Business 101.1 class 9 NYU ITP
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Transcript of Business 101.1 class 9 NYU ITP
Business 101.1A class in business. And entrepreneurship.
Fall 2016NYU ITP
November 14, 2016
Josh KnowlesJen van der Meer
Extra love from Tom IgoeAnd the Leslie E-Lab
Syllabus Map
START + Form
Teams
Business Models
Customer Development
How to Interview Value
+ The Purpose of Business
ValuesMotivation
TeamCustomer
Relationships+ Channels
AnalyticsKey Resources
Activities Partners Biggest Vision
Analyze Test
The Money
Plan MVP
Turning Insights Into
Features
More MVP
How small, How big?
Launch MVP
Lessons Learned
Go/No Go?
Sketch Paper Prototype
Oz Test
Smallest MVP
Tech Architecture
THINGS CHANGED
THINGS CHANGED.
Business models are for people
Business models are for people
Business model innovation in 5 hard steps
Business model innovation in 5 hard steps
1. Define your vision.
1. Define your vision.
2. Include People
3. Search for the starter model that launches your vision
4. Get out of the building.
Whom do you want to serve?
What problem do you see?
ALWAYS START WITH THE CUSTOMER:
Customer Segments
Customer Relationships
Value PropositionKey ActivitiesPartners
Key Resources Customer Channels
RevenuesCosts
Source: Strategyzer Osterwalder, Pigneur
Whom are you here to serve?
ALWAYS START WITH THE CUSTOMER:
Get out of the building
ALWAYS START WITH THE CUSTOMER:
Customer Segments
Customer Relationships
Value Proposition
Customer Channels
Source: Strategyzer Osterwalder, Pigneur
VALUE?
What problem do you see?
5. Business model validation = ask for help
Ask for helpGET OUT OF THE BUILDING
Customer Segments
Customer Relationships
Value PropositionKey ActivitiesPartners
Key Resources
Customer Channels
RevenuesCosts
Source: Strategyzer Osterwalder, Pigneur
GET TO VALUE PROPOSITION FIT
TEST YOUR PROPOSITION WITH CUSTOMERS
Validate with customers
Customer Segments
Customer Relationships
Value PropositionKey ActivitiesPartners
Key Resources
Customer Channels
RevenuesCosts
Source: Strategyzer Osterwalder, Pigneur
AND THE REST OF THE BUSINESS MODEL WILL FOLLOW
Build your network
1. Define your vision 2. Add people 3. Find your starter
business model 4. Get out of the
building 5. Ask for help
That’s how we’re going to get through this.
That’s how we’re going to get through this.
THE MONEY
WHY DID THE MARKETS BOUNCE?
FOR FUN
HOW WILL YOU MAKE MONEY?
YEAR ONE. JUST A HYPOTHESIS.
BALANCE SHEETS
CASH FLOW
INCOME STATEMENTS
Major Themes:
How business generates profits or losses
How to raise capital to start a company
How to monetize your business investment
Major Themes:
How business generates profits or losses
How to raise capital to start a company
How to monetize your business investment
Start a business:
First we need to determine how much money (capital) we need to run our business.
How much it costs to run our business on a monthly and yearly basis.
If we have less revenue then expenses, what does that mean?
Major Tools:
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Lemonade Inc.
We are going to need money and a legal corporate entity to do it under.
1,000,000 Shares of Stock for $1 each to us the founders
Sell another 500,000 Shares of Stock to an investor.
Lemonade Inc. Capitalization Table
You $1,000,000 (67%)
Investor $500,000 (33%)
____________________________________________
Company worth $1,500,000 (100%)
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 500,000 you’ve raised
Fixed Assets 0
Inventory 0 Goodwill 1,000,000 your $1 MM idea
Total Assets 1,500,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,500,000
Per Share $1
Lemonade Inc. Fixed AssetsTables and chairs Kitchen EquipmentComputers/Cash RegistersSignsAcquiring all these items cost us $50,000
ASSETS Cash 450,000
Fixed Assets 50,000 deduct from the cash
Inventory 0 Goodwill 1,000,000
Total Assets 1,500,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,500,000
Per Share $1
Lemonade Inc. Balance Sheet
WaterLemonsSugar CupsNapkinsContainers (to hold lemonade) We project we will sell 800 cups a day. The inventory above costs us $2.00 per cup.
