Cairo, Egypt 25 – 26 October 2009
description
Transcript of Cairo, Egypt 25 – 26 October 2009
Cairo, Egypt25 – 26
October 2009
By: Dr. Abdel Kader LashineConsultant - ARADO
العربية الخارجية التجارة تطورواردات/ صادرات
Development of Foreign Trade in The Arab
World (Export/Import)
207278
334383
508311410
566
675
785
0100200300400500600700800900
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Bill
ion
US
Dol
lar Export
Import
Export Import
للدول التجاريين الشركاء أهم حصصعام في 2007العربية
(2007)
EU
USA
Arab Countries
Japan
China
Other Asians
Other Countries
Total
Export
18.3
9.8
8.3
11.4
5.3
18.6
28.3
100.0
Import
36.0
9.2
12.1
5.5
10.8
17.0
9.4
100.0
Share of Foreign Traders
With the Arab World
الدول بعض صادرات مساهمةالعربية
الصادرات قيمة إجمالي في .Share of Some Arab Countries in Arab Int)2007العربية (
Export
29.7
23
8.1 7.75.7 4.8 4.6 3.3 3.1 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
الخارجية للتجارة السلعي الهيكلالعربية للدول
Components of Arab Foreign Trade
واردات صادرات
المئوية البند النسبةصادرا
تواردات
معدني وقودمصOنوعات
ومعدات آالتنقل
أغذيOOOOOOOOOOOOOOة ومشروبات
خام موادمنتجات كيماوية
أخرى سلعالمجموع
75.5
11.8
4.0
2.2
2.1
3.6
0.9
100
5.9
27.8
38.0
12.7
4.9
7.9
2.8
100
البينية العربية التجارة قيمة تطورومساهمتها
العربية التجارة قيمة إجمالي في)2007البينية (
Development of Arab Bilateral Trade (Total Value – % of Int.-Trade)
2008 10.19.5 10.9 10.9 10.2 %
$B
Intra Regional Trade As a Share of Total Foreign Trade
(2006)
B – Arab Countries
A (World Economic Groups)
36.4
3026
17.9
11.1 10.7 9.36.5 5.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jordan Syria Lebanon Oman SaudiArabia &Bahrain
Egypt Tunis Qatar Kuwait
69.964.6
23.016.0
11.3
0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.0
NAFTA EU ASEAN MERCOSUR ARABCOUNTRY
بين المتبادلة التجارة قيمة نسبةإجمالي من التعاون مجلس دول
البينية ( العربية )2007تجارتهاBi-Lateral Trade of Gulf Countries
As % of their Arab Bi-lateral Trade
العربية للتجارة السلعي الهيكل Components of Arab Bi-lateral Tradeالبينية
(2007)
الدول( باقيالعربية)
تونس – – االبحرينالجزائر
الكويت – – قطرليبيا – لبنان
بين %3.0،% 2.0ما
الدول لبعض الرئيسية المساهمةالبينية العربية الصادرات في العربية
)2007(Share of Major Partners in Bi-lateral
Arab Trade
البينية العربية الواردات مساهمةمن وارداتها قيمة إجمالي في
العالم دول )2007( مختلف
Share of Bi-lateral Trade as % of Import Trade
38.7 38.633.1 31.9
14.9 14.811.1 11 10.3 9.6 8.1 7.4
05
1015202530354045%
العربية الصادرات مساهمةالبينية
من صادراتها قيمة إجمالي فيالعالم ( دول )2007مختلف
Share of Bi-lateral Trade as % of Export Trade
العربية البينية التجارة اتجاهات
عام بشك��ل ال��بيني التجاري التبادل معظ��م ترك��زمتجاورة عربية دول في
قطر
لبعض البينية الصادرات اتجاهاتالعربية الدول
إلى 62%اإلمارات تون
سليب51%
يا
لبنان
البحر22%ين
اإلمار18%ات
سوري16%ه
السعود14%ية
السعودية
اإلمار25%ات
Direction of Arab Bi-latered Trade
( A- Export)
Qatar
Tunis
S.A.
