BTG Pactual XIII CEO Conference

35
BTG Pactual XIII CEO Conference São Paulo, February 14-16, 2012 Farroupilha/RS Carlos Barbosa/RS Fortaleza/CE Crato/CE Sobral/CE

Transcript of BTG Pactual XIII CEO Conference

Page 1: BTG Pactual XIII CEO Conference

BTG Pactual XIII CEO Conference São Paulo, February 14-16, 2012

Farroupilha/RS Carlos Barbosa/RS Fortaleza/CE Crato/CE Sobral/CE

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Disclaimer

This presentation contains statements that can represent expectations about

future events or results. These statements are based on certain suppositions

and analyses made by the company in accordance with its experience, with

the economic environment and market conditions, and expected future

developments, many of which are beyond the company’s control. Important

factors could lead to significant differences between real results and the

statements on expectations about future events or results, including the

company’s business strategy, Brazilian and international economic conditions,

technology, financial strategy, developments in the footwear industry,

conditions of the financial market, and uncertainty on the company’s future

results from operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions –

among other factors. In view of these aspects, the company’s results could

differ significantly from those indicated or implicit in any statements of

expectations about future events or results.

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Agenda

History

Highlights

Footwear sector

Strategy

Results

Guidance

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History 1971 Grendene was founded. First product: plastic packaging for wine.

1978 The launch of the “Nuar” sandal.

1990 In Ceará (CE), the first plant in Fortaleza.

1993 Sobral (CE) plant was inaugurated.

1997 Crato (CE) plant was inaugurated.

2002 Grendene takes the lead in Brazilian footwear exports.

2004 Grendene Started having common shares (“GRND3”) negotiated at the Novo Mercado of BM&FBOVESPA.

2007 In Bahia (BA), Teixeira de Freitas plant was inaugurated.

2009 Melissa celebrates 30 years.

2010 Celebrating 40 years of Grendene.

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Highlights

Grendene is one of the world’s largest producers of footwear.

Production capacity: 200 million pairs/year

Average production: 500,000 pairs/day.

Employees: 24,000 in December 31, 2011.

New products in 2011: 1,002.

World presence: more than 90 countries.

Brands with strong personality.

Innovation in product, distribution and media.

Listed on BM&FBOVESPA; free float: 25%.

Solid capital structure and strong cash flow.

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Location of industrial plants and productive process

Brazil

PVC formulation

Design

Moulds

R&D

Verticalization = Agility

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Brazil’s footwear sector

Profile

8,200 producers in 2010

348,000 direct employees

Production: 894 million pairs in 2010 (814 million pairs in 2009)

World’s 3rd largest producer.

Apparent consumption, Brazilian domestic market: 780 million pairs and 4.1 pairs per capita/year in 2010 (717 million pairs and 3.7 pairs in 2009).

Exports in 2010: 143 million pairs to more than 140 countries (+12.9% vs. 2009)

Source: IEMI/TEM/MDIC-SECEX/ABICALÇADOS

The industry itself is not much more than 150 years old – companies are typically small and labor-intensive, with no entry or exit barriers.

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Footwear sector

83,1%

6,4%

5,6%

1,9% 1,6% 1,5%

0,03%

Distribution of footwear production by continent in 2009

Asia South America

Europe North & Central America

Africa Middle East

Oceania

Source: World Shoe Review 2010 / ABICALÇADOS

Country Production 2009 (million pairs)

China 9,500

India 2,100

Brazil 814

Vietnam 661

Indonesia 578

Others 2,958

Total world production

16,611

The 5 principal countries produce: 13,653 million pairs

= 82% of total world production.

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The footwear sector in Brazil Million pairs 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Production 830 808 816 814 894 n/a

Imports 19 29 39 30 29 34

Exports 180 177 166 127 143 113

Apparent consumption 669 660 689 717 780 n/a

Per capita consumption 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.7 4.1 n/a

Consumption – 2009 Total Per capita

United Kindgom 410 6.6

USA 1,987 6.4

France 364 5.8

Japan 689 5.4

Italy 316 5.3

Source: IEMI / SECEX / ABICALÇADOS (Cartilha Estatística 2011) n/a: Data not available

Source: World Shoe Review 2010 / ABICALÇADOS

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Brazil – increments in spending with changes in income group (clothing and footwear)

D / E

Group

C

Group B

Group

A

Group

+125% +141% +132%

Source: Exame magazine / Lojas Renner investor relations website

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Grendene x Brazilian footwear sector

Brazilian production

CAGR (2001/2010): 4.3%

610642

897 916877

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Grendene has grown faster than the Brazilian footwear industry. Source: IEMI / Abicalçados

Grendene

CAGR (2001/2010): 6.7%

CAGR (9M10/9M11): (17.2%)

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Exports: Grendene vs. Brazil

Grendene’s exports were 36.1% of total Brazilian footwear exports in 9M11 (37.2% in 9M10).

Source: DECEX / MDIC / ABICALÇADOS

Grendene CAGR (2001-10): 15.5%

VAR. (9M11/9M10): (27.0%)

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Exportação Brasileira CAGR (2001-10): (2,0%)

CAGR (2001-11): (4,1%)

Var. (9M11/9M10): (24,7%)

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Less labor-intensive

More capital-

intensive

Higher entry

barriers

Highly marketing intensive

Strategy: Break Paradigmas

Our expertise of 40 years, producing innovative footwear and generating desired brands, shows the success of our vision of the market, our strategy and our business model – and our capacity to create value for stockholders.

