Borsa Italiana Milan- 5 September 2013 · 2013-09-12 · 7 Recent Km travelled (Ch. %) traffic...
Transcript of Borsa Italiana Milan- 5 September 2013 · 2013-09-12 · 7 Recent Km travelled (Ch. %) traffic...
Italian Infrastructure DayBorsa ItalianaMilan- 5 September 2013
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Atlantia+Gemina(Combined PF EBITDA 2012)
90%
10%
Atlantia
Gemina
84%
16%Italy
Overseas
•2,965km of toll roads in Italy
•2,022km of urban toll roads in fast growing economies•World’s #1 in electronic tolling collection
•Tie-up with Rome airport41.6 million passengers and over 230 destinations
2013
Building a Global Leader in Transport Infrastructure
1,597-
1,860Motorway Italian businessMotorway foreign business
2,119402(2)(3)
EBITDA (€m)
Net Debt/EBITDA
2005(1)2003(1) 2012PF
-
5.2x 4.7x 4.1x(4)(5)
(1) EBITDA and Net Debt not adjusted for change in scope of consolidation and accounting treatment
(2) Pro-forma, includes 12-month contribution of newly consolidated assets in Chile and Brazil
2006-2012
Airport business
(3) Includes guaranteed income which under IFRIC12 are accounted for as financial income(4) Combined PF Atlantia+Gemina(5) Calculated on the basis of Net Debt and EBITDA as per IFRIC12
2662,900-3,000(3)(4)
2013PF
3.9x - 4.0x(4)(5)
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Globally Positioned
USA61.4%
(1) Autostrade per l’Italia (2,855 km), Tangenziale di Napoli (20 km), Raccordo Autostradale Valle d’Aosta (32 km), Traforo del Monte Bianco (6 km), Autostrade Meridionali (52 km, concession expired in 2012) (2) Los Lagos (135 km), Costanera Norte (43 km), Acceso Vial Aeropuerto (10 km), Nororiente (22 km), Litoral Central (79 km), Vespucio Sur (24 km), Triangulo do Sol (442km) Colinas (307km) and
Nascentes das Gerais (372km), Tietè (417km) non consolidated
Poland 61km61.2% Stalexport
Italy 2,965km5 concessionaires(1)
2,965km
France 70%
India 110km50% Pune-SolapurExpressways
Toll road concessionsElectronic toll collection
Chile(2) 313Km6 concessionaires Brazil
50.01%
100%
50%+1 share
1,538km(3)
Atlantia-Bertin Concessões
Rome airports
~ 40m pax
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International: Historic Growth
(1) Including minimum guaranteed revenues, which under IFRIC12 are accounted for as financial income(2) Traffic growth rate in equivalent vehicles transits; EBITDA data in Brazilian GAAP(3) On the basis of average foreign exchange rates
Chile
Brazil
Main Concession Traffic growth (Km travelled) EBITDA(3) (€m)
Los Lagos(1)
Vespucio Sur
Costanera Norte(1)
Triangulo do Sol(2)
10.4%
Colinas(2)
Nascentes das Gerais(2)
‘08-’09
-1.3%
‘09-’10 ‘10-’11 ‘11-’12 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10
1.0% 11.2%
8.7%3.6% 10.1% 9.6%
4.2%-0.5% 7.2% 5.3%
8.2%-0.4% 10.4% 6.3%
5.0%7.5% 13.3% 5.2%
0.4%- 10.0% 3.2%
3117 17 24
5620 25 30
8844 48 66
11252 59 83
11763 62 104
2315 16 21
’12‘11
27
44
71
106
113
22
Litoral Central
Nororiente
12.8%2.9% 1.4% 9.3% 93 4 5 6
13.5%- 62.3% 14.5% 13- - 11 12
Total 19784 94 136 160
Total 252130 137 208 241
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International: Traffic Trend
2Q2013
+9.7%
+8.0%
+5.2%
Km travelled (Ch. %) 1Q2013
+4.3%
+5.8%
+4.9%
1H2013
+7.1%
+6.8%
+5.0%
YTD(1)
+8.7%
+7.2%
+5.4%
Brazil Triangulo do Sol
Colinas
Nascentes das Gerais
Total
Chile
Los Lagos
Vespucio Sur
Costanera Norte
Litoral Central
Nororiente
Total
PolandStalexport
July-Aug 2013(1)
+6.5%+5.5% +6.0% +6.0%
+5.3%+5.8% +5.6% +6.3%
+1.5%+1.8% +1.6% +2.5%
+6.1%+6.7% +6.4% +7.2%
+6.4%+1.7% +4.1% +4.4%
+11.0%+8.3% +9.7% +9.7%
+20.6%+15.8% +18.4% +19.8%
-1.0%+11.9% +7.7% +9.0%
(1) Preliminary figures for July and August
+12.5%
+8.4%
+6.5%
+5.9%
+8.1%
+4.9%
+10.0%
+5.1%
+9.8%
+23.8%
+15.0%
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-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16
(1) Excludes IFRIC 12 impacts(2) Equity consolidated
(€ m)
Actual Forecast
EBITDA(1)
Revenue(1)
• 45% CostaneraNorte
• AMB • 50% VespucioSur, 50% LitoralCentral, 100% Nororiente (50% with SIAS)
• 100% Los Lagos
• 50% Pune Solapur(2)
• 50% Triangulodo Sol
• 50% VespucioSur e 50% Litoral Central da Acciona
• 50% Triangulodo Sol
• JV with Bertin
• 56,2% Stalexport
• Option to acquire 95% SPMAR (Rodoanal)
• 5% Stalexport
• 54,2% Grupo Costanera from SIAS/Mediobanca
• Disposal of 49,99% of GrupoCostanera to CPPIB
StalexportStalexport + Los Lagos
ConsolidationTriangulo do Sol
ConsolidationGrupo Costanera+ JV Bertin
Ecomouv
• 70% Ecomouv
87%EBITDA by Geography (3)
Italy Overseas(1)(4)
International: Deepening Strategy in Fast-Growing Markets
84%72%
16%28%
(3) 2012 data include the contribution of the newly consolidated assets in Chile and Brazil for 12 months(4) Based on constant exchange rates
Mot
orw
ay fo
reig
n bu
sine
ss c
ontri
butio
n
M&A Organic Growth
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Business Highlights
Motorway Business in Italy
Brazil • Option to buy SPMAR (“Rodoanel”) in Sao Paulo• Successful refinancing of Brazilian expiring debt
Airport Business
• Merger with Gemina to create a new global player in the infrastructure sector
• Traffic • Capex plan
Chile • Development opportunities
Financing • No short term refinancing needs• Long term maturities
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Km travelled (Ch. %)Recent traffic trend
(1) Like for like traffic estimates excludes: snowfall in 1Q12 and 1Q13, truck driver strikes in 1Q12, the 2012 leap year effect and 2013 Easter break(2) Traffic using the network operated by Autostrade per l’Italia. Preliminary figures for July and August
2013 Traffic performance by month(2)
-6.0%Like for like(1)
1Q13
-3.9%
1H13
-2.1%
2Q13
-2.4%
-2.0%
Total
LV
-2.6%
-2.4%
-2.7%
-2.6%-4.7%HGV -4.0%-3.3%
Italy: Traffic Trend
YTD(2)
-2.2%
-1.8%-3.8%
July-Aug 2013(2)
-0.9%
-0.5%-2.9%
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0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Italy: Capex Plan Offers Optionality Value
Fully loaded capex plan Residual capex 2013-2026(1)
Noise reduction plan €0.7bn
Other 1997 Investment €1.8bn
1997 Plan €2.2bn
Ongoing capex €0.6bn
2002 Plan €4.6bn
2007 Plan(2) €5.0bn
Other Italian motorways €0.2bn
Autostrade per l’Italia
Fully loaded Of which authorized
€0.7bn
€0.5bn
€2.2bn
€0.6bn
€1.3bn
€0.2bn
Total Italy €15.1bn €5.5bn
(1) Excludes government grants, capitalized costs, non-motorway investments. Investment amounts include provision for overruns
(2) Commitment to implement the preliminary design(3) Compensation based on an IRR equal to 7.2% real post tax(4) Compensation based on a RAB system with a return on investment equal to
WACC pre-tax
Remunerated by(on top of inflation catch up)
X Factor(3)
K Factor(4)
K Factor(4)
Ecomouv €0.2bnOther overseas €1.1bn
€0.2bn€1.1bn
Overseas
Total
€1.3bn €1.3bn
€16.4bn €6.8bn
Of which authorized
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
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Brazil: Focused Concession Portfolio
Tieté(1) (417km)Maturity: 2039
Colinas (307km)Maturity: 2028
(1) Not consolidated (2) Non included in the initial JV. Currently 61km opened to traffic in August 2011
and 44km under construction
MINAS GERAIS
Triangulo do Sol (442km)Maturity: 2021
Sao PauloSPMAR (Rodoanel) (105km)2 Maturity: 2046
Nascentes das Gerais (372km)Maturity: 2032
• Joint Venture Atlantia–Bertin Group managing 1,538km of toll road in Brazil
Trecho Leste (SPMAR) 44km under construction
Trecho Sul (SPMAR) operating
Trecho Oeste (CCR) Trecho Norte (hypothesis)
• Option to acquire 95% of SPMAR from Bertin Group via a call option to be exercised by 1 year after the completion of works
• The acquisition price is to be set on the basis of: 11% equity IRR real, actual cost-to-complete works and actual traffic volumes at end of works
• Acquisition cost to be paid via cancellation of the R$1.1bn loan to SPMAR’s controlling shareholder
Road Map Option to acquire SPMAR
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Brazil: Update on Financing
Nascentesdas Gerais
Call option to acquireSPMAR
Colinas Triangulo do Sol
100%
SPMAR
Loan R$ 1.120m (R$ 918 already disbursed)
95%
Atlantia-Bertin Concessões
Bertin Group Autostrade do Brasil(Atlantia)
Infra Bertin
50%+1 share50%-1 share
100% 100%
• Loan to Infra Bertin already entirely financed on Brazilian capital markets with long dated maturity
Loan to Shareholder
(1) After swap from IPCA to CDI Index
Outstandingamount (R$)
Triangulo do Sol
Maturity Margin
15/04/2020324.0 CDI+2.25%Triangulo do Sol 15/04/2020374.7 CDI+0.725%(1)
Colinas 15/10/2020572.0 CDI+1.50%Colinas 15/10/2020124.8 CDI+0.279%(1)
Colinas 15/04/2023257.3 CDI+0.659%(1)
Recent debt Issue
Remarks
• Average 4.25% real cost of funding as of today vs 8% assumed at the acquisition time
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Brazil: Update on Tariff Adjustment
• At the end of June 2013, the Governor of the State of Sao Paulo decided not to apply inflation adjustment (equal to 6.5%) to be charged from 1 July 2013 to motorway tariffs
• The Governor and the Public Transport Services Regulator for the State of Sao Paulo (ARTESP) approved a compensation package in order to maintain the financial conditions of the concession contracts in place
• Cancellation of 50% of the variable concession fee paid to ARTESP, moving down from 3.0% to 1.5% of revenue
• Recognition of the right to charge lift axels of heavy good vehicles and therefore to apply the proper tariff for such vehicles
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42.5 km
23.5 km
90.0 km21.5 km
10.0 km
LOS LAGOS
Section of toll motorwaybetween Rio Bueno and Puerto Montt
135.0 km
Chile: Unique Concession Portfolio
Santiago Centro Oriente (CC7)• De-bottlenecking of congested
sections of Costanera Norte
• Joint Venture Atlantia–CPPIB (Grupo Costanera) is the first operator in Santiago with 100km of urban roads serving and area of about 7m inhabitants (40% of the Chilean inhabitants)
New Projects
Santiago Lampa• 19km new road• Grupo CN project sponsor
Ruta 68-Ruta 78 • 9km new road• Grupo CN project sponsor
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Costanera Norte: Santiago Centro Oriente
Tunel San Cristobal
Acceso AMB Norte (da realizzare)
• 7 interventions to eliminate the main bottlenecks on the Costanera Norte stretches• €360m total investment• High-single digit return granted by new addendum to concession agreement signed on 26
June 2013Phase 1 (2013-2014) – Under construction
Phase 2 (2014-2018)
Main interventions
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Merger with Gemina: A Combination of Unique Assets
• Concession holder until 2044 of airport system of Rome, third most visited destination in Europe
• New regulatory system: RAB-based, pure dual till. • Merger ratio values aviation business equal to RAB
and commercial activities at market multiples• Well balanced traffic mix with rising international O/D• Lower dependency from main carrier than in major
European hubs • New capex plan to unlock traffic growth potential• Strong potential to develop extra-EU high spending
passenger traffic from international carriers
• Largest and densest nation-wide toll road network in Europe
• Unrivalled strategic positioning in urban toll road assets in fast-growing economies
• Integrated provider of motorway services• World leader in electronic tolling collection• Strong in-house capabilities in managing large capex
plan
Operating synergies
Balanced concession portfolio and Balanced risk-reward profile
Internationalization opportunities
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Solid and Stable Credit Quality
(1) Foreign debt funded locally on a non recourse basis(2) Excluding foreign debt
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Committed bank lines
Ecomouv Financing
Bank deposits
Cassa Depositi e Prestiti
EIB
Bank loans
Bonds
Italy - Gross debt €12.8bn
Overseas - Gross debt €2.5bn
Italy - Available amounts €5.2bn
Overseas - Available amounts €0.7bn
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 2026-2040
Main debt features:Average maturity: 7-yearDebt at fixed rate/hedges: 100%(2)
Avg. cost of debt: 4.7%(2)
Pre-funded
Gross Debt Maturity Schedule(€m, figures at 30.06.2013)
Gross debt and available sources of funding(€m, figures at 30.06.2013)
ItalyForeign assets(1)
Atlantia Italy RemarksS&P BBB+ / negative BBB / negativeMoody's Baa1 / negative Baa2 / negativeFitch A- / negative BBB+ / negative
S&P and Moody's affirmed Atlantia's credit profile one notch above the Republic of Italy
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Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Atlantia S.p.A. (the “Company”) for the sole purpose described herein. In no casemay it or any other statement (oral or otherwise) made at any time in connection herewith be interpreted as an offer or invitation to sell or purchase anysecurity issued by the Company or its subsidiaries, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connectionwith, any contract or investment decision in relation thereto. This presentation is not for distribution in, nor does it constitute an offer of securities for sale inCanada, Australia, Japan or in any jurisdiction where such distribution or offer is unlawful. Neither the presentation nor any copy of it may be taken ortransmitted into the United States of America, its territories or possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, itsterritories or possessions or to any U.S. person as defined in Regulation S under the US Securities Act 1933.
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