Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical …...Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical...

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Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical Analysis Darren Chu, CFA Jan 7, 2020 https://tradablepatterns.com

Transcript of Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical …...Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical...

Page 1: Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical …...Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical Analysis Darren Chu, CFA Jan 7, 2020 DISCLOSURES This material is provided for information

Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical AnalysisDarren Chu, CFA

Jan 7, 2020https://tradablepatterns.com

Page 2: Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical …...Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical Analysis Darren Chu, CFA Jan 7, 2020 DISCLOSURES This material is provided for information

DISCLOSURES❑This material is provided for information only and is

not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buyany financial instrument or asset class.

❑This material does not and is not intended to take intoaccount the particular financial conditions, investmentobjectives or requirements of individual customers.Before acting on this material, you should considerwhether it is suitable for your particular circumstancesand, as necessary, seek professional advice.

❑Tradable Patterns is not affiliated with InteractiveBrokers LLC, or any other FINRA broker-dealer.

❑The information provided in this presentation isbelieved to be accurate, but the accuracy andcompleteness of the information is not guaranteed.

❑Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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BIO Darren Chu, FounderTradablePatterns

❑Publish Tradable Patterns - daily newsletter▪ Technical analysis featured on Bloomberg Terminal,

Refinitiv Eikon, Factset Terminal, Interactive Brokers’ IBTraders Insight, InsideFutures, ZeroHedge, Liquid(Quoine), EXMO

▪ Newsletter covers CME, ICE equity index, commodityfutures markets along with VIX, spot FX andcryptocurrencies (as seen in my Watchlist)

❑Introduce PE/VC/Family Offices to direct investments(Tech, Medtech, Healthcare, Education, F&B, Property)

❑Previously served as IntercontinentalExchange | NYSELiffe's country manager for Australia, India, and theUAE between July 2010 and January 2014, expandingrole to look after Liffe business development in APACex-Japan/Korea until his departure mid April 2014

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BIO Darren Chu, FounderTradablePatterns

❑Marketed Canadian futures and options for TMXGroup | Montreal Exchange for 4 years, acrossNorth America, London, Singapore and Hong Kong

❑Developed and presented CMC Markets Canada'seducational offering, and headed up Chinesemarketing and sales team

❑Wrote course content for 3 derivatives coursesoffered by Canadian Securities Institute

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PresentationOutline

❑Technical Analysis of Agris▪ Soybean, Wheat, Corn

❑Technical Analysis of Indices▪ S&P500, Nasdaq100, VIX

❑Technical Analysis of Metals/Energy▪ WTI Crude, Natural Gas, Gold, Silver

❑Technical Analysis of FX▪ USDCAD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, EURUSD,

GBPUSD, AUDJPY, EURJPY, GBPJPY, GBPAUD

❑Technical Analysis of Softs▪ Arabica Coffee, Cocoa, Raw Sugar, Cotton

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Technical Analysis of Agris

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Soybean (ZS)

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Wheat (ZW)

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Corn (ZC)

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Technical Analysis of Indices

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S&P500 (ES)

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Nasdaq100 (NQ)

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VIX (VX)

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Technical Analysis of Metals/Energy

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WTI Crude (CL)

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Natural Gas (NG)

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Gold (GC)

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Silver (SI)

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Technical Analysis of FX

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USDCAD

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USDJPY

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USDCHF

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AUDUSD

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EURUSD

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GBPUSD

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AUDJPY

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EURJPY

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GBPJPY

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GBPAUD

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Technical Analysis of Softs

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Page 31: Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical …...Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical Analysis Darren Chu, CFA Jan 7, 2020 DISCLOSURES This material is provided for information

Arabica Coffee (KC)

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Cocoa (CC)

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Raw Sugar (SB)

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Cotton (CT)

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Interactive Brokers Trading Platform Embeds Free Portion of Newsletter

❑Interactive Brokers links to technical analysis of 1 out of 3markets covered in Today’s Top 3 Trades viewable from theirtrading platform (desktop/mobile) within the newsfeed formarket symbols whose content I provide

Source: Interactive Brokers Trader Workstation

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Interactive Brokers Trading Platform Embeds Free Portion of Newsletter

Source: Interactive Brokers Trader Workstation

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Interactive Brokers WebsitePublishesFree Portion of Newsletter

❑Clicking on any of the TP news headlines from an IBKR tradingplatform links to Tradable Patterns' IBKR Traders' Insight webpage

❑In October 2019, content ranked 4th most popular (in page views)among 92 third party contributors (e.g. Barron’s, Briefing.com)

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Interactive Brokers Translates Content, Posting on Wechat, Snowball, etc

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Interactive Brokers Clients Subscribe to PaidNewsletter

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Growing InstitutionalFollowing on Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Factset

❑>400 hedge funds, banks, asset managers, corporates downloaded TP content onBloomberg, Refinitiv, Factset Jul19

❑Frequent Hedge Fund readers include:▪ Renaissance Technologies (USD 80B AUM)

▪ Two Sigma (USD 50B AUM)

▪ Millennium (USD 35B AUM)

▪ Citadel (USD 30B AUM)

▪ Stevens Capital Management (USD 5B AUM)

❑Frequent Investment Bank readers in Jul19:▪ Credit Suisse

▪ JP Morgan

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▪ Citigroup

▪ Goldman Sachs

❑World’s largest asset manager (Blackrock)’s quant unit (Scientific Asset Equity would beworld’s 2nd largest hedge fund @ USD 105B AUM if standalone business) hasdownloaded TP content on Refinitiv everyday since mid Jul19

Source: Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Factset monthly readership reports

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Growing InstitutionalFollowing via Bloomberg Terminal

Source: Bloomberg Terminal

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Growing InstitutionalFollowing via Bloomberg Terminal

Source: Bloomberg Terminal

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Growing InstitutionalFollowing via RefinitivEikon

Source: Refinitiv Eikon

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Growing InstitutionalFollowing via RefinitivEikon

Source: Refinitiv Eikon

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Growing InstitutionalFollowing via FactsetTerminal

Source: Factset Terminal

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Distributed by EasternEurope’sLargest Crypto Exchange

Source: exmo.com

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OtherDistribution Partners

❑Also seen on Zerohedge and Inside Futures

Source: zerohedge.com; insidefutures.com

Page 53: Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical …...Big Picture Commodity, FX Year End Technical Analysis Darren Chu, CFA Jan 7, 2020 DISCLOSURES This material is provided for information

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