Burton brazilian congress april 2015

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Challenges and Strategies for CCS Globally Elizabeth Burton Global CCS Institute

Transcript of Burton brazilian congress april 2015

Page 1: Burton brazilian congress april 2015

Challenges and Strategies for CCS Globally

Elizabeth BurtonGlobal CCS Institute

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The Global Status of CCS: 2014 Report

The Global Status of CCS: 2014 – Key Institute publication

The report:

Provides a comprehensive overview of global

and regional developments in large-scale CCS

projects, in CCS technologies and in the policy,

legal and regulatory environment.

Introduces and links to project descriptions for

around 40 lesser scale ‘notable’ CCS projects.

Makes recommendations for decision makers.

The full report is available online, including

supporting resources and data

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CCS is vital to meet emission reduction goals

Source: IEA Energy Technology

Perspectives (2014)

We must accelerate the pace of transforming energy infrastructure

Gt

CO

2em

issio

ns

150 GT stored

3000 CCS

projects

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Large-scale CCS projects by region or country

Americas 5 6 6 10 27

Early

planning

Advanced

planningConstruction Operation Total

China 7 4 - - 11

Europe 3 4 - 2 9

Gulf Cooperation

Council- - 2 - 2

Rest of World 4 - 1 1 6

Total 19 14 9 13 55

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2015

EOR

Dedicated Geological

Power

Generation

Operating 20172016

Hydrogen

production

Natural gas

processing

Chemical

production

Iron and steel

production

Synthetic

natural gas

Fertiliser

production

Oil refining

2018 2019 2020

= 1Mtpa of CO2 (areas of circle are proportional to capacity)

Coal-to-liquids

* Injection currently suspended

Boundary Dam

Medicine

Bow

KemperPetra

Nova

ROAD

Sargas

Texas

Sinopec

Shengli

TCEP Peterhead

White Rose

HECA

Don Valley

Illinois Industrial Yanchang

Sinopec

Qilu

Abu Dhabi

ACTL Agrium Coffeyville

Century

Plant Enid

Fertilizer

Val Verde

Air Products

Lost Cabin

Lula

SnøhvitSleipner

Shute Creek

In Salah*

Uthmaniyah

Quest

Gorgon Spectra

ACTL Sturgeon

Petro China

Jilin

Great

Plains

FutureGen 2.0

Actual and expected operation dates for projects

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Boundary Dam opening was an important milestone for 2014

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Capture capacity by year of operation

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Deployment of CCS/CCUS requires three elements

‘We…are convinced that the research

and development, demonstration and

global deployment of {CCS} must be

accelerated… We are committed to

taking necessary actions

internationally and collaboratively to

promote the further development and

deployment of CCS.’

Carbon Sequestration Leadership

Forum, extract from the

Communique following the 5th

Meeting of the CSLF Ministers,

November 2013

TECHNOLOGY

UNDERSTANDING

AND ACCEPTANCE

POLICY AND

MARKETS

Business case

for

CCS/CCUS

The business case requires collaboration among researchers /

educators, government, and industry

Government

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Mitigation cost increases in scenarios with limited

availability of technologies

Source: IPCC Fifth Assessment Synthesis Report, November 2014.

Percentage increase in total discounted mitigation costs (2015-2100)

relative to default technology assumptions – median estimate

450 138% 7% 6% 64%

2100 concentrations

(ppm CO2eq)no CCS

nuclear

phase out

limited

solar/wind

limited

bioenergy

4 8 8 8

Symbol legend – fraction of models successful in producing scenarios (numbers indicate number of successful models)

All models

successful

Between 80

and 100% of

models

successful

Between 50

and 80% of

models

successful

Less than 50%

of models

successful

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Strong policy incentives drive investment

Data source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance as shown in IEA presentation “Carbon Capture and

Storage: Perspectives from the International Energy Agency”, presented at National CCS week in

Australia, September 2014.

Clean energy investment between 2004-2013

USD billion

Scale of renewables investment

is instructive

CCS has not enjoyed

commensurate policy support

EOR has provided impetus in

North America

Policy parity is essential

How do we get CCS onto a

similar curve?

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Institute activities in the Americas

Global/Region-wideo Advocating for CCS/CCUS in climate-change policy

o Knowledge sharing among CCS/CCUS

professionals.

United Stateso Facilitating the dialog on CCS/CCUS among

policymakers, regulators and our Members.

o Advocacy at the state level.

Canadao Advocacy at the provincial level.

o Building public support for projects – school

programs.

Mexicoo Facilitate progress on CCUS roadmap.

o Capacity development – professional and graduate

training.

o Facilitate pilot projects.

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Institute activities in Brazil

2012 Initiated capacity development dialog with key

stakeholders

2013 Participated in joint workshop on BECCS

2014 Participated in CEPAC advanced CCS workshop

2015 CEPAC completes first CCS Storage Atlas of

Brazil, sponsored by the Institute

2011 Participated in

UNIDO workshop on CCS

in industry

2012 Sponsored CEPAC

staff to 34th International

Geological Congress and

CCS workshop

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o Pre-release online on April 28, 2015

o Organized by the Center of

Excellence in Research and

Innovation in Petroleum, Mineral

Resources and Carbon Storage

(CEPAC) at the Pontifical Catholic

University of Rio Grande do Sul

(PUCRS) with support from the

GCCSI

First Edition of the Brazilian CCS Atlas

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CO2 sources

Source-sink

matching

Pipeline networks

Integration of geographical data

Atlas Features

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Global challenges for CCS decision makers

Near-term policy support critical to move projects forward

and to give investors confidence to invest in CCS/CCUS.o Long-term GHG emission reduction policies

o GHG mitigation policies that are technology neutral.

Exploration and verification of sufficient storage resources

to accommodate large CO2 point sources.

Ensuring substantial future emissions reductions in non-

OECD countries by supporting CCS/CCUS readiness and

deployment

Ensuring CCS/CCUS options for industrial sources such

as refineries, iron and steel and cement CCS on bio-sources (BECCS) provides opportunity for net

negative emissions .

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