BEYOND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - SAIPA
Transcript of BEYOND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - SAIPA
BEYOND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
Prepared by:
Rashied Small, Lucinda Smidt & Yaeesh Yassen
National CPD Seminar – September 2016
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Statement of Financial Position
Non-current assets
Working capital
Debt funding
Equity funding
What does the statement say?
• Summary of assets and claims against those assets at a point in time
• Financial position with regards to its ability to meet current debt obligations
• Financial position with regards to its resources to carry on and sustain its operations.
• Book value of the business –strength of the owner’s claim against the resources
What does the statement does not say?
• Details of how the resources were used to generate revenue and profit
• Claims of creditors and owners against specific assets
• Misconception of capital under equity [investment vs cash]
• Market or current value of the business [book value]
• True economic benefits of assets [revenue earning capacity]
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Statement of Financial Performance
Revenue
ExpensesFinance
costs
Profits
What does the statement say?
• Primary (revenue) and secondary sources of income
• Indication of the nature of the core business activities
• Nature and magnitude of the costs to support operating activities
• Trading and operating performance of the business [measured by profit]
What does the statement does not say?
• Predict the future performance [revenue and expenses]
• Provide an exact measurement of net income for the reporting period
• True profit of the business -difference between the funds invested and its realizable amount on disposal
• Indicate the cash generated from operation [misconception that profit = cash]
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Statement of Cash Flow
Revenue
ExpensesFinance
costs
Profits
What does the statement say?
• Movement of cash and cash equivalents for the reporting period
• A positive cash flow is the ideal outcome – cash in not always King
• Cash flow does not represent the profit [cash basis of reporting]
What does the statement does not say?
• Indication of the profit/loss realized
• Indication of the operating performance – positive cash flow may be misinterpreted
• True causes of cash flows – cash management decisions
• Actual cash flows – include cash equivalents
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Red Flags in Financial Statements
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RED FLAGS
Rising debt equity ratio
Declining interest
cover ratio
Unsteady cash flows
Rising receivable
& inventory
Continuous declining revenue trends
Consistently declining
current ratio
Business Analysis
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Financial AnalysisProcess to evaluate financial position and performance
using financial statements
Profitability analysis – Evaluate performance andreturn on investment
Risk analysis – Evaluate creditworthiness and riskiness (business & financial risk)
Cash flow analysis – Evaluate sources and utilization of cash resources
Ratio analysisCash flow analysis
Common techniques
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Ratio Analysis
• Ratios recognize the symbolic relationship of various items in the financial statements
• Ratios also allow for improved comparison through time or between organisations
• Ratio analysis is a suggestive indicator and does not provide conclusive evidence
• Effective financial analysis begins with analyzing the industry in which the entity operate and the entity’s strategies to create a sustainable advantage
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Limitations of Ratio Analysis
• Nature and structure of the organization cannot be explained by the numbers
• Benchmarking (average/moderate) does not reflect the goals of the organization
• Financial information may not reflect the “true” value – inflationary conditions versus historical cost
• Seasonal fluctuations may distort the average results used in ratios
• Historical results versus market results –distortion in comparison
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Limitations of Ratio Analysis
• Estimations, professional judge and the off-balance sheet reporting may distort comparisons
• Accounting policies and practices differ from organisations
• Generalisation about the computation and interpretation of ratios
• Indepenedent view and interpretation of ratios may not provide a holistic view
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Ratio Analysis Techniques
• Analysis of relationships between items
• Analysis of relationship for common activities
• Comparative analysis over time – base period
• Comparative analysis to reflect changes
Horizontal analysis
Trend analysis
Vertical analysis
Ratio analysis
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Ratio Analysis – Key Areas
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Profitability Analysis
Profitability ratios measures the effectiveness of management in
achieving operating goals as shown in relationship on revenue and
investments.
