.Thisriskexistsforalltypesoffuel.However,whenoperatingCNG,agenciestypicallyhavenoon‐sitefuelstorage.ThismakesthethreatofdisruptionsmuchmoreseriousforthoseagenciesthatoperateCNGvehicles.Asdiscussedpreviously,natural‐gassuppliersprovidefuelthroughapipeline.Ifthepipelinebecomesrupturedordisruptedinanyway,thetransitagencymightnotbeabletofuelthevehicles.AgenciescanstoredieselandLNGon‐siteinlargestoragetanks.Agenciescanpurchasethesefuelsfrommultiplesources;therefore,theissueoffueldisruptionisreduced.However,TCRPReport142states,“CNG…whensuppliedbypipelineisanequalormoredependablesourceoffuelthandiesel”(ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation2011).Whendiscussingdisruptionsinfuelsupply,thebenefitofusingnaturalgasoverdieselisthefactthat80‐90percentofnaturalgasisproduceddomestically(U.S.DepartmentofEnergy2011b).Whileadisruptionmayoccurinthepipelinesupplytotheagency,thepossibilityofthedisruptionlastinglongtermisverylow.Twoofthepeeragencies,SunMetroandOmnitrans,useLNGasafeedstockthattheyconverttoCNGfuel.Thisprocessallowseachagencytohavefuelstorageon‐site.
CapitalCostExpendituresandCostRecoveryAsseenintheLCCM,implementingaCNGfuelingoperationrequiresasignificantcapitalinvestment.ThissectionprovidesananalysisoftheamountoftransitservicerequiredtoseecostbenefitsfromoperatingCNGvehicles.Thissectionprovidesliteratureonthepaybackperiod,rateofreturn(ROR),andvaryingLCCMscenariosthatcouldcausefinancialimpactsontheuseofCNGinatransitfleet.
PaybackPeriodandRateofReturnThepaybackperiodandrateofreturnoninvestmentsprovideawaytomeasurethesuccessoftheinvestment.Thedefinitionsforpaybackperiodandrateofreturnare:
ROR—thedesiredannualreturnoninvestment.WhenchoosingatargetROR,manycompaniescompareittowhattheycouldmakeiftheyinvestedtheirmoneyinanotherprojectwithsimilarrisk.Tenpercentisagoodbaselineintheprivatesectorbecausethatiswhatthestockmarkethasaveragedoverthelongterm.Municipalgovernmentsgenerallyconsider6percentthebaselinebecausethatiswhatitcostsagovernmenttoraisemoneythroughbonds.
Paybackperiod—theperiodafterwhichtheinvestmenthasbrokenevenandisstartingtoturnprofits.Atthispoint,aninvestmentnolongercarriestheriskoflosingmoney.Stable,progressivefleetscanhaveatargetpaybackperiodofsevenyears,whilemorerisk‐adversefleetscanrequireathree‐yearpayback(Johnson2010).
ManyagenciesinvestinaCNGfuelingstationforcost‐savingsbenefits.Thecostsavingsarehighlydependentonthepriceoffuel.Otherfactorsincludethecostofmaintenanceofthevehiclesandthefuelingstation.AsseenintheLCCM,thecostofmaintainingCNGvehiclesissimilartothecostofmaintainingdieselvehicles.Thecostofmaintainingand
53
poweringtheCNGfuelingstationisonaverage$0.36perDGE.TomakeCNGeconomicallyviable,naturalgasmustbepricedtooffsetthehighercapitalandoperatingexpendituresseeninCNGfacilitiesandvehicles.ThereportBusinessCaseforCompressedNaturalGasinMunicipalFleetsbyCaleyJohnsonwithNRELprovidesinformationonthefinancialaspectsofoperatingCNGinmunicipalfleets(Johnson2010).JohnsondevelopedamodelthatcomparestheuseofCNGinvaryingmunicipalfleettypes—suchasrefusetrucks,transitvehicles,andschoolbuses.ThemodeliscalledtheCNGVehicleandInfrastructureCash‐FlowEvaluation(VICE)model.IntheanalysisofdeterminingtherateofreturnandpaybackperiodforCNGtransitvehicles,themodelinputsincludethefollowingvariables(amongothers):
Annualvehiclemilestraveled—35,286. Averagemilespergallon—fordiesel3.27,andforCNG3.02. Averagefuelprice—fordiesel$2.56,andforCNG$1.18. Stationcostandoperation—determinedinthemodelbythenumberofvehiclesand
annualmiles. IncrementalcostsofCNGvehicles—$50,502.
