Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table),...

24
TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY* FRIDAY DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; PF , previous week’s forecast; CF, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion. *The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releases each Monday. Forecast data are from Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 20 . All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited. research.stlouisfed.org Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases. MONDAY* USFinancialData Calendar of Releases September 26, 2013 Advance Edition September 23 October 2 October 1 September 30 October 3 October 7 October 4 October 8 October 10 October 9 October 11 September 24 September 25 September 26 September 27 New Home Sales (Aug) Initial Claims (9/21) Personal Income (Aug) GDP (Q2) Consumption (Aug) A: 421K A: 305K A: N/A A: 2.5% A: N/A PF: 420K PF: 325K PF: 0.4% PF: 2.6% PF: 0.3% Durable Goods (Aug) A: 0.1% PF: 0.2% Corporate Profits (Q2) Core PCE (Aug) PF: 0.1% A: N/A Unemployment Rate (Sep) Construct Spending (Aug) PF: 0.5% CF: N/A ISM Index (Sep) PF: 56.0 CF: N/A Latest Issue National Economic Trends Initial Claims (9/28) PF: N/A CF: N/A Factory Orders (Aug) PF: 0.7% CF: N/A ISM Non Mfg Index (Sep) PF: 57.0 CF: N/A Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) PF: 174K CF: N/A Private Payrolls (Sep) PF: 178K CF: N/A PF: 7.3% CF: N/A Latest Issue Monetary Trends Consumer Credit (Aug) CF: N/A (previous meeting) International Trade (Aug) CF: N/A FOMC Minutes Initial Claims (10/5) CF: N/A Import Prices (Sep) CF: N/A PPI (Sep) CF: N/A Core PPI (Sep) CF: N/A Retail Sales (Sep) CF: N/A Business Inventories (Aug) CF: N/A

Transcript of Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table),...

Page 1: Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-rates all available data at the

TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY* FRIDAY

DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; PF, previous week’s forecast; CF, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion.

*The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releaseseach Monday.

Forecast data are from Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 20 . All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the

data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited.

research.stlouisfed.org

Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases.

MONDAY*

USFinancialData

Calendar of Releases

September 26, 2013

Advance Edition

September 23

October 2October 1September 30 October 3

October 7

October 4

October 8 October 10October 9 October 11

September 24 September 25 September 26 September 27

New Home Sales (Aug) Initial Claims (9/21) Personal Income (Aug)

GDP (Q2) Consumption (Aug)

A: 421K A: 305K A: N/A

A: 2.5% A: N/A

PF: 420K PF: 325K PF: 0.4%

PF: 2.6% PF: 0.3%

Durable Goods (Aug)

A: 0.1% PF: 0.2%

Corporate Profits (Q2) Core PCE (Aug)

PF: 0.1%A: N/A

Unemployment Rate (Sep)

Construct Spending (Aug)

PF: 0.5%CF: N/A

ISM Index (Sep)

PF: 56.0CF: N/A

Latest Issue

National Economic Trends

Initial Claims (9/28)

PF: N/ACF: N/A

Factory Orders (Aug)

PF: 0.7%CF: N/A

ISM Non Mfg Index (Sep)

PF: 57.0CF: N/A

Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep)

PF: 174KCF: N/A

Private Payrolls (Sep)

PF: 178KCF: N/A

PF: 7.3%CF: N/A

Latest Issue

Monetary Trends

Consumer Credit (Aug)

CF: N/A (previous meeting)

International Trade (Aug)

CF: N/A

FOMC Minutes Initial Claims (10/5)

CF: N/A

Import Prices (Sep)

CF: N/A

PPI (Sep)

CF: N/A

Core PPI (Sep)

CF: N/A

Retail Sales (Sep)

CF: N/A

Business Inventories (Aug)