Common ratios:1. Gross profit %2. Operating profit %3. Net profit %4. Expenses %5. Return on assets6. Return on equity
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Profitability RatiosRatio Description Formula Interpretation
Gross profit % Return on salesMeasure the trading performance andcompetitiveness of the business
Gross profit/Revenue x 100%
• Acceptable range 40% - 60%• Indicate the safety margin before the
business makes losses• Indication of management’s ability to
convert sales into profits• Expected to be stable and constant• Increases are good• Influenced by competition & costs
Operating profit before depreciation %
Return on sales before accounting for interest, tax and depreciation
EBITDA/Revenue x 100% • Acceptable range 20% - 35%• Expected to be stable and constant• Increase significantly with scale• Influenced by competition & costs
Operating profit % Operating return on salesfrom normal operationsShows the efficiency of management in cost control and management
Operating profit/Revenue x 100%
• Acceptable range 10% - 30%• Indication of operating efficiency and
effectiveness• Indication of the ability to “add
value” through the operating process• Increase significantly with scale• Influenced by competition & costs
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Profitability RatiosRatio Description Formula Interpretation
Net profit % Operating performance asa return on salesIndicates the efficiency and cost management of the business
Net profit/Revenue x 100%
• Acceptable range 5% - 25%• Indication of efficiency and overall
profitability of the business• Decrease significantly with debt
financing• Influenced by competition & costs
Expenses % of sales Relationship of expenses on sales
Expenses/Revenue x 100%
• Indication of operating efficiency and effectiveness of operations
• Indication of the effectiveness of management’s cost performance
• Decrease significantly with scale
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Profitability RatiosRatio Description Formula Interpretation
Return on assets Measures the efficiency of utilizing the assets to generate profit
Net profit/Total assets x 100%
• Acceptable range 15% - 23%• Indication of how efficiently
management is utilizing its resources to generate profit
• Indication of the allocation of resources to value adding activities
• Indication of the effectiveness of managements investment decisions
Return on equity Measures the efficiency with which the equity funds are utilized to generate profit
Net profit/Total equity x 100%
• Acceptable range 8% - 15% • Indication of the efficiency with
which management utilizes the funds of equity holders to generate profit
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Liquidity Ratios
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Liquidity measures ability of the organization to meet its short-term financial obligations when the are due – ability to convert its short-
term assets into cash to meet obligations
Common ratios:1. Current ratio2. Quick ratio3. Cash ratio
Liquidity Ratio – Current Ratio
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Ratio Current ratio
Description Measures the short-term financial risk and the ability of the organization to meet its short-term obligations
Formula Current assets : Current liabilities
Interpretation • Acceptable range 1:1 – 2:1• Indication of the security and cover
provided to short-term creditors• Indication of the sustainability of
operating activities – risk exposure• Too low ratio increases the financial risk
to short-term creditors• Too high a ratio indicates that cash
resources are tied up in unproductive assets
Liquidity Ratio – Quick Ratio
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Ratio Quick / acid test ratio
Description Measures ability of the organization to easily converts its short-term associates to meet its short-term obligations
Formula (Current assets – Inventory) : Current liabilities
Interpretation • Acceptable range 1:1• Indication of the immediate solvency of the
organization to meets its short-term obligations
• High ratio provides the organization with safety margin to increase its short-term debt
• Ratio below 1:1 indicate the financial risk for creditors – inability to meet its immediate short-term obligations
Liquidity Ratio – Cash Ratio
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Ratio Cash ratio
Description Measures absolute liquidity of an organization – cash available to meet obligations
Formula (Cash + cash equivalents) : Current liabilities
Interpretation • Acceptable range 0.5:1• Stringent indication of the liquidity of the
organization – alternative options to meet short-term obligations
• High ratio indicates poor resource allocation and management – not utilizing cash resources efficiently
Liquidity Ratio – Net Working Capital Ratio
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Ratio Net working capital ratio
Description Measures the management of operating liquidity – cash resources available to fund operations
Formula (Current asset – Current liabilities)/Net Assets x 100%
Interpretation • Acceptable range must be positive• Ratio below zero indicates that the
organization the financial distress and business risk
• Indication of operating sustainability – risk of asset stripping to sustain operations
Liquidity Ratio – Defensive Interval
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Ratio Defensive interval
Description Measures the safety margin for the organization to funds its day-to-day operating costs
Formula Current assets/Average daily operating cost
Interpretation • Acceptable range 30 to 90 days• Indication of the ability to fund operating
costs from internal resources• Indication of the period the organization
can rely on its resources to fund day-to-day costs
