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Preliminary announcement of financialstatements 2013/14
Illustration:Alfa Laval, office building, Aalborg, Denmark
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Contents
1. The Group’s results• Financial highlights and key ratios• 2013/14 at a glance
2. Execution of announced strategy• Strategic goals – execution of announced strategy
3. Market conditions
4. Project portfolio• Property development• Asset management
5. Financial issues
6. New sales and outlook• New sales• Outlook for 2014/15
2
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Development of town centre Køge, Denmark27,500 m²
1. The Group’s results
3
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Financial highlights and key ratios
4
(DKKm) 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Financial highlights:
Net revenue 1,384.9 602.4 359.8 632.3 407.0
Gross profit/loss 200.5 256.0 195.8 -139.5 163.9
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 57.5 127.2 65.5 -241.1 71.5
Profit/loss before tax and writedowns, etc. 53.8 48.2 -1.2 -0.3 -28.8
Profit/loss before tax 39.4 74.2 14.3 -326.0 -35.0
Profit/loss 25.4 73.6 27.0 -493.3 -49.0
Balance sheet total 4,377.3 4,622.0 4,639.5 4,009.3 3,839.6
Project portfolio 3,249.5 3,424.7 3,498.1 3,030.9 2,986.0
Equity 1,593.4 1,866.0 1,876.4 1,389.7 1,553.7
Cash flows from operating activities -582.8 -182.7 -78.8 45.6 55.6
Net interest-bearing debt, end of year 2,178.9 2,170.2 2,244.9 2,206.1 1,890.9
Key ratios:
Return on equity (ROE) 1.6 % 4.3 % 1.4 % -30.2 % -3.4 %
Solvency ratio (based on equity) 36.4 % 40.4 % 40.4 % 34.7 % 40.5 %
Price / book value (P/BV) 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4
Results before tax, excluding discontinuing activities:
Results before tax -35.0
Of which results of
discontinuing activ-ities amount to -38.9
Total 3.9
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
2013/14 at a glance
• Results before tax, excluding discontinuing activities, DKK 3.9 million, in line with expectations.
• Results before tax of discontinuing activities, DKK -38.9 million, consist of:• DKK -13.3 million from current operations• DKK -1.0 million from losses recognized on completed sales• DKK -24.6 million from impairment losses and value
adjustments of remaining assets.
• The Group’s balance sheet total has been reduced by DKK 170 million compared to the year before, and equity has increased by DKK 164 million • A capital increase with gross proceeds of DKK 230.5
million was completed in September 2013.
• Net interest-bearing debt has been reduced by DKK 315 million compared to the year before and amounts to DKK 1,891 million at 31 January 2014.
5
36.4% 40.4% 40.4% 34.7% 40.5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
31 Jan 10 31 Jan 11 31 Jan 12 31 Jan 13 31 Jan 14
Equity, DKKm Solvency ratio,%
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
2013/14 at a glance
• The portfolio of cash-flow-generating properties amounts to DKK 2,066 million at 31 January 2014.• The ratio of cash-flow-generating properties to total net
interest-bearing debt has developed positively in the amount of DKK 249 million during the year under review.
• Handover of second phase of retail park in Danderyd in Sweden to Commerz Real.
• Sale of 80 % of shopping centre project in Frýdek Místek, Czech Republic• Fee income for letting and construction management and
related services.
• Handover of first-phase apartments of the Group’s residential project in Bielany, Warsaw, Poland • 97 % of the units have been sold.
6
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
31 Jan 10 31 Jan 11 31 Jan 12 31 Jan 13 31 Jan 14
Net interest-bearing debt, DKKm
Investment properties and completed projects, DKKm
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
2013/14 at a glance
• Start-up of second phase of the residential project in Bielany, is being is being prepared:• Will comprise about 300 residential units and service
facilities.• Building permit has been granted.• Pre-construction sale was started in December 2013
• Is progressing better than expected.• Pre-reservations received for 27 % of units.
• Construction expected to begin in spring 2014.
• Sale of two German investment properties.
• Overheads reduced by 8.5 % relative to 2012/13.• Cost-reducing measures have been implemented to reduce the overheads by
around 20 % relative to 2012/13, with half of the reduction deriving from the discontinuation of activities in Germany, Finland and the Baltic States.
• Full impact in the course of 2014/15.
• Agreements regarding new sales, please see section ”New sales”.
7
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
2013/14 at a glance
8
BROEN, shopping centre, Esbjerg• TK Development is planning to construct a new shopping centre of about 29,800 m² in Esbjerg, Denmark.
• The process of obtaining permits for the project has been delayed because the project must undergo a validation and approval procedure to ensure safe railway operations.
• The timeline has been verbally agreed with Banedanmark.
• The validation process is expected to continue until after the end of the summer 2014.
• Construction startup is anticipated in autumn 2014.
