building new generation may11 2006 - michigan.gov · Sumitomo Corporation Owner Project Project...
Transcript of building new generation may11 2006 - michigan.gov · Sumitomo Corporation Owner Project Project...
May 11,2006 - 1
MMEA Presentation
Building New BaseloadGeneration in the Midwest
Black & Veatch May 11, 2006
May 11,2006 - 2
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Process Steps for New Generation
Monte CarloAnalysis
SystemsAnalysis
Licensing /Permitting
Preliminary Schedules
PreliminaryCost
Estimates
ProjectSchedule
SystemDefinitions
ArrangementDrawings
DetailedCost
Estimates
CommercialConstructionStrategies
SoilsTesting
Conceptual Engineering
Feasibility / InitialEngineering
Feasibility / InitialEngineering
Conceptual / DefinitionEngineering
Conceptual / DefinitionEngineering Project ExecutionProject Execution
MarketAssessment
FeasibilityStudy
Plant Configuration
Study
SelectMajor
Equipment
EngineeringReview
ProcurementAssistance
ConstructionManagement
StartupAssistance
OperatorTraining
ProjectPlanning
& Controls
ProjectCompletion
Beyond
May 11,2006 - 3
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
U.S. Energy Market Signals Remain Favorable for New Coal-Fired Generation
Over 80 GW of Planned New
U.S. Coal Projects
Of the 16 Units Under Construction, We Are
Involved In 6
May 11,2006 - 4
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Tri-StateSpringerville
400 MW
ManatowocUnit 963 MW
MidAmericanCB4
790 MW
XcelKing
600 MW
Santee Coop. Cross Unit 3
580 MW
WPSCWeston 4532 MW
Black Hills Wyg2 , Unit 4
90 MW
NewmontTS Plant200 MW
OPPDNC2
663 MW
WE EnergiesElm Road 1
615 MW
Santee Coop.Cross Unit 4
580 MW
CLECORodemacher
600 MW
EKPCSpurlock 4
278 MW
CWLP Dallman 34
201 MW
XcelComanche 3
750 MW
WE EnergiesElm Rd. 2615 MW
SunflowerHolcomb 2
600 MW
NAPGTwo Elk280 MW
CPS Spruce 2758 MW
LSPPlum Point 1
665 MW
KCP&LIatan Unit 2
750 MW
NRGBig Cajn. II, 4
675 MW
PeabodyPrairie St. 1
750 MW
TXUOakgrove850 MW
TXUSandow 5575 MW
EKPCJ.K. Smith 1
278 MW
BS II OwnersBig Stone II
600 MW
AECI Norborne 1
660 MW
Basin Elec.NE Wyoming
250 MW
LG&ETrimble Cty 2
732 MW
HG2 OwnersHugo Unit 2
750 MW
CUSSouthwest 2
275 MW
LSPTexas
600-800 MW
Sierra PacificWhite Pine
750 MW
LSPBlk Hwk Iowa
600 MW
LSPNevada
600-800 MW
Tri-StateHolcomb 3
600 MW
PPGAHastings 2
220 MW
SeminolePalatka 3750 MW
BPUNearmn Cr 2
235 MW
PeabodyPrairie St. 2
750 MW
JEA/FMPAN. Florida 800 MW
DominionSW VA Proj.
600 MW
UAMPs/PacifIntermt. 3950 MW
FPLFlorida Unit 1
850 MW
LSPGeorgia
600-800 MW
Tri-StateHolcomb 4
600 MW
WPSCBaseload II
530 MW
FPLFlorida Unit 2
850 MW
PacificorpHunter 4500 MW
Sierra PacificWhite Pine
750 MW
Tri-StateCO Coal Unit
656 MW
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Uni
ts
Under Construction Full NTP With Permits
LNTP, or NTP With Limit on Construction
Detailed Design Awarded, or EPC Award / LOI Without LNTP
Development & Permitting Work Awarded (Selected Basis)
U.S. Coal Projects
(Units and COD)
MDUHardin, Mont.
116 MW
May 11,2006 - 5
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Black & Veatch Current Coal Projects
2010EPC665 MWPlum Point Energy StationLS Power
2006OE2 x 300 MWPrimadaya (PT S2P)PT Sumber Segara
2009EPC201 MWDallman Unit 34CWLP
2012Conceptual Design / Permitting Support220 MWWhelan Energy Center 2PPGA
2011EpCM600 MWBig Stone IIBig Stone II Ownership Group
2011Conceptual Engineering / Cost Estimate1 x 130 MWAlaska Coal ProjectChugach Electric
Association, Inc.
