BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA: ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSISECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS

CENTER FORCENTER FORPOLICY ANALYSISPOLICY ANALYSIS

Applications, Not TheoriesApplications, Not TheoriesResults, Not HypothesesResults, Not Hypotheses

GREATER BROCKTON WORKFORCE GREATER BROCKTON WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAINVESTMENT AREA

• ABINGTONABINGTON• AVONAVON• BRIDGEWATERBRIDGEWATER• BROCKTONBROCKTON• E.BRIDGEWATERE.BRIDGEWATER

• EASTONEASTON• HANSONHANSON• STOUGHTONSTOUGHTON• W.BRIDGEWATERW.BRIDGEWATER• WHITMANWHITMAN

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREABROCKTON WORKFORCE AREAPOPULATION: 230,970POPULATION: 230,970

12.1%

2.8%

5.6%

0.0%

4.0%

8.0%

12.0%

16.0%

1970 to 1980 1980 to 1990 1990 to 2000

Brockton WA Rate of Population Growth, 1970 to 2000

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:HISTORICAL POPULATIONHISTORICAL POPULATION

Municipality 1970 1980 1990 2000

Abington 12,334 13,517 13,817 14,605Avon 5,295 5,026 4,558 4,443Bridgewater 11,829 17,202 21,249 25,185Brockton 89,040 95,172 92,788 94,304East Bridgewater 8,347 9,945 11,104 12,974Easton 12,157 16,623 19,807 22,299Hanson 7,148 8,617 9,028 9,495Stoughton 23,459 26,710 26,777 27,149West Bridgewater 7,152 6,359 6,389 6,634Whitman 13,059 13,534 13,240 13,882Total: 189,820 212,705 218,757 230,970Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Historical Population of Brockton WA Cities and Towns

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:RACE & ETHNICITY (2000)RACE & ETHNICITY (2000)

8.8%

5.4%

0.2%0.2%

1.5%3.8%

0.1%

0.1%

9.5%

6.0%

4.1%

6.8%

75.8%

77.8%

0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0%

Afr. Amer.

Indian

Asian

Pacific Isl

Other

Hispanic

White

Brockton WA Race/Ethnicity

Brockton WIA Massachusetts

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT (1990)EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT (1990)

80.0% 83.1%

16.6%

11.6% 10.6%3.6%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

Diploma Bachelor's Degree Graduate Degree

Brockton WA Educational Attainment

Massachusetts Brockton WIA

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:AGE OF RESIDENTS (2000)AGE OF RESIDENTS (2000)

25.9%23.6%

62.6%62.8%

11.5% 13.5%

0.0%

40.0%

80.0%

under 18 18 to 65 65+

Age of Residents

Brockton WIA

Massachusetts

Years % of Labor ForceExpected to Retire

2001 to 2005 5%2006 to 2010 7%2011 to 2015 9%2016 to 2020 10%Total 31%

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BRAIN DRAIN ( 1990 TO 2000)BRAIN DRAIN ( 1990 TO 2000)

55,11159815

26,30221660

72,55271260

40,028

51618

24,76426617

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

Under18

19-24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 andover

Brockton Workforce Area: Age of Residents, 1990 & 2000

1990

2000

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA:BRAIN DRAIN (1990 TO 2000)BRAIN DRAIN (1990 TO 2000)

8.5%

-17.6% -1.8%

29.0%

7.5%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

Under 18 19-24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 and over

Brockton Workforce Area: Population Change by Age, 1990 to 2000

GREATER WORKFORCE AREA: GREATER WORKFORCE AREA: ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSISECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS

Total Employment = 93,079 (1999)Total Employment = 93,079 (1999)

-

40,000

80,000

Brockton WA Total Employment, 1990 to 1999

BROKCTON WORKFORCE AREA:BROKCTON WORKFORCE AREA:ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSISECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS

ANNUAL AVERAGE WAGESANNUAL AVERAGE WAGES

GB WIA = $32,510GB WIA = $32,510

MASS = $40,355MASS = $40,355


Brockton WA Unemployment Rate, 1990 to 2000

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%Brockton WIA Massachusetts


Brockton WA - Employment By Sector: 1999

Whlsale.Trade10%

Retail Trade24%

FIRE3%

Services25%

Government16%

Agr.1%

Constr.5%

Manufacturing11%

TCPU5%


1,171

5,725

(1,100)

1,953

1,797

(195)

(1,505)

1,156

246

(2,000) (1,000) - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

Agriculture

Construction

Manufacturing

TCPU

Whlsale.Trade

Retail Trade

FIRE

Services

Government

Brockton WA Number Employment Change By Sector, 1990 to 1999

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREABROCKTON WORKFORCE AREAECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS: ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS:

CLUSTERSCLUSTERS

CRITICAL AND EMERGING (3% + GROWTH)CRITICAL AND EMERGING (3% + GROWTH)

EMERGING (SUBSTANTIAL GROWTH)EMERGING (SUBSTANTIAL GROWTH)

CRITICAL AND DECLINING (3% + JOB LOSS)CRITICAL AND DECLINING (3% + JOB LOSS)

DECLINING (< 3% + JOB LOSS)DECLINING (< 3% + JOB LOSS)

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA: BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA: ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSISECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS

CRITICAL AND EMERGINGCRITICAL AND EMERGING

RETAIL TRADE (25.5%)RETAIL TRADE (25.5%)ALLIED HEALTH SERVICES (12.9%)ALLIED HEALTH SERVICES (12.9%)

DISTRIBUTION (12.3%)DISTRIBUTION (12.3%)CONSTRUCTION (6.8%)CONSTRUCTION (6.8%)

BUSINESS SERVICES (4.4%)BUSINESS SERVICES (4.4%)PROFESSIONAL SERVICES (3.2%)PROFESSIONAL SERVICES (3.2%)


EMERGINGEMERGING

SOCIAL SERVICES (2.5%)SOCIAL SERVICES (2.5%)

BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA: BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA: ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSISECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS

CRITICAL AND DECLININGCRITICAL AND DECLINING

HIGH TECHNOLOGY (3.6%)HIGH TECHNOLOGY (3.6%)

METALS MFG (3.6%)METALS MFG (3.6%)

FINANCIAL SERVICES (3.0%)FINANCIAL SERVICES (3.0%)


10.8%

11.5%

30.3%

4.4%

29.7%20.2%

8.4%12.8%

-31.5%

13.0%

-26.6%

21.1% 16.8%

-10.7%

93.5%

-6.3%

11.4% 7.0%

-60.0%

-20.0%

20.0%

60.0%

100.0%

Allied Health BusinessServices

Construction Distribution FinancialSrvcs.

High Tech Metals Prof. Srvcs. Retail

All Clusters

Brockton WIA Employment and Real Wage Change: 1990 to 1999

Employment Real Wages

EMPLOYMENT GAIN + EMPLOYMENT GAIN + REAL WAGE INCREASESREAL WAGE INCREASES

• Special Trade ContractorsSpecial Trade Contractors• Electrnc Eq. + CmponentsElectrnc Eq. + Cmponents• Fabricated Metal ProductsFabricated Metal Products• Wholesale – NondurableWholesale – Nondurable• Genl Merchandise StoresGenl Merchandise Stores• FurnitureFurniture• Dentist Offices + ClinicsDentist Offices + Clinics• Medical and Dental LabsMedical and Dental Labs

• Home Health CareHome Health Care• Non-Depository InstitutionsNon-Depository Institutions• Real EstateReal Estate• Eng., Accting, Res., & Mgt.Eng., Accting, Res., & Mgt.• Individual & Family SrvcesIndividual & Family Srvces• Mailing, Reproduction, Mailing, Reproduction,