• Discussions are being held with PFA regarding the sale of a share of the project at its current stage.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
NAV per shareAt 31 January 2014
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
DKK per share NAVASSETS LIABILITIES
(39.1)(1.6)
(37.5)(1.0)(1.7)
(10.3)
(3.1)
(4.4)
(17.0)
(-20.3)
(-3.0)
(15.8)
1,6
62
43
6
30
9
1,0
15
16
7
95
3,6
84
15
6
3,8
40
1,9
90
29
6
1,5
54
9
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
SillebroenFrederikssund, Denmark25,000 m²
2. Execution of announced strategy
10
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Strategic goals
The activities will be limited to Denmark, Sweden, Poland and the Czech Republic.
The portfolio of projects not initiated (plots of land) is to be reduced from about DKK 1.1 billion to about DKK 500 million.
The balance sheet total is to be adjusted, with a solvency ratio of about 40 %.
Overheads are to be reduced by around 20 % relative to 2012/13.
Financing costs are to be normalized as a result of the initiatives implemented.
11
March 2013: Revision of strategy and business model, including adjustment of market focus.
The below strategic goals were set with the aim of executing the adjustments within a period of two years:
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Activities in Germany, the Baltic States, Finland and Russia are to be phased out.
• Germany• The German activities have been reduced through the sale of
investment properties.• The branch office in Berlin has been closed down, and the employees
have left their positions.• The Group owns two remaining investment properties, two minor
plots of land and a share of a minor shopping centre.• Baltic States
• Retail park, DomusPro, Vilnius, conditionally sold to BPT and to be handed over to the buyer after the reporting date.
• Closedown of the office awaits clarification of the next steps in respect of the Group’s two remaining plots of land.
• Finland• The branch office in Helsinki has been closed down, and the
employees have left their positions.• The Group owns two minor plots of land.
• Russia• The Group owns a minor project in Moscow, consisting of
Scandinavian-style dwellings that are used for rental. • Efforts will be made to sell this project once market conditions have
normalized.
Execution of announced strategy
12
Market focus on Denmark, Sweden,
Poland and the Czech Republic
Balance sheet total –discontinuing activities:
(DKKm)
31 Jan. 13 425.4
31 Jan. 14 367.7
Decline 13.6 %
DomusPro31.1.14 92.9
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Execution of announced strategy
13
Reduction of portfolio of projects not
initiated (plots of land)
Cost trimming
Projects not initiated:
(DKKbn)
31.1.13 1.1
31.1.14 1.0
Reduction -0.1
• The portfolio of projects not initiated (plots of land) is to be reduced from about DKK 1.1 billion (March 2013) to about DKK 500 million over a two-year period.• Reduction through the sale of land and initiation of projects.• Progressing satisfactorily and according to plan for many of the
projects.• For a few projects the process is taking longer than expected.• Management believes it will still be possible to implement the
balance sheet adjustment within the planned two-year period.
• Overheads are to be reduced by around 20 % with half of the reduction deriving from the discontinuation of activities in Germany, the Baltic States and Finland.• Cost-reducing measures have been implemented. Full impact is
expected to be achieved in the course of 2014/15.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
• The balance sheet total is to be adjusted, with a solvency ratio of about 40 %.• After implementation of the capital increase in September 2013, this strategic
goal has been met. The solvency ratio stood at 40.5 % at 31 January 2014. • The solvency will be further strengthened through completion of the agreed
sale of the Fashion Arena Outlet Center in Prague.
Execution of announced strategy
14
Solvency ratio of about 40 %
Lower financingcosts
• Financing costs are to be normalized as a result of the initiatives implemented.• In connection with the implementation of the capital increase, the Group has
reached agreements for a reduction of the interest payable on several major credits.
• The Group is currently negotiating interest rate reductions for other credits.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Residential Park, Bielany, Warsaw, PolandPhase 2, 297 units
3. Market conditions
15
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
• Some uncertainty, although diminishing, persists in the property markets • The decision-making process of tenants, investors and financing sources remains
lengthy and carefully considered.
• Easing in project financing restraints• Depending on type, location and status, including letting and sales.• Lenders continue to require relatively high equity financing, but there also
appears to be some relaxation of these requirements.
Market conditions
16
Macroeconomic expectations
Denmark Sweden Poland Czech Rep.
2014e 2015e 2014e 2015e 2014e 2015e 2014e 2015e
GDP growth (% y/y) 1.3 1.7 2.8 3.5 3.6 4.2 1.8 2.2Unemployment(%) 5.6 5.5 7.9 7.6 12.6 11.8 6.8 6.6
• The market conditions are improving for the Group• Rising consumer confidence • Expectations for financial growth,
although varying in strength from country to country.
• Effect is not yet reflected in private consumption, which is also expected to rise in the years to come.