CF: N/A

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Contents

Page

3 Adjusted Monetary Base

4 Adjusted Reserves

5 MZM

6 M2

7 Composition of Federal Reserve Assets and Liabilities

8 Reserve Bank Credit and Selected Categories

9 Other Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Items

10 Yields on Selected Securities

11 Corporate Bond Spreads and Mortgage Interest Rates

12 Yields on Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Treasury Securities

13 Federal Funds Futures Market

14 Equity Price Indices

15 Crude Oil Prices

16 Natural Gas Prices

17 Exchange Rates

18 Currency, Savings, and Small Time Deposits

19 Institutional and Retail Money Funds, and Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks

20 Bank Loans

21 Commercial Paper Outstanding

22 Reference Tables

23 Notes

Conventions used in this publication:

1. Unless otherwise indicated, figure and table data are weekly and seasonally adjusted.

2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-

rates all available data at the time of publication, which usually includes observations for the first three trading days of

the week (Monday through Wednesday). The previous observations signify that week’s average.

We welcome your comments addressed to:

Editor, U.S. Financial Data

Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

P.O. Box 442

St. Louis, MO 63166-0442

or to:

[email protected]

U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data in this publication, please visit research.stlouisfed.org/fred2

or call (314) 444-8590. To be added to our free email notification list, please visit our web site at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd.

Page 3: Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-rates all available data at the

U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

3Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

09/19/12 12/12/12 02/20/13 03/20/13 04/17/13 05/15/13 06/26/13 07/24/13

02/20/13 18.8

03/20/13 23.3 46.4

04/17/13 25.4 44.9 45.6

05/15/13 25.0 40.4 37.2 30.6

06/26/13 28.5 42.6 41.5 38.8 38.4

07/24/13 29.4 42.0 40.9 38.7 38.3 45.5

08/21/13 31.3 43.3 42.8 41.3 41.6 47.9 45.8

09/18/13 32.1 43.2 42.8 41.6 41.9 46.8 44.8 48.3

Adjusted Monetary Base

Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:To the average of

two maintenance

periods ending:

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Adjusted Monetary Base

2500

2600

2700

2800

2900

3000

3100

3200

3300

3400

3500

3600

3700

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

4Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

09/19/12 12/12/12 02/20/13 03/20/13 04/17/13 05/15/13 06/26/13 07/24/13

02/20/13 21.2

03/20/13 34.3 64.7

04/17/13 35.5 59.9 84.5

05/15/13 38.8 60.9 77.9 54.4

06/26/13 43.0 62.7 75.1 60.8 68.0

07/24/13 42.6 59.5 67.9 55.5 59.0 56.5

08/21/13 47.6 64.9 74.3 64.9 70.0 71.3 72.5

09/18/13 48.8 64.9 73.0 64.9 69.1 69.9 69.9 88.2

Adjusted Reserves

Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:To the average of

two maintenance

periods ending:

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Seasonally Adjusted

Adjusted Reserves

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

2000

2100

2200

2300

2400

2500

2600

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

5Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

09/17/12 12/10/12 02/18/13 03/18/13 04/15/13 05/13/13 06/24/13 07/22/13

02/18/13 8.5

03/18/13 6.9 5.3

04/15/13 7.5 6.7 4.7

05/13/13 6.8 5.8 3.8 6.8

06/24/13 6.7 5.8 4.4 6.3 4.2

07/22/13 7.2 6.6 5.8 7.6 6.5 8.3

08/19/13 7.5 7.1 6.6 8.3 7.5 9.2 11.8

09/16/13 7.2 6.8 6.3 7.6 6.9 8.0 9.2 7.7

MZM

Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:To the average

of four weeks

ending:

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

MZM

10900

11000

11100

11200

11300

11400

11500

11600

11700

11800

11900

12000

12100

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

6Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

09/17/12 12/10/12 02/18/13 03/18/13 04/15/13 05/13/13 06/24/13 07/22/13

02/18/13 7.2

03/18/13 5.9 4.0

04/15/13 6.7 5.7 5.1

05/13/13 6.2 5.1 4.3 7.0

06/24/13 5.9 4.9 4.3 5.8 3.6

07/22/13 6.4 5.8 5.7 7.2 6.0 7.4

08/19/13 6.8 6.3 6.4 7.9 7.0 8.3 11.5

09/16/13 6.5 6.0 6.0 7.1 6.3 7.2 8.6 6.8

M2

Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:To the average

of four weeks

ending:

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

M2

9800

9900

10000

10100

10200

10300

10400

10500

10600

10700

10800

10900

11000

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

7Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Billions of Dollars

End of Period Wednesday Figures

Composition of Federal Reserve Assets

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000Market Adjustment to Treasury and MBS Portfolio

Short-Term Lending to Financial Firms and Markets

Rescue Operations

Operations Focused on Longer-Term Credit Conditions

Traditional Portfolio

Traditional Portfolio and Long-Term Assets

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Billions of Dollars

End of Period Wednesday Figures

Composition of Federal Reserve Liabilities

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

Source Base (not adjusted for reserve requirement changes)

Treasury Financing Account

Traditional Liabilities and Capital Account

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

8Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures

Reserve Bank Credit and Federal Reserve Holdings of U.S. Treasury Securities

Reserve Bank Credit

U.S. Treasury Securities

1500

1800

2100

2400

2700

3000

3300

3600

3900

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

End of Period Wednesday Figures

Term Deposits Held by Depository Institutions

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

9Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Millions of Dollars

Purchases of Agency Debt

Mortgage-Backed Securities

Averages of Daily Figures

Federal Reserve Holdings of Agency Debt and Mortgage-Backed Securities

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Maturity Distribution of U.S. Treasury Securities Held by the Federal Reserve

Billions of Dollars

1 Year or Less

1 to 5 Years

5 to 10 Years

Over 10 Years

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

10Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Percent

Corporate Aaa

Prime Rate

2-Year Swap

30-Day Nonfinancial Commercial Paper

Averages of Daily Figures

Yields on Selected Securities

0

1

2

3

4

5

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Percent

10-Year Treasury

Federal Funds Rate FFR Target Range 3-Month Treasury

|| |||

||

0

1

2

3

4

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

11Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Percent

Aaa - 10Y

Baa - 10Y

Averages of Daily Figures

Corporate Bond Yields Relative to Yields on 10 - Year Treasury Securities

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Percent

Jumbo

Conforming

Averages of Daily Figures

Interest Rates on 30 - Year Conforming and Jumbo Mortgages

2.8

3.3

3.8

4.3

4.8

5.3

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

12Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Percent

Averages of Daily Figures

Treasury Note Yields

5-Year

10-Year

30-Year

0

1

2

3

4

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Percent

Averages of Daily Figures

Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yields

5-Year

10-Year

30-Year

-2

-1

0

1

2

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Percent

Averages of Daily Figures

Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spreads

5-Year

10-Year

30-Year

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

13Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014

Contract Month

Percent

Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates

0.08

0.09

0.10

0.11

0.12

0.13

0.14

Week Ending:

09/25/13

08/28/13

07/31/13

2013

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

FFR Target Rate Range

Sep 2013

Oct 2013

Nov 2013

|||

Percent

Daily Data

Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

14Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Averages of Daily Figures

Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite

Closing Price February 5, 1971 = 100

NASDAQ (right scale)

Dow Jones (left scale)

11000

12000

13000

14000

15000

16000

2800

3000

3200

3400

3600

3800

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

January 2, 1980 = 1078.29 1941-43 = 10

S&P* (right scale)

Wilshire** (left scale)

Averages of Daily Figures

Wilshire 5000 and Standard & Poor's 500

*Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Standard & Poor's including its subsidiary corporations ("S&P") is a division of

The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Reproduction of this data in any form is prohibited without S&P's prior written permission.