ThemodelalsoincludesincentivesandcreditsforpurchasingandoperatingCNGfleets.Thefollowinglistprovidestheincentivesandcreditsusedinthemodel:
$0.55taxcreditperDGE. Credittocover80percentoftheincrementalcostofaCNGvehicle. Creditof$50,000forinstallingaCNGstation.
Themodeldeterminedthatwhenatransitagencyhasapproximately50CNGvehicles,theagencycanexpecttoseeanRORofabout30percent,andwhenanagencyhas200CNGvehicles,theagencyhasanRORofabout50percent(Johnson2010).ThepaybackperiodforaCNGstationandvehicleinvestmentislargelydeterminedbythenumberofvehiclestheagencyoperates.WhenanagencyoperatesaCNGfleetofbetween10and20vehicles,thepaybackperiodmaybeinupwardsof15years.However,whenanagencyhasatleast30vehicles,thepaybackperioddropsprecipitouslytoaroundsixtosevenyears.Whenanagencyoperatesafleetof200vehicles,thepaybackperioddropstoaroundthreeyears(Johnson2010).JohnsondeterminedthatinorderforatransitagencytobreakevenbyreachinganRORofatleast6percent,theagencywouldneedtooperateatleast11vehicles(Johnson2010).Johnsonalsolookedatwhatthepaybackperiodwouldbewithoutthecreditsforafleetof100vehicles.TheresultsareprovidedinTable4‐1.
Table4‐1PaybackPeriodwithandwithoutCreditsCreditScenario AllCredits NoFuelCredit NoVehicleCredit NoStationCredit NoCreditsNumberofyears 3.6 5.9 5.5 3.6 9.1Asshowninthetable,thefuelcredithasthelargestimpact,followedbythevehiclecredit.Withoutanycredits,theexpectedpaybackperiodis9.1years.Basedontheresultsofthe
54
VICEmodel,thecostbenefits/risksassociatedwithimplementingaCNGfleetaredependentontheavailablecredits;however,withoutcredits,theagencyshouldseebenefitswithinthenormal12‐yearlifeofthevehicle.TTIresearchersexaminedtheLCCMtodeterminetherequirednumberofCNGvehiclesatagivenfacilityneededtojustifythecapitalinvestmentforCNG.ResearchersfoundthatinordertoimplementaCNGfuelingoperation,theagencyneedsatleast11CNGvehiclestobreakevenwiththecostofoperatingdieselvehiclesovera12‐yearvehiclelife.Inthisscenario,thecapitalcostsoftheCNGfuelingstationarepricedtoincludecapacityforonly11vehicles,whichisabout$1.17million.Thisscenarioalsodoesnotincludetaxcredits.Thepriceofnaturalgasoverdieselprovidesenoughsavingsthatan11‐vehicleCNGfleetisviableatanyonefacility.Table4‐2providespurchasescenariosinincrementsoffivevehicles.BasedonthevariableswithintheLCCM,themorevehiclespurchased,thegreaterthecostsavings.
Table4‐2LCCofPurchaseScenariosNumberofVehicles CNG40Foot Diesel40Foot
PercentageDifference
11 $15,850,772 $15,800,510 0%
15 $21,225,599 $21,546,150 1%
20 $27,944,131 $28,728,200 3%
25 $34,662,664 $35,910,250 3%
30 $41,381,197 $43,092,299 4%
35 $48,099,730 $50,274,349 4%
40 $54,818,263 $57,456,399 5%
45 $61,536,796 $64,638,449 5%
50 $68,255,329 $71,820,499 5%
55 $74,973,862 $79,002,549 5%
60 $81,692,394 $86,184,599 5%
65 $88,410,927 $93,366,649 5%
70 $95,129,460 $100,548,699 5%
75 $101,847,993 $107,730,749 5%
80 $108,566,526 $114,912,798 6%
85 $115,285,059 $122,094,848 6%
90 $122,003,592 $129,276,898 6%
95 $128,722,125 $136,458,948 6%
100 $135,440,657 $143,640,998 6%Figure4‐1providesthepurchasescenariosingraphicform.Thefigureshowsthatastheagencypurchasesmorevehicles,thegapwidensbetweentheLCCofdieselandtheLCCofCNGgrows.
