BRAZILIAN EXPLORATORY OPPORTUNITIES STRATEGIES TO … · 2007-2013 2013 2017-2019 Bidding rounds....
Transcript of BRAZILIAN EXPLORATORY OPPORTUNITIES STRATEGIES TO … · 2007-2013 2013 2017-2019 Bidding rounds....
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BRAZILIAN EXPLORATORY OPPORTUNITIES
&
STRATEGIES TO IMPROVE ATTRACTIVENESS
Ronan Ávila, MS.c.
Deputy Superintendent of Block Definition
ONLINE CONFERENCE
JULY 2nd, 2020
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NOTICE
• The ANP´s institutional presentation is based on currentand reliable information, but no representation orwarranty is made as to its accurateness andcompleteness, and it should not be relied upon as such.
• Projections and estimated values are included withoutany guarantee as to their future realization.
• Forward-looking data, information, projections andopinions expressed during the presentation are subjectto change without prior notice.
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OUTLINE• BRAZIL E&P OVERVIEW & FUTURE LICENSING ROUNDS
• OPPORTUNITIES
o OFFSHORE (PRE-SALT & POS-SALT)
o ONSHORE (MATURE & FRONTIER BASINS)
• FINAL REMARKS
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OUTLINE• BRAZIL E&P OVERVIEW & FUTURE LICENSING ROUNDS
• OPPORTUNITIES
o OFFSHORE (PRE-SALT & POS-SALT)
o ONSHORE (MATURE & FRONTIER BASINS)
• FINAL REMARKS
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1870 1897-1915 1938-1941
1st oil kind evidence. The State(Imperator) became the owner
of the subsurface reources(contitution)
Beginnig of whale oilreplacement
Standard Oil, Shell and Texaco installed in Brazil. Increased fuel
imports
National Consul of Petroleum (CNP) Lobato well, 1st oil discoveredCandeias 1st comercial field
3 refineries installed (SP &RS) – 1.650 bbl
1824
www.anp.gov.br/institucional/a-historia-do-petroleo
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1960 1990 1997-1999
Law no 2004, Petrobras.Monopoly model, except distribution
Auto industry expandedtheir investments
National Consul of Petroleum (CNP) was extinctNational Fuel Department was founded (DNC)
ANP and CNPELaw no 9.478
Flexible Monopoly RulesPRH-ANP & PDI
1953
www.anp.gov.br/institucional/a-historia-do-petroleo
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2007-2013 2013 2017-2019
Bidding rounds. Concession Regime.ANP delimit the blocks & CNPE deliberate.
FREE COMPETITION
Three Bidding Rounds 11,12th on concession regime 1st on production share (Libra)
1999
www.anp.gov.br/institucional/a-historia-do-petroleo
PRESALTTupi Prospect
Law no 12.351 (Poduction Share, Presalt Polygon & strategic areas)
“STAND BY” BIDDING ROUNDS
Bidding Rounds CalendarLocal content new politcs
Good results on bidding roundsRoyalties reduction for incremental prod.
OPEN ACREAGE
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WHAT`S NEXT?
2020-2022
2020Covid-19
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BIDDING ROUNDS
SEPIA AND ATAPU FIELDS
Studies ongoing
3rd quarter, 2021
96 EXPLORATORY BLOCKS
ANP studies √
CNPE will define new schedule
3 EXPLORATORY BLOCKS
ANP studies √
MME => CNPE deliberation
> 1.700 EXPLORATORY BLOCKS & FIELDS
On demand bidding rounds
Market driven choices
ORDINANCE No 23, Jan. 23th, 2020
http://www.in.gov.br/web/dou/-/portaria-n-23-de-27-de-janeiro-de-2020-240406435
http://www.mme.gov.br/web/guest/conselhos-e-comites/cnpe/resolucoes
RESOLUTION No 24, Oct. 18th, 2019 RESOLUTION No 19, Dec. 11th, 2018 RESOLUTION No 17, Jun. 08th, 2017
RESOLUTION No 24, Oct. 18th, 2018
https://presrepublica.jusbrasil.com.br/legislacao/830380834/decreto-10320-20
+ BidSIM: Improve Bid Rounds Attractiveness (Gov. Decree 10,320/2020)
+ REATE: Revitalization of Oil&Gas E&P Activities Onshore (Res. N027,12/2019)http://www.mme.gov.br/documents/36074/252491/Resolução_CNPE_27.pdf/17910fc6-bbd4-6d2b-9025-5559688d5a03
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SEPIA & ATAPU FIELDSSurplus Volumes
Santos Basin
ATAPÚ
SÉPIA
http://www.anp.gov.br/reunioes-da-diretoria-colegiada/decisoes-em-circuito-deliberativo
MME Ordinance nº 23/2020, Jan. 27th, 2020
ANP RD 0290/2020
I) Approved Action Plan & II) Allow SDP, SDB e SPL PPSA & Petrobras are negotiating compensation and co-
participation agreement
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96 EXPLORATORY BLOCKS
ANP board approved on April 1st , 2020, temporary suspension of the 17th Bidding Round which was scheduled for 2020. ANP complied the letter from the MME
requesting the suspension in view of the economic and social scenario due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
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3 EXPLORATORY BLOCKS
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> 1,700 EXPLORATORY BLOCKS
173 Blocks(~ 68.194 Km2)
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/oferta-permanente/blocos-exploratorios
567 Blocks(~174.000 Km2)
On offerStudies
concluded
990 Blocks(475.848 Km2)
On sdudy
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/nominacao-de-areas
Nomination Declaration of Interested http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/oferta-permanente/inscricao-de-licitantes
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COMPANIES CAN SUBMIT THEIR REGISTRATION ANYTIME
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OUTLINE• BRAZIL E&P OVERVIEW & FUTURE LICENSING ROUNDS
• OPPORTUNITIES
o OFFSHORE (PRE-SALT & POS-SALT)
o ONSHORE (MATURE & FRONTIER BASINS)
• FINAL REMARKS
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164 Million
years ago
152 Million
years ago
130 Million
years ago
122 Million
years ago108 Million
years ago
79 Million
years ago49 million
years agoCurrent Configuration
of Continents
SINBPA/Petrobras
Scotese
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SEDIMENTARY BASINS AND PRE-SALT POLYGON
PRE-SALT POLYGON
Campos Basin
Santos Basin
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PRE-SALT
Calache & Zalán (2012, O Brasil e o Mar no Século XXI)
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PRE-SALT
Calache & Zalán (2012, O Brasil e o Mar no Século XXI)
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Available Opportunities – LP7PRE-SALT
VERY LOW GEOLOGICAL RISK PROSPECT
Neighbor to Several Fields
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0264_BMC_CAMPOS_FASE_II (RTM) – Arbitrary line - Courtesy CGG
-8-6
-4-2
1-RJS-540-RJ
ÁGUA MARINHA BLOCK
6 Km
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0264_BMC_CAMPOS_FASE_II (RTM) – Arbitrary line - Courtesy CGG
-8-6
-4-2
1-RJS-540-RJ
ÁGUA MARINHA BLOCK
SaltSalt
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0264_BMC_CAMPOS_FASE_II (RTM) – Arbitrary line - Courtesy CGG
-8-6
-4-2
1-RJS-540-RJ
ÁGUA MARINHA BLOCK
SaltSalt
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0264_BMC_CAMPOS_FASE_II (RTM) – Arbitrary line - Courtesy CGG
-8-6
-4-2
1-RJS-540-RJ
ÁGUA MARINHA BLOCK
Top of Quissamã F.
SaltSalt
Top of RiftBasement Spill Point
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Available Opportunities – LP7PRE-SALT
MODERATE GEOLOGICAL RISK PROSPECT
Relevant Volumes
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ESMERALDA BLOCKkm
R0264_SANTOS_CONSTELLATION (RTM) – Arbitrary line – Courtesy CGG
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ESMERALDA BLOCKkm
R0264_SANTOS_CONSTELLATION (RTM) – Arbitrary line – Courtesy CGG
Salt
Salt
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ESMERALDA BLOCK
-5420 m
km
R0264_SANTOS_CONSTELLATION (RTM) – Arbitrary line – Courtesy CGG
Salt
Salt
Top of RiftBasement Spill Point
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Santos
Basin
> 9471 < 4618
Top of Aptian Map (Depth)
Campos
Basin
Pre-salt polygon
PRE-SALT
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PRE-SALT PLAY
FRONTIER AREAS
OUTSIDE PRE-SALT POLYGON
Some Blocks Beyond 200 Nautical Miles
PRE-SALT
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2D SEISMIC
-6 Km
-2 Km 6 Km
0257_SCP2 (KPSDM) – Courtesy TGS Spectrum
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km
-6 Km
-2 Km 6 Km
0257_SCP2 (KPSDM) – Courtesy TGS Spectrum
Salt
2D SEISMIC
Spill Point
FaultsThick layer of
sediments
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km
0264_BM_SANTOS_FASE_VIII (RTM) – Arbitrary Line – Courtesy CGG
3 Km
-4 Km
-2 Km
-6 Km
3D SEISMIC
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km
0264_BM_SANTOS_FASE_VIII (RTM) – Arbitrary Line – Courtesy CGG
3 Km
-4 Km
-2 Km
-6 Km
Spill Point
3D SEISMIC
Salt
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2D 2D
kmkm
-4 Km
-2 Km
-6 Km
3D (Survey ongoing)
0257_SCP3 (KPSDM) & SANTOS_3D-PHASE-1 (Fast track) – Courtesy TGS Spectrum
Salt
NEW SEISMIC INFORMATION – SURVEY ONGOING
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Jun 2020
