Building a Strong Client- Focused Franchise · Building a Strong Client-Focused Franchise March...
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Building a Strong Client-Focused Franchise
March 2020
Investor Presentation
Forward-Looking Statements
A NOTE ABOUT FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: From time to time, we make written or oral forward-looking statements within the meaning of certain securities laws, including in thisreport, in other filings with Canadian securities regulators or the SEC and in other communications. All such statements are made pursuant to the “safe harbour” provisions of, and areintended to be forward-looking statements under applicable Canadian and U.S. securities legislation, including the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statementsinclude, but are not limited to, statements made in the “Financial performance overview – Economic outlook”, “Financial performance overview – Significant events”, “Financialperformance overview – Financial results review”, “Financial condition – Capital management”, “Management of risk – Risk overview”, “Management of risk – Top and emerging risks”,“Management of risk – Credit risk”, “Management of risk – Market risk”, “Management of risk – Liquidity risk”, “Accounting and control matters – Critical accounting policies and estimates”,“Accounting and control matters – Accounting developments”, and “Accounting and control matters – Other regulatory developments” sections of this report and other statements about ouroperations, business lines, financial condition, risk management, priorities, targets, ongoing objectives, strategies, the regulatory environment in which we operate and outlook for calendaryear 2020 and subsequent periods.
Forward-looking statements are typically identified by the words “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “target”, “objective” and other similar expressionsor future or conditional verbs such as “will”, “should”, “would” and “could”. By their nature, these statements require us to make assumptions, including the economic assumptions set outin the “Financial performance overview – Economic outlook” section of this report, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties that may be general or specific. A variety of factors,many of which are beyond our control, affect our operations, performance and results, and could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed in any of ourforward-looking statements. These factors include: credit, market, liquidity, strategic, insurance, operational, reputation, conduct and legal, regulatory and environmental risk; theeffectiveness and adequacy of our risk management and valuation models and processes; legislative or regulatory developments in the jurisdictions where we operate, including the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and the regulations issued and to be issued thereunder, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development CommonReporting Standard, and regulatory reforms in the United Kingdom and Europe, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision’s global standards for capital and liquidity reform, and thoserelating to bank recapitalization legislation and the payments system in Canada; amendments to, and interpretations of, risk-based capital guidelines and reporting instructions, and interestrate and liquidity regulatory guidance; the resolution of legal and regulatory proceedings and related matters; the effect of changes to accounting standards, rules and interpretations;changes in our estimates of reserves and allowances; changes in tax laws; changes to our credit ratings; political conditions and developments, including changes relating to economic ortrade matters; the possible effect on our business of international conflicts and terrorism; natural disasters, public health emergencies, disruptions to public infrastructure and othercatastrophic events; reliance on third parties to provide components of our business infrastructure; potential disruptions to our information technology systems and services; increasingcyber security risks which may include theft or disclosure of assets, unauthorized access to sensitive information, or operational disruption; social media risk; losses incurred as a result ofinternal or external fraud; anti-money laundering; the accuracy and completeness of information provided to us concerning clients and counterparties; the failure of third parties to complywith their obligations to us and our affiliates or associates; intensifying competition from established competitors and new entrants in the financial services industry including throughinternet and mobile banking; technological change; global capital market activity; changes in monetary and economic policy; currency value and interest rate fluctuations, including as aresult of market and oil price volatility; general business and economic conditions worldwide, as well as in Canada, the U.S. and other countries where we have operations, includingincreasing Canadian household debt levels and global credit risks; our success in developing and introducing new products and services, expanding existing distribution channels, developingnew distribution channels and realizing increased revenue from these channels; changes in client spending and saving habits; our ability to attract and retain key employees and executives;our ability to successfully execute our strategies and complete and integrate acquisitions and joint ventures; the risk that expected synergies and benefits of an acquisition will not berealized within the expected time frame or at all; and our ability to anticipate and manage the risks associated with these factors. This list is not exhaustive of the factors that may affectany of our forward-looking statements. These and other factors should be considered carefully and readers should not place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements contained in this report represent the views of management only as of the date hereof and are presented for the purpose of assisting our shareholders and financialanalysts in understanding our financial position, objectives and priorities and anticipated financial performance as at and for the periods ended on the dates presented, and may not beappropriate for other purposes. We do not undertake to update any forward-looking statement that is contained in this report or in other communications except as required by law.
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CIBC Strategy and Performance Update
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CIBC Snapshot
CIBC (CM: TSX, NYSE) is a leading North American financial institution. Through our four strategic business units – Canadian Personal and Small Business Banking, Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, and Capital Markets - our 45,000 employees provide a full range of financial products and services to 10 million personal banking, business, public sector and institutional clients in Canada, the U.S. and around the world.
