Brazilian Agricultural Perspective on Global Context · Brazilian Agricultural Perspective on...
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Brazilian Agricultural Perspective
on Global Context
ABARES – Outlook 2014 Conference Canberra ON Australia, March, 4th and 5th / 2014
Session: Global focus Mariele Pickler
Market Development Agronomist– Bayer CropScience Brazil
Content
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
International trade
Grain Production
1
2
3
4
5
6
Comparative Advantages
LCA Program
Sustainable Soybean Production
Challenges
Conclusions
Energy safety
7
Introduction
The Importance of Agribusiness in Brazil
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Sources: CEPEA/USP, CNA, IPEA, MAPA e MDIC. Elaboration: Fiesp-Deagro.
22,15% (US$ 549 bi)
30% 39% (US$ 94,6 bi)
Employment (2012) Exports (2012)
11,8% 28,8% 28,5% 30,9%
Inputs Ag.
livestock Agro-
industry
Distribution
GDP Distribution within the Agribusiness System
GDP (2011) Other Sectors
Other Sectors Other Sectors
Brazilian International Trade Performance Overview
(U.S. $ billion)
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Source: MAPA e MDIC. Note: * Aug/12 to Jul/13.
Agribusiness Trade Balance Brazilian Trade Balance
As exportações do agronegócio foram responsáveis por 42% do total das
vendas externas brasileiras no período de ago./12 a jul./13.
Exportations
Importations
Balance
Agribusiness
Other sectors
Total balance Brazil
Agribusiness exports were responsible for 42% of total Brazilian foreign
trade in the period August 2012 to July 2013
Commodity: export strength
Brazil in a Global context
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
World Brazil
Annual growth rate Brazilian Market Share
Soybean
Corn
Sugar
SOURCE: Outlook Brazil 2022 and FAPRI
Meat: export strength
Brazil in a Global context
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
World Brazil
Beef cattle
Poultry
Pork meat
Annual growth rate Brazilian Market Share
SOURCE: Outlook Brazil 2022 and FAPRI
Brazilian Food Market Ranking
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Export
ation
Pro
duction
Brazilian grain production (Variation among crop season 1990/91 to 2012/13)
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
37,838,4
35,539,0
38,436,8
38,435,0
36,737,7
38,339,6
43,947,4
48,447,3
46,247,4
47,7 47,349,955,2
57,868,2
68,376,0
81,2
73,8
78,9
76,6
82,482,8
96,798,2
123,1
119,3113,4
120,8
131,7144,1
135,1149,2
162,9195,5
AREA (MM Ha) PRODUCTION (MM Ton)
Source: Conab (Jul/2013). Note: * 10th survey
Production: +238%
Area: +46%
Successive gains in productivity enabled the saving of MMha 68.
Yield gain: + 232% /ha
Technology helping to yield increase
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
1. Biotechnology (GMO)
2. Nanotechnologies
3. Animal breeding
4. Agro-energy and Bio Refinery
5. Plan LCA (Low Carbon Agriculture)
6. Integrating Agriculture-Livestock-Forestry
7. No Tillage system and Precision Farming
8. Inputs for agriculture & livestock
9. Technology diffusion
Grain Production 2012/2013 (MM Ton)
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Product 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14*
Soybean 68.688,2 66.383,0 81.479,8 89.720,5
Corn 55.968,0 72.979,8 81.007,2 79.626,9
Rice 11.660,9 11.599,5 11.746,6 12.029,3
Wheat 5.026,2 5.788,6 4.379,5 4.769,5
Dry bean 3.322,5 2.918,5 2.832,2 3.247,6
Cotton 2.860,1 3.018,6 2.101,5 2.554,4
Sorghum 1.624,2 2.221,9 1.981,5 2.296,3
Others 54,8 1.262,2 1.289,6 1.255,2
Total 149.204,9 166.172,1 186.817,9 195.499,7
*Forecast
Source: Conab
Soybean + Corn contributes with 87% of overall grain production
87 %
Grain production allocation
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Competitive Advantages
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Land availability
Technology
Manpower
‘
Brazil: Land use
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Sources: IBGE (Censo Agropecuário e Pesquisa Agrícola Municipal) and Conab (Sugarcane harvest survey) Prepared by: GVAgro.
