Bree.gov.au Allison Ball Manager, Energy Program Energy supply and use in Australia.

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Allison BallManager, Energy Program

Energy supply and usein Australia

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Outline

• Energy use in Australia• Australia’s energy supply• Electricity generation investment

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Energy intensity in Australia

• Growth in energy consumption lower than growth in GDP

• Decreasing energy intensity = increasing energy productivity

Source: BREE 2014, Australian energy statistics.

1964-65=100

GDP

Energy consumption

Energy intensity

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Australia's energy consumption, 2012-13

• Oil is the largest energy source in Australia: 38% of total primary energy consumption

• Coal share is 33%, but role is declining


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Australia’s energy consumption, by fuel type

• Primary energy consumption fell 0.5% in 2012-13

• Oil, gas & renewables consumption increasing

• Coal consumption falling, to lowest share on record

Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.

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Australian energy consumption, by industry

• Electricity generation, transport & manufacturing sectors account for 76% of energy consumption

• Decline in energy use in electricity generation sector

• Mining is fast growing sector: 9% increase in 2012-13


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End-use energy intensity

• Will look at trends in energy consumption in end use sectors in more detail

• Decompose change in energy consumption into activity, structural and energy efficiency changes

• Due out 1st quarter 2014

Note: Chart results are illustrative only.

Example of decomposition of change in energy use

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Australia’s energy production, by fuel type

• Primary energy production in Australia is 19 318 PJ in 2012–13

• Recent energy production growth supported by increased output of black coal, uranium and gas for export

Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics

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Coal in AustraliaBlack coal balance Coal-fired electricity generation


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Oil in AustraliaCrude oil and ORF balanceOil production

Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics; Resources and Energy Quarterly.

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Refined products in AustraliaImports share of refinery feedstock

Refined products balance


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Gas in AustraliaGas balance Gas use by sector,

2012-13

Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics; Energy in Australia.

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Renewables in Australia

Production by type, 2012-13 Use by sector, 2012-13


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Electricity use in Australia


Consumption by sector, 2012-13

Consumption by market

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Household energy prices

Source: ABS 2014, 6401.0 Consumer price index.

Electricity

CPI

Gas

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Transmission & distribution capital investment, NEM

2012-13 A$b

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Energy efficiency in householdsElectricity use in Melbourne on a hot (max temp 35°C) and a mild day (max temp 23°C)

Hot day

Mild day

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Electricity generation, by fuel type

• Electricity generation fell from 253 TWh in 2010-11 to 249 TWh in 2012-13

• Decline in electricity demand driven by energy efficiency, weather, reduced load, higher prices

Sources: BREE 2014 Australian Energy Statistics.

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Australia’s electricity generation fuel mix

• Coal fired generation continues to decline: now 64% of total

• Use of gas and renewables increasing

Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table O.

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Committed electricity generation projects:Number and nominal value

Source: BREE 2014, Electricity generation major projects.

• As at October 2014, 16 committed generation projects with$3.5 billion capital cost

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Committed projects: Additional capacity


• As at October 2014, additional planned capacity of committed projects is 1580 MW

• Around 3% of existing Australian generation capacity

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Committed projects: type of fuel


• As at October 2014, all committed electricity generation projects use renewable energy

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Installed capacity and electricity use, NEM

Source: BREE, ESAA, Global roam.

Installed capacity

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Solar PV installations

Source: BREE; Clean Energy Regulator.

• Around 1.2 million rooftop PV installations

• 15% of Australian households now have solar PV

• Solar 1.5% electricity generation in 2012-13

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Thank you

[email protected]

Bree.gov.au Allison Ball Manager, Energy Program Energy supply and use in Australia.

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