**Source: Wilshire Associates Incorporated, www.wilshire.com

13000

14000

15000

16000

17000

18000

19000

1300

1400

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

15Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Dollars per barrel

West Texas Intermediate, Averages of Daily Figures

Crude Oil Spot Prices

85

90

95

100

105

110

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

2013 2014

Crude Oil Futures PricesWest Texas Intermediate

Dollars per barrel

09/25/2013

09/18/2013

93

95

97

99

101

103

105

107

109

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

16Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Dollars per million btu

Henry Hub, Averages of Daily Figures

Natural Gas Spot Prices

2.6

2.9

3.2

3.5

3.8

4.1

4.4

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

2013 2014

Natural Gas Futures Prices

Dollars per million btu

Henry Hub

09/18/2013

09/25/2013

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.9

4.0

4.1

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

17Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

January 1987=100March 1973=100

Broad Index (right scale)

Major Index (left scale)

Averages of Daily Figures

Trade-Weighted Exchange Rate Indexes

69

73

77

81

85

89

93

97

101

105

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Euro/US$ Yen/US$

Averages of Daily Figures

Euro (left scale)

Japan (right scale)

Exchange Rates

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

75

81

87

93

99

105

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

18Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Currency Component of M1

1040

1050

1060

1070

1080

1090

1100

1110

1120

1130

1140

1150

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollarsBillions of dollars

Small Time (left scale)

Savings (right scale)

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Savings and Small Time Deposits

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

4500

5000

5500

6000

6500

7000

7500

Page 19: Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-rates all available data at the

U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

19Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Retail Money

Institutional Money

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Institutional and Retail Money Funds

500

700

900

1100

1300

1500

1700

1900

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures

Total Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks

Note: Total borrowings include loans to depository institutions for primary, secondary, and seasonal credit, primary dealer and other broker-dealer credit.

This category also contains asset-backed commercial paper money market mutual fund liquidity facility, credit extended to American InternationalGroup, Inc.,net, term asset-backed securities loan facility, and other credit extensions. Term auction credit is excluded.

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

20Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars Billions of dollars

Bank Credit (left scale)

Loans and Leases (right scale)

All Commercial Banks in the United States, Seasonally Adjusted

Bank Loans and Credit

9500

9600

9700

9800

9900

10000

10100

10200

7000

7100

7200

7300

7400

7500

7600

7700

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars Billions of dollars

Large Banks (right scale)

All Banks (left scale)

Seasonally Adjusted

Commercial and Industrial Loans

1390

1430

1470

1510

1550

1590

1630

750

775

800

825

850

875

900

Page 21: Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-rates all available data at the

U.S. Financial Dataupdated through09/26/13

21Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Seasonally Adjusted

Commercial Paper Outstanding of Nonfinancial Companies

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

2012 2013

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Billions of dollars

Seasonally Adjusted

Commercial Paper Outstanding: Financial and Asset-Backed

Asset-Backed

Financial

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

09/26/13

22Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

30-Day 2-Year 3-Month 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 30-Year

Comm. 90-Day Interest Corporate Corporate Municipal Federal Treasury Treasury Treasury Treasury Treasury

Paper CDs Rate Swap Aaa Bonds Baa Bonds Bonds Funds Bill Securities Securities Securities Securities

