Building a Weather-Ready Nation
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Transcript of Building a Weather-Ready Nation
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Building a Weather-Ready Nation
SITREP for March 21, 2011FY 12 Budget Request
National Weather ServiceBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation
Dr. Jack HayesNOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services and
NWS Director
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Operational SITREPTsunami
NOAA’s Tsunami Warning and Advisory Areas for Japan Tsunami
03/11/2011 - 04:18am EST
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Operational SITREPTsunami
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Operational SITREPTsunami
• 24/7 Tsunami Warning Centers• Detection and Evaluation of Earthquakes
– Seismic Networks• Detection and Evaluation of Tsunami Waves
– 39 DART Stations (Atlantic, Caribbean, and Pacific
– 164 Water-level Stations• Forecasting the Tsunami Threat
– Modeling• Product Generation and Dissemination
– Warnings, Watches, Advisories and Bulletins
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Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami (DART) Stations
Operating stations Non-operating Stations
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Operational SITREPTsunami, March 11, 2011
Eastern Time ZoneEastern Time Zone
EARTH-QUAKE
12:46 12:55 12:58 04:18 08:14
NOAA Tsunami Warning for Japan, Russia
NOAA issues Tsunami Statement for Alaska, Washington, Oregon and California
02:30
NOAA issues Tsunami Warning for Hawaii and most other Pacific Nations
NOAA issues Tsunami Warning for California north of Pt. Concepcion, and the Western Aleutian Islands
First wave arrives in Honolulu, HI
10:37
First wave arrives in Crescent City, CA
Wrng Lead Time: 6:19hrsWrng Lead Time: 6:19hrsWrng Lead Time: 5:44hrsWrng Lead Time: 5:44hrs
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Operational SITREPForecast and Observed Wave Heights
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Operational SITREPSpring Outlook
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Operational SITREPSpace Weather Activity
• Solar Maximum in 2013• Space Weather Impacts
– Satellites – GPS Reliability– Aviation (Polar Flights)– Energy distribution
• 2 geo-magnetic storms– HF Radio– Airline Routes
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
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6 AtlanticHurricanes
1,300 Tornadoes 5,000 Floods
26,000 SevereThunderstorms
Drought andLarge Wildfires
600 Deaths$14B in Losses
Building a Weather-Ready Nation NWS Response to A Changing World
Annual Averages
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• Trends & Changing Needs– Population growth and demographic trends
increase vulnerability• 50% of U.S. population living along coasts• Urbanization• High-impact weather
• NWS People and Infrastructure
• NWS Future
Building a Weather-Ready Nation NWS Response to A Changing World
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Building a Weather-Ready NationFY12 Budget Overview
• FY 2012 NWS $988.0M• $11.9M (1.2%) decrease from the FY 2010 Enacted• Net increase of $3.1M (0.3%), after the $15.0M
technical transfer of programs to the NCS. • $16.8M for non-labor inflationary Adjustments to
Base• ($15.0M) for Climate Reorganization• ($13.7M) for Program Changes
• Supports the priorities of the Administration, Department of Commerce, and NOAA.
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Building a Weather-Ready NationNWS Budget Change Table
Budget Line – Program ChangeProgram Change
($ in millions)
Local Warnings & Forecasts Base
- National Data Buoy Center $4.0M
-GPS Radiosondes $5.0M
- Aviation Weather: NextGen $26.9M
-National Critical Space Weather System $2.0M
-Cooperative Observer Program ($1.2M)
-Telecommunications Efficiencies ($3.2M)
-National Mesonet Program ($19.0M)
Weather and Climate Supercomputing $11.0M
NEXRAD - Product Improvement ($2.2M)
Complete & Sustain NOAA Weather Radio ($5.4M)
NOAA Profiler Conversion ($2.0M)
Weather Forecast Office Construction $3.2M
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• Improve weather, water, and climate decision services for events that threaten lives and livelihoods
• Improve warning accuracies and lead times for high-impact events
• Better communicate levels of confidence in our forecasts
• Help improve community emergency preparedness and response
• Embed with Emergency Managers• Enable the Weather Enterprise
Meet State, Local, and Federal NeedsMeet State, Local, and Federal Needs
Building a Weather-Ready NationPlan for the Future
Increased accuracy Increased timeliness Increased accessibility
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Building a Weather-Ready Nation