800 cups X 30 days X $2 a cup = $48,000
Lemonade Inc. Inventory (Cost of Good Sold)
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 402,000
Fixed Assets 50,000
Inventory 48,000 deduct from cash Goodwill 1,000,000
Total Assets 1,500,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,500,000
Per Share $1
We sell 800 cups a day for $4.50 a cup.
800 cups X 30 days X $4.50 a cup = $108,000
Lemonade Inc. OPEN FOR BUSINESS!!
THIS STRATEGY = WHAT COMPANY?
Lemonade Inc. Income StatementREVENUE
Cups sold per month 24,000
Price per cup $4.50
Revenue $108,000
UNIT ECONOMICS - LET’S FIGURE OUT HOW MUCH PER NEW CUP SOLD
Lemonade Inc. Income StatementREVENUE
Cups sold per month 24,000
Price per cup $4.50
Revenue $108,000
EXPENSES
COGS $48,000
Labor $COST OF GOODS
SOLD
Open 7 days a week, 8 hours a day8 hours x 7 days a week x 4 weeks= 224 hrs per position We pay, on average, $30.00 per hour per person. This includes health insurance, paid time off, retirement account contribution etc.
We need 5 people at all times to properly run the business.
224 hours x $30.00/hrs x 5 people = $33,600
Lemonade Inc. Labor
Lemonade Inc. Income Statement Month 1REVENUE
Cups sold per month 24,000
Price per cup $4.50
GROSS REVENUE $108,000
EXPENSES
COGS $48,000
Labor/Benefits $33,600
Marketing $10,000
Rent $10,000
Other $2,500
EBIT $3,900
Tax $1,365
NET INCOME $2,535
Gross Revenue $108,000 = 1.88%Net Income $2,035
Lemonade Inc. First Month Profit Margin
HOW ARE WE DOING?
Lemonade Inc. With $500k investment
You $1,000,000 (67%)
Investor $500,000 (33%)
____________________________________________
Company worth $1,500,000 (100%)
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 402,000
Fixed Assets 50,000
Inventory 48,000 Goodwill 1,000,000
Total Assets 1,500,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,500,000
Per Share 1
STILL HAVE 402K IN THE BANK
Lemonade Inc.
You $200,000 (62.5%)
Investor $120,000 (37.5%)
____________________________________________
Company worth $320,000 (100%)
WHAT IF WE RAISED LESS?
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 120,000
Fixed Assets 0
Inventory 0 Goodwill 200,000
Total Assets 320,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 320,000
Per Share $1
WE’D HAVE A VERY DIFFERENT BALANCE
SHEET
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 22,000
Fixed Assets 50,000
Inventory 48,000 Goodwill 200,000
Total Assets 320,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 320,000
Per Share $1
RUNNING LEAN. TOO LEAN?
