12

3

Cadet Population Growth Initiative (CPGI)

Growth Indicators

Results for Phase 1 and Phase 2 (Year One)

25 July 2012

# 9

# 6

#5

# 7

# 8

NINE (9) CPGI GROWTH INDICATORS C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

Increase in Average Number of Cadets per Unit

Increase in the % of Cdn Youth Attracted to the Prg

# 1 Progress Towards Overall CPGI Population Objectives

# 2 Progress Towards Regional Growth Objectives

Decrease in the Number of Units with < 30 Cadets

Increase in the Average Participation Period

# 3 Decrease in Leaving Rate

# 4 Increase in Joining Rate

Retention of or Increase in the Overall Number of Units

# 8

Up 1 from 44 to 45 / Unit

# 7 Maintain Avg of 44 Cadets / Unit

Up 0.08% from 1.74 to 1.82%

# 6 Maintain 1.74% of Cdn Youth Pop.

Up 1,119 now 50,579 Cadets

# 1 National Objective - 49,460 Cadets

5 of 6 Regions Achieved

# 2 Achieving Regional Objectives

Down 9 Units (1,132 to 1,123)

# 9 Maintain 1,132 Units

Down 0.2 from 2.06 to 1.86 Years

# 5 Lengthen Participation Period

Up 300 Cadets (+1.2%)

# 3 Decrease the Leaving Rate

PHASE 1 GROWTH INDICATORS SUMMARY C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

Up 1,513 Cadets (+5.5%)

# 4 Increase the Joining Rate

Down 27 fewer units (440 to 413)

Reduce # of Units with < 30 Cadets

NOTE: REPORTING INFORMATION FOR PHASE 1 IS OFFICIAL AND COVERS FY 10-11.

# 8

Up slightly 1.74 now 46.74 / unit

# 7 Obtain Avg of 53 Cadets / Unit

Up 0.10% from 1.82% to 1.92%

# 6 Obtain 2.08% of Cdn Youth Pop.

Up 1,494 now 52,073 Cadets (Marginal)

# 1 National Objective 60,000 Cadets

5 of 6 Regions Growing Marginally

# 2 Achieve Regional Objectives

Down 9 units (1,123 to 1,114)

# 9 Maintain / Grow Above 1,132 Units

Down 0.16 from 1.86 to 1.70 Years

# 5 Lengthen the Participation Period

Trending Upwards (+2,484 @ 27,661)

# 3 Decrease the Leaving Rate

Phase 2 (Year 1) Growth Indicators Summary C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

Trending Upwards (+212 @ 29,370)

# 4 Increase the Joining Rate

Down 15 more units (413 to 398)

Reduce # of Units with < 30 Cadets

NOTE: REPORTING INFORMATION FOR PHASE 2 IS INTERIM AND ONLY COVERS FROM

1 APR 11 UP TO 31 MAR 12 (FY 11-12 REPORTING PERIOD)

NATIONAL & REGIONAL GROWTH OBJECTIVES # 1

C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

RESULTS:

Phase 1 - Increased nationally. CEN, PRA, PAC and NOR increased their Cadet population. EST increased and ATL decreased marginally.

Phase 2 (Year One) Increased nationally as well as regionally, but only marginally.

MEASURE/INDICATOR: Evidence that there is progress towards the overall CPGI national growth

objectives and the regional growth objectives. Phase 1 objective was to hold at 49,460 Cadets on

registered strength by June 2011. Phase 2 objective is grow to 60,000 Cadets on registered

strength by June 2013.

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 Year One

11-12

Phase 2

Objective

Atlantic 11,197 9,931 9,040 8,491 8,427 8,693 9,850

Eastern 13,498 13,011 11,762 11,240 11,253 11,513 14,100

Central 16,918 16,095 15,021 15,371 15,845 16,254 18,700

Prairie 9,288 8,368 7,901 7,972 8,261 8,693 9,750

Pacific 6,836 6,280 5,923 5,993 6,369 6,615 7,150

Northern 464 474 438 393 424 386 450

National 58,201 54,159 50,085 49,460 50,579 52,073 60,000

Variance +375 or +0.6% -4,042 or -6.9% -4,074 or -7.5% -625 or -1.2% +1,119 or +2.3% +1,494 or 3.0%

# 2

Phase 1 Phase 2

LEAVING & JOINING RATES

C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

RESULTS:

Phase 1 Leaving rate increased by 1.2% (300 Cadets) & joining rate increased by 5.5% (1,513 Cadets).

Phase 2 (Year 1) Leaving rate increased by 7.3% (1,884 Cadets) & joining rate increased by 0.7% (212 Cadets). Although the joining rate still exceeds the leaving rate, the trending upwards of Cadets leaving the program will continue to impede overall population growth.

MEASURE/INDICATOR: Evidence that the overall Cadet population leaving rate (retention)

continues to decrease and the overall joining rate (attraction) continues to increase. There are

no set objectives or targets for Phase 1 or 2.

Phase 1 Phase 2 /

Year 1

-3,012 -2,328 +2,168 +3,381 +1,709

# 3 # 4

LEAVING

JOINING

RESULTS:

Phase 1 Decreased nationally by 0.02 years or 9.7%. Fortress V2 is a main factor.

Phase 2 (Year One) Decreased nationally by 0.16 years or 8.6%. All regions decreased.