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Value proposition

Brands

Products Marketing Management

Constant creation of products

Innovative design

Manufacturing technology

Few products in large scale

Aggresive marketing

Licenses with celebrities

Segmentation

Investment in media / events

Strong relationship with trade

Scale gains, scope gains

Profitability Continuous

improvement Financial solidity Sustainable

growth

Value for stakeholders

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Products

Products that meet essential and basic needs at low cost.

Products for all the income levels: A, B, C,

D and E – with very good cost x benefit.

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Principais Licenças

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Sales channels: Brazil

Retail – Di Santinni Retail – Centauro

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Sales channels: Brazil

Magazine – C&A Self-service – Carrefour

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Sales channels: Brazil

Select. distrib. – Doc Dog Select. distrib. – Daslu

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International sales channels

Monastiraki - Atenas Footlocker - Milão

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International sales channels

Fred Segal - Los Angeles Jean Pierre Bua - Barcelona

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Galeria Melissa – Concept store

Oscar Freire street, 827, São Paulo, SP

© A

ll ri

gh

ts r

ese

rve

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Results (in IFRS)

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Main financial and economic indicators

R$ million 9M10 9M11 Change % 9M10-9M11

Net sales revenue 1,116.4 975.7 (12.6%)

Net income 189.7 183.9 (3.1%)

Margins % 9M10 9M11 Change p.p.

Gross 37.7% 40.8% 3.1

EBIT 10.2% 9.5% (0.7)

EBITDA 12.1% 11.7% (0.4)

Net 17.0% 18.8% 1.8

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Gross sales revenue (IFRS) (R$ million)

1.3741.515

1.576

1.819

1.999

1.394

1.221

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Gross sales revenue

CAGR (2006-10): 9.8%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (12.4%)

Gross sales revenue

Domestic market CAGR (2006-10): 8.2%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (11.6%)

1.1701.266

1.220

1.464

1.604

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Gross sales revenue

Exports CAGR (2010-06): 17.9%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (15.7%)

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Gross sales revenue

85,1% 83,5% 77,4% 80,5% 80,2% 80,7% 81,4%

14,9% 16,5% 22,6% 19,5% 19,8% 19,3% 18,6%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9M10 9M11

Domestic market Exports

Sales volume

76,1% 72,5% 67,3% 70,9% 67,8% 66,2% 70,2%

23,9% 27,5% 32,7% 29,1% 32,2% 33,8% 29,8%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9M10 9M11

Domestic market Exports

Market %

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Results (IFRS) (R$ million)

499 506 519

566

651

421398

45,1%

42,2% 41,5%

38,9%40,8%

37,7%

40,6%

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9M11

Gross profit / Gross margin

CAGR (2006-10): 6.9%

Change % (9M10/9M11): (5.4%)

EBIT / EBIT margin

CAGR (2006-10): 5.0%

Change % (9M10/9M11): (18.6%)

175 173161

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212

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14,5%

12,9%

10,4%9,5%

10,2%

13,2%

2006

2007

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2009

2010

9M10

9M11

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Results (IFRS) (R$ million)

205 201187

177

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135

11418,5%

16,7%

15,0%

12,2%11,7%

12,1%

15,0%

2006

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2010

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9M11

EBITDA / EBITDA margin

CAGR (2006-10): 4.1%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (15.4%)

257 261239

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21,7%

19,2%18,7% 18,8%

17,0%

19,5%

2006

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2010

9M10

9M11

Net income / Net margin

CAGR (2006-10): 5.0%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (3.1%)

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Sales volume (Million pairs)

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Sales volume –

Exports CAGR (2010-06): 14.8%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (27.0%)

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10

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Sales volume

CAGR (2006-10): 6.5%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (17.2%)

Sales volume –

Domestic market CAGR (2010-06): 3.4%

Change % (9M10-9M11): (12.2%)

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Shareholder’s equity and return on equity

1.047 1.180 1.318 1.465 1.676 1.740

28,1%24,9%

18,3%21,3%20,6%20,3%

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R$

milh

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Shareholder's equity Return on equity

* 30 de setembro de 2011.

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Net cash, cash and cash equivalents and debt

Strong cash flow

860 845 859

1.031 1.151 1.184

1.119

(104) (52) (45) (178) (167) (164) (177)

756 793 815 852 983 1.021

942

31/03/10 30/06/10 30/09/10 31/12/10 31/03/11 30/06/11 30/09/11

R$

mill

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Cash and cash equivalents Debt Net cash

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Dividends

R$ 0,4400

R$ 0,3667R$ 0,3633R$ 0,3991 R$ 0,4048

6,8%

46,0% 45,5%40,4% 38,9%

5,8% 4,7%4,9% 6,7%

74,9%

2007 2008 2009 2010 9M11

R$ %

Dividend per share (R$) Dividend yield (%) Payout (%)

Dividend yield: profit per share divided by average value of the share in the year.

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Low need for Capex

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Guidance Targets for:

2009 – 2013 / 2011-2015

Growth of gross revenue at a CAGR between 8% and 12% in the five years.

Growth of net profit at a CAGR between 12 and 15% in the five years.

Advertising expenses: average: 8% - 10% of net revenue in this period.

Our view is that, in this period, we may have years with greater growth that these rates, as was the case in 2009, and others with less growth, but on average we intend to meet this target.

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Thank You! Alexandre Grendene Bartelle

Chief Executive Officer (5554) 2109.9000

Francisco Schmitt

Investor Relations Officer [email protected]

(5554) 2109.9022

Cátia Gastmann Secretary

[email protected] (5554) 2109.9011

40 years old

Further information

Internet: http://ri.grendene.com.br / Email: [email protected]