Jul 5 0.07 . 0.53 4.33 5.36 4.39 0.09 0.04 0.36 1.45 2.56 3.53

12 0.06 . 0.52 4.37 5.41 4.55 0.10 0.04 0.37 1.48 2.64 3.65

19 0.05 . 0.49 4.31 5.29 4.52 0.09 0.03 0.33 1.35 2.54 3.59

26 0.05 . 0.49 4.34 5.25 4.77 0.09 0.03 0.32 1.36 2.57 3.61

Aug 2 0.05 . 0.49 4.42 5.32 4.70 0.09 0.04 0.32 1.40 2.64 3.69

9 0.05 . 0.48 4.43 5.34 4.73 0.09 0.05 0.32 1.38 2.62 3.68

16 0.06 . 0.51 4.56 5.44 4.80 0.08 0.05 0.34 1.50 2.73 3.77

23 0.05 . 0.55 4.67 5.55 4.91 0.09 0.04 0.38 1.64 2.86 3.87

30 0.05 . 0.55 4.54 5.40 4.96 0.08 0.03 0.39 1.60 2.76 3.72

Sep 6 0.05 . 0.62 4.67 5.49 5.03 0.08 0.02 0.47 1.76 2.92 3.84

13 0.05 . 0.60 4.70 5.54 4.93 0.08 0.02 0.46 1.73 2.92 3.85

20 0.05 . 0.52 4.67 5.49 4.66 0.08 0.01 0.36 1.54 2.79 3.81

27 0.05 . 0.48 4.54 5.37 . 0.08 0.02 0.35 1.35 2.67 3.68

Interest RatesPercent

*

*Averages of rates available

Small Retail Institutional

M2 MZM Currency Time Savings Money Money

Aug 5 10785 12002 1136 551.6 7000.9 659.5 1768.9

12 10762 11967 1137 550.6 7010.1 661.2 1755.7

19 10742 11945 1138 548.9 6997.2 659.0 1751.9

26 10778 11985 1141 545.8 7002.3 664.6 1752.2

Sep 2 10790 12015 1141 543.3 7001.9 667.4 1768.5

9 10790 12005 1143 541.2 7024.0 668.0 1756.2

16 10794 12031 1145 538.2 7033.6 668.2 1775.5

Money Stock and ComponentsBillions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

C&I C&I Comm.

Bank Loans and Loans Loans Paper Total

Credit Leases (All) (Large) (sa) Borrowings

Aug 14 9981.4 7293.6 1572.8 860.2 194.2 0.335

21 9984.1 7310.2 1570.4 861.2 210.8 0.344

28 9978.5 7308.1 1569.2 859.4 215.5 0.277

Sep 4 9963.1 7316.2 1571.4 858.5 215.5 0.270

11 9967.4 7313.6 1569.0 855.5 227.6 0.273

18 . . . . 229.5 0.286

25 . . . . 242.5 0.272

Bank Loans and CreditBillions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

AdjustedMonetary Adjusted

Base Reserves

Jun 26 3191.758 2053.18

Jul 10 3272.734 2114.49

24 3326.324 2167.86

Aug 7 3393.786 2266.90

21 3427.849 2274.85

Sep 4 3465.642 2316.59

18 3545.758 2403.20

Reserves and BaseBillions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

Major Broad Exchange Exchange

Exchange Exchange Rate: Rate:

Rate Index Rate Index Euro/$ Yen/$

Aug 9 76.1 101.5 0.751 97.1

16 76.1 101.7 0.753 97.6

23 76.2 102.3 0.747 98.0

30 76.6 102.9 0.752 98.1

Sep 6 77.0 103.1 0.760 99.5

13 76.3 102.2 0.753 99.7

20 75.7 101.3 0.745 99.2

Exchange Rates

Page 23: Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-rates all available data at the

portfolio holdings of Maiden Lanes I, II, III, and preferred interests in

AIA Aurora and ALICO Holdings. Operations focused on long term

credit conditions is the sum of Federal Reserve agency obligations held

outright, mortgage backed securities, the term asset-backed securities

loan facility (TALF), and the TALF LLC. Traditional portfolio is the

sum of treasury securities, gold certificate account, special drawing

rights, coin, items in process of collection, and bank premises. On the

liability side, Source base is the sum of deposits of depository institu-

tions and Federal Reserve notes. Treasury financing account appears

on the H.4.1. Traditional liabilities and capital account is the sum

of deferred availability cash items, foreign official account deposits,

U.S. Treasury general account, accrued dividends, reverse repurchase

agreements, other deposits, and capital accounts. H.4.1 data are not

seasonally adjusted.