AVERAGE PARTICIPATION PERIOD

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 Year One

11-12

Atlantic Not tracked 2.49 2.61 2.75 2.10 1.88

Eastern Not tracked 2.09 2.01 1.89 1.82 1.67

Central Not tracked 2.49 2.61 1.92 1.77 1.63

Prairie Not tracked 1.83 1.93 1.91 1.79 1.58

Pacific Not tracked 2.06 2.12 1.98 2.02 1.89

Northern Not tracked 1.83 2.10 2.28 1.76 1.59

National Not tracked 2.04 2.06 2.06 1.86 1.70

Variance Not tracked +0.02 or +1.0% No Change -0.2 or -9.7% -0.16 or -8.6%

# 5

MEASURE/INDICATOR: Evidence that the average length of time a Cadet participates in the

program is increasing during Phase 2. Based on average registration age and average

termination age from Fortress at the time of reporting.

C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

NOTE: Fv2 Started in 09-10

Phase 1 Phase 2

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 Year One

11-12

Phase 2

Objective

Atlantic 5.34% 4.92% 4.56% 4.36% 4.45% 4.79% 5.32%

Eastern 2.03% 1.96% 1.76% 1.73% 1.77% 1.87% 2.06%

Central 1.49% 1.42% 1.33% 1.38% 1.45% 1.51% 1.70%

Prairie 1.70% 1.55% 1.47% 1.52% 1.62% 1.73% 1.77%

Pacific 1.81% 1.68% 1.61% 1.68% 1.85% 1.98% 1.98%

Northern 3.80% 3.99% 3.74% 3.33% 3.53% 3.28% 3.74%

National 1.97% 1.85% 1.72% 1.74% 1.82% 1.92% 2.08%

Variance +0.07% -0.12% -0.13% +0.02% +0.08% +0.10%

PERCENTAGE OF THE CANADIAN YOUTH POPULATION # 6

C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

RESULTS:

Phase 1 Increased by 0.08% to reach 1.83%.

Phase 2 (Year One) Increased by 0.09% to reach 1.92%.

MEASURE/INDICATOR: Evidence that the percentage of Canadian youth age 12-18 who are

members of the CCO is growing towards the 2.08% required to achieve the Phase 2 objective of

60,000 Cadets.

Phase 1 Phase 2

NOTE: 2011 Census results have not yet

been analyzed

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 Year One

11-12

Phase 2

Objective

Atlantic 45 41 37 35 35 36 40.7

Eastern 52 51 46 45 46 48 57.1

Central 62 59 55 57 60 61 70.8

Prairie 42 38 37 37 38 40 45.1

Pacific 51 47 44 44 46 48 51.8

Northern 29 30 27 26 27 26 28.1

National 50 48 44 44 45 47 53.4

Variance -0.1% -2 or -5.6% -4 or -7.3% No Change +1 or +2.2% +2 or +4.4%

AVERAGE NUMBER OF CADETS PER UNIT # 7

C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

RESULTS:

Phase 1 Increased nationally by 1 Cadet per unit or 2.2%.

Phase 2 (Year One) Increased nationally by 2 Cadets per unit or 4.4%.

MEASURE/INDICATOR: Evidence that the average number of Cadets per unit is increasing

during Phase 2 to 53 per unit required to meet the national objective of 60,000 Cadets.

Phase 1 Phase 2

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 Year One

11-12

Atlantic Not Available 87 107 117 112 110

Eastern Not Available 53 74 73 71 71

Central Not Available 59 64 70 58 51

Prairie Not Available 93 105 108 105 102

Pacific Not Available 50 64 62 57 55

Northern Not Available 8 9 10 10 9

National Not Available 350 (30.7%) 423 (37.2%) 440 (38.9%) 413 (36.8%) 398 (35.7%)

Variance Not Available +73 or +17.3% +17 or +4.0% -27 or -6.1% -15 or -3.6%

NUMBER OF UNITS WITH < 30 CADETS # 8

C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

RESULTS:

Phase 1 Decreased nationally by 27 units or 6.1%. That is, 27 fewer units had less than 30 Cadets on registered strength.

Phase 2 (Year One) Decreased nationally by 15 units or 3.6%%. That is, 15 fewer units had less than 30 Cadets on registered strength.

MEASURE/INDICATOR: Evidence that the number of units that have less than 30 Cadets on

registered strength is decreasing overall during Phase 2.

Phase 1 Phase 2

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 Year One

11-12

Atlantic 247 243 243 242 242 240

Eastern 261 257 255 251 247 240

Central 274 271 271 271 264 266

Prairie 223 218 215 216 216 216

Pacific 135 134 136 137 138 137

Northern 16 16 16 15 16 15

National 1,156 1,139 1,136 1,132 1,123 1114

Variance +8 or +0.8% -17 or -1.5% -3 or -0.3% -4 or -0.4% -9 or -1.1% -9 or -0.8%

OVERALL NUMBER OF UNITS # 9

C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

RESULTS:

Phase 1 Decreased nationally by 9 units or 1.1%. 4 new units were opened and 13 were closed.

Phase 2 (Year One) Decreased nationally by 9 units or 0.8%. 3 new units were opened and 12 were closed.

MEASURE/INDICATOR: Evidence that the number of units in the organization is remaining stable

or increasing overall during Phase 2.

Phase 1 Phase 2

TRACK OBJECTIVE VS. ACTUAL C P G I I A P C 1

2

3

Phase 1

ACTUAL

OBJECTIVE

Phase 1 - Slightly exceeded goal of holding at 49,460.

Phase 2 (Year One) Growth in the first 12 of 24 months is marginal.

Phase 2