California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

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California CD49 Immigration Survey October 28 th – 29 th , 2013

description

Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 718n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 49 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 28th - 29th, 2013

Transcript of California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Page 1: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

California CD49 Immigration

SurveyOctober 28th – 29th, 2013

Page 2: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 718n

autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election

voters in California Congressional District 49. This survey was commissioned by

America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted

October 28th - 29th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of

+/-3.65% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

Page 3: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

IssaImage Rating

Page 4: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Darrell Issa?

MEN WOMEN

58%50%

31%36%

7% 11%4% 3%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEHEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT NDEPENDENT

80%

16%

50%

11%

65%

38%

7%14%

8%2%

5% 4%

54%33

%

9%4%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 5: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Darrell Issa?

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

48%

42%

61% 58%54%

25%

44%

30%34% 34%

23%

5% 7% 6% 10%4% 9% 2%1%

3%

54%33%

9%4%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 6: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Darrell Issa?

WHTIE HISPANIC

54%

61%

35%

20%8% 14%

3% 4%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

54%33

%

9%4%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEHEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 7: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 8: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

74%

22% 4%

TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

44% 43%

27%33%

14%10%12%

8%2% 6%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE NO OPINION

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

38%

51% 46%

34% 32%

22%

13%

4%

19%12% 7% 9%3% 5% 5%

Page 9: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

74%

22%4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

36%

47%44%

40%

47%

36%

22%

29%32% 32%

24% 22%

8%

12%

6%4%9% 10% 11% 11%

8% 5% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 10: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

74%

22% 4%

TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

46%45%

30%30%

10%

13%

9% 9%5% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 11: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 12: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

70%

28% 2%

TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

39% 38%

29% 33%

18%

10%12%15%

2% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

45%

30%

35%31% 33%

28%

10%

15%19%

11%

18%15%

3% 3% 2%

Page 13: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

70%

28%2%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

49%46%

34% 35% 37%

23%29%

33% 33% 32%

15%18%

13%15%

11%8% 6%

17%

13%

17%

4% 2% 3% 3%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 14: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

70%

28% 2%

TOTAL SUPPORTTOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

38%

50%

32% 30%

12%14%15%

5%3% 1%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

Page 15: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Plan

– Image of Issa

Page 16: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Darrell Issa worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Darrell Issa, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

43%

22%

32%

3%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMAN

33%29%

10%14%

4% 3%

18% 19%

32% 31%

3% 5%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

39%

16%

31%

11% 13%13%

2% 6% 5%

14%

24%

18%

30%

36%

29%

3%6%

3%

Page 17: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Darrell Issa worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Darrell Issa, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

43%

22%

32%3%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

43%

30%33%

26% 28%

13% 15%11% 10%

13%11%

4%1% 3% 4%4%

19%22% 20%

18%

25%30% 29%

36%33%

4% 2% 4% 5% 4%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 18: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Darrell Issa worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Darrell Issa, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

WHITE HISPANIC

30%

44%

13%

8%3% 3%

17% 19%

33%

22%

4% 4%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

43%

22%

32%

3%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE NO OPINION

Page 19: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Path to

Citizenship

Page 20: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?

60%

20%

20%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIPLEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIPUNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

63%

58%

21% 18%15%

24%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIP LEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIP

UNSURE NO OPINION

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

63%

55%

61%

19% 18% 23%

18%

26%

16%

Page 21: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

49%

71%

61% 58% 61%

26% 21% 25%

18% 15%25%7% 14%

24% 24%

60%20%

20%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIP LEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIP UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 22: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?

WHITE HISPANIC

61%64%

18%20%20%

15%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIP

LEGAL STATUS, NO CITI-ZENSHIP

UNSURE NO OPINION

60%

20%

20%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIPLEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIPUNSURE NO OPINION

Page 23: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

Page 24: California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

White Hispanic Black Other

78%

13%3% 6%

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

10%13%

21%24%

32%52%

48%

FEMALE MALE

48%

30%

22%

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT