Canadian sustainability indicators (dimou, upward) (final v3.3)
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Transcript of Canadian sustainability indicators (dimou, upward) (final v3.3)
ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou #208067951, Antony Upward #211135423
Accounting for the Sustainability of the Canadian Economy
Week 7: Issue Seminar
Nov 2, 2010ES/ENVS 5164
(Please Review Speakers Notes)
2ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward 2
Approach
1. For Canada…what is the meaning of:• Sustainability• Economy• Accounting / Measurement
2. What / how to measure sustainability?• What measures exist?• What are the current gaps?
• i.e. how sustainable is Canada today?
3. Why are we still using GDP?4. Solutions and Conclusions5. Questions
3ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
What is ‘sustainability’?
• What does ‘sustainability’ mean to you?
4ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Strong Sustainability• Weak vs. Strong Sustainability
• Beyond Strong Sustainability? – Non-anthropocentric ethics and practices, equality among species,
reduction of human population... (Thrasymachus' 'might over right' or injustice is justice)
• Our View:– Humans need to live within nature's carrying capacity over-time, or
else... – Four dimensions must be accounted for:
• Environment• Equity• Economics• Time – Inter-generationality
5ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Defining Strong Sustainability• “Bruntland”* definition:
– A sustainable development is development– That meets the needs of the present generation, – That does not compromise the ability of future generations to meet their own
needs• Weak and oxymoronic
• Our View– “Extended” Brundtland† adds:
– In which each human being has the opportunity to develop itself in freedom, within a well-balanced society and in harmony with its surroundings.
• Stronger…but still problematic• Or
– Ehrenfeld‡ who starts from a different place:– The possibility that human and other life will flourish on the planet forever
• Multi-systemic (environment, economy, equity), inter-generational, aspirational / inspirational?
* United Nations General Assembly of the Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development (the Brundtland Commission) “Our Common Future”, 1987
† From Sustainable Society Index (http://www.wikiprogress.org/index.php/Sustainable_Society_Index#History)‡ Ehrenfeld, J. (2008). Sustainability by design: a subversive strategy for transforming our consumer culture. New Haven: Yale
University Press.
6ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
What is the Economy?
• From current common usage– i.e. the monetary / fiscal view of society
• Our view…from its etymological roots – i.e. "house hold management"
• Presume includes all issues pertaining to the objective of the household - i.e. intergenerational flourishing of its members and the environment that supports its members
7ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
What is Measurement (aka Accounting) in this Context?
• Early approaches were purely economic, i.e. GDP and criticised as such:– Simon Kuznets (1934) “...the welfare of a nation can, therefore, scarcely be
inferred from a measure of national income...”
• Later approaches add the idea of welfare / happiness– Subjective measure, albeit quantified in economic terms– Economists equate happiness to utility, i.e. revealed preference
• Ecological economics– Full integration of environment, equity and economy over time– Debate about if / how to quantify all three in economic terms
• Our View:– Balanced measurements of all three over time vital– Economic valuations of
• Nature not as precise as biophysical measurements, though latter remains complex and uncertain
• Equity add a layer of complexity to an already inexact science
8ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Measurement…Bad News…
• Measuring is hard – Getting consistent and reliable data is hard
• People argue about “right” / “best” ways
• Scientific knowledge* incomplete• What to measure• What level a measure have for sustainability
– Although we have some good ideas
* Natural, Biological, Systems, Social, Economic
9ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Measurement…Good News…• A lot of work by a lot of people
– Many based on Agenda 21 from Rio UN Earth Summit 1992
• Global– United Nations
• Indicators of Sustainable Development 96 indicators in 14 groups covering all three dimensions of sustainability
• Statistics Division Handbook “brings together economic and environmental information in a common framework to measure the contribution of the environment to the economy and the impact of the economy on the environment “
– World Bank’s “World Development Indicators”• Database of 700 indicators of “the progress of development”, updated annually for 200 countries• 54 indicators available for Canada across all three dimensions of sustainability. • No single index…yet…plans announced last week
– WikiProgress / Sustainable Society Index• 6 themes covering all three dimensions
• Canada
– Lots of criticism of GDP – Lots of work on non-Economic measures – Fewer trying to integrate economic and non-economic– Bias of current Federal Government is evident in (lack of) progress in last 5 years
10ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Open Spreadsheet for Details – 2nd Tab
Ranking and Discussion of Sustainability Indexes*
1 Sustainable Society Index (SSI)
Canadian Index of Wellbeing (CIW)
3 Happy Planet Index (HPI)
4 Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI)
5 Index of Economic Well Being
6 Genuine Savings Rate
7 Weighted Index of Social Progress (WSIP)
8 Gross National Happiness (GNH)
9 Ecological Footprint
10 Environmental Performance Indicator (EPI)
11 Canadian Environmental Sustainability Indicators (CESI)
12 ESDI Canada (Development of CESI)
13 GDP (at PPP)
14 Net Domestic Product
15 Economic Well Being
16 Human Development Index (HDI)
* Highly subjective: sorted by intergenerational, environment, social/equity
Review of Sustainability Indicies
11ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
What Are the Gaps?
