“Brazil’s Moment in the sun” Energy front – a key part of its economy Jerson Kelman – CEO,...
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Transcript of “Brazil’s Moment in the sun” Energy front – a key part of its economy Jerson Kelman – CEO,...
“Brazil’s Moment in the sun”Energy front – a key part of its economy
Jerson Kelman – CEO, Light S/A
Brazilian energy source is renewable
45,9
12,9
6,7
54,1
87,1
93,3
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Brazil (2007)
Worldwide (2006)
OCDE Countries(2007)
RenewableNon-renewable
Installed capacity:
104 GW
74% is hydro
Peak demand:
64 GW
(comparable to England or Italy)
Average production:
51GW X 8760 h/y = 447 TWh/y
90% is hydro
Brazil power sector at glance (2008)
The transmission system
4 000 kmEurope
4 000 km
Isolated System
Interconnected System
Per capita consumption of electricity
Centralized dispatch
In order to take advantage of hydrological diversity, energy is transported through long distances.Power plants in the same river basin are own by different companies.
CEMIG
FURNAS
AES-TIETÊ
CESP
CDSA
Consórcios
COPEL
TRACTEBEL
ITAIPUBinacional
Rio Grande
Rio Paranaíba
Rio Tietê
Rio Paranapanema
Rio Iguaçu
CEMIG
FURNAS
AES-TIETÊ
CESP
CDSA
Consórcios
COPEL
TRACTEBEL
ITAIPUBinacional
Rio Grande
Rio Paranaíba
Rio Tietê
Rio Paranapanema
Rio Iguaçu
Spot price is low most of the time...
Generation
Free Consummers Captive Consummers
DistributionTransmition
Distribution Distribution tarifftariff
TUSTTUST TUSD TUSD
TUSTTUST
TUSTTUST
PPA (energy)
Free Consummers
TUSD - TUSD - Distribution network charge + taxes TUST – Distribution network charge + taxesDistribution Tariff = Energy + TUSDDistribution Tariff = Energy + TUSDPPA – Power Purchase Agreement
Long term power purchase agreements (PPAs)
Results of recent auctions of energy(competition for the market, rather than in the market)
Sales: ~ 150 TWh/year
37% Hydro e 67% Thermal
(natural gas, oil and coal)
Total value: ~ US$ 110 billion
Did Brazil run out of sites to build new hydro plants?
USAUSA
CongoCongoIndonesiaIndonesia
PeruPeruRussiaRussiaChinaChina
ColombiaColombiaIndiaIndia
BRAZILBRAZILCanadaCanada
ItalyItalySwedenSweden
NorwayNorwayJapanJapan
GermanyGermanyFranceFrance
10000 20 40 60 80Source: EPE
Hydropower plants in the Amazon river basin
What would be the alternatives?
Distance of potential hydro plant sites to the large cities
Rio de Janeiro: pacification & formal economy
Rio de Janeiro: pacification & formal economy