BRIEFING THE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEEpmg-assets.s3-website-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/160316dwa.pdf · Nina...

PRESENTATION TITLE

Presented by:

Name Surname

Directorate

Date

1

BRIEFING THE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE

ON

Progress regarding implementation of drought

intervention measures

Presented by:

Ms Margaret-Ann Diedricks

Director-General

16 March 2016

Table of Contents • Part A: Progress Report on Climate Change

• Part B: Departmental strategies and

interventions in respect of drought

interventions

• Part C: Progress on the disbursement of

drought relief funding to provinces

• Part D: Interventions by Department of

Agriculture, Forestry & Fisheries

2

PART A

Progress Report on Climate

Change

3

What is El Nino, La Nina, ENSO?

• El Nino: an extreme climatic event that occurs every

2 to 7 years, caused by the warming of the east-

central equatorial Pacific Ocean

• La Nina: caused by the cooling of the sea surface

waters of the Pacific (characterised by the wetting

conditions). La Nina is the opposite of an El Nino.

• ENSO: El Nino Southern Oscillation is periodic

fluctuation in sea surface temperature (El Niño) and

the air pressure of the overlying atmosphere

(Southern Oscillation) across the equatorial Pacific

Ocean. It is a general term used to describe both the

El Nino and the La Nina

4

The Oceanic Nino Index is an indicator for

monitoring the El Nino and La Nina

5

Impact of El Nino

• The El Nino occurs when the sea surface temperature in the east central equatorial Pacific exceeds 0.5ºC (for La Nina less than -0.5ºC)

• The El Nino/La Nina events have historically occurred as a result of natural climate variability, with increasing frequency under a changing climate

• The 97/98 El Nino which is the El Nino of the century was greater than the current yet the impact in terms of drought was less - may be attributed to – The contribution or impact of climate change to the current

drought

– That El Nino was preceded by the La Nina and followed by a moderate to strong La Nina

• The current El Nino, is still one of the strongest on record

• Only 10% of El Nino events were followed by another El Nino. Prospects are good, about 40% that there will be a La Nina in 2016/17, or neutral conditions (~ 50% chance)

7

• El Nino peaked in December and is decaying during autumn and winter

• Neutral by May June July

• In other words, warming is gradually decreasing. However, it is still strong

• Potential La Nina conditions in Spring

Current drought is due to climate

variability, change and El Nino

Due to Climate Change, temperatures in SA are likely to

increase by at least 1.5 times the global average rate

El Nino is reaching a neutral state

8

As the warming decreases from late summer, the

wetting is projected to gradually increase

9

3 Month Forecast Rainfall Temps After Starkey, 2015

Below normal rainfall; with above

normal in late autumn to early winter

Gradual decrease in warming despite

persistent high temperature in autumn

10

Systems (i.e. hydrological) response

• High temperatures lead to high evaporation rates

that in turn reduces runoff and groundwater

recharge

– This means less water available to fill the dams and to

replenish groundwater storage

• Less water in dams, rivers, soil means

– Less water available for energy generation, food security,

poverty eradication, livelihoods or for economic growth

– Increased degradation of water quality due to increased

concentration of dissolved materials

• DWS contributes to addressing these challenges

through the development of supply systems and/or

management of demands (or requirements)

11

Hydro-climatic Zones of South Africa

12

Zone Observed Rainfall (1960 – 2010)

1: Limpopo,

Olifants &

Inkomati

Significant reduction in rainfall & number of rainy days high in autumn

(MAM) 2: Pongola

Umzimkhulu Overall decrease in rain days in DJF and MAM and in the annual mean.

Increase trend in precipitations for southern part of the region (along

Drakensberg Mountains) in SON. 3: Vaal Increased rainfall in the west and decreased rainfall in the east in DJF.

Decreased precipitation in MAM. Decrease in rain days in MAM and in

annual mean of about 6 and 13 days, respectively, are observed over the 50

year period 4: Orange Trends indicate some increase in precipitation and rain days along the parts

of EC, reduction in precipitation and rain days in FS and NC

5:

Mzimvuvhu –

Tsitsikamma

Significant increase in precipitation & rain days especially around the

Drakensberg and the Southern coastal areas in all season.

6: Breed-

Gouritz and

Berg Olifants

The annual mean rain days has decreased significantly by 11 days over 50

year period. Increase in rain days in the Western coastal region.

13

Zone Projected Rainfall (2040 -2060)

1: Limpopo,

Olifants &

Inkomati

Under business as usual (i.e. RCP 8.5 – without mitigation) scenario there

are no clear pattern of drying 2: Pongola

Umzimkhulu Rainfall anomalies projected exhibit a clear pattern of drying under business

as usual scenario

3: Vaal Rainfall anomalies projected exhibit a clear pattern of drying under business

as usual scenario

4: Orange Rainfall projections under business as usual scenario remain within the

realm of the present day climate

5:

Mzimvuvhu –

Tsitsikamma

Clear trends of drying under worst case scenario

6: Breed-

Gouritz and

Berg Olifants

Clear trends of drying under worst case scenario

14

Zone Observed Temperature (1960 – 2010)

1: Limpopo,

Olifants &

Inkomati)

Significant increase in maximum temperature occur in JJA (0.022 0C/year)

and in annual mean (0.018 0C/year).

2: Pongola

Umzimkhulu

The average maximum temperatures highest for MAM (0.02 0C/year and

0.012 0C/year for the annual mean).

3: Vaal There is a strong warming trends in maximum temperatures of almost 2 0C

(0.034 0C/year) in MAM and almost 1.5 0C (0.029 0C/year) in JJA.

