Bringing Innovation to Global Humanitarian Efforts through Human Geography & Predictive Analytics

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Geospatial Predictive Geospatial Predictive Analytics Analytics NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) Ben Holland Ben Holland Geospatial Analyst Geospatial Analyst [email protected]

description

This presentation, "Bringing Innovation to Global Humanitarian Efforts through Human Geography & Predictive Analytics," was presented at Esri UC 2012 by Ben Holland, GeoEye Geospatial Analyst

Transcript of Bringing Innovation to Global Humanitarian Efforts through Human Geography & Predictive Analytics

Page 1: Bringing Innovation to Global Humanitarian Efforts through Human Geography & Predictive Analytics

Geospatial Predictive Analytics Geospatial Predictive Analytics NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) NJ Fusion Center (ROIC)

Ben HollandBen HollandGeospatial Analyst Geospatial Analyst

[email protected]

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GeoEye Analytics NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) Project

• Geospatial predictive analytics applies advanced statistical analysis and modeling techniques to spatial relationships

• To answer questions such as:

– Where is something most likely to occur?

– Where is the greatest risk?

– How should I best deploy my resources? Software

Subject Matter

Expertise

Tradecraft

Outside Agencies (e.g., FBI, Jersey City

PD)

Informatio

n

Sharing

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Predictive Assessment

Past Events GIS Factor Data

Area of Interest (AOI)

Jersey City

Geospatial Predictive Analytics

Geospatial Predictive Analytics with Signature Analyst

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Discovering New Locations of ConcernIdentifying geospatially similar areas

Density Map Predictive Assessment

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Staten Island, NY Serial Burglary Pattern: January 2012

Past Related Burglary

Likelihood of Future BurglaryHighest

High

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“all crimes, all hazards, all threats, all the time”

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“all crimes, all hazards, all threats, all the time”

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Convenience Store Robberies AssessmentTwelve past robberies used to build the predictive assessment

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Convenience Store Robberies AssessmentIdentifying which convenience stores are most likely to be targeted next by the robber

Subsequent robbery

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Most recent murder

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Area of apprehension

Most recent murder