Bridging the Gap between idealized and realistic numerical river plume simulations Robert Hetland...
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Transcript of Bridging the Gap between idealized and realistic numerical river plume simulations Robert Hetland...
Bridging the Gap between idealized and realistic numerical river plume
simulations
Robert HetlandTexas A&M University
Feedback between idealized and realistic modeling
Idealiz
ed
modelin
g
Realis
tic
mod
elin
g
Numerical consistency
Physical consistency
Metrics(Depends on user
requirements)
Transition to operational models
• What are the requirements of the model end-user?– A metric that embodies this requirement.
• How do you quantify good model performance?– Skill assessment measures model’s ability to
reproduce the desired metric.
Metric - Fresh water flux
• Broad, integrative metric for buoyancy flow as a whole.
• Depends on definition of reference salinity.
• Also interested in the nature of the fresh water flux (e.g., what kind of water carries the fresh water?)
Anatomy of a river plume
• Assume that the plume may be divided into dynamically distinct regions:– Near field where advection of
momentum is important.– Far field where wind forcing and the
earth’s rotation are the dominant physics.
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Gulf o
f M
ain
eSea s
urf
ace
salin
ity
Hetl
and &
Sig
nell
Model skill of buoyancy driven coastal current transport
EMCC WMCC
33 hr 7 day 33 hr 7 day
Along-shore currents -0.41 0.01 -0.87 -0.74
Cross-shore currents -1.06 -0.46 -0.51 0.57
Surface salinity -0.47 -0.36 0.83 0.98
Fresh water flux 0.52 0.86 0.03 0.66
Realistic model conclusions
• While the model does not have high skill at point-by-point comparisons, the model is good at simulating the large ‘whole plume’ scale.
• The model resolution is not high enough to resolve the estuary/near field regime, but still simulates the fresh water transport correctly.
Wind forcing must reduce the sensitivity to the source
Future direction
• Idealized modeling:– How does wind control the plume salinity
and spatial dimensions?– How do other types forcing (background
flow, pulsing discharge) influence water mass modification by the wind.
• Realistic modeling: – What are reasonable ranges in parameter
space?– What is required to resolve the small-scale
features of the plume?