Page 8: Federal Reserve Holdings of U.S. Treasury Securities

include nominal securities, inflation-indexed securities, and the com-

pensation that adjusts for the effect of inflation on the original face

value of inflation-indexed securities (inflation compensation). Term

Deposits Held by Depository Institutions are interest-bearing deposits

with a specific maturity date offered by the Federal Reserve Banks.

For more information on the Term Deposit Facility, see

http://www.frbservices.org/centralbank/term_deposit_facility.html.

Page 9: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.4.1

release. For more information, see

http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/recentactions.htm.

Page 10: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15

release, except for the Intended Federal Funds Rate. Federal Funds

Rate represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days

earlier than the date shown in the release.

Page 11: Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury security, Aaa- and Baa-

rated corporate bonds, and the interest rate on 3-year conforming

mortgages appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15 release. The

interest rates on jumbo mortgages (typically, mortgages in excess of

$417,000) are listed in the Wall Street Journal.

Page 12: Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yields are the most recently

issued inflation-indexed bonds of 5- ,10- , and 30-year original matu-

rities. Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spreads equal the difference

between yields on the most recently issued inflation-indexed bonds

and the unadjusted Treasury Note Yields of similar maturities.

Page 13: Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts trace through

time the yield on three specific contracts. Rates on Federal Funds

Futures on Selected Dates displays a single day’s snapshot of yields

for contracts expiring in the months shown on the horizontal axis.

Page 15: Crude Oil (West Texas intermediate) spot and futures prices

are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages

of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday.

Page 16: Natural Gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices are listed

in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages of daily

prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday.

Page 17: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release.

The Major Index comprises 7 currencies. The Broad Index comprises

the Major Index plus 19 additional currencies. Further details may

be found at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/summary/.

Page 18: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release.

Savings Deposits is the sum of money market deposit accounts and

passbook and state ment savings. Small Time Deposits have a minimum

initial maturity of 7 days. Savings deposits and small time deposits

are at all depository institutions.

Definitions M1: The sum of currency held outside the vaults of depository

institutions, Federal Reserve Banks, and the U.S. Treasury; travelers

checks; and demand and other checkable deposits issued by financial

institutions (except demand deposits due to the Treasury and depository

institutions), minus cash items in process of collection and Federal

Reserve float.

M2: M1 plus savings deposits (including money market deposit

accounts) and small-denomination (less than $100,000) time deposits

issued by financial institutions; and shares in retail money market

mutual funds (funds with initial investments of less than $50,000), net

of retirement accounts.

M3: M2 plus large-denomination ($100,000 or more) time deposits;

repurchase agreements issued by depository institutions; Eurodollar

deposits, specifically, dollar-denominated deposits due to nonbank U.S.

addresses held at foreign offices of U.S. banks worldwide and all

banking offices in Canada and the United Kingdom; and institutional

money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of $50,000

or more).

Notes Cover Page: Economic forecasts are median responses from the

Thomson Reuters Weekly Economic Survey, which is sent out to 20

to 25 Wall Street economists each week (usually on Tuesday). These

forecasts are released on Friday—at which time, Thursday’s USFD

cover page will be updated.

Page 3: Adjusted Monetary Base equals the sum of currency in

circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and the U.S. Treasury,

deposits of depository financial institutions at Federal Reserve Banks,

and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve require-

ments on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series

is a spliced chain index; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 1996b,

2001, 2003).

Page 4: Adjusted Reserves is defined as the sum of vault cash and

Federal Reserve Bank deposits held by depository institutions and an

adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements

on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series, a

spliced chain index, is numerically larger than the Board of Governors’

measure, which excludes vault cash not used to satisfy statutory reserve

requirements and Federal Reserve Bank deposits used to satisfy required

clearing balance contracts; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 2001,

2003).

Page 5: MZM includes the zero maturity, or immediately available,

components of M3. MZM equals M2 minus small-denomination time

deposits, plus institutional money market mutual funds (that is, the

money market mutual funds included in M3 but excluded from M2).

The label MZM, or “Money, Zero Maturity,” was coined by William

Poole (1991) for this aggregate, proposed earlier by Motley (1988).