StenographyStenography

4

9

11

12

28

2832

54

5560

60

63

69

87

92

98110

111

116117

121121

132

140

147147

163

184

261

274

278

312

374

437

478

1,107

- 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200

Source: Massachusetts Division of Employment and Traing; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Teachers, Elementary

Securities/Commodities Brokers

Speech P ath/Audiologists

Biological Scientists

Database Administrators

Occupational Therapists

P aralegals and Assistants

Residential Counselors

Teacher Aides

Medical Records Techs

Respiratory Therapists

P hysical Therapy Assistants

Computer P rogrammers

Reception and Info. Clerks

Teachers, P reschool

Dental Assistants

Security Guards

Social/Human Service Asst.

Computer Engineers

Engineering/Comp. Info Mngrs.

**Social Workers, Med/P hysch

**Social Workers, excl. Med/P sych.

System Analysts

Office/Admin. Support Supervisors

*Home Health Aides

*P ersonal/Home Care Aides

P hysicians and Surgeons

Computer Support Specialists

General Office Clerks

*** Truck Drivers, Light

Waiters and Waitresses

Nursing Aides/Orderlies

Registered Nurses

Cashiers

General Managers and Execs.

Retail Sales Reps.

Projected Net Job Increase in Brockton Workforce Area Clusters: 1998 to 2008

$13,993

$17,247

$19,088

$19,184

$19,750

$21,552$22,598

$23,035

$23,490$23,610$24,327

$24,374$24,638

$24,852

$25,553$30,928

$36,191

$39,675$42,861

$43,263

$44,920$45,586$49,186

$52,411

$53,682

$55,166

$55,936

$56,546$58,786

$60,709

$66,585$80,020

$80,650

$80,969

$81,348$115,483

$- $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000

Source: Massachusetts Division of Employment and Training

Waiters and Waitresses

Teacher Aides

Retail Sales Reps

Security Guards

Cashiers

Home Care Aides

Residential Counselors

P ersonal/Home Health Aides

Reception and Information Clerks

Truck Drivers, Light

Nursing Aides/Orderlies

Teachers, P reschool

General Office Clerks

Social/Human Service Asst.

Medical Records Techs

Dental Assistants

P hysical Therapy Assistants

Social Workers, excl. Med/P hysch

P aralegals and Assistants

Social Workers, Med/P hysch

Office/Admin. Support Supervisors

Respiratory Therapists

Computer Support Specialists

Teachers, Elementary

Speech P ath/Audiologists

Biological Scientists

Occupational Therapists

Database Administrators

Registered Nurses

Securities/Commodities Brokers

System Analysts

General Managers and Executives

Computer Engineers

Engineering/Comp. Info Mngrs.

Computer P rogrammers

P hysicians and Surgeons

Massachusetts Median Annual Wages, 2001

HIGH GROWTH OCCUPATIONS:HIGH GROWTH OCCUPATIONS: EDUCATIONAL REQUIREMENTS: EDUCATIONAL REQUIREMENTS:

Moderate

Occupation Short Term Term Associates B.A. M.A. Doctorate

Cashiers XGeneral Office Clerks XHome Health Aides XNursing Aides/Orderlies XPersonal/Home Care Aides XReception and Info. Clerks XRetail Sales Reps. XSecurity Guards XSocial/Human Service Asst. XTeacher Aides XTruck Drivers, Light XWaiters and Waitresses X

Dental Assistants XPhysical Therapy Assistants X

Medical Records Techs XParalegals and Assistants XRegistered Nurses XRespiratory Therapists X

Computer Engineers XComputer Programmers XComputer Support Specialists XDatabase Administrators XEngineering/Comp. Info Mngrs. XGeneral Managers and Execs. XOccupational Therapists XSocial Workers, excl. Med/Psych. XResidential Counselors XSecurities/Commodities Brokers XSystem Analysts XTeachers, Elementary XTeachers, Preschool X