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(1) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) Excludes the Corporate & Other segment.(3) Long-term senior debt ratings.
Q1 2020 Adjusted Net Income by SBU1,2
Market Cap $48.0 billion
Dividend Yield 5.3%
Adjusted ROE1 16.1%
Five-Year TSR 55.7%
Our Stock
Clients ~10 million
Banking Centres 1,022
Employees 45,083
Total Assets $672.1 billion
Our Company
Moody’s Aa2, Stable
S&P A+, Stable
Fitch AA-, Stable
DBRS AA, Stable
Our Credit Rating3
As at, or for the period ended, January 31, 2020:
Canadian Personal & Small Business Banking42%
Capital Markets23%
Canadian Commercial Banking & Wealth Management23%
U.S. Commercial Banking & Wealth Management13%
5Building a relationship-oriented franchise...for a modern world
58.0% 57.2% 55.6% 55.5% 55.0%
Q1 20202016 2017 2018 Run Rate Target
by 2022
2019
53.5 – 54.0%
(1) CIBC’s score is relative to Canada’s Big 5 banks.(2) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.
Diversified Earnings Growth2
Optimized Operational Efficiency2 Disciplined Capital Deployment
Strong Client-Focused Culture
CET1 Capital Ratio target range: 11% - 11.5%
Excess capital deployed in areas to generate the greatest shareholder value:
• Continue to prioritize organic growth
• Grow dividends in-line with earnings
• Normal Course Issuer Buyback program
• Inorganic growth
2% 3% 4%
96%
16% 17% 20%
-1%
90% 82% 80% 76%
5%
20172016
9%1%
2018 2019 Q1 2020
Canada U.S. Other
• We remain focused on pacing investments through the economic cycle
• In 2019 we added to our capabilities in the U.S. with the acquisitions of Cleary Gull and Lowenhaupt Global Advisors
• Achieved a score of 60.9 in 2019 for the CIBC Client Experience Net Promoter Score Index (CX NPS)
• Client Experience enhancements have driven improvements across most metrics of our CX NPS
• Improved client experience satisfaction scores from the J.D. Power Retail Banking study
• Achieved our highest ever Ipsos Net Promoter Score in Canadian banking (Q1/20)
Highest overall score in The Forrester Banking Wave™: Canadian Mobile Apps, Q2 2019 report1
Strong and Consistent Returns to Shareholders...
Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share1
(C$)
6
Adjusted Return on Equity1
(%)
Dividends Per Share(C$)
Adjusted Dividend Payout Ratio1,2
(%)
(1) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) Common dividends paid as a percentage of net income after preferred dividends and premium on preferred share redemptions.
10.2211.11
12.21
3.01
3.24
12.15
2.97
3.10
2.84
11.92
201920182016 Q1 20202017 LTM Q1 2020
19.0 18.1 17.415.4 16.1 15.8
2019201820172016 Q1 2020 LTM Q1 2020
4.75 5.08 5.32
1.36
1.44
5.68
1.40
1.40
1.44
LTM Q1 2020
2016 2017 2018
5.60
2019 Q1 2020
46.4 46.2 43.446.9 44.3 46.7
2017 LTM Q1 2020
2016 2018 2019 Q1 2020
…Through Investments in Top-Line Growth and Efficiency…
Adjusted Revenue (TEB)1,2
(C$ billions)
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Adjusted Non-Interest Expenses1
(C$ billions)
Adjusted Efficiency Ratio (TEB)1,2
(%)Adjusted Net Income1
(C$ billions)
(1) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) TEB = Taxable Equivalent Basis - a non-GAAP financial measure representing the gross up of tax-exempt revenue on certain securities to an
equivalent before-tax basis to facilitate comparison of net interest income from both taxable and tax-exempt sources.
15.016.3
18.1
4.6
4.9
19.0
4.6
4.8
4.7
LTM Q1 2020
2016 2017
18.7
2018 2019 Q1 2020
+5%
8.7 9.310.1
2.5
2.7
10.6
2.6
2.6
2.7
20172016 2018 2019 Q1 2020 LTM Q1 2020
10.4+4%
58.0 57.2 55.6 55.5 55.0 55.6
20182017 20192016 Q1 2020 LTM Q1 2020
4.14.7
5.5
1.4
1.5
5.6
1.4
1.4
1.3
5.4
2016 20182017 Q1 20202019 LTM Q1 2020
+6%
…Underpinned by a Commitment to Balance Sheet Strength
Basel III CET1 Ratio(%)
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Basel III Total Capital Ratio(%)
Basel III Leverage Ratio2
(%)Liquidity Coverage Ratio2
(%)
(1) On June 23, 2017, CIBC completed the acquisition of PrivateBancorp, Inc. and its subsidiary, The PrivateBank and Trust Company.(2) Public disclosure of the Basel III Leverage Ratio and the Liquidity Coverage Ratio was required effective January 1, 2015.