Readers are cautioned that since early 1994 the level and growth of

M1 have been depressed by retail sweep programs that reclassify

transactions deposits (demand deposits and other checkable deposits)

as savings deposits overnight, thereby reducing banks’ required

reserves; see Anderson and Rasche (2001) and

research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/swdata.html.

Page 7: The asset groups are aggregates of the following categories

on the H.4.1: Short-term lending to financial firms and markets is

the sum of repurchase agreements, term auction credit, commercial

paper funding facility, central bank liquidity swaps, money market

investor funding facility, other loans (less AIG loan), and other assets.

Rescue operations is the sum of credit extended to AIG, and net

U.S. Financial Data

Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23

Page 24: Calendar of Releases · 2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-rates all available data at the

U.S. Financial Data

Page 19: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 and H.4.1

releases. Retail Money Funds are included in M2. Institutional

Money Funds are not part of M2; they used to be included in M3,

which was discontinued as of March 23, 2006.

See www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/discm3.htm.

Total Borrowings include loans to depository institutions for (i)

primary, secondary, and seasonal credit and (ii) primary dealer and

other broker-dealer credit. This category also includes the asset-

backed commercial paper money market mutual fund liquidity facility,

credit extended to American International Group, Inc., term asset-

backed securities loan facility, and other credit extensions. Term auc-

tion credit is excluded. Data and recent information regarding Federal

Reserve lending programs appear in the Federal Reserve Board's

H.4.1 release at http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/Current/.

Page 20: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.8 release.

Bank Loans and Credit include foreign-related institutions. Bank

Credit includes loans and leases and securities. All Banks includes

foreign-related institutions. Large Banks are domestically chartered

banks (adjusted for mergers) and report on a weekly basis.

Page 21: Current data appear at

www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/outstandings.htm.

Page 22: Treasury Security yields are Treasury constant maturities

as reported in the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve

System’s H.15 release.

The 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the secondary market yield from

the H.15 release. Federal Funds represents seven-day averages for

the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the table.

Municipal Bonds represents Bond Buyer’s Average Index of 20

municipal bonds, Thursday data.

SourcesBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Monetary aggregates and components: H.6 release. Bank credit: H.8

release. Total Borrowings and Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

Items: H.4.1 release. Interest rates: H.15 release. Exchange rates:

H.10 release. Commercial paper: Board of Governors web site.

Chicago Board of Trade

Federal funds futures contract.

Dow Jones Indexes

Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Adjusted monetary base, adjusted reserves, and MZM.

NASDAQ Stock Market, Incorporated

NASDAQ Composite.

Standard & Poor’s

Standard & Poor’s 500 composite index.

U.S. Department of the Treasury

U.S. inflation-indexed security yields.

Wall Street Journal

Jumbo mortgage interest rates, oil (West Texas intermediate) and

natural gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices.

Wilshire Associates Incorporated (www.wilshire.com)

Wilshire 5000.

References Anderson, Richard G. and Robert H. Rasche (1996a). “A Revised

Measure of the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base,” Federal

Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April, 78(2), pp. 3-13.

____ and ____(1996b). “Measuring the Adjusted Monetary Base in

an Era of Financial Change,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Review, November/ December, 78(6), pp. 3-37.

____ and ____(2001). “Retail Sweep Programs and Bank Reserves,

1994-1999,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,

January/February, pp. 51-72.

____ and ____ , with Jeffrey Loesel (2003). “A Reconstruction of the

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base and

Reserves,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,

September/October, 85(5), pp. 39-70.

Motley, Brian (1988). “Should M2 Be Redefined?” Federal Reserve

Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Winter, pp. 33-51.

Poole, William (1991). Statement before the Subcommittee on

Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance

and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, November 6,

1991. Government Printing Office, Serial No. 102-82.

Note: Articles from this Bank’s Review are available on the Internet

at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/.

Research Division

24 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis