By: Philip E. Tetlock. Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion...

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THINKING THE UNTHINKABLE: SACRED VALUES AND TABOO COGNITIONS By: Philip E. Tetlock

Transcript of By: Philip E. Tetlock. Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion...

Page 1: By: Philip E. Tetlock.  Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion to any breach of the barriers separating profane from.

THINKING THE UNTHINKABLE:

SACRED VALUES AND TABOO

COGNITIONSBy: Philip E. Tetlock

Page 2: By: Philip E. Tetlock.  Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion to any breach of the barriers separating profane from.

BACKGROUND Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute,

automatic, unreasoned aversion to any breach of the barriers separating profane from sacred

Limitation of resources can cause the secular to seem more important or just as important as the sacred. Finite resources versus placing prices on something

sacred Tetlock “defined sacred values as those values

that a moral community treats as possessing transcendental significance that precludes comparisons, trade-offs, or indeed any mingling with secular values.”

Page 3: By: Philip E. Tetlock.  Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion to any breach of the barriers separating profane from.

SACRED VALUE PROTECTION MODEL (SVPM) People try to protect sacred values, as

well as their public images, by avoiding taboo thoughts and actions.

Moral-outrage hypotheses Moral-cleansing hypotheses Reality-constraint hypotheses

Page 4: By: Philip E. Tetlock.  Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion to any breach of the barriers separating profane from.

MORAL OUTRAGE People tend to have adverse reactions

to individuals that do not protect or go against sacred values. Includes cognitive, affective, and behavioral

components It is considered wrong to think about

comparing what is secular to what is sacred.Taboo trade-offs – secular values versus

sacred valuesLonger contemplation = harsher the

reaction

Page 5: By: Philip E. Tetlock.  Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion to any breach of the barriers separating profane from.

MORAL CLEANSING Having taboo thoughts can cause a

person to feel guilty and aim to compensate for having those thoughts.Simply the mere act of contemplating

engaging in actions that are against sacred values can cause a person to feel contaminated.

The longer one contemplates taboo actions, the more tainted one feels.

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REALITY-CONSTRAINT When presented with constraints,

people search for rhetorical redefinitions of situations into more acceptable routine trade-offs or tragic trade-offs.Example: if parents dedicated their net

worth to their children’s safety, they would make themselves poor.

Example: if a government were to provide state-of-the-art health care to all citizens, it would use all of its GDP.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00fhjnb (10:05 - 11:41)

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EMPIRICAL RESEARCH: PORTRAYING PEOPLE AS RELIABLE DEFENDERS OF SACRED VALUES Forbidden base rates and heretical

counterfactuals Tetlock et al. (2000) looked at base rates in

relation to race when setting premiums.Found that people were angry at executives

that set premiums based on race, but were not angry at executives that set premiums without considering race.

Tetlock et al. (2000) also looked at heretical counterfactuals when applied to the founders of sacred movements.Found that people do not want secular rules to

be applied to sacred beings.

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EMPIRICAL RESEARCH: TRAGIC TRADE-OFFS Tragic trade-offs – sacred value versus

sacred value Tetlock et al. (2000) looked at people’s

judgments of a hospital administrator’s decision. (tragic versus taboo trade-offs)Found that there was a worse reaction to

someone who spent more thought on a taboo trade-off and a better reaction to someone who spent more thought on a tragic trade-off.

Connection to crash and cannibalism

Page 9: By: Philip E. Tetlock.  Polynesian standards for taboo – absolute, automatic, unreasoned aversion to any breach of the barriers separating profane from.

EMPIRICAL RESEARCH: PORTRAYING PEOPLE AS NEITHER VIGILANT NOR RESOLUTE DEFENDERS OF THE SACRED

In a world with scarce resources, someone (usually the political elite) must set priorities, which includes setting monetary values on sacred values.Sacred values are merely pseudo-sacred

Sale of organs studyReframing of taboo trade-offs to seem like

tragic or routine trade-offs Sale of organs study

Look the other way when it is not paraded in front of them. Toxic-waste study