n/a n/a
(1) (1)
11.3 10.611.4 11.6 11.3
20182016 2017 2019 Q1 2020
14.813.8
14.9 15.0 14.5
2017 Q1 202020192016 2018
4.0 4.04.3 4.3 4.3
Q1 20202016 20182017 2019
124.0 120.0128.0 125.0 125.0
Q4 2018 Q4 2019Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Q1 2020
Good Credit Performance
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Coverage Ratio1
(%)
34 3633 35 35
20172016 2018 2019 Q1 2020
5651 53
4438
2731
25 26 2924
201720132010 2011 201620142012 2015 2018 2019 Q1 2020
Loan Loss Ratio2
(bps)
(1) Allowance for Credit Losses divided by Gross Impaired Loans and Acceptances.(2) The ratio is calculated as the provision for credit losses on impaired loans to average loans and acceptances, net of allowance for credit losses.
Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders. Fiscal years prior to 2011 are under Canadian GAAP. Fiscal years 2011 to 2017 are under IAS 39. Effective November 1, 2017, we adopted IFRS 9.
Oil & gas crisis
//
Strategic Business Units
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• Winning at relationships
• Delivering market-leading solutions
• Being easy to bank with
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Canadian Personal and Small Business Banking
Strategic Priorities
Our business strategy
Our goal is to build a modern consumer and small business relationship bank to help our clients achieve their ambitions.
Medium Term Targets
EfficiencyRatio1
<49% run-rate in F2022
Competitive Positioning
Above market volume growth
EarningsGrowth1
5% - 7%CAGR
(1) Non-GAAP measure adjusted for items of note. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.
Canadian Personal and Small Business BankingFinancial Highlights
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Adjusted Efficiency Ratio1
(%)
52.6 51.0 51.5 52.3 51.9
2017 2018 Q1 20202019 LTM 2020
244 257 257 258
201920182017 Q1 2020
Deposits(C$ billions)
Average Loans & Acceptances(C$ billions)
(1) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.
Adjusted Net Income1
(C$ billions)
2.252.55
0.63
0.62
2.45
0.57
0.66
0.60
201920182017 Q1 2020 LTM 2020
2.46
+3%
163 167 177 183
2017 Q1 20202018 2019
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Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management
(1) Non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.
Strategic Priorities
Our business strategy
We are focused on building and enhancing client relationships, being Canada’s leader in financial advice and generating long-term consistent growth.
Medium Term Targets
• Scaling commercial banking
• Deepening client relationships across our bank
• Increasing agility & efficiency in Wealth Management
EarningsGrowth1
10% - 12%CAGR
EfficiencyRatio1
~50% run-rate in F2022
Loan and Deposit Growth
9% - 11%CAGR
Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth ManagementFinancial Highlights
Adjusted Net Income1
(C$ billions)
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Adjusted Efficiency Ratio1
(%)
56.3 53.9 52.3 53.2 52.5
Q1 20202017 LTM 20202018 2019
43 48 55 60
51 5663 65
20182017 2019 Q1 2020
162 165 182 190
274 269 289 299
2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020
Commercial Banking: Average Loans and Deposits(C$ billions)
Wealth Management: Assets Under Administration and Management2
(C$ billions)
(1) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) Assets Under Management (AUM) amounts are included in the amounts reported under Assets Under Administration (AUA).
AUA AUMLoans Deposits
1.141.29
0.31
0.340.33
0.34
0.31
1.29
20182017 2019 Q1 2020
+6%
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U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management
Strategic Priorities
Our business strategy
Our goal is to build the best-in-class commercial and wealth management bank for our chosen client segments and markets with a focus on developing deep, profitable relationships leveraging the full complement of CIBC’s products and services across our North American platform.
Medium Term Targets
• Growing organically by adding and deepening our client relationships and selectively entering additional markets and specialty businesses
• Continuing to build a strong U.S. operating platform by investing appropriately in our growth
• Maintaining our risk discipline through selective evaluation of new opportunities, portfolio diversification, and quality of funding sources
EarningsGrowth1
10% - 12%CAGR2
(1) Non-GAAP measure adjusted for items of note. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) Forecasted earnings growth from adjusted net income of $119MM for Q4 F17 on an annualized basis.(3) Based on spot balances as of October 31, 2017.
