Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net...

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Business Update Q4 and FY 2019

Transcript of Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net...

Page 1: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Business UpdateQ4 and FY 2019

Page 2: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Legal Notice

This presentation is for marketing and information purposes only. By this presentation, neither ADAMA Ltd. nor AdamaAgricultural Solutions Ltd. (together the “Company” or “ADAMA”) intend to give, and the presentation does not constitute,professional or business advice or an offer or recommendation to perform any transaction in the Company’s securities. Theaccuracy, completeness and/or adequacy of the content of this presentation, as well as any estimation and/or assessmentincluded in this presentation, if at all, is not warranted or guaranteed and the Company disclaims any intention and/or obligationto comply with such content. The Company may make improvements and/or changes in the features or content presentedherein at any time. The Company shall not be liable for any loss, claim, liability or damage of any kind resulting from yourreliance on, or reference to, any detail, fact or opinion presented herein.

This presentation contains proprietary information of the Company and may not be reproduced, copied, disclosed or utilized inany way, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of the Company.

The Company’s assessments may not materialize, inter alia, due to factors out of the Company's control, including the riskfactors listed in the Company’s annual reports, changes in the industry or potential operations of the Company's competitors.

All information included in this presentation relates only to the date which it refers to, and the Company does not undertake toupdate such information afterwards.

Any content contained herein shall not constitute or be construed as any regulatory, valuation, legal, tax, accounting andinvestment advice or any advice of any kind or any part of it. Nor shall they constitute or be construed as any recommendation,solicitation, offer or commitment (or any part of it) to buy, sell, subscribe for or underwrite any securities, provide any credit orinsurance or engage in any transactions. Without any written consent, any third party providing this document to you shall notact as your financial advisor or trustee. Before entering into any transactions, you shall ensure that you fully understand thepotential risks and returns of such transactions. Before making such decisions, you shall consult the advisors you thinknecessary, including your accountant, investment advisor and legal and tax specialists. The Company and its affiliates,controlling persons, directors, officials, partners, employees, agents, representatives or their advisors shall not assume anyresponsibilities of any kind (including negligence or others) for the use of and reliance on such information by you or any personto whom such information are provided.

Leg

al N

otice

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Page 3: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

3

Record Q4 Provides Strong Close to a Tough Year

+7%

Sales

$1,035m

Sales

$4.0bn

+16%

EBITDA

$147m

EBITDA

$656m

+3%

Record

high

Fourth Quarter Full Year

+3%

Record

high

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All-time Q4 record sales, gross profit and EBITDA

4

Sales

312 313

Gross Profit EBITDA

Sales($mm)

963

1,035

Gross Profit ($mm) and Margin (%)

Net Income ($mm) and Margin (%)

Net Income

38 35

127

147

EBITDA ($mm) and Margin (%)

Q4 2019

Q4 2018

Volumes +10% EBITDA margin +1.0 p.p.

32.4%30.2%

13.2%

14.2%

3.4%

Jingzhou disruption: -$26mJingzhou disruption: -$42m

4.0%

Executive S

um

mary

In line with Q4’18

Jingzhou disruption: -$16m

$3m below Q4’18

Jingzhou disruption: -$20m

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Full Year record sales and EBITDA, despite Jingzhou impact

5

Sales

1,291 1,280

Gross Profit EBITDA

3,881 3,997

Net Income

236 208

639 656

FY 2019

FY 2018

Volumes & Prices +2.5% EBITDA margin in-line with 2018

33.3% 32.0%

16.5% 16.4%

5.2%

Jingzhou disruption: -$204m

6.1%

Sales($mm)

Gross Profit ($mm) and Margin (%)

Net Income ($mm) and Margin (%)

EBITDA ($mm) and Margin (%)

Executive S

um

mary

Gross margin -1.3 p.p.

Jingzhou disruption: -$80m Jingzhou disruption: -$111m

Net Income margin -0.9 p.p.

Jingzhou disruption: -$89m

Page 6: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Strong Q4 drives FY Sales and EBITDA +3%, despite $200m missing sales from Jingzhou old site

CER: Constant Exchange Rates

6

All income statement items contained in this presentation are presented on an adjusted basis. A detailed description and analysis of differences between the adjusted income statement

and that reported in the financial statements is contained in the “Analysis of Gaps between Adjusted Income Statement and Income Statement in Financial Statements” in the quarterly

results press release. EPS are the same for basic and diluted. Q4 and FY 2019 include the results of joiners following the completion of their acquisition. 2018 Operating Income, EBITDA

and Net Income have been adjusted from those presented at the time to consistently reflect treatment of employee options on an equity-settled basis for both 2019 and 2018. 2018 results

in the audited financial statements reflect the consolidation of Anpon (acquired in March 2019) as if it had been acquired prior to 1 January 2018, due to accounting for “Business

Combination Under Common Control”

Jingzhou

Old Site

Disruption

%

Change

CER

%

Change

FY 2018FY 2019Jingzhou

Old Site

Disruption

%

Change

CER

%

Change

Q4 2018Q4 2019Adjusted, (million)

-204+5%+3%3,8813,997-42+10%+7%9631,035Sales

-80-1%1,2911,280-16-312313Gross Profit

33.3%32.0%32.4%30.2%% of Sales

863870238228Operating Expenses

-111-4%427410-26+15%7485Operating Income (EBIT)

11.0%10.3%7.7%8.2%% of Sales

-89-12%236208-20-9%3835Net Income

6.1%5.2%4.0%3.4%% of Sales

-111+3%639656-26+16%127147EBITDA

16.5%16.4%13.2%14.2%% of Sales

0.09630.08520.01570.0144Earnings per Share (USD)

Executive S

um

mary

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Working capital build-up driven by strong growth momentum

7

Operating Cash Flow($mm)

Balance Sheet Net Debt($mm and Net Debt / EBITDA)

Strong Q4 Operating Cash Flow

generation

Working Capital

Controlled working capital build-up to accommodate

growth momentum

Net debt / EBITDA ratio of 1.6x

Strong Balance Sheet

+107+117

Q4 2019 FY 2019

1,055

656

Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA

+76

+231

+82 -66

+324

Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners NWC excl. joiners

Despite working capital build-up

Executive S

um

mary

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Investments to support business growth, acquisitions and capital projects

Executive Summary

8

457 330 324

301

151

10249 1,055

Net Debt

Dec-18

Net After-

Tax

Operating

Profit

Contribution

Net

Working

Capital

Fixed Capex

(Relocations

and others)

Acquisitions

(incl. debt)

Intangible

Capex

(Core Leap

and others)

Net Debt

Dec-19

Dividend

payment

Executive S

um

mary

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Regional Update

Page 10: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Robust Q4 Performance Across Most Regions

10

Regio

na

l U

pdate

Region

Europe

Latin America

North America

Asia Pacific

India, Middle East & Africa

Total7.5%

(6.1)%

10.3%

10.5%

5.0%

14.1%

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%

Sales change by region – Q4 2019 vs. Q4 2018

USD terms

Constant Exchange Rates

10.2%

10.4%

11.5%

9.8%

of which, China $59m

(7.6)%

Q4 2019

Sales

($m)

214

365

226

136

94

1,035

16.4%

12.4%

14.8%

Excl. Jingzhou old site constraints

CER: Constant Exchange Rate

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Continued Growth in a Challenging Market

11

Regio

na

l U

pdate

Region

Europe

Latin America

North America

Asia Pacific

India, Middle East & Africa

Total3.0%

(3.0)%

3.6%

6.9%

9.3%

(2.6)%

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%

Sales change by region – FY 2019 vs. FY 2018

USD terms

Constant Exchange Rates

14.2%

7.0%

7.2%

4.9%

of which, China $314m

0.6%

FY 2019

Sales

($m)

1,031

1,022

786

633

526

3,997

(3.7)%

9.2%

11.3%

Excl. Jingzhou old site constraints

CER: Constant Exchange Rate

Page 12: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Europe

12

Q4’18 Q4’19% Variance

USD

% Variance

CERFY 18 FY 19

% Variance

USD

% Variance

CER

Sales ($m) 188 214 +14.1% +16.4% 1,058 1,031 -2.6% -3.7%

Highlights

Reg

iona

l P

erf

orm

ance

CER: Constant Exchange Rate

▪ Significant business growth in Q4 in

most major countries including

Germany, Russia and Ukraine

▪ UK saw robust growth in Q4 despite

unfavourable rainfall impacting winter

cereals

▪ Partially recovered from first 9-month

supply-related challenges

▪ Q4 sales grew strongly driven by significant business growth, more than offsetting impact

of lower prices

▪ FY sales lower by only 2.6% despite continued tight supply conditions; largely recovering

from H1 supply-and weather-impact

▪ Continued market share gains despite

delayed planting season due to

extremely wet conditions

▪ Noteworthy performances recorded in

key markets France, Spain and

Portugal

▪ Acquisitions:

− SFP: Strengthening PGR and

fungicide franchise

− Agricover: Acquired 10% stake in

leading Romanian distributor

Northern Europe Southern Europe

SFP

Page 13: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Latin America

13

Q4’18 Q4’19% Variance

USD

% Variance

CERFY 18 FY 19

% Variance

USD

% Variance

CER

Sales ($m) 347 365 +5.0% +10.2% 935 1,022 +9.3% +14.2%

Highlights

Reg

iona

l P

erf

orm

ance

CER: Constant Exchange Rate

▪ Q4 saw continued strong performance

from differentiated product portfolio:

− GALIL® combination insecticide

− TRIVOR® insecticide for rapid and

extended control of sucking pests

▪ Growth achieved despite:

− Drought conditions which delayed the

planting season in soybean and corn

− Reduced planted areas in cotton

− Missed sales of Jingzhou old site

products

▪ Strong business growth in Q4 in key countries despite a severe drought across the region,

alongside price increases, more than offsetting continued impact of constrained supply

▪ In 2019, Brazil delivered another year of stellar growth, with a robust contribution from

CRONNOS®, complemented by strong performances throughout key markets in the region,

including Argentina, Colombia and Peru

▪ Launched ARMERO™ in Paraguay,

first product launch globally of

Prothioconazole

New product launches:

▪ EXPERTGROW® unique range of

biostimulants, in Ecuador

▪ KADABRA® insecticide controlling

pests in potatoes, both in Ecuador

▪ CRONNOS®, unique three-way

formulation addressing Asian soybean

rust, in Bolivia

Brazil LatAm

ARMEROTM

launched in Paraguay, first

Prothioconazolelaunch globally

AgroKlingeacquisition in

Peru

Page 14: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

North America

14

Q4’18 Q4’19% Variance

USD

% Variance

CERFY 18 FY 19

% Variance

USD

% Variance

CER

Sales ($m) 204 226 +10.5% +10.4% 735 786 +6.9% +7.0%

Highlights

Reg

iona

l P

erf

orm

ance

CER: Constant Exchange Rate

▪ Impacted by record flooding in the US

in H1 and effect of US-China trade war

on US agriculture

▪ Q4 growth achieved through a combination of business growth alongside higher prices,

despite impact of lost sales from the Jingzhou old site

▪ 2019 bolstered by the acquisitions of Bonide and contribution from sales of backward-

integrated products produced at newly acquired Anpon (Huai’An, Jiangsu) operations

▪ Strong recovery from first-half weather

challenges

▪ Bonide provided pleasing contribution to

2019 results

US Ag and Canada Consumer & Professional Solutions

Challenging year for American farmers

Record flooding, delayed harvest and US-China trade

war

Page 15: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Asia Pacific

15

Q4’18 Q4’19% Variance

USD

% Variance

CERFY 18 FY 19

% Variance

USD

% Variance

CER

Sales ($m) 124 136 +10.3% +11.5% 610 633 +3.6% +7.2%

Highlights

Reg

iona

l P

erf

orm

ance

CER: Constant Exchange Rate

▪ Robust growth in 2019 in New Zealand,

Indonesia and Japan, benefitting from

favorable weather conditions

▪ Resilient performance recorded in

Australia, recovering from extreme

weather conditions throughout the year

New product registrations in Thailand:

▪ FIREPOWER® broad-spectrum

herbicide for use in a wide variety of

crops

▪ HAMPER® insecticide controlling thrips

in potatoes

▪ Strong growth in Q4 driven by business growth, somewhat offset by lower prices

▪ FY growth driven by combination of business growth tempered by constrained supply of

Jinzhou old site products, alongside continued price increases

▪ Solid business growth in both Q4 and

2019, despite drought in some areas

impacting consumption of wheat

herbicides

▪ Pleasing performance of newly-

acquired Anpon

▪ Strong demand for differentiated,

formulated and branded products

− Annual sales growth of more than

20% (excl. Jingzhou products)

