Bryn Merrey, Investment Sales

5
201 1 Investment Sales Trends Update NAIOP Tampa

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Transcript of Bryn Merrey, Investment Sales

Page 1: Bryn Merrey, Investment Sales

2011

Investment Sales Trends Update

NAIOP Tampa

Page 2: Bryn Merrey, Investment Sales

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1Q03

4Q03

3Q04

2Q05

1Q06

4Q06

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2Q08

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4Q09

3Q10

2Q11

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Apartment Industrial Office Retail

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* Preliminary FiguresIncludes sales $1M+Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, CoStar Group, Inc., Real Capital Analytics

Commercial Real Estate Transactions by Property Type

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Apartment Industrial Office Retail

U.S. Total Transactions Tampa Total Transactions

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Q2-2009: 50

Q2-2010: 63

Q2-2011: 77

Q2-2009: 4,523

Q2-2010: 5,442

Q2-2011: 5,940

Page 3: Bryn Merrey, Investment Sales

Tampa Commercial Property Price Trends

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

Apartment

$0

$60

$120

$180

$240

Office Retail Industrial

2000-2008 2009 2010 1H11

Avg

. Pri

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er U

nit

(00

0s)

Avg

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q. F

t.-32%

-30%

-29%

-16%

Includes sales $1M+Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, CoStar Group, Inc., Real Capital Analytics

Page 4: Bryn Merrey, Investment Sales

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

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Commercial Real Estate 10-Year Treasury Rate

U.S. Commercial Real Estate Cap Rate Trends

Average Cap Rates vs. 10-Year Treasury

* As of September 7Sales $1 million and greaterSources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, CoStar Group, Inc.

Ave

rag

e R

ate

10-Yr Treasury Long-Term Avg.

Cap Rate Long-Term Avg.

430 bps 470 bps500 bps

190 bps600 bps

450 bps

500 bps

Page 5: Bryn Merrey, Investment Sales

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

1Q20

07

3Q20

07

1Q20

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3Q20

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1Q20

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3Q20

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1Q20

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3Q20

10

1Q20

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2Q20

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$0

$15

$30

$45

$60Outstanding Distress ResolvedAdditions to Distress

Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Real Capital Analytics

U.S. Distressed Commercial Property Trends

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ditio

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Distress (B

illion

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tsta

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n)