Source Denmark, Sweden and Poland: Nordea, March 2014.Source Czech Republic: The European Commission, European Economic Forecasts, Winter 2014.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Market conditions
- Tenants
17
• Focus on right location.• Rental level for well-situated projects is expected to remain fairly stable in the
period ahead.• Good amount of interest in well-situated projects.• Robust national and international branded retailers still wish to expand.• Local tenants are having a difficult time.
Retail
Offices
• A vast number of people are moving to major towns and cities.• Demand for new dwellings, either owner-occupied dwellings or rental
dwellings, depending on the individual market.• Increased demand for housing has led to increasing rental levels in the rental
housing market. • These higher rental levels are expected to be maintained in the period to come.
Residential property sector
• Vacancy rate generally increasing.• Major difference between primary and secondary locations.• Reasonable demand for fairly new premises with a practical layout.• Rental level for primary locations is expected to remain relatively stable.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Market conditions
- Investors
18
• Focus on right location.• Relatively low rates of return for prime locations.• In Management’s opinion, investors are prepared to assume a slightly higher
risk than seen recently.
Retail
• Growing optimism.• Good amount of interest in investing in real property.• Institutional investors wish to increase the share of property investments in
their portfolios:• Confident that real property will deliver stable competitive returns
going forward.• Investor interest is currently changing in two areas:
• Also interest in projects outside the capital cities.• Investors seeking to play an active role in projects development, thus
assuming a higher risk against anticipated higher return.
In general
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Market conditions
- Investors
19
Offices
• Great investor interest, focused on locations in capitals and major towns and cities, where substantial population growth is presently being recorded.
• Vast migration towards major towns and cities has led to increased demand for residential properties.
• Increasing price level for owner-occupied dwellings and low return requirements from investors.
• The market for developing housing for sale to private owner-occupants has again become interesting.
Residential property sector
• Prime-location office properties with stable tenants are attracting great investor interest.
• Return requirement for prime-location offices is at the same level as before the economic and financial crisis.
• In Management’s opinion, investors are prepared to assume a slightly higher risk than seen recently.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
BROEN, shopping centreEsbjerg, Denmark29,800 m²
4. Project portfolio
20
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Business area: Property development
21
1
• Comprises the following markets: Denmark, Sweden, Poland and the Czech Republic.
• Development potential of 405,000 m².
• Total carrying amount of project portfolio is DKK 1,111 million.
Development potential in m²
Denmark Sweden Poland Czech Rep.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Residential Park, Bielany
Warsaw, Poland
Residential/services48,350 m2
Jelenia Góra
Jelenia Góra, Poland
Shopping centre24,000 m2
22
Barkarby Gate
Stockholm, Sweden
Retail park20,000 m2
Property development = DKK 1,111 million (carrying amount)Business area: Property development
DomusPro retail park
Vilnius, Lithuania
Retail park11,100 m2
In progress (DKK 216 million)
Amerika Plads
Copenhagen, Denmark
Underground car park 16,000 m2
1
BROEN, shopping centre
Esbjerg, Denmark
Kulan commercial district
Gothenburg, SwedenAmerika Plads (lots A & C)
Copenhagen, Denmark
Shopping centre29,800 m2
Shopping centre/services 45,000 m2
Offices/residential24,800 m2
Østre Teglgade
Copenhagen, Denmark
Offices/residential32,700 m2
Stuhrs Brygge
Aalborg, Denmark
Mixed72,000 m2
Not initiated, continued (selected) (DKK 887 million)
Not initiated
Alfa Laval
Aalborg, Denmark
Offices6,000 m2
Ahlgade
Holbæk, Denmark
Shopping-streetproperty/housing3,100 m2
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
• Comprises the following markets:Denmark, Sweden, Poland and the Czech Republic.
• Total value of portfolio amounts to DKK 1,934 million.
• Overall the footfall and centre revenue are developing positively, however weak development in Danish retail trade in 2013 and weak private consumption. Local tenants are having a difficult time.
• Conditional agreement on the sale of the Fashion Arena Outlet Center.
• Focus on maturing the individual properties and selling them.
Business area: Asset management
23
2
Carrying amount, broken down by country
Denmark Czech Rep. Poland
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Futurum Hradec Králové Hradec KrálovéCzech Republic
Galeria TarnoviaTarnówPoland
24
28,250 m², 20 % ownership interest
16,500 m², 30 % ownership interest
SillebroenFrederikssundDenmark
25,000 m², 100 % ownership interest
Business area: Asset managementAsset management = DKK 1,934 million (carrying amount)
Asset management
2
Fashion ArenaPragueCzech Republic
25,000 m², 75 % ownership interest
Galeria SandecjaNowy SączPoland
17,300 m², 100 % ownership interest
Ringsted Outlet, Denmark
Retail Park,Most, Czech Rep.