Lebanon
UAE
Libya
Emirates
Bahrain
Emirates
Syria
S.A.
B-Import
• Oman 74% from UAE
• SA is main exporter to many Arab countries (in bi-lateral trade)
%62األردن
%29سوريه
%46مصر
%51البحرين%50المغرب
%45قطر
%35اإلمارات
%34السودان
%21اليمن
Jordan
Syria
Egypt
Bahrain
Morocco
Sudan
Emirates
Qatar
Yemen
ARAB COUNTRIES
AND INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT
• EACH COUNTRY AND/OR EMIRATE HAS ONE OR MORE SEA PORT (NO LAND LOCKED COUNTRIES)
• ALL COUNTRIES IN THE ARAB MASHREK AND/OR MAGHREB ARE CONNECTED THROUGH PAVED ROAD NETWORK
• BOTH ARAB MASHREK AND MAGHREB ARE INTERLINKED THROUGH LAND/SEA BRIDGES
• ONLY 11 ARAB COUNTRIES HAVE RAIL NETWORK
RECENTLY ARAB SUMMIT HAS ENDORCED AN ACTION PLAN FOR ESTABLISHING AN INTEGRATED ARAB RAIL NETWORK.
X- Check Points At Some Arab Countries
Country S.A Jordan Syria Iraq Kuwait Egypt
•No. of Arab
Neighboring
Countries•No. of X-B
check points
8
15
5
8
3
9
3
6
2
3
3
4
MODAL SPLIT (S.A 2007) IMPORT
By Weight By Value
MODAL SPLIT FOR FOREING TRADE (BY WT.)
Country JORDAN SYRIA LEBANONOMAN
IMPORTKUWAIT
Sea
Land
Air
Total
62.6
37.2
0.2
100
89.8
10.0
0.2
100
67.8
31.4
0.8
100
43.0
56.0
0.4
100
97.5
2.4
0.1
100
ANNUAL NO. OF TRUCKS
AT CROSS BOARDER CHECK POINTS
(TOTAL FOR YEAR 2007)
(x 1000)
Country *JORDAN **S.A. **BAHRAININ
OUT
Total
476
438
914
2061
2063
4124
359
519
678
TUNIS ***SYRIA20.5
21.2
41.7 91.4
(* 10% Int. Transit)
Including Small Trucks ((**
(*** 28.0% Int. Transit)
HIGHEST ANNUAL NO OF TRUCKS
AT ONE X-BOARDER CHECK POINT IS AT
AL-BATHABETWEEN UAE & SA
IN 501.000
OUT 499.000
TOTAL 1000.000
Average Daily
3740 Truck (IN/OUT)
Destination
Muscat – Oman – Roui
N/A4831400180018004.11 day20.2
Salalah – Oman
N/A15763000500055003.85 days13.1
Doha – Qatar18008742000300030003.84 days9.1
Bahrain200011182500330033004.13 days15.5
Kuwait25001423000380038003.75 days12.9
Riyadh160012882400270030003.04 days13.4
Dammam160011072400270030003.03 days15.3
Jeddah260022853200370040001.95 days19.0
AmmanN/A2718N/A550055002.26 days18.9
DamascusN/a3055N/A750075002.77 days18.2
BeirutN/A3182N/A950095003.38 days16.6
SanaaN/A2835N/A1000010000
3.99 days13.1
3 Ton Pick up Dist
7 Ton Pick up
40ft FlatTrailer
40ft Box/100 T.km Trailer Transit Time
Cost Speed
OPERATING COST FOR FREIGHT ROAD
TRANSPORT FROM DUBAI
Cost : $/100 T.kmSpeed : km/hr
Average Speed and Cost
Inversely Proportion With Distance
And No. of Check Point
Distance From Dubai
3.84.14.1
3.0
1.92.2
2.7
0
1
2
3
4
5
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500km
Cos
t
$
/100
T k
m
Dist
Dist
Speed
Doha Damam Bahrain Riyadh Jeddah Oman Damascus
874 1107 1116 1288 2285 30552718
3.8 4.1 4.1 3.0 1.9 2.72.2
9.1 16.3 15.5 13.4 19.0 18.218.9
9.1
15.5 15.313.4 12.9 13.1
19.0 18.9
13.1
18.216.6
0.02.04.06.08.0