▪ Successful second launch of NIMITZ®

in significant vegetable production

areas

APAC China

Australian wildfires and significant

drought throughout 2019

NIMITZ® delivers

exceptional

performance in

the field

Page 16: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

India, Middle East & Africa

16

Q4’18 Q4’19% Variance

USD

% Variance

CERFY 18 FY 19

% Variance

USD

% Variance

CER

Sales ($m) 100 94 -6.1% -7.6% 543 526 -3.0% +0.6%

Highlights

Reg

iona

l P

erf

orm

ance

CER: Constant Exchange Rate

▪ Robust Q4 growth in branded portfolio,

benefiting from monsoon rains

▪ Impacted by loss of bulk unformulated

sales of Jingzhou old site products

▪ Strong contribution from recently

launched differentiated products,

including:

− NIMITZ® suite of products

− TAKAF® and ZOHARTM, two

differentiated mixture insecticides

▪ Sales were lower in the quarter, yet remained steady in FY in CER terms

▪ Impacted in both Q4 and FY by shortages of key products produced at the Jingzhou old

site, as well as impact of softer currencies, most notably the Turkish Lira

▪ South Africa delivered a resilient

Q4 performance in face of severe

drought conditions

▪ In the FY branded activities in

India and Turkey, offsetting the

impact of the missing sales of

Jingzhou old site products

India Middle East & Africa

Strong contribution from new differentiated products

TAKAF® Controlling

sucking pests in

soybean, cotton, corn

and chili

Page 17: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Outlook

17

❖ Going forward, we face many challenges, both on supply and demand side, including COVID-19 related effects:

− Suspension for most of Q1 of the facilities in Jingzhou, resulting in significant idleness costs

− The related depreciation of many currencies against the US Dollar, most notably the Brazilian Real

❖ As the outbreak in China appears to be coming under control, production facilities of the Company and the vast majority of its

China-based suppliers are now back on line, and logistics and supply lines within the country are opening up

❖ Our major production facilities globally are continuing to operate, although logistics and supply lines in many places are becoming

increasingly restricted

❖ These impacts are likely to have a material negative effect on the performance of the business in Q1 2020, and potentially beyond

❖ We continue to actively monitor the evolving situation over the coming weeks/months, and will provide a further update in Q1 report

❖ We are actively managing response to the outbreak in order to ensure the safety of employees, and making every effort to limit the

impact on the performance of the Company

Page 18: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Bridge Analysis

Page 19: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Q4 Sales – Bridge AnalysisB

rid

ge A

naly

sis

963134 -42 2 -22 1,035

Q4 2018 QuantityVariance

JinzhouImpact

Price Variance FX Q4 2019

NOTE: FX includes currency effect on sales and hedging19

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Q4 Gross Profit – Bridge AnalysisB

rid

ge A

naly

sis

312

61 -16 2 -29-17

313

Q4 2018 QuantityVariance

JinzhouImpact

PriceVariance

CostVariance

FX Q4 2019

32.4% 30.2%

20

Page 21: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Q4 EBITDA – Bridge AnalysisB

rid

ge A

naly

sis

127

69 -262 -27 16 -14 147

Q4 2018 QuantityVariance

JinzhouImpact

PriceVariance

CostVariance

OperatingExpense

FX Q4 2019

13.2% 14.2%

21

Page 22: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

FY Sales – Bridge AnalysisB

rid

ge A

naly

sis

3,881300 -204 96 -76 3,997

FY 2018 QuantityVariance

JinzhouImpact

Price Variance FX FY 2019

NOTE: FX includes currency effect on sales and hedging

+2.5%

22

Page 23: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

FY Gross Profit – Bridge AnalysisB

rid

ge A

naly

sis

1,291113 -80 96 -102

-38 1,280

FY 2018 QuantityVariance

JinzhouImpact

PriceVariance

CostVariance

FX FY 2019

33.3% 32.0%

23

Page 24: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

FY EBITDA – Bridge AnalysisB

rid

ge A

naly

sis

639

144 -111 96 -961 -17 656

FY 2018 QuantityVariance

JinzhouImpact

PriceVariance

CostVariance

OperatingExpense

FX FY 2019

16.5% 16.4%

24

Page 25: Business Update Q4 and FY 2019€¦ · Strong Balance Sheet +107 +117 Q4 2019 FY 2019 1,055 656 Net Debt 31/12/19 LTM EBITDA +76 +231 +82 -66 +324 Inventory Receivables Payables Joiners

Thank You