55
Figure4‐1LCCofPurchaseScenarios
CapitalMetroProcurementConsiderationsCapitalMetroisconsideringpurchasingCNGvehiclesbeginningin2015.Table4‐3providestheprocurementscenariobeginningwithaninitialpurchaseofdieselvehiclesin2012.ThetableshowstheadditionofCNGvehiclestotwofacilitiesbetween2015and2020.
Table4‐3CapitalMetroProcurementScenarioType 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Diesel 27
CNGFacilityA 45 46 54 36
CNGFacilityB 85 36
TodeterminethecostadvantagesofpurchasingCNGvehiclesoverdieselvehicles,TTIresearchersusedtheLCCMtorunmultipleprocurementscenariosforeachpurchaseyear.Theanalysisincludedtheproposednumberofbusesineachpurchaseyear.TheanalysisaccountsfortherequiredinfrastructureforeachCNGpurchase.Table4‐4providestheresultsoftheanalysis.
$0
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
$140,000,000
$160,000,000
11 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
CNG 40'
Diesel 40'
56
Table4‐440‐FootBusPurchaseScenarios(NoCredits)
Year NumberofVehicles
CNG Diesel Hybrid‐Diesel
2015 45 $63,741,263 $66,551,148 $76,465,682
2016 46 $64,739,010 $68,555,034 $78,686,462
2017 54 $76,716,798 $81,111,903 $92,978,489
2018 85 $122,901,969 $128,703,638 $147,293,961
2019 36 $52,185,614 $54,957,649 $62,920,129
2020 36 $52,716,869 $55,418,590 $63,381,071
Total 302 $433,001,523 $455,297,962 $521,725,794Ineachpurchase,themodeloutputshowsthecostsavingsofCNGoverdieselandhybrid‐diesel.Basedonthescenario,theagencycanexpectasavingsofabout$22millionoverthecumulativeservicelivesofthevehicles(12yearsforeachvehicle)byusingCNGoverdiesel.
LCCScenarioConsiderationsTousetheLCCMtoassessthefinancialriskassociatedwithimplementingaCNGfleet,TTIresearchersadjustedthehigh‐impactvariableswithinthemodeltodeterminewhentheLCCsfordieselandCNGareaboutequal.Researcherskeptallvariablesconstantwiththeexceptionofthehigh‐impactvariables,providedinTable4‐5.Researchersalsoassumednocreditsareavailable.ThistestscenariocomparesonlyCNG40‐footvehiclestodiesel40‐footvehicles.
Table4‐5LCCHigh‐ImpactVariablesInputs CNG Diesel Hybrid
SizeofFleet 100 100 100AnnualMileageperVehicle 45,000 45,000 40,000FuelEconomy(MilesperDGE) 3.1 3.6 3.8ProjectedFuelCosts(perDGE) $2.07 $3.93 $3.93UnscheduledMaintenance $0.44 $0.42 $0.45ScheduledMaintenance $0.31 $0.23 $0.20
Infrastructure$2.5million
‐ ‐
AnnualO&MforFuelingStation ‐ ‐ThefuelpricesperDGEusedintheLCCMare$2.07forCNGand$3.93fordiesel.Withallvariablesstayingconstant,includingthepriceofdieselfuel,thepriceofCNGperDGEwouldneedtoaverage$2.54tobreakevenwiththecostofdiesel.Thisrepresentsanincreaseofabout23percent.Fromanotherperspective,ifthepriceofCNGremainsconstantat$2.07whiledieseldropsinprice,thepriceofdieselwouldneedtodropto$3.38beforetheLCCsofCNGanddieselbreakseven.Thisrepresentsadecreaseof14percentinthepriceofdiesel.AsseeninFigure2‐1,thepricesofCNGanddieseltendtoincreaseanddecreaseatthesametime,soanincreaseinCNGpricewouldresultinanincreaseindieselpriceaswell.Table4‐6andTable4‐7providethethreescenariosusedin
57
theLCCanalysis.ThetableprovidesthebreakevenfuelpricesforCNGanddieselunderthe40‐footLCCscenarios.