Decree no 10, 320/2020• It creates a work group, including (MME, ME and ANP) to improve the bidding round process in Brazil (BidSIM)
• There will be a reevaluation of Petrobras preferred rights in bids for production sharing agreements
• Reevaluation of productions sharing vs. concession agreements
PL n0 3,178/2019
• Propose to revoke Petrobras preferred Rights in bids for production sharing regime, and whether
• National Energy Policy Council should decide on contracts regime applied to pre-salt areas
PRE-SALT
ONGOING DISCUSSIONS
ALWAYS RESPECTING SIGNED CONTRACTS
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Production Highlights
• Offshore field (Pre and Pos-salt) represents 96,7% & 86% of Brazilian oil and gas production, respectively
• Total Production: 2,958 MMbbl/d of Oil and 124 MMm³/d of Gas
• 69,5% of total Brazilian production comes from Pre-salt play (113 well)
• Total production occurred with 6,989 well (508 offshore and 6,481 onshore)
Onshore Offshore Pre-salt
Offshore Pos-saltTotal
Brazilian Production (Oil and Gas)
April, 2020
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16,786 bpd per wellX 1,522 bpd per wellX 14 bpd per wellX
Three Different ProfileE&P ENVIRONMENT
122 wells 574 wells 7,012 wells
May/2020Production Production Production
E&P STRATEGIC INITIATIVES - MAXIMIZING OIL & GAS PRODUCTION
Accelerate the Pre-Salt DevelopmentImprove Recovery Factor in Mature Fields & Advance to New Frontiers
Revitalize Onshore Explorationand Production
ATTRACT RIGHT PLAYERS TO EACH E&P ENVIRONMENT
√
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POS-SALT
Calache & Zalán (2012, O Brasil e o Mar no Século XXI) - Edited
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70 BLOCKS ON OFFER
Baúna Field
ANP - Permanent Offer
On Offer
On Study
Field
Block
BR- Divestment Plan
Petrobras > Karoon
Focus on Improve Recovery Factor
“On Offer” – Teaser BR
Merluza & LagostaFields
POS-SALT
https://www.investidorpetrobras.com.br/resultados-e-comunicados/teasers/Campos, Santos, SEAL,
Ceará & Potiguar Basins
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/nominacao-de-areas
ANP Encourage Nomination
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POS-SALT
Sandstone TurbiditesBauna
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OUTLINE• BRAZIL E&P OVERVIEW & FUTURE LICENSING ROUNDS
• OPPORTUNITIES
o OFFSHORE (PRE-SALT & POS-SALT)
o ONSHORE (MATURE & FRONTIER BASINS)
• FINAL REMARKS
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Onshore Mature Basins
Permanent Offer
• WELL-KNOWN GEOLOGY
• AVAILABLE INFRASTRUCTRURE
• SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZE COMPANIES PROFILE
• POSITIVE SOCIAL LOCAL IMPACT
• RECENT DISCOVERIES REPORTED
• ON DEMAND BIDDIND ROUNDS
Potiguar
Sergipe-Alagoas
Espirito Santo
Reconcavo
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ANP - Permanent Offer
Field
Block
BR- Divestment Plan
Farmout 2019
“On Offer” – Teaser BR
POTIGUAR SEDIMENTAR BASIN
Onshore/Shallow Waters, Refineries and Other non-Strategic Assets
Goal: Dramatically Improve Onshore Oil & Gas Exploration and Production
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OUTLINE• BRAZIL E&P OVERVIEW & FUTURE LICENSING ROUNDS
• OPPORTUNITIES
o OFFSHORE (PRE-SALT & POS-SALT)
o ONSHORE (MATURE & FRONTIER BASINS)
• FINAL REMARKS
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REATE 2020Pillars
• Innovate and simplify rules
• Stimulate the entry of new companies
• Enable large-scale production of onshore gasin complience with the guidelines of the new gas market
• Promote free competition
• Recognize the value of onshore E&P activityfor regional development
REVITALIZATION PLAN FOR OIL AND GAS E&P
ONSHORE ACTIVITIES
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REATE 2020 Revitalization of Oil&GasE&P Activities Onshore
(Res.N027,12/2019)
I – Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME), wich coordinates;
II – Civil House of the Presidency of the Republic;
III – Ministy of Economy (ME);
IV – Ministry of the Environment (MMA);
V – National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels (ANP);
VI – Administrative Council for Economic Defense (CADE); and
VII – Energy Research Company (EPE)
Art. 4
Art. 5 ...the Subcommittes
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INFRASTRUCTURE
DATA AVAILABLE
EXPLORATORY HISTORY
EXP. ATTRACTIVENESS
...