Loan Growth
9% - 11%CAGR3
Deposit Growth
13% - 15%CAGR3
EfficiencyRatio1
<50% run-rate in F2022
U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth ManagementFinancial Highlights
Adjusted Net Income1
(C$ billions)
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Adjusted Efficiency Ratio (TEB)1,2
(%)
60.054.6 53.4 54.7 53.6
20182017 2019 Q1 2020 LTM 2020
59 60 69 73
74 8090 95
2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020
Assets Under Administration and Management3
(C$ billions)Commercial Banking and Wealth Management Loans(C$ billions)
(1) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) TEB = Taxable Equivalent Basis - a non-GAAP financial measure representing the gross up of tax-exempt revenue on certain securities to an equivalent before-tax basis to facilitate
comparison of net interest income from both taxable and tax-exempt sources.(3) Assets Under Management (AUM) amounts are included in the amounts reported under Assets Under Administration (AUA).
AUA AUM
2832 35
Q1 20203 4
2018
3
2019
0.09
0.59
0.17
0.19
0.73
0.18
0.18
0.19
Q1 20202017 2018 2019 LTM 2020
0.72
+12%
Commercial Banking Loans
Wealth Management Loans
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Capital Markets
Strategic Priorities
Our business strategy
Our goal is to be the leading capital markets franchise for our core clients in Canada and the lead relationship bank for our key clients globally by delivering best-in-class insight, advice and execution. To enable CIBC’s strategy and priorities, we collaborate with our partners across our bank to deepen and enhance client relationships.
Medium Term Targets
• Being the leading capital markets platform in Canada for our core clients
• Building a North American client platform with global capabilities
• Increasing connectivity across CIBC to deliver better service for clients
(1) Non-GAAP measure adjusted for items of note. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) Forecast earnings growth from base of $225MM-$250MM (Q4 2017) quarterly adjusted earnings.
EarningsGrowth1 over
5% - 10%CAGR2
EfficiencyRatio1
~50% in F2022
Capital MarketsFinancial Highlights
Adjusted Net Income1
(C$ billions)
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Adjusted Efficiency Ratio (TEB)1,2
(%)
48.6 50.8 51.2 48.1 50.2
Q1 20202017 2018 2019 LTM 2020
6.5
5.35.7 5.8
2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020
2326
31 32
2017 20192018 Q1 2020
Average value-at-risk (VaR)(C$ millions)
Average Loans and Acceptances, Net of Allowances(C$ billions)
(1) Adjusted results are non-GAAP measures. See the non-GAAP section of CIBC’s Q1 2020 Report to Shareholders.(2) TEB = Taxable Equivalent Basis - a non-GAAP financial measure representing the gross up of tax-exempt revenue on certain securities to an
equivalent before-tax basis to facilitate comparison of net interest income from both taxable and tax-exempt sources.
1.09 1.09
0.21
0.34
1.08
0.28
0.24
0.23
Q1 2020 LTM 202020182017 2019
0.95
0%
Balance Sheet & Funding
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Strong, High Quality Liquid Client Driven Balance Sheet
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Assets Liabilities & EquityBased on Q1/20 results
(1) Securitized agency MBS are on balance sheet as per IFRS(2) Derivatives related assets, are largely offset by derivatives related liabilities. Under IFRS derivative amounts with master netting agreements cannot be offset and the
gross derivative assets and liabilities are reported on balance sheet. (3) Includes Obligations related to securities sold short, Cash collateral on securities lent and Obligations related to securities under repurchase agreements
32% Liquid Assets
Cash and Repos
CAD 672BN
Trading & Investment Securities
Residential Mortgages (1)
Other Retail Loans
Corporate Loans
Other Assets(2)
59% Loan
Portfolio
Mainly Derivatives
Personal Deposits
Business & Gov’t Deposits
Securitization & Covered Bonds
Capital
Other Liabilities(2)
Unsecured Funding
106% Coverage (Deposits+Capital/Loans)
120% Coverage
(Liquid Assets/Wholesale Funding)
64% Capital +
Clientrelated funding
27% Wholesale Funding
Secured Funding (3)
Mainly Derivatives
CIBC Funding Strategy and Sources
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Funding Strategy
CIBC’s funding strategy includes access to funding through retail deposits and wholesale funding and deposits
CIBC updates its three year funding plan on at least a quarterly basis
The wholesale funding strategy is to develop and maintain a sustainable funding base through which CIBC can access funding across many different depositors and investors, geographies, maturities, and funding instruments
Wholesale Funding Sources
Wholesale deposits Canada, U.S.
Global MTN programs
Covered Bond program
Credit card securitization Canada, U.S.
