Bringing Innovation to Global Humanitarian Efforts through Human Geography & Predictive Analytics
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Geospatial Predictive Analytics Geospatial Predictive Analytics NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) NJ Fusion Center (ROIC)
Ben HollandBen HollandGeospatial Analyst Geospatial Analyst
GeoEye Analytics NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) Project
• Geospatial predictive analytics applies advanced statistical analysis and modeling techniques to spatial relationships
• To answer questions such as:
– Where is something most likely to occur?
– Where is the greatest risk?
– How should I best deploy my resources? Software
Subject Matter
Expertise
Tradecraft
Outside Agencies (e.g., FBI, Jersey City
PD)
Informatio
n
Sharing
Predictive Assessment
Past Events GIS Factor Data
Area of Interest (AOI)
Jersey City
Geospatial Predictive Analytics
Geospatial Predictive Analytics with Signature Analyst
Discovering New Locations of ConcernIdentifying geospatially similar areas
Density Map Predictive Assessment
Staten Island, NY Serial Burglary Pattern: January 2012
Past Related Burglary
Likelihood of Future BurglaryHighest
High
“all crimes, all hazards, all threats, all the time”
“all crimes, all hazards, all threats, all the time”
Convenience Store Robberies AssessmentTwelve past robberies used to build the predictive assessment
Convenience Store Robberies AssessmentIdentifying which convenience stores are most likely to be targeted next by the robber
Subsequent robbery
Most recent murder
Area of apprehension
Most recent murder