...
SDB-ANPMulti-criteria
Analysis
Home office
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Onshore Frontier Basins Reate 2020 – Muti-criteria Analysis
Solimões
Amazonas
São Francisco
Parnaíba
Parecis
Paraná
Tucano Sul
ANP Encourage Nomination
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Highways & roads; thermoelectric, urban density, eletrical line and oil & gas pilelines
INFRASTRUCTURE Multi-criteria Analysis
+ HOT
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Mainly seismic and well information
DATA AVAILABLE Multi-criteria Analysis
+ HOT
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Previous analysis, discovery assessmetplan, well results
EXPLORATORY HISTORYMulti-criteria Analysis
+ HOT
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Field proximity, exploratory opportunities, petroleum system status
EXP. ATTRACTIVENESSMulti-criteria Analysis
Geological Evaluation
Geological Evaluation+ HOT
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RESULTSMulti-criteria Analysis
+ HOT
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REAL CASERecent News
BR- Divestment Plan
Petrobras > Eneva (2019)
“On Offer” – Teaser BR
https://www.agenciapetrobras.com.br/Materia/ExibirMateria?p_materia=982843
1st Quarter X
Total Solimoes prod.: 106,253 boe/d
16,525 bpd oil and condensate
14,281 Mm3/d gas
1.150 ton/d GLP boe/d
Azulão Gas FieldUrucu Hub
Oil & Gas FieldsJurua Gas Field
Solimoes basin
Amazonas basin
Onshore production rank (Equivalent Oil)
April, 2020
https://www.investidorpetrobras.com.br/resultados-e-comunicados/teasers/
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REAL CASEMuti-criteria Analysis + HOT
Round 7 – Blocks with contracts ongoing
Azulão Gas FieldUrucu Hub
Oil & Gas FieldsJurua Gas Field
Solimoes basin
Amazonas basin
BR- Divestment Plan
Petrobras > Eneva (2019)
“On Offer” – Teaser BR
https://www.agenciapetrobras.com.br/Materia/ExibirMateria?p_materia=982843
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REAL CASEMuti-criteria Analysis + HOT
Round 7 – Blocks with contracts ongoing
BR- Divestment Plan
“On Offer” – Teaser BR
https://www.agenciapetrobras.com.br/Materia/ExibirMateria?p_materia=982843
ANP - Permanent Offer
Blocks on Study
Field on Studyhttp://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/nominacao-de-areas
ANP Encourage Nomination
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OUTLINE• BRAZIL E&P OVERVIEW & FUTURE LICENSING ROUNDS
• OPPORTUNITIES
o OFFSHORE (PRE-SALT & POS-SALT)
o ONSHORE (MATURE & FRONTIER BASINS)
• FINAL REMARKS
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Final Remarks
Studies ongoing. Schedule to 3rd quarter, 2021
Geological evaluation concluded. Submitted to MME
Block on offer and on study
Governmental Discussions Ongoing
➢ Gov. Decree 10,320/2020
➢ PL n0 3,178/2019 PRE-SALT
Goal: Accelerate Exploration and Development
Attract Right Players to Each E&P Environment
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Final Remarks
Geological evaluation concludedCNPE will define new schedule
Block on offer and on study
Market-driven choices. On Demand Bidding Rounds.
ANP Encourage Nomination
Governmental Discussions Ongoing
➢ Gov. Decree 10,320/2020
➢ PL n0 3,178/2019 POS-SALT
Support Petrobras Divestment Plan – Shallow Waters, Refineries and Other non-Strategic Asset
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/nominacao-de-areas
Goal: Improve the Recovery Factor in Mature Fields & Advance to Frontier Areas
Attract Right Players to Each E&P Environment
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Final Remarks
Block on offer and on study on Mature & Frontier Basins
COMPANIES CAN SUBMIT THEIR REGISTRATION ANYTIME
ANP Encourage Nomination
Governmental Discussions Ongoing
REATE: Revitalization Onshore Oil and Gas E&P Activities
(Res. N027,12/2019) ONSHORE
Goal: Dramatically Improve OnshoreOil & Gas Exploration and Production
Support Petrobras Divestment Plan – Onshore, Refineries and Other non-Strategic Asset
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/nominacao-de-areas
Attract Right Players to Each E&P Environment
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National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels - ANP
Additional Information
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/
www.anp.gov.br
Av. Rio Branco, 65, 18th floor
Rio de Janeiro – Brazil
Ronan Magalhães Ávila
Phone: +55 (21) 2112-8570 / 2112-8585
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/pt/nominacao-de-areas