Mortgage securitization programs
Wholesale Market (CAD Eq. 152.6BN), Maturity Profile
Structured Notes
Source: CIBC Q1-2020 Report to Shareholders
Wholesale Funding Geography
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Wholesale Funding By Currency
CAD 49.8 BN Canada Mortgage Bonds
Credit Cards Securitization
Medium Term Notes
Canadian Dollar Deposits
EUR 6.3 BN, CHF 1.5 BN, GBP 3.6 BN, SEK 2.0 BN, NOK: 0.15 BN
Covered Bonds
Medium Term Notes
HKD 2.0 BN
AUD 4.3 BN Covered Bonds
Medium Term Notes
Covered Bond Program
Credit Cards Securitization
Medium Term Notes
US Dollar Deposits
USD 60.4.3 BN
Wholesale Funding By Product
Medium Term Notes
Source: CIBC Q1-2020 Quarterly Report to Shareholders, BloombergUnsecured includes Obligations related to securities sold short, Cash collateral on securities lent and Obligations related to securities under repurchase agreements.Percentages man not add up to 100% due to rounding
JPY 55.0 BN Medium Term Notes
Funding sources BNPersonal deposits 182.8Business and government deposits 164.3
Unsecured funding1 112.4Securities sold short or repurchase agreements 76.2Others (Includes derivatives) 54.1
Capital2 43.9Securitization & Covered Bonds 38.4Total 672.1
Wholesale market, currency3 BNUSD 79.0CAD 49.8Other 23.8Total 152.6
CIBC Funding Composition
1 Unsecured funding is comprised of wholesale bank deposits, certificates of deposit and commercial paper, bearer deposit notes and bankers’ acceptances, senior unsecured EMTN and senior unsecured structured notes2 Capital includes subordinated liabilities3 Currency composition, in Canadian dollar equivalent, of funding sourced by CIBC in the wholesale market. Source: CIBC Q1-2020 Quarterly Report 2020
Funding Sources – January 20201
Source: CIBC Q1-2020 Supplementary Financial Information
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1 Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Macroeconomic Overview
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• Canada’s unemployment rate less volatile in the past decade, and not directly comparable to the United States unemployment rate1
• As measured by GDP indexed to 2007, the Canadian economy has outperformed other major economies since the financial crisis of 2008
• Canadian savings rate consistently positive in the past decade
Canadian Economy Selected Indicators
GDP Indexed to 2007
Unemployment Rate
Household Net Savings Ratio
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2019 Source: OECD, Economic Outlook No 105, November 2019
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1 Certain groups of people in Canada are counted as unemployed, but are deemed to not participate in the labour force in the U.S. – e.g. job seekers who only looked at job ads, or individuals not able to work due to for family responsibilities.
Source: Statistics Canada; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 2020
Canadian Labour Market Profile
Source: Bloomberg (Index) - CANLNETJ, CANLEMPL, UKLFEMCH, UKLFEMPF, USEMNCHG, NFP T, CANLXEMR, UKEUILOR, USURTOT, UMRTEMU, CANLPRTR, UKLFMGWG and PRUSTOT.
Strong Job Creation Record
• Canada regained all jobs lost during the recession by January 2010, before the United Kingdom and the United States
• Net employment increases in Canada and the United States from February 2008 to January 2020 are 2,243,900 and 14,225,000, respectively
• Participation rate consistently higher than in the U.S. and the U.K.