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 402,000
Fixed Assets 50,000
Inventory 48,000 Goodwill 1,000,000
Total Assets 1,500,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,500,000
Per Share 1
LET’S GO BACK TO OUR HIGHER CAPITALIZED
STRUCTURE
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 402,000
Fixed Assets 50,000
Inventory 48,000 Goodwill 1,000,000
Total Assets 1,500,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,500,000
Per Share $1
Costs about $100k to start a new store
LET’S ADD GROWTH
Lemonade Inc. Growth Assumptions
Model out:
Open 1 new store a yearIncrease price by 15 cents a year
LOOK FOR STARBUCKS GROWTH ASSUMPTIONS
Lemonade Inc. Pro Forma Income StatementYear 1 2 3 4 5
REVENUECups sold per year 288,000 576,000 864,000 1,152,000 1,440,000Price per cup 4.50 4.65 4.80 4.95 5.10GROSS REVENUE 1,296,000 2,678,400 4,147,200 5,702,400 7,344,000
EXPENSESCOGS 576,000 1,152,000 1,728,000 2,304,000 2,880,000Labor/Benefits 403,200 806,400 1,209,600 1,612,800 2,016,000Marketing 120,000 240,000 360,000 480,000 600,000Rent 120,000 240,000 360,000 480,000 600,000Other 30,000 60,000 90,000 120,000 150,000EBIT 46,800 180,000 399,600 705,600 1,098,000EBIT Margin 3.61% 6.72% 9.64% 12.37% 14.95%
Tax 16,380 63,000 139,860 246,960 384,300NET INCOME 30,420 117,000 259,740 458,640 713,700Margin 2.35% 4.37% 6.26% 8.04% 9.72%
Lemonade Inc. Balance Sheet as of Dec 31stYear 1 2 3 4 5
ASSETS Cash 432,420 451,420 613,160 973,800 1,589,500 Fixed Assets 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Inventory 48,000 96,000 144,000 192,000 240,000 Goodwill 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000Total Assets 1,530,420 1,647,420 1,907,160 2,365,800 3,079,500
LIABILITIES Debt 0 0 0 0 0Total Liabilities 0 0 0 0 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,530,420 1,647,420 1,907,160 2,365,800 3,079,500Per Share 1.02 1.10 1.27 1.58 2.05
BY DOUBLING CASH YOU’VE DOUBLED SHAREHOLDER’S EQUITY
Lemonade Inc. Cash FlowYear 1 2 3 4 5
Cash Flow for OperationsNet Income 30,420 117,000 259,740 458,640 713,700
Cash Flow from InvestingCapital Expenditures 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000
Cash Flow from FinancingMoney Borrowed (Debt) 0 0 0 0 0Dividends Paid 0 0 0 0 0New Shares Issued 0 0 0 0 0
Beginning Cash 0 -19,580 47,420 257,160 665,800Change in cash -19,580 67,000 209,740 408,640 663,700Ending Cash -19,580 47,420 257,160 665,800 1,329,500
Lemonade Inc. Measuring Growth
5th Year Earnings Yield - 47.58% returnAs of the 5th Year, the business is earning $713,000 on $1,500,000 invested.
Lemonade Inc. Measuring Growth
Return on Invested Capital - 105% returnAs of the 5th Year, the business is earning $1,579,600 on $1,500,000 invested.
Lemonade Inc. Measuring Growth
Earnings Growth - 14.99% per yearGrew from $1.02 a share to $2.05 a share
Lemonade Inc. Measuring Growth
Accelerating Profitability
Valuation
Twitter:700,210,000 Shares X 17.49 = $12.25 Billion
Valuation
Twitter:700,210,000 Shares X 17.49 = $12.25 Billion
Lemonade Inc:1,500,000 Shares X 1.00 = $1,500,000
Pro Forma for Your Business!
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash Flow
Major Tools:
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Lemonade Inc.
We are going to need money and a legal corporate entity to do it under.
1,000,000 Shares of Stock for $1 each
Sell another 500,000 Shares of Stock to an investor.
Lemonade Inc.
You $1,000,000 (67%)
Investor $500,000 (33%)
____________________________________________
Company worth $1,500,000 (100%)
Lemonade Inc. Balance SheetASSETS Cash 500,000
Fixed Assets 0
Inventory 0 Goodwill 1,000,000
Total Assets 1,500,000
LIABILITIES
Debt 0
Total Liabilities 0
Shareholder’s Equity 1,500,000
Per Share $1
NEXT TIME
Start a business:
First we need to determine how much money (capital) we need to run our business.
How much it costs to run our business on a monthly and yearly basis.
If we have less revenue then expenses, what does that mean?
END