Social Workers, Med/Physch XSpeech Path/Audiologists X

Biological Scientists XPhysicians and Surgeons X

Note: No data was available for Office and Administrative Support Managers

Source: Massachusetts Division of Employment and Training

On the Job Training

Educational Requirements of High Growth Occupations

Post Secondary Degree

GUIDING PRINCIPLES 1GUIDING PRINCIPLES 1

The Workforce Investment Board should adopt a The Workforce Investment Board should adopt a multi-tiered strategy:multi-tiered strategy:

To move individuals into the labor force (welfare-to-work; To move individuals into the labor force (welfare-to-work; school to work)school to work)

To provide short-term training that moves unskilled workers To provide short-term training that moves unskilled workers into low-skill occupationsinto low-skill occupations

To provide selected educational opportunities that help low-To provide selected educational opportunities that help low-skill workers move up the career ladderskill workers move up the career ladder


The Workforce Investment Board should target much The Workforce Investment Board should target much ofof

its limited funding on programs that develop basicits limited funding on programs that develop basic skills and occupational competencies at the bottom ofskills and occupational competencies at the bottom of the educational attainment ladder. These programsthe educational attainment ladder. These programs should include, but not be limited to:should include, but not be limited to:

• English as a Second Language (E.S.L.)English as a Second Language (E.S.L.)• Adult Basic Education (A.B.E.)Adult Basic Education (A.B.E.)• Resume, Job Application, and Interview SkillsResume, Job Application, and Interview Skills• Basic Keyboard and Computer Literacy SkillsBasic Keyboard and Computer Literacy Skills• G.E.D.G.E.D.


The Workforce Investment Board should target vocational and job The Workforce Investment Board should target vocational and job

training funds at short-term certification programs in occupationstraining funds at short-term certification programs in occupations

with high levels of new job growth and where average wages arewith high levels of new job growth and where average wages are

at least 25 percent above the current minimum wage (+$17,000):at least 25 percent above the current minimum wage (+$17,000):

Social/Human Srv Asst ($24,852) Social/Human Srv Asst ($24,852) Home Health Aides ($23,035)Home Health Aides ($23,035)

General Office Clerks ($24,638) General Office Clerks ($24,638) Pers/Home Care Aids Pers/Home Care Aids ($21,552)($21,552)

Nurses Aides/Orderlies ($24,327) Nurses Aides/Orderlies ($24,327) Cashier ($19,750)Cashier ($19,750)

Truck Drivers, Light ($23,610)Truck Drivers, Light ($23,610) Teacher Aides Teacher Aides ($17,247)($17,247)

Reception Clerks ($23,490)Reception Clerks ($23,490)


The Workforce Investment Board should use its limited funding to leverage and coordinate additional funds, where possible, around the WIB’s

workforce development strategy. This strategy could include:

sponsoring and funding its own programs with minimal charge to recipients,

seeking additional sources of funding from the Massachusetts Department of Education (A.B.E., G.E.D.), the Massachusetts Department of Transitional Assistance, and private foundations,

fund full or partial scholarships (individual training accounts) for short-term certification programs, especially those that leverage additional funds from existing vendors or providers such as the public schools, colleges, and universities, and local non-profit or for-profit vendors,

temporary wage subsidies for transitional assistance recipients and the chronically unemployed while receiving employer-provided on-the-job training.

WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT PARTNERSHIPSPARTNERSHIPS

WORKFORCE INVESTMENT

BOARD

PUBLIC SCHOOLS

COMMUNITY COLLEGE

4-YR COLLEGES & UNIVERSITY

PRIVATE EMPLOYERS

STATE & FEDERAL

PROGRAMS

NON-PROFIT & FOR-PROFIT TRAINING VENDORS


The Workforce Investment Board should continue to strengthen the federal School-to-Career Initiatives by insuring that public school teachers and program coordinators receive appropriate training for their role in the area workforce development system.


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BROCKTON WORKFORCE AREA: ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS

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