Total Employment
Participation Rate
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Unemployment Rate
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Canada U.K. U.S. Germany France
% o
f Po
pula
tion
Mortgage Market Performance and Urbanisation RatesMortgage Arrears by Number of Mortgages
Population in Top Four CitiesSource: CML Research, CBA, MBA. *Mortgage arrears of 3+ months in Canada and UK or in foreclosure process in the US
Source: 2014 Census for France, 2016 Census for Canada, 2011 Census for UK, Germany; 2010 Census for US
Canadian mortgages consistently outperform U.S. and U.K. mortgages
Low defaults and arrears reflect the strong Canadian credit culture
Mortgage interest is generally not tax deductible, resulting in an incentive for mortgagors to limit their amount of mortgage debt
In most provinces, lenders have robust legal recourse to recoup losses
Mortgage arrears have steadily declined from high of 0.45% in 2009 to 0.25% in 2019
Canada has one of the highest urbanisation ratesin the G7
Almost 40% of the Canadian population lives in one of the four largest cities
A greater rate of urbanisation is a strong contributor to increases in property values
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Canadian Mortgage Market
Consistently High Owner’s Equity2
Source: Federal Reserve, Statistics CanadaSource: Federal Reserve, Statistics Canada 1 Includes interest component only
2 Indexed
Household Debt Service Ratio1
World Home Prices Per Square Foot (USD)
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House Price & Household Income Growth
Source: Bloomberg, CREA
Source: Global Property Guide, OREB, CREBGMREB, MAR, TREB, CAR, REBGV (2018)
Product
• Conservative product offerings – generally consist of fixed or variable rate option
• Borrowers qualify based on qualifying posted mortgage rate
Underwriting
• More exotic offerings (e.g. ARMs, IOs) and a greater proportion of mortgages are variable or adjustable rate
• Borrowers were often qualified using teaser rates
• Prepayment penalties are common
• Terms usually 5 years or less, renewable at maturity – allows reassessment of credit
• Amortization usually 25 years, but can be up to 30 years
• Mortgage insurance mandatory if LTV over 80%. Insurance covers full amount
• Mortgages can be prepaid without penalty
• 30 year term most common
• Amortizations usually 30 years, but can be up to 50 years
• Mortgage insurance often used to cover portion of LTV over 80%
Canada United States
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Canadian vs. US Mortgage Market
Regulation and
Taxation
• Interest is generally not tax deductible, so there is an incentive to take on less mortgage debt
• Lenders have recourse to both the borrower and the property in most provinces
• Foreign buyer and vacant home tax: this tax was imposed by the BC government in Aug./16 to cool the GVA housing market. The ON government followed suit in Apr./17 to cool the GTA housing market.
• Oct./16: A stress test used for approving high-ratio mortgages will be applied to all new insured mortgages. Home buyers need to qualify for a loan at the negotiated rate in the mortgage contract, but also at BoC’s five-year fixed posted mortgage rate.
• Jan./18: The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) introduced new rules on mortgage lending, requiring stress tests on uninsured mortgages and cutting out practices designed to circumvent lending limits.
• Interest is tax deductible, creating an incentive to take on more mortgage debt
• Lenders have limited recourse in most jurisdictions
Canada United States
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Canadian vs. US Mortgage Market (continued)
Regulation and
Taxation
• In Feb./18, the BC government introduced tax measures to further cool down the GVA housing market:
1. BC to implement a Speculation Tax on vacant residential properties in BC’s largest urban centres. In 2018, tax rate will be 0.5% of property’s assessed value. In 2019 and subsequent years, tax rates will be as follows:
• 2% for foreign investors and satellite families
• 1% for Canadian citizens and permanent residents who do not live in B.C.
• 0.5% for B.C. residents who are Canadian citizens or permanent residents
2. BC to increase foreign buyer’s tax from 15% to 20% and expand to outside Metro Vancouver, including the Fraser Valley, Nanaimo, the Central Okanagan and the Capital Regional District
3. BC to increase taxes on homes worth more than $3 million
4. BC to cancel interest-free loans (no interest or principal payments for the first 5 years) to first time home buyers which offered a second mortgage to qualified buyers
Canada United States
31
Canadian vs. US Mortgage Market (continued)
Canadian Bail-in Regime Update
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How Bail-In Is Expected To Work
33
When OSFI deems a bank has ceased to or may be about to cease to continue to be viable, it may trigger temporary takeover of the bank and carry out the bail-in conversion of NVCC capital and bail-in debt to common equity.
At bail-in, all NVCC instruments would be fully converted to common equity based on pre-determined conversion ratios
Portion of the bail-in debt that would be converted to common equity as well as the conversion ratio would be determined by the authorities on a case-by-case basis
1. Pre-Loss Balance Sheet 2. Loss Event 3. Post Bail-in
Other Senior
Liabilities
Bail-in Debt
NVCC Sub-Debt
NVCC Preferred
Equity
CommonEquity
Assets
Other Senior
Liabilities
Bail-in Debt
NVCC Sub-Debt
NVCC Preferred
Equity
CommonEquity
Loss
Assets
Other Senior
Liabilities
Bail-in Debt
CommonEquity
Assets
Canadian Bail-in Regime Update
On April 18, 2018, Department of Finance published the bail-in regulations, and OSFI finalized the guidelines on Total Loss Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) and TLAC holdings.
1. Department of Finance’s bank recapitalization (bail-in) conversion regulations Provide statutory powers to CDIC (through Governor in Council) to enact the bail-in regime including the ability to
convert specified eligible shares and liabilities of D-SIBs into common shares in the event such bank becomes non-viable Bail-in eligible liabilities include tradable (with CUSIP/ISIN), unsecured debt with original maturity of over 400 days Excluded liabilities are covered bonds, consumer deposits, secured liabilities, derivatives, and structured notes1
Effective on September 23, 2018
2. OSFI’s TLAC guideline TLAC liabilities must be directly issued by the D-SIB, satisfy all of the requirements set out in the bail-in regulations, and
have residual maturity greater than 365 days Minimum requirements: TLAC ratio = TLAC measure / RWA > 21.5% TLAC leverage ratio = TLAC measure / Leverage exposure > 6.75% TLAC supervisory target ratio set at 23.50% RWA2
Effective Fiscal 2022. Public disclosure began in Q1 2019.