Table4‐6CNGBreakevenFuelPricewithDiesel
VehicleTypeCurrentFuelPrice
Breakeven %+or‐ OriginalLCC TotalLCC
CNG40foot $2.07 $2.54 23% $135,440,657 $143,627,754
Diesel40foot $3.93 $3.93 0% $143,640,998 $143,640,998
Hybrid40foot $3.93 $3.93 0% $165,484,742 $165,484,742
Table4‐7DieselBreakevenFuelPricewithCNG
VehicleType CurrentFuelPrice
Breakeven %+or‐ OriginalLCC TotalLCC
CNG40foot $2.07 $2.07 0% $135,440,657 $135,440,657
Diesel40foot $3.93 $3.38 14% $143,640,998 $135,390,998
Hybrid40foot $3.93 $3.38 14% $165,484,742 $157,668,952
Table4‐5providesthescheduledandunscheduledmaintenance‐costestimatesforeachLCCscenario.Thetotalmaintenancecostspermile(scheduledandunscheduled)rangefrom$0.65to$0.75.Eachagencyexperiencesvaryingcostsassociatedwithmaintenancebecausemaintenancecostsarelargelydependentontheoperatingconditionsofthevehicle.TodeterminethecostinwhichmaintenanceonCNGvehicleswouldhavetoriseinordertobreakevenwiththecostofoperatingdieselvehicles,TTIresearchersadjustedmaintenancecostswithintheLCCM.Allothervariablesinthemodelwereheldconstantwiththepreviousanalysisconductedinthisreport.Table4‐8providestheresultsofadjustingthecostofmaintainingCNGvehicles.
Table4‐8CNGMaintenanceBreakevenPricewithDiesel
VehicleTypeMaintenancepermile Breakeven %+or‐ OriginalLCC TotalLCC
CNG40foot 0.75 0.90 20% $135,440,657 $143,666,760
Diesel40foot 0.75 0.5 0% $143,640,998 $143,640,998
Hybrid40foot 0.65 0.33 0% $139,054,919 $139,054,919
Thetableshowsthatmaintenancecostswouldneedtoincrease20percentto$0.90permiletohavethesameLCCasthedieselscenario.Thisrepresentsasubstantialincreaseinmaintenancecosttobreakevenwithdiesel.
KeyFindings ThepriceofCNGperDGEwouldneedtoaverage$2.54fortheLCCsofCNGand
dieseltobreakeven.Thiswouldrepresentanincreaseofabout23percentinthecostofCNGperDGE.
Thepriceofdieselwouldneedtodropto$3.38fortheLCCsofCNGanddieselbreakeven.Thisrepresentsadecreaseof14percentinthepriceofdiesel.
58
MaintenancecostsforCNGwouldneedtoincrease20percentto$0.90permilefortheCNGscenariotohavethesameLCCasthedieselscenario.
ToimplementaCNGfuelingoperation,theagencyneedsatleast11CNGvehiclestobreakevenwithcostofoperatingdieselvehiclesovera12‐yearvehiclelife.
WhenusingthecapitalbuspurchasescenariosintheLCC,thepurchaseofCNGvehiclesinsteadofdieselorhybridvehiclesleadstoabout$22millioninsavingsoverthecumulativeservicelivesofthevehicles(12yearsforeachvehicle).
59
ReferencesAdams,R.,andD.B.Home.CompressedNaturalGas(CNG)TransitBusExperienceSurvey.