Retail park,Aabenraa, Denmark
Shopping-street prop.Brønderslev, Denmark
The return on the carrying amount of the properties is 6.7 %. Based on full occupancy, the return on the carrying amount is expected to reach 7.9 %.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
5. Financial issues
25
Shopping centre,Jelenia Góra, Poland24,400 m²
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
• The cash flows from operating activities amount to DKK 55.6 million for the year against DKK 45.6 million in 2012/13.
• Capital increase• Capital increase completed in September 2013.• Gross proceed of DKK 230.5 million.• A substantial portion of the proceeds has been used to reduce debt.
• Conditional sale of the Group’s 75 % stake in the Fashion Arena Outlet Center in Prague, the Czech Republic• The sale is expected to be completed in April 2014.• Will substantially strengthen the Group’s financial platform.
• Since 31 January 2013, agreements on the refinancing of project credits totalling DKK 1.2 billion have been entered into.
• Credit facilities of DKK 0.1 billion only are due to expire prior to 31 January 2015• These are expected to be refinanced prior to maturity or to be repaid in connection
with the sale of projects.
Financial issues
26
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Fashion Arena Outlet Center, Prague, Czech Republic25,000 m²
6. New sales and outlook
27
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
28
Outlet centre, Prague, Czech Republic
The sale results in:
• Generation of a minor profit compared to the carrying amount.
• Reduction of balance sheet total by about DKK 400 million.
• A substantial contribution to the Group’s free cash resources.
Conditional sale of Fashion Arena Outlet Center, Czech Republic
• In February 2014, the Group entered into a conditional agreement for the sale of its 75 % stake in the outlet centre.
• The outlet centre has a total floor space of about 25,000 m2 and comprises 110 stores.
• The overall centre has been sold to Meyer Bergman at a price of EUR 71.5 million.
• The sale is expected to be completed in April 2014.
• The sale generates a minor profit compared to the carrying amount, reduces the balance sheet total by about DKK 400 million and makes a substantial contribution to the Group’s free cash resources.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Sale of Barkarby Gate, Stockholm, Sweden
29
Retail park, Barkaby Gate, Stockholm, Sweden
Sold based on forward funding• In June 2013 the 20.000 m² retail park
project Barkarby Gate (Stockholm, Sweden) was sold based on forward funding.
• The buyer of the project is a fund managed by Cordea Savills.
• Construction started in August 2013 immediately after the option to purchase the land for the project was exercised.
• The current occupancy rate is 94 %.
• Opening is scheduled for autumn 2014.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Sale af DomusPro, Vilnius, Lithuania
30
Retail park, Vilnius, Lithuania
• Sold in advance• BV 31.1.14:
DKK 92.9 million.• In August 2013 the about 11,100 m² retail
park project DomusPro (Vilnius, Lithuania) was conditionally sold.
• The buyer of the project is BPT Baltic Opportunity Fund, which is managed by BPT Asset Management.
• The first phase of about 7,500 m² has an occupancy rate of 85 %, with supermarket operator RIMI as the anchor tenant.
• Constructed started in August 2013, and the first phase opened in March 2014.
• Handover to the buyer will take place after the reporting date.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Sale of Alfa Laval, office building, Aalborg, Denmark
Alfa Laval, office building, Aalborg, Denmark
31
Sold in advance
• In February 2014 TK Development entered into a conditional agreement for the sale of a 6,000 m² office project in Aalborg.
• The project has been let to the international Alfa Laval Group.
• The project has been sold to PensionDanmark at a total price of DKK 126 million.
• Construction started in March 2014, and the project will be handed over to the investor in June 2015.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Other new sales
Shopping centre, Frýdek Místek, Czech Republic
32
• Sale of 80 % of the ownership interest of a shopping centre project in Frýdek Místek, Czech Republic, to a business partner.• TK will maintain a 10 % ownership interest.• 14,800 m².• Fee income for letting and construction
management, etc.• Construction started in autumn 2013. • Opening is scheduled for end-2014.
• Agreements regarding the letting and sale of several minor retail project have been concluded.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Outlook for 2014/15
33
• Management anticipates positive results of about DKK 40 million before tax, excluding discontinuing activities, for the 2014/15 financial year.
• The timing and phase-out of the discontinuing activities are subject to major uncertainty. The activities are in the process of being discontinued, and the Group risks incurring further losses before the phase-out is complete. Therefore, the results before tax of the discontinuing activities have not been included in the outlook for 2014/15.
TK Development – Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14 – 2 April 2014
Disclaimer
34
The expectations mentioned in this presentation, including earnings expectations, are naturally subject to risks and uncertainties, which may result in deviations from the expected results.
Various factors may impact on expectations, as outlined in the section ”Risk issues” in the Group’s Preliminary announcement of financial statements 2013/14, particularly the valuation of the Group’s project portfolio.