3. OSFI’s TLAC holdings Our investment in other G-SIBs and other Canadian D-SIB’s TLAC instruments are to be deducted from our own tier 2
capital if our aggregate holding, together with investments in capital instruments of other FIs, exceed 10% of our own CET1 capital
Implementation started in Q1 2019
1 As referenced in the Bank Recapitalization (Bail-in) Regulations: http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/regulations/SOR-2018-57/FullText.htmlIncreases to 23.75% when the Domestic Stability Buffer rises to 2.25% effective April 30, 2020 2
34
Canadian Bail-in Regime – Comparison to Other Jurisdictions
Bail-in implementation in other jurisdictions has increased the riskiness of bail-inable bonds vs. non-bail-inable bonds:
Legislative changes prohibit bail-outs, increasing the probability that bail-in will be relied on
The hierarchy of claims places bail-in debt below deposits and senior debt through structural subordination, legislation or contractual means
Bail-in is expected to rely on write-down of securities, imposing certain losses on investors
The Canadian framework differs from other jurisdictions on several points:
The Canadian government has not introduced legislation preventing bail-outs
Canadian senior term debt will be issued in a single class and will not be subordinated to another class of senior term debt like other jurisdictions such as the US and Europe
Canada does not have a depositor preference regime; bail-in debt does not rank lower than other liabilities
No Creditor Worse Off principle provides that no creditor shall incur greater losses than under insolvency proceedings
There are no write-down provisions in the framework
Conversion formula under many scenarios may result in investor gains
35
Corporate Responsibility
36
Our Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Commitments
37
1 Applies to all leased and owned real estate facilities located within Canada and the U.S., covering approximately 99% of our global footprint. 2 For the combined results of 2018 and 2019. † Limited assurance. Our letters of assurance can be found in our ESG Document Library on our website https://www.cibc.com/en/about-cibc/corporate-responsibility.html
Appendix
38
39Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking
1 Adjusted results are non-GAAP financial measures. See slide 48 for further details.2 Loan amounts are stated before any related allowances.
Net Income – Adjusted ($MM)1 Net Interest Margin (bps)
Average Loans & Acceptances2 ($B) Average Deposits ($B)
0%
2% 8%
40Canadian Personal Banking Digital Transformation1
1 Excludes Simplii Financial.2 Digital Adoption Rate calculated using 90-day active users.3 Active Mobile Users represent the 90-day Active clients in Canadian Personal Banking.4 Reflect financial transactions only.
Digital Adoption Rate2 Active Mobile Users3 (Millions)
Banking Centres Self-Serve Transactions4 (%)
5.5% 28.1%
-5.0% 3.0%
41Improved Diversification - Continued Growth in the U.S. Region
1 Adjusted results are non-GAAP financial measures. See slide 48 for further details.2 Assets under management (AUM) are included in assets under administration (AUA).
U.S. Region Earnings Contribution – Adjusted1
U.S Region AUA ($B)2
42
1 GVA and GTA definitions based on regional mappings from Teranet.2 Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland.
Canadian Real Estate Secured Personal Lending
90+ Days Delinquency Rates
Q1/19 Q4/19 Q1/20
Total Mortgages 0.27% 0.28% 0.30%
Uninsured Mortgages 0.21% 0.22% 0.24%
Uninsured Mortgages in GVA1 0.10% 0.15% 0.15%
Uninsured Mortgages in GTA1 0.13% 0.13% 0.14%Uninsured Mortgages in Oil Provinces2 0.54% 0.65% 0.69%
Mortgage Balances ($B; spot)
• Total mortgage delinquency rate trended slightly higher in Q1/20
• The Greater Vancouver Area1 (GVA) and Greater Toronto Area1 (GTA) continue to outperform the Canadian average
HELOC Balances ($B; spot)
43Canadian Uninsured Residential Mortgages —Q1/20 Originations
431 LTV ratios for residential mortgages are calculated based on weighted average. See page 24 of the Q1 2020 Quarterly Report for further details.2 GVA and GTA definitions based on regional mappings from Teranet.
Beacon Distribution
Loan-to-Value (LTV)1 Distribution
• Originations of $9B in Q1/20
• Average LTV1 in Canada: 64%
• GVA2: 57%
• GTA2: 61%
44Canadian Uninsured Residential Mortgages
1 LTV ratios for residential mortgages are calculated based on weighted average. See page 24 of the Q1 2020 Quarterly Report for further details. 2 GVA and GTA definitions based on regional mappings from Teranet.
Beacon Distribution
Loan-to-Value (LTV)1 Distribution
• Better current Beacon and LTV1 distributions in GVA2 and GTA2 than the Canadian average
• Less than 1% of this portfolio has a Beacon score of 650 or lower and an LTV1 over 75%
• Average LTV1 in Canada: 53%
• GVA2: 47%
• GTA2: 50%
45Trading Revenue (TEB)1 Distribution2
1 Non-GAAP financial measure. See slide 48 for further details.2 Trading revenue (TEB) comprises both trading net interest income and non-interest income and excludes underwriting
fees, commissions, certain month-end transfer pricing and other miscellaneous adjustments. Trading revenue (TEB) excludes certain exited portfolios.
46Oil Price Volatility
1 Comprises mortgages, HELOC, unsecured personal lines and loans and credit cards.2 Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland.
Business and Government Drawn Exposure (%)
• $9.2B drawn exposure in Q1/20:
– 54% investment grade, compared to 57% in Q4/16
• 85% of undrawn exposure is investment grade, up from 75% in Q4/16
Retail Drawn Exposure1 in the Oil Provinces2 ($B)• $39.8B of drawn exposure1; 15% of the total retail loan
exposures
– 87% of loans are secured
– 52% of mortgages are insured (ex. HELOC)
• CIBC’s Oil and Gas portfolio outstandings represent 2.3% of loans and acceptances as at Q1/20 with 54% rated investment-grade
Secured34.6
Unsecured 5.2
Insured Mortgages
16.4
Uninsured Mortgages
15.0
HELOC 3.2
55%
27%
8% 6% 3% 1%
67%
10% 11%6% 4% 2%
Exploration& Production
Midstream PetroleumDistribution
O&GServices
Downstream Integrated
Q4/16 Q1/20
47Oil and Gas Retail Exposure
1 Comprises mortgages, HELOC, unsecured personal lines and loans, and credit cards2 Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland3 LTV ratios for residential mortgages are calculated based on weighted average.
• $39.8B of retail exposure1 to oil provinces2 (or $23.4B excluding insured mortgages), relatively unchanged from Q4/16
• Alberta accounts for $31.6B or 79% of the retail exposure1
• Average LTV3 of 66% in the uninsured mortgage portfolio, consistent with levels in 2016
Retail Exposure1 in Oil Provinces2 ($B) / % of Total Loans
Loan-to-Value (LTV)3
• Retail exposure to oil provinces continues to remain stable with strong average loan-to-value (LTV) ratios
39.6 40.7 40.4 39.9 39.8
Q4/16 Q4/17 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q1/20
Q4/16 Q4/17 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q1/20Insured Mortgages 68% 69% 70% 72% 73%Uninsured Mortgages 65% 65% 65% 66% 66%HELOC 62% 62% 63% 65% 66%
12.3% 11.1% 10.5% 10.0% 9.8%
48Q1 2020 Items of Note
Pre-Tax Effect ($MM)
After-Tax & NCI Effect ($MM)
EPSEffect
($/Share) Reporting Segments
Restructuring charge primarily relating to employee severance 339 250 0.56 Corporate & Other
Amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets 27 21 0.05
Canadian Personal & Small Business Banking/ U.S. Commercial Banking & Wealth Management/
Corporate & Other
Adjustment to Net Income attributable to common shareholders and EPS 366 271 0.61
49Non-GAAP Financial Measures
We use a number of financial measures to assess the performance of our business lines. Some measures are calculated in accordance with GAAP (IFRS), while other measures do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP, and accordingly, these measures may not becomparable to similar measures used by other companies. Investors may find these non-GAAP measures useful in understanding how management views underlying business performance.
Adjusted results are non-GAAP financial measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Adjusted results remove items of note from reported results. For further details on items of note, see slide 48 of this presentation.
For additional information about our non-GAAP measures see pages 1 to 3 of the Q1/20 Supplementary Financial Information package and pages 13 and 14 of the 2019 Annual Report available on www.cibc.com.
GEOFF WEISS, SENIOR VICE-PRESIDENTEmail: [email protected]
Phone: +1 416-980-5093
JASON PATCHETT, SENIOR DIRECTOREmail: [email protected]
Phone: +1 416-980-8691
ALICE DUNNING, SENIOR DIRECTOREmail: [email protected]
Phone: +1 416-861-8870
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CIBC Contacts