Golden:NationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory,2010.ArcadisGerahtyandMiller,Inc.TCRPReport38:GuidebookforEvaluating,Selecting,and
ImplementingFuelChoicesforTransitBusOperations.Washington,D.C.:TransportationResearchBoard,1998.
Barnhart,Vern,directorofbusmaintenanceSacramentoRegionalTransitDistrict,interviewbyMattSandidge(August15,2011).
Chandler,K.,E.Eberts,andM.Melendez.WashingtonMetropolitanAreaTransitAuthority:CompressedNaturalGasTransitBusEvaluation.Golden:NationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory,2006.
Eudy,Leslie.NaturalGasinTransitFleets:AReviewoftheTransitExperience.Golden:NationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory,2002.
GeneralMonitors.FundamentalsofCombustibleGasDetection:AGuidetotheCharacteristicsofCombustibleGasesandApplicableDetectionTechnologies.LakeForest,CA:GeneralMonitors,n.d.
Hyinke,David,fleetandfacilitiesprogramsupervisorRegionalPublicTransportationAuthority,interviewbyMattSandidge(August1,2011).
Johnson,Caley.BusinessCaseforCompressedNaturalGasinMunicipalFleets.Golden:NationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory,2010.
Kalet,George.“2011APTABusandParatransitConferenceAlternativeFuelsTechnology.”Memphis:NaturalGasVehicleInstitute,2011.
Richardson,Steve,andBrooksMcAllister.ViabilityStudyforTransitioningtheDieselBusFleetofCentralArkansasTransitAuthoritytoCompressedNaturalGas.NorthLittleRock:CentralArkansasTransitAuthority,2009.
ScienceApplicationsInternationalCorporation.TCRPReport146:GuidebookforEvaluatingFuelChoicesforPost‐2010TransitBusProcurements.Washington,D.C.:TransportationResearchBoard,2011.
TexasConstitutionandStatutes.TexasConstitutionandStatutes.2011.http://www.statutes.legis.state.tx.us/Docs/NR/htm/NR.116.htm#116.011(accessedSeptember9,2011).
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy.AlternativeFuelsandAdvancedVehiclesDataCenter.June15,2011a.http://www.afdc.energy.gov/afdc/laws/laws/US/tech/3253(accessedSeptember9,2011).
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy.CleanCitiesAlternativeFuelPriceReport.Washington,D.C.:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,2011b.
U.S.DepartmentofEnergy.NaturalGasBasics.Washington,D.C.:U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,2010.
60
AppendixA:Bus‐FleetInventoryandRehabilitationAnalysis
61
CapitalMetrocontainsafleetofabout400fixed‐routeand120demand‐responsevehicles.Thefleetrangesfromoneto14yearsofageandcontainsamixofmakesandmodels.ThissubtaskprovidesabaselinesummaryofCapitalMetro’sfleet.
BaselineSummaryVehicleCountTheCapitalMetrofixed‐routefleetcontainsvehiclesrangingfrom30to45feetinlengthandconsistsofdieselsanddieselhybrids.Thefleetcontainsamixofbusesusedfordifferentservicetypes.Theseservicetypesincludelocalfixed‐route,UniversityofTexas(UT)Shuttle,flyer,andcommuterservice.FigureA‐1providesabreakdownofthefixed‐routefleetownedbyCapitalMetro.
FigureA‐1Fixed‐RouteVehicleBreakdown
Thefigureshowsthatmostvehiclesareeither35‐footor40‐footbuses.CapitalMetrousesthesebusesforlocalfixed‐routeserviceandtheUTShuttle.The45‐footover‐the‐road‐coach(ORC)busesareusedforpark‐and‐rideserviceservingnorthandnorthwestAustin.The40‐footSuburban(SUB)vehiclesprovidetheremainingpark‐andrideservicethroughoutAustinandsomeflyerservice.Thethree40‐foothybridbusesareusedforlocalroutes.CapitalMetrousesthe34‐footOpus(OPS)mainlyasUTShuttlebuses.Thefixed‐routevehiclesarelocatedatthreeseparatefacilities:theMainFacilityat2910East5thStreet,theNorthOperations(NorthOps),andthe51stStreetfacility.FigureA‐2providesabreakdownofthenumberofvehiclesbyfacility.
