California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

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CALIFORNIA HOUSING MARKET UPDATE Monthly Sales and Price Statistics March 2016

Transcript of California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

Page 1: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

CALIFORNIA HOUSINGMARKET UPDATE

Monthly Sales and Price Statistics

March 2016

Page 2: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

SALES OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

California, Mar. 2016 Sales: 414,220 Units, +6.9% YTD, +5.7% YTY

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

*Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualizedSERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Mar16:415,220

Mar-15:392,660

Page 3: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

CALIFORNIA SALES(JAN 2000 – PRESENT)

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)

Page 4: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

BAY AREA SALES (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)YoY % chg.

Page 5: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

CENTRAL VALLEY SALES (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)YoY % chg.

Page 6: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)YoY % chg.

Page 7: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

SALES SHARE BY PRICE RANGE

14%

18%17%

14%

19%

9% 8%

3%

11%

18%17%

14%

20%

9% 9%

3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Mar-15 Mar-16

SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Page 8: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

SALES OF CONDO UNITS

California, Mar. 2016: 3,685 Units, +2.2% YTD, +1.1% YTY

SERIES: Sales of Condo UnitsSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Page 9: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

MEDIAN PRICE OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

California, Mar. 2016: $483,280, +8.9% MTM, +4.0% YTY

$-

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000P: May-07$594,530

T: Feb-09$245,230

-59% frompeak

SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Mar-16:$483,280

Mar-15:$464,640

Page 10: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50% Condo Single-Family Homes

HOME PRICE APPRECIATIONS HAVEMODERATED SINCE MID 2013

SERIES: Sales of SFH and Condo UnitsSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

YTY% Chg. in Price

Page 11: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

CA MEDIAN PRICE (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Median Price, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Month-to-Month % Chg

Page 12: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT

Mar. 2016: $227, Up 4.1% MTM, Even 0% YTY

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400PRICE PER SQ. FT.

SERIES: Median Price Per Square FeetSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Mar-16:$227

Mar-15:$227

Page 13: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

SALES PRICE -TO-LIST PRICE RATIO

Mar. 2016: 98.8%, Up 0.6% MTM, Up 0.3% YTY

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

102%Sales-to-List Price Ratio

SERIES: Sales-to-List RatioSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Mar-16:98.8%

Mar-15:98.5%

Page 14: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

INVENTORY CONTINUED TODECLINE FROM LAST YEAR

Mar. 2015: 3.6 Months; Mar. 2016: 3.8 Months

Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month inquestion. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and“Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question.

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Page 15: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

INVENTORY DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLYIN THE BAY AREA SINCE 2009 BUT REMAINED TIGHT

Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month inquestion. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and“Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question.

3.2

4.44.1

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0 Bay Area So CA Central Valley

SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Page 16: California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

DEMAND INCREASED IN FEBRUARYBUT SUPPLY CONTINUED TO DECLINE

-8%

1%

7%

3%

-3%

-9%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley

Sales Active ListingsYear-to-Year % Chg

SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Mar. 2016