4: Orange Significant increase in maximum temp of between 0.025 0C/year and 0.039 0C/year in all seasons

5: Mzimvuvhu

– Tsitsikamma

Significant increase in maximum temp at a rate of 0.017 0C/year to 0.03 0C/year in all season except for summer

6: Breed-

Gouritz and

Berg Olifants

Significant increase in maximum temp from 0.015 0C/year to 0.027 0C/year

in all season. Significant warming has worsened over the past 10 – 12

years with persistent above average temperatures 16

Zone Projected Temperature (2040 -2060)

1: Limpopo,

Olifants &

Inkomati

Annual temp: 2015 – 2035, increase of up to 20C. From2040 - 2060, increase

of between 1 and 3 0C. From 2080 to 2100 drastic increase of between 3 and

6 0C. This is based on worst case scenario.

2: Pongola

Umzimkhulu

Annual Temp: 2015 -2035 to reach 1 and 2 0C. Between 2040 - 2060 average

annual temp will increase by up to 4 0C. From 2080 - 2100 annual averages

temperature will increase by 3 to 6.5 0C.

3: Vaal Annual temp to reach values of 1 and 2.5 0C between 2015 - 2035. Between

2040 - 2060 average annual temp will increase by between 1 and 5 0C. From

2080 - 2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 3 to 8 0C.

4: Orange

Annual temp to reach values of 2,5 0C between 2015 - 2035. Between 2040 -

2060 average annual temp will increase by between 1 and 3 0C. From 2080 -

2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 3 to 5.5 0C

5:

Mzimvuvhu –

Tsitsikamma

Annual temp to reach values of 2 0C between 2015 - 2035. Between 2040 -


2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 2 to 5 0C 6: Breed-

Gouritz and

Berg Olifants

Annual temp to reach values of 1,5 0C between 2015 - 2035. Between 2040 -


2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 2 to 4 0C.

17

Interventions or measures

• The Department collaborate with relevant research institutions

(e.g. WRC, SAWS, CSIR, UCT, ARC, UP ...) on climate

observation, forecasts and projections on continuous basis

– For instance vulnerability assessment tools developed through the

WRC has been taken up by DWS

– Climate forecasts and prediction tools are used to inform

adaptation

– The Water Conservation and Demand Management Flagship

Programme

• The implementation of the National Water Conservation and Water

Demand Programme is being implemented in the industry, mining,

power generation, agriculture and water services sectors

collaboratively with the DEA

• The accelerated provision of rainwater harvesting tanks in rural and

low-income settlements

• DWS’s programme on War on Leaks

• Strengthening institutional capacity for demand management

and water use efficiency

18

Interventions or measures (2) • Monitoring and analysis of data and information to track

changes (e.g. dam and groundwater levels, temperature

trends)

– The hydrological data from DWS as well as rainfall and

temperature data and information from SAWS are used to track

changes in the system

• Development, review and implementation of the operating

rules to inform course of action (e.g. water use restrictions)

– The operating rules are reviewed as climatic conditions change

• Diversification of water sources

– Enhanced use of unconventional water sources such as

groundwater, desalination of brackish water, rainwater harvesting,

water reuse

– DWS has lately sited, drilled and equipped an unprecedented

number of boreholes to supply water to stressed areas

• Increasing the size of the current reservoirs

– e.g. Raising the wall of Clanwilliam Dam to increase capacity

19

Changes in water losses due to water

conservation and demand management Municipality Non Revenue Water %

June

2011

June 2013 June 2014 June 2015 June 2017

(target)

City of JHB 39.76 37.5 40.9 40.2. 30.9

City of Tshwane 33.5 23.6 23.5 25.7 23.5

Ekurhuleni 38.5 40.3 37.8 36.1 31.1

KZN Metro 35.4 39.8 42.6 40.8 30

City of Cape

Town

19.6 20. 21 22.3 -

Nelson Mandela

Metro

40.2 41.7 42.3 - 32

Mangaung 30.98 37.1 31.4 39.99 20

20

In summary so far …

• The current drought cannot only be attributed to the El Nino,

but also to climate variability and change and other factors

(e.g. increased water use)

• The model projections are in agreement that the warming (El

Nino) is gradually decaying and may reach neutral state during

winter, yet temperatures are likely to remain high for some time

• There is also a likelihood of above normal rainfall in spring

• The hydrological responses include inadequate water available

for filling dams and replenishing groundwater storage

• Interventions include water conservation and demand

management measures, use of relevant decision support tools

including forecasts and operating rules to inform decisions

underpinned by monitoring data and information

• Diversification of water sources and resizing of storage

capacity are also important adaptation measures used by the DWS

21

2015

confirmed

as the

driest year

on record

for SA

(since

1921)

23

National Status of Dams as at 07 March 2016

• Total storage slightly down on 7 March, at 53,5% (0.5% down

on last week) after the steady period due to the rain 2 weeks

ago

• Total storage last year at this time was 80%

• All provinces show slightly reduced levels of water in storage.

• Western Cape (36,6%) and North West (46,4%) are reporting

very low levels

• Voëlvlei Dam in the Western Cape is of particular concern at

22,2%

• Hazelmere Dam (33,2%) and Vaal Dam (48,6%) are slightly

lower

• Sterkfontein Dam is holding steady at 88%

• Katze (63,8%), Gariep (53,9%), Pongola (46,2%) are holding

steady

25

26

Summary of Water in Storage per Province

Province FSC in 106 m^3 07/03/15

Last Year %

29/02/16 Last Week %

07/03/2016 This Week%

Eastern Cape 1 826 76,5 73,0 72,8

Free State 15 971 83,9 54,0 53,5

Gauteng 115 98,0 82,6 81,4

Kwazulu-Natal 4 669 72,7 52,2 52,0

Lesotho* 2 376 71,8 50,4 50,4

Limpopo 1 508 89,4 59,2 58,6

Mpumalanga 2 538 91,5 59,5 58,8

Northern Cape 146 87,2 63,7 61,7

North West 825 65,3 46,9 46,4

Swaziland* 334 96,9 31,0 29,6

Western Cape 1 853 56,2 38,2 36,6

Total 32 162 80,0 54,0 53,5

27

PART B

Departmental strategies and

interventions in respect of

drought interventions

Drought Declarations

• Kwa-Zulu Natal: 1st notice 28 November 2014 and

gazette on 17 December 2014; 2nd notice 11

November 2015, drought declared in eThekwini

Metropolitan Municipality, in 7 District Municipalities

and 29 Local Municipalities; 3rd notice 8 Feb

2016,

• North West: (8 May 2015, gazette on 24 July

2015), Provincial State of drought disaster;

• Free State: (14 and 28 August 2015 and gazette on

4 Sept 2015), drought declared in Mangaung

Metropolitan Municipality, 4 District Municipalities

and 18 Local Municipalities;

• Limpopo: (4 November 2015), drought declared in

5 District municipalities and 24 Local Municipalities;

28

Drought Declarations

• Mpumalanga: (25 November 2015), drought

declared in 14 Municipalities

• Western Cape: (25 November 2015), drought

declared in two districts

• Eastern Cape: ( 4 and 11 December 2015, and 04

March 2016), drought declared in four districts

• Northern Cape: (18 December 2015 and 29

January 2016), drought declared in 5 Districts

29

30

Communities Affected by Moderate to

Extreme Drought (1) Province District Municipalities Affected

Settlements Affected

Households Affected

Population

Kwa Zulu-Natal

Umkhanyakude, iLembe, uThukela, Ugu, uThungulu, uMzinyathi, uMgungundlovu, Harry Gwala, Zululand, eThekwini & Amajuba.

9095 2 066 345 12 373 857

North West Ngaka Modiri, Ruth Mmapati, Bojanala & Kenneth Kaunda.

1 252 945 294 3 553 467

Free state Thabo Mofutsanyana, Fezile Dabi, Xhariep, Lejweleputswa & Mangaung Metro.

290 796 825 2 768 737

Limpopo Capricorn, Mopani, Sekhukhune, Waterberg & Vhembe.

1 534 723 136 3 039 681

31

Province District Municipalities Affected Settlements

Affected Households

Affected Population

Mpumalanga Ehlanzeni, Nkangala & Gert Sibande

602 870 089 4 215 691

Western Cape Central Karoo, West Coast, Cape Winelands, City of Cape Town & Overberg

1 062 1 286 489 5 075 181

Eastern Cape Joe Gqabi, Amathole, OR Tambo, Alfred Nzo & Chris Hani

4782 449 089 2 006 237

Northern Cape

Francis Baard, John Taolo, Gaetswe, Pixley kaSeme, Namakwa & Mgcawu

266 197 006 807 140

TOTAL 18883 7 334 273 33 839 991

Communities Affected by Moderate to

Extreme Drought (2)

Short-term mitigation measures • Water conservation and water demand management (War on Leaks)

• Surface water resource management (optimised operation of the Vaal

River System)

• Manage and use groundwater resources (drilling and equipping

boreholes)

• Re-use and desalination of water

• Eradication of invading alien plants/catchment care (WfW programme

by DEA)

• Eradication of illegal water use (enforcement in the Vaal River

System)

• Development of surface water resources (raising of the following

dams in progress, Hazelmere and Clanwilliam)

• Water Transfers (emergency transfers from Tugela to Goedetrouw,

and Othangathi River transfer to Hazelmere)

• Rainwater harvesting (provision of tanks in selected areas)

• Provision of static storage tanks at strategic locations and the carting

of water by tanker

32

Medium-term to long-term measures

• Medium term measures: domestic rain water

harvesting, hydro-census on current groundwater

utilization and possible future use, integrating

groundwater and surface water use in the future, small

scale emergency desalination, further water transfers,

dolomitic aquifer abstraction and recharge

• Long term measures: review all state owned reservoir

operating rules, incorporate all municipal and privately

owned dams into the management system for future,

further transfer schemes to improve drought resilience,

large scale desalination options, institutionalise the

conjunctive use of surface and ground water, water

quality management with initial focus on WWTW,

construction of new dams/reservoirs, long term solution

for AMD 33

Drought Interventions by tankers &

boreholes • Water tankering to critically affected communities is

procured by DWS, Municipalities, CBOs and NGOs as an

emergency measure to deal with the drought situation

(details shown in the next slide below)

• This is done based on a needs assessment and business

plans drawn up to resource the intervention accordingly.

Although 458 tankers have already been procured,

because of the increasing severity of the drought it is

estimated that a further 742 tankers will be required.

DWS is working towards securing more funds to support

this growing need

• Groundwater resource is more resilient to drought. A

programme of increasing groundwater use is being

implemented, entailing refurbishment of existing

boreholes and drilling & equipping new ones as shown

below

34

Drought Intervention By Tankers

* No information available. GotGs: Gift of the Givers

Province Number of Tankers

By DWS Municipalities Others Total

Kwa-Zulu Natal 53 10 96 hired 159

Free State 12 65 1 GotGs 78

Limpopo 0 78 * 78

Mpumalanga 0 54 * 54

North West 20 * * 20

Eastern Cape 13 44 * 57

Northern Cape 0 10 * 10

Western Cape 0 2 * 2

Gauteng 0 * * 0

TOTAL 98 263 97 458

35

Drought Intervention Boreholes

* No information available.

Province Number of Boreholes

Refurbished Newly Drilled Total

Working

Kwa-Zulu Natal 236 29 265

Free State 22 19 41

Limpopo 1 692 6 1 698

Mpumalanga 40 168 208

North West * * 0

Eastern Cape 30 * 30

Northern Cape * 21 21

Western cape * * 0

Gauteng * * 0

TOTAL 2 020 243 2 263

36

Local Municipalities Assisted (1) Province No. Local Municipalities Assisted (1)

Kwa-Zulu

Natal

35 53 DWS tankers & 10 municipal tankers deployed, 81 hired and 589

tanks installed, Boreholes: 149 drilled, 12 equipped, 85 repaired.

Water transfer from Uthukela to uMhlathuze catchment, Othongathi

transfer to Hazelmere Dam, Mpambanyoni emergency scheme for

South Coast, release of water from Ntshingwayo Dam, Excavator

put in Umfolozi River, Deployment of engineers to struggling

municipalities

Free State 14 Mantsopa, Setsoto, Mantsopa, Dihlabeng, Nketoana, Maluti-A-

Phofung, Masilonyana, Tokologo, Ngwathe, Mafube, Moqhaka,

Naledi, Mohokare, Letsemeng & Kopanong

Water release from Katse & Sterkfontein, 65 municipal & 12 DWS

water, 1 by Gift of the Givers trucks providing tankering services, 32

boreholes equipped & connected, assessment of boreholes done

Limpopo Magalies Water directed to intervene in Modimolle with the reinstatement of capacity of the Donkerhoek water Treatment works and reinstatement of vandalized boreholes. Currently undertaking a total assessment of groundwater situation to assist in focussing the interventions.

Mpumalanga 6 Msukalingwa, Lekwa, Thembisile Hani, Dr J.S Moroka, Mkhondo,

Bushbuckridge. (168 MIG) 15 boreholes drilled, refurbishment of 40

boreholes, 54 Municipalities Tankers, 112 water storage tanks

installed, refurbishment of Suidkaap WTW 37

Local Municipalities Assisted (2) Province Number Local Municipalities Assisted (2)

North West 7 LMs: Ramotshere Moila LM, Kgetlengrivier LM, Mamusa LM, Ratlou

LM, Madibeng, Moretele LM

Interventions Intensifying WCWDM, Emergency borehole drilling, 20

DWS Tankers

Eastern Cape 28 Nyandeni, ingquza Hill, Mhlntlo, Port St Johns, King Saba Dalindyebo,

Mbizana, Ntabankulu, Matatiele, uMzimvubu, Intsika Yethu, Engcobo,

Inxuba Yethemba, Emalahleni, Inkwanca, Lukhanji, Mbashe, Mnquma,

Interventions: 28 operational boreholes, 41 municipal water tankers,

13 DWS tankers. Water release from Katse to Aliwal North

Northern

Cape

4 Desalination of brackish and saline water from boreholes, 10 municipal

water tankers deployed, drilling of boreholes & improved telemetry

system

Western cape Water restrictions currently in place on various municipalities and the City of Cape

Town Metro. Media Campaigns on water conservation, rainwater harvesting.

Groundwater Studies for the determination of potential and yields in advanced

planning stage.

Gauteng - Assistance mainly provided by agriculture through provision of feedlots

TOTAL 94

38

Special Programmes and Projects (1) Province Name of

Programme/Projects

Progress Made

Kwa-Zulu

Natal

Installation of restrictors 16 000 installed in eThekwini, uGu, Zululand &

uMzinyathi

Static Tanks 589 installed

Drop a Block Provincial programme launched

Free State Policing Restrictions Mangaung Metro dealt with 123 transgressions

War on Leaks Leaks repaired on Smithfield pipeline

Limpopo Groundwater

Assessment

Total assessment of groundwater situation underway

using GRIP database

Mpumalanga

WTW Refurbishment Works at Suidkaap WTW completed in Aug 2015

RPF & RHP Resources Poor Farmers and Rainwater Harvesting

programmes for 2015/6 almost completed

WCWDM Intensification of Water Conservation and Water

Demand Management underway

Steel Water-tanks

Installed

At Dr JS Moroka 39

Special Programmes and Projects (2)

Province Name of

Programme/Projects

Progress Made

Eastern Cape War on Leaks Mass leak repairs in Aliwal North

North West Repair Borehole Pumps DWS, Sedibeng and Magalies Water assisting LMs

Western

Cape

Campaigns In media on water conservation, rainwater harvesting,

being planned.

Groundwater Studies Determination of potential and yields being planned

Desalination Plant(s) Planning being done.

Recycling of Waste

Water

Investigation into viability for coastal towns, Durbanville

& Malmesbury plants working for agricultural use.

Gauteng

War on Leaks Programme underway in Mogale City

Refurbishment WTW Work on Randfontein WTW underway 40

Special Programmes and Projects (3)

Province

Name of

Programme/Projec

ts

Progress Made

Northern

Cape

Fraserburg

Monitoring Plan

Completed and approved for implementation.

Groundwater

Monitoring and

Assessment

Several programmes underway for the

intensive monitoring of borehole and aquifer

assessments to determine trends and water

quality.

41

Intervention by restrictions & shedding

• Restrictions is applied to stop supplying less critical

uses in order to avoid emptying the water resource

completely.

• For urban use, critical use include water for the

house, unlike gardening, swimming etc.

• Restrictions are gazetted by Minister or as

delegated and if implemented, lasts until the drought

is broken.

• Status of restrictions on schemes countrywide are

summarized in slides below.

42

Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (1) Province System Dams

29/02/2016

(%)

Restriction (s) Comments

Mpumalanga

Ohrigstad

dam 8.0 90% for irrigation

Sekhukhune DM

Not Gazetted yet. Mkhombo

Dam 27 20% for domestic

Buffelskloof 31 35% for Irrigation Not Gazetted yet.

(Crocodile

River

System)

Kwena Dam

50 60% for irrigation

20% for domestic

Nkomazi

Notices issued by IUCMA to

water users

Lomati Dam 18 20 % for domestic

Umjindi


water users

Primkop dam, 15 20 % for domestic

60% for irrigation


water users

Sabie river

system

(Injaka dam)

64 20 % for domestic

40 % for irrigation

Bushbuckridge


water users 43

Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (2)

Province System Dams (%) Restriction (s) Comments

Western

Cape

Western Cape

Water Supply

System

38 Domestic – 20%

Voluntary restrictions

implemented by local

authorities in Matzikam,

Cederburg, Bergrivier,

Swartland, Drakenstein,

Stellenbosch, Witsenberg,

Prince Albert

Clanwilliam

Dam 24 Irrigation – 40% Lower Olifants WUA

Northern

Cape Groundwater Supply

Restrictions implemented

in: Brandvlei,

Loeriesfontein, Williston,

Vanwyksvlei, Victoria

West and Loxton

Water shedding: water

supplied from 17:00 to

21:00

Namakwa DM, Pixley ka-

Seme.

44

Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (3) Province System Dams (%)

29/02/16


Kwa-Zulu

Natal

Hazelmere Dam 34 Domestic – 50%

Irrigation - 100%

Ilembe

Gazetted 03 July 2015/38924

New Gazette submitted

Goedetrouw Dam 25

Domestic – 30%

Irrigation - 70%

Industry -10%

Uthungulu



Klipfontein Dam 21 Domestic – 15%

Irrigation – 50%

Zululand DM, Abaqulusi LM



Hluhluwe Dam 18 Domestic – 10%

Irrigation – 40%

Umkhanyakude



Middle South Coast

System Umzinto &

EJ Smith

95 Domestic – 25%

Ugu DM



Lake Merthley 17 Domestic – 30% Umzinyathi DM

Not Gazetted yet

Ixopo Farm Dams Domestic – 50%

Irrigation – 100%

Harry Gwala DM

Not Gazetted yet

Chrystal Springs

Dam Domestic - 50%

Not Gazetted yet

Mgeni System 59 Domestic & Urban – 15%

Irrigation – 50%

eThekwini Metro, uMgungundlovu

DM

Not Gazetted yet 45


29/02/2016 (%)


KwaZulu-Natal

Buffalo System

(Zaaihoek,

Ntshingwayo,

Preston, Donald

McHardy)

Zaaihoek 59%,

Ntshingwayo

56%, other

dams 0%

Domestic – 30%

Irrigation –

100%

Tugela River

downstream Driel

Barrage &

Spioenkop

635 Domestic – 15%

Irrigation – 40%

Free State

Mangaung

System:

Rustfontein,

Knellpoort,

Welbedacht &

Groothoek

30

Domestic – 20%

12 February 2016/39679

Irr=50% on 14/03/2014-37421

Armenia 10 Domestic – 10%

Irrigation – 65%

Sand-Vet WUA

Not Gazetted yet.

Krugersdrift 7.0 Irrigation – 25% Not Gazetted yet.

Kalkfontein 6.0 Irrigation – 100%

Domestic – 40% Gazetted 19 February 2016/39718

Allemanskraal 14 Irrigation – 92% Gazetted 12 February 2016/39679

Erfenis 8.7 Irrigation – 85% Gazetted 12 February 2016/39679

D=40% recommended.

Groothoek and Tierpoort Dams at 0%

46


15/02/2016

(%)


Limpopo

Luphephe 13 Irrigation - 50%

Vhembe DM

Gazetted 2 September

2015/39159

Nwanedi 38 Irrigation 55%

Nzhelele 34 Irrigation 10%

Mutshedzi 33 Domestic – 35%

Middle-

Letaba 26 Irrigation – 65%


2015/39159 Nsami 15

Domestic – 20%

Irrigation – 60%

Tzaneen 31 Irrigation – 35%

Domestic – 10%

Mopani DM


2015/39159

Modjadji Domestic – 20%


2015/39159

Glen Alpine 11 Irrigation – 70%

Submitted in Feb 2016 47


29/02/2016

(%)


North West

Koster 35 Domestic – 50%

Irrigation – 100%

Kgethleng LM

November 2013/Not published

Sehujwane 77 Domestic – 70% Ramotshere Moira LM

Not Gazetted yet

Marico Boveld 16 Irrigation – 54,3% Not Gazetted yet

Kromellenbogen 14 Irrigation – 9,7% Not gazetted yet

Swartruggens 0.7 Domestic – 100% Kgethleng River LM

Not Gazetted yet

Pella 39 Domestic – 65% Pella

Not Gazetted yet

Molatedi 6.7 Domestic – 50%

Irrigation – 75%

Ngaka Modiri Molema

Not Gazetted yet

Madikwe 26 Domestic – 20% Not Gazetted yet

Wenzel Domestic – 40% Mmamusa

Not Gazetted yet

Johan Neser, Lindleyspoort and Swartruggens Dams are at 0%

48


29/02/2016

(%)


Eastern Cape

Algoa System 95 Domestic – 15% NMBM, Kouga LM

Not Gazetted yet.

Mhlanga Dam 13 Domestic – 20% ORT DM

Gazetting proposed Not Published yet

Corana Dam 31 Domestic – 15% ORT DM


Nqadu 50 Domestic – 20% ORT DM


Belfort Dam 100 Domestic – 30% ANDM


Ntenetyana

Dam 41 Domestic – 10%

ADM


Xilinxa Dam 28 Domestic – 10% ADM


Toleni Dam 46 Domestic – 10% ADM


Ncora Dam 75

No hydro power

generation below

50%

Chris Hani District Municipality


Nqweba Dam 41 Domestic – 10% Camdeboo LM


49

Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (7)

Province Notices

Published

Notices in

Draft Voluntary

Notices

Issued by

CMAs

Groundwater

Western Cape - -

2 (incl 1

system) - -

Mpumalanga - 3 2 4 -

Northern Cape - - - - 7

KwaZulu-Natal 5 (incl 1

system)

11 (incl5

system) - - -

Freestate 6 (incl 1

System) - - - -

Limpopo 7 1 - - -

North West - 8 - - -

Eastern Cape -

10 (incl1

system) - - -

TOTAL 18 (incl 2

systems) 33

4 (incl 1

system) 4 7

Number of Dams with Restrictions:

50

The Role of Civil Society

• Since the beginning of 2016, we have witnessed an

unprecedented humanitarian support from civil

society

• South Africans from all walks of life, from very young

school children, adults, community based

organisations and business are coming forward and

making financial contributions and donations of 5

litre bottled drinking water for distribution to needy

communities across the country by amongst others,

Operation Hydrate and Gift of Givers supported by

Nelson Mandela Foundation and Proudly South

African

51

What can you do to protect our

scarce resource? • Consumers need to be conscious of the

consequences of actions with regard to water use.

• Some tips for water saving are:

o Fix leaking taps, toilets and pipes;

o Re-use water for flushing toilets and gardening;

o Collect water from rainfall;

o Plant indigenous plants;

o Don’t leave taps running;

o Don’t leave the tap running when brushing teeth.

52 52

PART C

Progress on the disbursement of

drought relief funding to

provinces

53

Context • It should be noted that only Kwa-Zulu Natal

received dedicated funding for drought

interventions

• Other provinces are using funds which are re-

prioritised in DWS budget

• Funds prioritized according to need, level of stress

(criticality), expected effectiveness, viability &

speed of interventions, and numbers of

households being affected

54

Funding for drought relief interventions

• An initial amount of R352.4 million was reallocated

to drought relief programme (R154.5 million was

funded from WTE whilst R197.7 million was funded

from Main account

• A further R185 million was allocated from WTE

during 2015/16 financial year resulting in a total

allocation of R340 million from WTE

• National Treasury has disallowed roll over of R46

million and Water Services Operating Subsidy of

(WSOS) of R50.5 million

• Reprioritisation of R61.5 million had to be done

from other programmes

• A total allocation of R502 million

DWS-KZN Support Per WSA SUB-PROJECTS Budget Amount

Invoiced

Recommended/

Pending with

Finance

Amount Paid Spent % Spent

HARRY GWALA 23 312 279.20R 15 018 676.38R 153 330.00R 11 035 508.81R 11 188 838.81R 48%

ILEMBE 39 393 279.20R 35 551 147.48R 33 129 439.84R 33 129 439.84R 84%

UMKHANYAKUDE 112 811 395.00R 97 039 732.70R 4 914 281.89R 78 067 429.81R 82 981 711.70R 74%

UMZINYATHI 79 920 224.00R 82 478 535.74R 67 629 786.95R 67 629 786.95R 85%

UGU 31 913 122.20R 29 337 046.04R 125 309.73R 28 320 366.55R 28 445 676.28R 89%

UTHUNGULU 46 038 213.80R 21 278 438.22R 21 278 438.22R 21 278 438.22R 46%

ZULULAND 39 693 000.00R 36 914 710.21R 6 563 336.79R 27 859 336.67R 34 422 673.46R 87%

UMGUNGUNDLOVU 25 000 000.00R 25 000 000.12R 2 355 467.41R 20 295 956.87R 22 651 424.28R 91%

UTHUKELA 23 503 197.60R 23 401 101.42R 13 386 837.60R 13 386 837.60R 57%

AMAJUBA 10 500 000.00R 7 957 977.83R 7 957 977.83R 7 957 977.83R 76%

UMGENI WATER 56 847 971.00R 56 838 878.74R 46 780 454.49R 46 780 454.49R 82%

PROGRAMME MANAGEMENT 4 388 868.09R 1 873 964.69R 102 614.22R 1 771 350.47R 1 873 964.69R 43%

MHLATHUZE WATER 8 982 876.24R 9 962 664.22R 7 942 786.90R 7 942 786.90R 88%

Grand Total 502 304 426.33R 442 652 873.79R 14 214 340.04R 365 455 671.01R 379 670 011.05R 76%

56

Overall Financial Progress

PROJECTS APPROVED

BUDGET

AMOUNT

INVOICED

Spent % Spent

Boreholes 42 010 100 34 273 698 23 913 523 57%

Refurbishment & Upgrade 168 484 511 125 071 820 104 962 411 62%

Spring protection 14 152 360 12 709 792 7 725 796 55%

Water Tanker Rental 30 981 000 31 310 742 30 790 434 99%

Water Tanks 9 284 000 8 813 312 8 753 084 94%

Programme Management 4 388 868 1 873 965 1 873 965 43%

Ops 3 618 000 3 940 433 3 368 418 93%

NWRI Water Tanker Procurement 66 934 188 66 934 188 66 934 188 100%

Phase 2-Drought Interventions 9 019 224 9 533 831 8 173 225 91%

Phase 2-Interim Water Tankering 95 054 204 91 352 215 76 394 512 80%

Phase 2-Water Tanks 1 530 000 0 0%

Phase 2- Umgeni Water Emergency Schemes 56 847 971 56 838 879 46 780 454 82%

Grand Total 502 304 426 442 652 874 379 670 011 76%

57

Tanker Purchase

Additional rented tankers deployed 23 December

• 5 Umkhanykude DM

• 3 Zululand DM, Abaqulisi LM

WSA Number Budget Tankers

Delivered

Drivers Water Delivered

to date

Average hh

served per

month

Ugu DM 8 11 899 411 8 10 25 656 000 486

Uthukela DM 9 13 386 838 9 9 42 209 000 878

Umkhanyakude DM 15 22 311 396 15 19 49 336 000 544

Uthungulu DM 7 10 411 985 7 5 16 752 000 463

Ilembe DM 3 4 462 279 3 3 14 509 000 486

Harry Gwala 3 4 462 279 3 3 15 552 000 375

66 934 188 45 49 164 014 000 3 233

58

Water tank installations

WSA Number of

Tanks

Budget Tanks

installed

Storage

(l)

Progress

Ugu DM 144 2 160 000 114 720 000 Complete - 30 tanks

temporarily utilised in the

Mzimkhulu emergency

situation

Umkhanyakude DM 81 2 000 000 95 405 000 Complete

Ilembe DM 350 4 724 000 350 1 750 000 Complete

Harry Gwala 30 400 000 30 150 000 Complete

605 9 284 000 589 59

Refurbishment and Upgrades

• Uthungulu allocation to now be funded from unspent MWIG allocation

• Umkhanyakude contracts awarded late

• Projects not completed by mid-March will be funded from WSAs

grants

PROJECTS APPROVED

BUDGET

AMOUNT

INVOICED

SPENT % SPENT

Refurbishment & Upgrade 168 484 511.00R 125 071 819.77R 104 962 410.74R 62%

HARRY GWALA 9 800 000.00R 2 153 250.48R 1 522 102.41R 16%

ILEMBE 3 199 000.00R 1 037 713.40R -R 0%

UGU 8 340 000.00R 8 272 604.04R 8 272 604.04R 99%

UMGUNGUNDLOVU 25 000 000.00R 25 000 000.12R 22 651 424.28R 91%

UMKHANYAKUDE 51 746 827.00R 42 781 592.89R 31 780 868.19R 61%

UMZINYATHI 24 845 000.00R 27 419 296.09R 23 487 113.00R 95%

UTHUKELA 1 162 800.00R 1 159 063.93R -R 0%

UTHUNGULU 24 690 884.00R -R 0%

ZULULAND 19 700 000.00R 17 248 298.82R 17 248 298.82R 88%

60

Spring protection WSA Approved

Budget

Progress Claimed to

Date

Paid by DWS

Ugu DM 2 500 000 Approximately 80 springs protected. 2 220 121 1 713 550

Uthukela DM 1 395 360 16 Springs throughout the district have been identified and assessed. All materials

have been delivered at the specific sites, project on finalization stage.

1 297 000 0

Zululand DM 4 320 000 The total of 13 springs were completed.

Planned numbers of households to be served: 206

Planned number of jobs to be created: 88

2 132 830 1 315 525

Ilembe DM 837 000 JOAT carried out spring protection at the following areas: Ndwedwe - Shaka,

Mayekeni, Edamini, Kwadeda, Enkivane, Kwadukuza - Ashville,

Maphumulo - Mambedweni, Nombokojwana, Ntombiyehlulunina, Esiqhoqhweni.

This works is undertaken as part of the WCDM contract by JOAT to speed up the

process.

811 980 0

Harry Gwala 5 100 000 15 spring protection projects are currently underway. 14 of these schemes are more

than 98% complete and contractors are busy with snags. The remainng Ohlabeni

Spring under Ingwe is still under construction. Communities are already benefiting

from these schemes. - 95 % completion is the overall progress.

3 907 791 1 977 462

61

Boreholes

• Uthukela in process of equipping

• Harry Gwala busy with snagging

• Umkhanyakude and Ilembe progress delayed due to delays in

payment of the service provider

WSA Planned Approved Budget Sited Drilled Equipped Repaired

Uthukela DM 21 7 558 200 95 16 275

Zululand DM 77 11 550 000 64 64 44

Umkhanyakude DM 70 17 101 900 70 70 23

Ilembe DM 9 2 250 000 4 4

Harry Gwala DM 12 3 550 000 12 12 12

189 42 010 100 245 166 79 275

62

PART D

Interventions by Department of

Agriculture, Forestry &

Fisheries

63

FOOD ACCESS BY PROVINCE & NUMBERS

Province Population Inadequate access

to food Percentage

Western Cape 6 130 791 1792838 29,2%

Eastern Cape 6 655 658 2237401 33,6%

Northern Cape 1 172 624 383727 32,7%

Free State 2 757 924 603523 21,9%

KwaZulu-Natal 10 560 000 3481881 33,0%

North West 3 649 660 1594274 43,7%

Gauteng 13 000 000 2052802 15,8%

Mpumalanga 4 181 594 1276556 30,5%

Limpopo 5 585 234 637925 11,4%

South Africa 53 693 485 14 060 927 26,2%

Source: StatsSA GHS 2014 64

IMPACT ON MAIZE PRODUCTION [ARABLE LAND IN SA]

Source : Crop Estimate Committee 2016

NB:

• The drought has affected mostly high

arable land in SA.

• Area planted for maize has been reduced

by 25.90%

• South Africa will produce 7 256 million

tons and expected imports of 3 900

million tons

• Therefore RSA will have sufficient stock

levels of maize, until end of April 2017

65

Prov. Prov.

Requests

Equitable

share

Areas No.

Assisted

Farmers

Catego

ry

Type of

assistance

CASP

approved

allocation

CASP funding

progress

Livestock

water

resource

needs

FS R102,5

million

R10 692

million

Fezile Dabi

Lejweleputswa

Mangaung

Metro

Xhariep

Thabo

Mofutsanyane.

2907 Subsist

ence

and

smallho

lder

farmers

50 kg bags

of Protein

based

pellets

R 29

million

Implementation

has commenced

in Thabo

Mofutsanyane

District

Municipality for

drilling and

equipping of

boreholes .

132

boreholes

KZN R142

million

R69

million

UMgungundlov

u, eThekwini,

iLembe,

uThungulu,

Zululand,

Amajuba,

uMzinyathi and

uThukela,

Harry Gwala,

UMkhanyakude

4750 Small,

medium

and

Large

scale

farmers

Registered

licks,

ruminant

drought

pellets,

registered

dairy meal,

salt, Multi

vitamins,

vaccines,

dip and

water

harvesting

equipment

R 45

million

Phase1-R36

million:

Farmers assisted

with livestock

feed and water

harvesting

equipment

materials.

Phase2-R9million

livestock De-

worming:

to commence in

January 2016

75 dams

52

boreholes

66

Agricultural Drought measures

Prov. Prov.

Requests

Equitable

share

Areas No. Assisted

Farmers

Category Type of

assistance

CASP

approve

d

allocatio

n

CASP funding

progress

Livestock

water

resource

needs

LP R51

million

R3

million

Capricon,

Mopani,

Vhembe,

Waterberg,

Sekhukhune

1392 farmers

assisted from

provincial

Equitable

share.

5649 farmers

to be assisted

under CASP.

Small and

subsistenc

e

communal

farmers

40 kg bags

of Mix

concentrat

e

R 51

million

Orders issued for

livestock feed to

vale of R21,4

million.

Orders issued for

livestock water

infrastructure

and work has

commenced in

the Vhembe

125

boreholes

MP R71

million

R1,8

million

Nkomazi and

Bushbuck

Ridge

144 farmers Communal

farmers

350 kg

Round

bales

R33,6

million

Province inviting

quotations from

service providers

52

boreholes

and

windmills

NW R 3,4

billion

None None None None 25 kg bags

of drought

meal or

pellets

R 33,9

million

Implementation

progress in Dr.

Ruth Segomotsi

Mompati &

Ngaka Modiri

Molema -

hardest hit. 1278

farmers assisted

with drought

meal and pellets.

328

projects

67

Agricultural Drought measures

Agricultural Drought measures Prov. Prov.

Requests

Equitable

share

Areas No.

Assisted

Farmers

Category Type of

assistance

CASP

approved

allocation

CASP

funding

progress

Livestock

water

resource

needs

NC Not yet

available

R7,6million Leeurisfontein;

Brandvlei;

Calvinia

257 farmers 212

Commerci

al 45

Communa

l

Drought

Pellets;

Lucerne,

Maize

Not available Not yet

available

Not

available

GP R18,8 million R21 million West Rand

District, City of

Tshwane,

Germiston,

Sedibeng

469 farmers small

scale

farmers

Total Mix ratio R12 846 000 Not yet

available

10

boreholes,

100 tanks

and stands,

450 drinking

troughs

EC R127 980

000

R339 770 Joe Gqabi

Chris Hani

Alfred Nzo

OR Tambo

Amathole

Not yet

available

Not yet

available

Provision of

feed and

water

Not yet

available

Not yet

available

Not available

WC R62 827

385.84

None Central Karoo

and West

Coast

None None None None Not available

68

Intervention

Programme

What needs to be done

(Key Activities)

Time Frame Budget (R) Institution

Start Date End Date

Social Relief of

Distress (SRD)

Emergency food relief to reach about 821 692 vulnerable and affected people in drought areas estimated @ R1217 / food parcel

Apr 2016 Sept 2016 1 billion DSD

Community

Nutrition

Development

Centre (CNDCs)

Expand coverage of CNDCs Establish new CNDCs

Apr 2016 Sept 2016 45 832 800 DSD

GRAND TOTAL 1 045 832

800

Food Security and Nutrition (FSN) Drought response

immediate interventions

NB: The immediate interventions will require just above R1 billion to cushion to

the poor and vulnerable individuals against the projected 12.5% food prices

inflation as a result of drought. 69

Intervention

Programme


(Key Activities)


Start Date End Date

Vegetable packs - Procurement of vegetable seeds and seedlings

May 2016 Mar 2017 5 100 000 DAFF

Garden equipment

and tools

- Procurement of garden tools

May 2016 Mar 2017 15 110 000 DAFF

MAFISA Soft Loans

assistance

- Provide relief for indebted MAFISA beneficiary farmers

May 2016 Mar 2017 45 000 000 DAFF

Reintroduce No

Name maize meal

- Introduce low-cost maize meal

May 2016 Mar 2017 17 000 000 DTI

National School

Nutrition

Programme

- Provision of nutritious cooked food to pupils over weekends in affected areas

May 2016 November

2016

TBD DBE

FSN Drought response: short to medium term

interventions

70

Intervention

Programme


(Key Activities)


Start Date End Date

Relocation of

Livestock to PLAS

farms

- Identify PLAS farms for relocation

June 2016 Nov 2016 47 407 191 DRDLR

Communal Water

Resource

- Drilling boreholes for community sharing

June 2016 Mar 2017 15 000 000 DRDLR

Reservoir

monitoring, Water

restrictions and

tankering

- Monitor water resources and advise on strategies

June 2016 Mar 2017 10 500 000 DWS

Rain water

harvesting

- Provision of water tanks to households

June 2016 Mar 2017 18 000 000 DWS

Monitoring

disease impacts

- Surveillance of disease incidents

June 2016 Ongoing Budgeted

for by DOH

DoH

Food

Supplementation

Programme

- Fortify food to enhance nutrition

June 2016 Mar 2017 Budgeted

for by DOH

DoH

FSN Drought response : short to medium term interventions

71

Intervention

Programme


(Key Activities)


Start Date End Date

Small stock

(indigenous goat)

- Breeding and supply of indigenous goat

May 2016 Mar 2017 22 057 000 DAFF

Indigenous chicken - Breeding and supply of indigenous chicken

May 2016 Mar 2017 7 000 000 DAFF

15-Tonne Grain

silo’s

- Construction of grain silos

May 2016 Mar 2017 50 000 000 DAFF

Drought-tolerant

seeds

- Coordination and distribution of drought-tolerant seeds

Aug 2016 Mar 2017 37 000 000 ARC

Agri-Insurance - Government-run insurance product for smallholder farmers

Jun 2016 Mar 2017 Policy

intervention

DAFF

GRAND TOTAL 289 174 191

FSN Drought response: short to medium term interventions

72

Conclusion • If the drought continues

• SA can expect contraction in Agricultural

economy on grain & grain related industries

• Imports on maize will increase

• Moderate increases on food inflation can be

expected

• As import grows, there will be pressure to address

import requirements in terms of domestic

legislation and infrastructure

• Intensive measures for both relief and recovery

will be required

73

THANK YOU!

74

BRIEFING THE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEEpmg-assets.s3-website-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/160316dwa.pdf · Nina...

Documents

Transcript of BRIEFING THE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEEpmg-assets.s3-website-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/160316dwa.pdf · Nina...