3530
118
185
3
28
10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
30' 34' OPS 35' 40' 40' HYB 40' SUB 45' ORC
62
FigureA‐2Fixed‐RouteVehiclesbyFacility
Asseeninthisfigure,CapitalMetrohousesthemajorityofthefixed‐routefleetattheMainFacilityat2910East5thStreet.NorthOpscontainsthesecondmostvehicles.TheNorthOpsfacilityhousestheUTShuttlevehicles.The51stStreetfacilityisforvehiclesservingvariouspartsoftheCapitalMetroservicearea.
VehicleAgeCapitalMetrofixed‐routevehiclesrangeinagefromoneto14years.FigureA‐3providestheaverageageofeachvehicletype.Theaverageageforeachfleettypeismorethansevenyears—the40‐foothybridsfollowedbythe45‐footover‐the‐roadcoachvehiclesaretheyoungestcategoriesonaverage.Theoldestvehicletypeisthe30‐footvehiclecategory.FigureA‐4providestheaveragevehicleagebyfacility.TheNorthOpsfacilityhousestheoldestfleet.Thesevehiclesaveragealmost12yearsinage,whiletheothertwofacilitiesaveragearoundeighttonineyearsofage.
253
48
108
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1 Total 5 Total 7 Total
63
FigureA‐3AverageAgeofFixed‐RouteBus
FigureA‐4AverageVehicleAgebyFacility
VehicleMileageThefleet‐wideaveragefixed‐routevehiclemileageisjustover300,000(302,016).FigureA‐5providestheaveragemileageforeachtypeofbus.WhencomparingFigureA‐3toFigureA‐5,theagecorrespondstothenumberofmilesofeachtypeofbus.The30‐footbusesaveragethemostmiles—closeto600,000.The30‐footbusesarealsotheoldest
14.4
7.4
10.5
8.8
7.1
10.4
7.2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
30' 34' OPS 35' 40' 40' HYB 40' SUB 45' ORC
Age of Bus
Type of Bus
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
1 5 7
Age of Bus
Facility
64
categoryofvehicle.FigureA‐6providesaveragefixed‐routemilesbyfacility.TheNorthOpsfacilityhasthelowestaveragemileage.Thesebusesarealsosomeoftheoldestwithinthefleet.ThesearetheUTShuttlebuses,whichhaveservicecharacteristicsleadingtolowerannualmiles.FigureA‐7providestheaveragemileagebymodelyear.Newvehiclesaveragefewermiles;however,vehiclespurchasedin1999haveanaveragemileageof78,009.Thevehiclespurchasedin1999are40‐footvehicleslocatedattheNorthOpsfacility.ThesearepartoftheUTShuttlebusesthathavefewerannualmilesthantheremainingfleet.
FigureA‐5AverageFixed‐RouteMileagebyType
573,206.0
171,175.7
362,993.2
235,061.0212,989.6
307,286.3276,443.5
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
30' 34' OPS 35' 40' 40' HYB 40' SUB 45' ORC
Mileage
Type of Bus
65
FigureA‐6AverageFixed‐RouteMileagebyFacility
FigureA‐7AverageMileagebyModelYear
376,887.8
258,638.7
145,899.1
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
Facility 1 Facility 5 Facility 7
Mileage
573,206.0
465,022.4
78,009.3
259,409.1
405,220.3
298,508.4
171,175.7
211,929.0
100,879.9123,036.5
69,869.6
25,996.90
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
66
FuelEfficiencyThetwomostfuel‐efficientcategoriesofvehiclesincludethe40‐footSuburbanandthe45‐footover‐the‐roadcoach.Thesevehicleshavefewerstops,whichallowthemtohaveahigherfueleconomy.FigureA‐8providestheaveragefueleconomyforeachbuscategory.
FigureA‐8AverageMilesperGallonbyBusType
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
30' 34' OPS 35' 40' 40' HYB 40' SUB 45' ORC
Fixed Route