2008OE / P1 x 90 MWWygen 2 Unit 4Black Hills Energy
2010EPC758 MWJ.K. Spruce Unit 2CPS
2009EPC663 MWNebraska City Unit 2OPPD
2008Ep, Field Engr., SU532 MWWeston Unit 4WPSC
2007Ep2 x 250 MWBhilai, IndiaBESCL
2007Ep600 MWKing Rehabilitation ProjectXcel Energy
2006EP2 x 660 MWTanjung Jati BPower PlantSumitomo Corporation
Scope CODProject SizeProjectOwner
May 11,2006 - 6
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Illinois
201 MW PC Subcritical Unit
Designed to Burn High Sulfur Illinois Coals
Contract Signed: October 3, 2005
B&V Role: EP
KIC Role: C
EPC JV: KIC and B&V
FW Boiler, Toshiba Turbine Generator
FF, Wet FGD, Wet ESP
Scheduled Completion: September 2009
May 11,2006 - 7
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Illinois
May 11,2006 - 8
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
New Generation Project Layout and Design Basis
May 11,2006 - 9
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Site Plan
May 11,2006 - 10
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Dallman Site
City Water Plant
Unit 3
Units 1 and 2 FGD
Unit 3 FGD and 1,2, and 3 Limestone and Dewatering
Units 1 and 2
Lakeside Plant
May 11,2006 - 11
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Coal Pile
Existing Truck
unloading
Existing StockoutNew
Unit Stockout
New Transfer
Conveyor
New Unit Reclaim
and Conveyor
May 11,2006 - 12
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Cooling Tower
Sound Wall
Drainage Trench
Sound and Plume Abated Cooling
Tower
Lake Springfield
May 11,2006 - 13
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Overall AQCS
May 11,2006 - 14
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City of Springfield 3-D Model
May 11,2006 - 15
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Project Schedule
CWLP
Begin EPCSpec Prep / RFQ Responses Due
Select EPC Bidder Start Negotiations
Issue RFQStart Phase 1
EPC Contract Award
Engr
-38 -16 -15 -5 -4 -2 0 47
Receive Permit
-10
Permit Application Submitted
5
Start Construction
NTP Mobilization Start Site Modification
Receive EPC Bids
Issue EPC RFP
-11
Guaranteed Power
Delivery Sept 2009
-25 -24
Phase 1 Complete
Start Phase 2 Engr and Permitting
May 11,2006 - 16
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Actual U.S. Coal Plant Construction Schedules
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70Months
600 – 700 MW
250 – 400 MW
5858
5050
3737
4444
425 – 500 MW
100 – 200 MW
75 – 100 MW
3737
4646
4040
3434
4040
2828
May 11,2006 - 17
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76
52
68 72
01020304050607080
April 2004 October2004
April 2005 January2006
Wee
ksMarket and Sourcing Example –Pipe Material to Fabricator Lead Times
Significant Factor in Project Schedules
May 11,2006 - 18
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20 to 24
161616
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2003 2004 2005 2006
Wee
ksMarket and Sourcing Example –Total Structural Steel Mill Order Lead Times
Significant Factor in Project Schedules
Mill Order Times:• 2003 to 2005 = 8 Wks• 2006 = 12 to 16 Wks
May 11,2006 - 19
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Dec 2003 May 2005 Sep 2005 January 2006
Mon
ths
Market and Sourcing Example –Steam Turbine Lead Times
Significant Factor in Project Schedules
1820 20
22-24
May 11,2006 - 20
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Escalation Summary – Market and Sourcing
Price Escalation on Commodities Such as Steel, Copper and Alloy Have Driven Prices and Lead Times Up Dramatically
AQCS Equipment Extremely Tight Market Due to Ongoing Retrofit Work (30% Materials Required)
Boiler Prices Increasing (30% Materials Required)
The E&C Industry Is Also “Tight” With a Limited Number of Capable Players
Increasing Coal Plant Costs
May 11,2006 - 21
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300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Jan '
04
Dec '0
4
Jan '
05
Dec '0
5
Jan '
06
Month
$ / T
on
Total Mill Price
Escalation Example – Steel
36% Increase
May 11,2006 - 22
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Escalation – LaborAs-Stated Escalation Rates for Midwest Coal Project
6.1%$21.90*$20.70$19.50Laborers
5.2%$30.10$28.60$27.80Boilermaker
7.2%$29.35$27.50$25.65Carpenter
6.2%Average
6.0%$34.43*$32.58*$30.73Electricians6.4%$36.93$34.83$32.73Pipefitter
7.4%$28.80$26.95$25.10Ironworker6.2%$33.70$31.85$30.00Millwright
5.3%$31.06*$29.56$28.06Operators
2007 RateAnnual
Escalation Rate
2006 Rate2005 RateCraft
*Future Estimate
May 11,2006 - 23
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Total Craft Labor Full Time Equivalents (FTEs)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year
FTE'
s
Based on U.S. Coal
Projects Slide(Units and COD)
May 11,2006 - 24
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Equipment Suppliers – Boilers
Alstom Power
Babcock & Wilcox
Foster Wheeler
Babcock Power
IHI, Inc.
Mitsubishi Power
Mitsui Babcock
Babcock Hitachi
Domestic Based International Based
May 11,2006 - 25
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Equipment Suppliers – STGs
Alstom Power
General Electric
Mitsubishi Power
Siemens Westinghouse
Toshiba
Hitachi
Fuji
May 11,2006 - 26
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Equipment Suppliers – FGD, Fabric Filters and Electrostatic Precipitators
XMarsulex
XAdvaTech (MHI & URS)
XXXXXWheelabrator
XHitachi
XXXHamon RC
XChiyoda
XXXXXBabcock & Wilcox
XXBabcock Power
XXXXXAlstom Power
Wet ESPDry ESPFFWet FGDDry FGD
May 11,2006 - 29
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CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Illinois