Whole year crop scheme
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Rainy period from end of September until beginning April;
Winter cereals, only in southern states;
Sugar cane harvest period is from April to October
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Irrigated Cucurbits (melon and water melon)
Coffee trees
Tropical Fruits (Citrus, papaya, pine apple...)
Irrigated Cotton
Millet (cover crop)
Dry beans
Sorghum
Corn Corn
Soybean Soybean
Cotton Cotton
Rainny period
Irrigated Corn (Commercial or Seed production)
Irrigated dry bean
Dry beans
Sugar cane
Waterlogged & upland rice
Dry period Rainny period
Wheat and barley
Waterlogged & upland rice
How Sustainable Brazil is?
Energetic Matrix
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Global figure
OECD point of view
Not- Renewable
Renewable
87%
13%
Not- Renewable
Renewable
93%
7% Source: MTE (BEN 2012)..
Renewable 44,1% Not -
Renewable 55,9%
Sugar cane
15,7% Hydro
14,7%
Petroleum 38,6%
Renewable
Not-renewable
Brazil
Others
13,2% Others 18,4
43 %
57 %
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Sugar cane crushed bagasse
Steam turbine
Generator Electricity
Sugar
Sugar cane harvest Sugar mill (industrial plant)
Sugar cane energy cycle
Surplus is sold
to the city
On average, ethanol powered
car consumes 30% more than
gasoline powered cars
Flex fuel cars
LCA program: Low Carbon Agriculture
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Aims to spread a new sustainable agriculture that will reduce global warming
and carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere. The Low Carbon Agriculture
Program encourages six initiatives with goals by 2020.
LCA program: Six Initiatives
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
The goal is to expand the current 26 million hectares to 33 million hectares. This increase will allow emission reduction from 20 million to 16 million tons of CO2 eq.
No tillage system
The target is to restore 15 million hectares and reduce between 83 and104 million tones of CO2 eq.
Recovering Degraded Lands
The objective is to increase system usage by 4 million hectares and avoid emissions from 18 million to 22 million tons of CO2 eq.
Integrating Agriculture-Livestock-Forestry
Source: Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture Livestock and Food Supply
The objective is to encourage the use of this technique at 5.5 million hectares, resulting in decreased emission of 10 million tons of CO2 eq.
Biological N fixation
The goal is to expand in 3 million hectare of planted forests, reaching 9 million hectares by 2020.
Forest Plantation
The goal is to treat 4.4 million m³ of waste from swine raise and other livestock activities, preventing emission of 6.9 million tons of CO2 eq.
Livestock Waste Treatment
Sustainable Soybean Production
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Program of economic, social and environmental managament of Brazilian Soybean
More informations: www.aprosoja.com.br
Their mission:
Promote and foster continuous improvement;
Work on Sustainable themes: economic, social and environmental;
Support, guild and coach the Brazilian Growers;
Focus on entire production chain;
Action in partnership with farmers, public sector and society.
Sponsors:
Challenges for the future
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
1. Poor Infrastructure and Logistics:
Storage, Highways, Railways and Ports
2. Income: Rural Credit and Insurance:
Minimum prices
3. Trade Policy: Regional and Bilateral Agreements
4. Technology: Foster Research, Plant and animal health Defense; Innovation to increase
productivity
5. Institutional matters: Forest Code, Labor Issues, Taxes, Land for Foreigners
6. Internal organization
7. Communication
Conclusions
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014
Brazil is becoming a major supplier of food, feed, fiber and renewable energy in
the world;
Brazil has the full potential for high level agriculture: availability of land and
water, labor and climate to grow during almost the whole year;
Farmers are very efficient in producing;
…but still need a lot of investment in infrastructure and agriculture policy that
favors competitiveness
Thank you for your attention !!
Website: www.bayercrospcience.com.br
E-mail: [email protected]
Brazilian Perspective on Global Agricultural Context - ABARES Outook 2014 Conference 2014