10.012.014.016.018.020.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Ave
rage
Spe
ed
In GeneralLowest Cost (@ $ 2.0/100 T km)
Dubai / Jeddah
Distance : 2285 km
X-Boarder Check Points : 1
Highest Average Commercial Speed
(19.0 km/hr)
Freight Charges From Dubai
Dubai / Bahrain
Distance : 1118 km
X-Boarder Check Points : 2
Lowest Average Commercial Speed
(11.0 km/hr)
Highest Cost (@ $ 4.1/100 T km)
Prevailing Freight Transport Fares in Jordan
(To and From Amman)
Transport CorridorAverage Faire
$/100 T km
From Amman to Arab Countries
From Some Arab Countries to Amman
From Some European Countries to Amman
From Aqaba to Amman
4.6
7.7
8.8
5.2
/$100T km
5.2 4.6
7.1
8.8
0123456789
10
From Aqaba toAmman
From Amman toArab Countries
From ArabCountries to
Amman
From EuropeanCountries to
Amman
Ave
rage
Fai
res
Distance
Speed
4000
12.8
4000
23.8
5000
16.0
5100
14.2
5400
18.9
6500
20.8
Speed vs. Distance
For Trucks Operating Between European Asia and Pacific
(North Corridors)
12.8
23.8
18.920.8
14.216.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
Ave
rage
Com
mer
cial
Spe
ed
Km/hr
FACTORS AFFECTING ROAD FREIGHT TRANSPORT COST1.DISTANCE (INVERSELY
PROPORTIONAL)
2.NUMBER OF BOARDER CHECK POINTS
3.AVERAGE COMMERCIAL SPEED
4.TYPE OF GOODS
5.SEASONAL VARIATIONS
6.AVAILABILITY OF GOODS ON RETURN
7.LEVEL OF SERVICE
PROBLEMS FACING ROAD FREIGHT TRANSPORT INDUSTRIES IN ARAB WORLD
1.AGING OF FLEET
2.FRAGMENTATION OF INDUSTRY
3.EXCESS CAPACITY
4.SEVERE COPETETION
5.LACK OF PROFITABILITY
6.HARCHMENT OF ENFORCEMENT AT CROSS BOADER CHECK POINTS
7.LACK OF UNIFICATION OF MATTERS RELATED TO RULES AND REULATIONS COVERING SEVERAL ASPECTS OF THE INDUSTRY
RECOMMENDATIONS I. RESTRUCTURING OF ROAD
FREIGHT INDUSTRIES
• Unification of Trucking Regulation
• Financial Incentives for Trucking Replacement
• Deregulation of Trucking Industries
• International and Regional Transport Agreement
• Motivations for Establishing New Schemes for Grouping Individual Operators
• Human Resources Development. Schemes at Company Managerial Levels Especially for IT Applicators
II. MODERNIZATION OF CUSTOMS AND RELATED SERVICES
• Greater coordination between Border Customs Agencies
• Greater Integration of Land Border Crossing Procedure
• Updating of Customs Data System to International Standards
• Common Standards for Favoured Trader Status
• Applications of TRADE FACILITATION Scenarios (especially in IT applicators)
III.INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
• Upgrading of Roads along Diffferent North/South and East/West Corridors
• Unifications of Technical Engineering Standards
• Provision of Appropriate Type of Services Along These Corridors
• Introduction of Transport and Logistics Platforms to Serve Bi-Lateral and International Arab Trade