• To have a gap we need to have a target order to assess the current state!– Even if it just “more is better” (i.e. GDP)
• None of the measurement schemes appear to put much weight on proposing values of their index or underlying measures which would, if achieved, lead to a sustainable world
12ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Our Analysis – Why Are We still Using GDP?
SpecificGoals
Inter-GenerationalSustainability
“Biosphere Flourishing”
Result: The combination of the wide choice of measures (each backed
by special interest groups), and the delays in the loops lead us back to the measure we know which also happens to be “easy” to calculate
and understand - GDP
RTake Measurements
+ UnderstandGaps to Goals
+
Plan Actions to Close Gaps
+ExecutePlan to
Close Gaps
+
-
-
Get“Scared”
+
Criticise Measures
+
Develop(more)
Measures+
B+
ChooseMeasures To Pay
Attention To (Selectively!)
+
-B
R GDP Gets Measured & Paid
Attention To
Increase GDP
Based loosely on Herzi (2006)
13ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Our recommendation to Canada
• Pick a measure– Picking one is more important than which one!– Pick one that includes: intergenerational, includes
environment, social and economic dimensions• Sustainable Society Index (SSI)• Happy Planet Index (HPI)• Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI)
• Necessary but not sufficient– Set goals / policy objectives based on the measures
• Will require move to steady state via de-growth– Implement the policy, measure, improve over time
14ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Questions
15ENVS5164 Environmental and Ecological Economics , Marialena Dimou, Antony Upward
Bibliography• See spreadsheet for references to sources for Indexes reviewed• Bartelmus, Peter (2010). "The Use and Usefulness of Sustainability Economics". Ecological
Economics 69 2053–2055.• Birney, Anna, Charlotte Salazar, and Jen Morgan (2008) “How Do We Enable Systems Change
for a One Planet Future?” The Journal of Corporate Citizens no.30, p. 23-36.• Ehrenfeld, J. (2008). Sustainability by design: a subversive strategy for transforming our
consumer culture. New Haven: Yale University Press.• Hezri, Adnan A.; Dovers, Stephen R. “Sustainability indicators, policy and governance:• Issues for ecological economics” Ecological Economics, 60, p.86-99• Kuznets, Simon, 1934. "National Income, 1929-1932". 73rd US Congress, 2d session, Senate
document no. 124, page 7. http://library.bea.gov/u?/SOD,888 • Kuznets, Simon. "How To Judge Quality". The New Republic, October 20, 1962 • Nielson, H.R. (2010). “The joint discourse 'reflexive sustainable development': From weak
towards strong sustainable development”. Ecological Economics 69, 495- 501.• Pearce, David et al. (1989). “Blueprint for a Green Economy”. London, Earthscan p.1-27.• Rees, William. (1997). “Let's just assume we're sustainable”. Dollars and Sense 211 May-June.• Smith, Joseph Wayne and Gary Sauer-Thompson (1998). “Civilization's Wake: Ecology,• Economics and the Roots of Environmental Destruction and Neglect”. Population and
Environment: A Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies 19 no.6, July.• Zadek, S. (2004). “The civil corporation: the new economy of social citizenship”. Earthscan,
London