• Indication of operating risks – ability to meet operating costs
Solvency Ratio
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Solvency measure the ability of the organization to meet its long-term
obligations and sustain its activities to achieve its strategic goals
Common ratios:1. Debt ratio2. Times interest earned ratio3. Interest cover4. Debt to equity ratio
Solvency Ratio – Debt Ratio
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Ratio Debt ratio
Description Measures the proportion utilization of debt financing by the organisation
Formula Total Debt/Total Assets x 100%
Interpretation • Acceptable range 20% - 30%• Indication of the dependency on debt
financing by the organization - leverage (financial risk)
• Indication of the ability of the organization to provide security and cover for its debt providers
• Indication of the effectiveness of financial management and management of financial risk
Solvency Ratio – Long-term Debt Ratio
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Ratio Long-term debt ratio
Description Measures the financial leverage of the organization – utilization of long-term debt to fund the business
Formula Long-term debt/(Equity + long term debt) x 100%
Interpretation • Acceptable range 20% - 30%• Indication of the level of financial leverage
of the organization• Indication of financial risk the organization
is exposed to
Solvency Ratio – Debt to Equity Ratio
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Ratio Debt to equity ratio
Description Measures financial gearing of the organization – relationship between debt versus equity funding
Formula Total debt/Total equity x 100%
Interpretation • Acceptable range 50%• Indication of the capital structure of the
organization – long-term financial structure• High ratio indicates that the organization
has a high debt leverage – high financial risk
• Indication of financing the growth of the organisation
Solvency Ratio – Interest Cover Ratio
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Ratio Interest cover ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to pay its debt servicing costs from operations –number of time interest is covered
Formula Operating profit/ Interest paid
Interpretation • Acceptable range 6 – 7 times• Indication of the level of risk the
organization has in meet is debt financing costs
• A low ratio indicates that the organization is burdened with a high level of debt financing
• Too high a ratio may indicate low debt leverage or efficient and profitable operations
Efficiency Ratios
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Efficiency ratios measure the effective management and
allocation of resources to the operating goals of the organization.
Common ratios:1. Asset turnover ratio2. Inventory turnover ratio3. Debtors turnover ratio4. Creditors turnover ratio
Efficiency Ratio – Asset Turnover
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Ratio Asset turnover ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to convert its investments in assets into revenue – utilize the resources to generate revenue
Formula Revenue/Total non-current assets
Interpretation • Indication of the utilization of the resources as a revenue driver
• Indication of the effective management decisions for investments in resources to generate revenue
• As low ratio indicates that management have investment in ineffective resources or unproductive resources
• A low ratio indicates that the organization has too low and investment in resources to support potential sales
Efficiency Ratio – Inventory Turnover
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Ratio Inventory turnover ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to convert its into revenue – number of times the entire inventory is sold during the period
Formula Average inventory/Revenue
Interpretation • Indication of the efficiency with which inventory is converted into sales
• Low ratio may indicate a risk of holding low level of inventory resulting a potential loss of sales
• High ratio may indicate a difficulty in the organization selling its inventory – resulting over stocking or a decline in the market for the goods
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Cash flow Analysis
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Cash flow ratios measures the effectiveness of management of
cash resources in achieving strategic goals without increasing the risks to
the organisation.
Common ratios:1. Operating cash flow ratio2. Operating cash margin3. Cash debt cover ratio4. Cash interest cover ratio5. Cash return on assets6. Cash re-investment ratio
Operating Cash Flow Ratio
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Ratio Operating cash flow ratio
Description Measures the gap between the time the goods are acquired from suppliers and the time it takes to collect cash from customers
Ratios • Inventory holding period• Debtors’ collection period• Creditors repayment period
Interpretation • Indication of the ability of the organization to funds its sales/operating activities from internal sources
• Indication of the organization’s dependency on short-term debt financing (bridging finance)
Inventory Holding Period Ratio
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Ratio Inventory holding period ratio
Description Measures the time period its takes the organization to sell its goods from the date of purchase – shelf-life
Formula (Average inventory/Cost of sales) x Annual working days
Interpretation • Acceptable range 20 - 46 days• A high ratio indicates an over investment in
inventory, inventory build up or holding of slow moving goods
• A low ratio indicates a high level of sales activity but may not reflect a high profit as profit may be sacrificed for increased sales
• A high ratio may indicate a low investment in inventory resulting in loss of potential revenue
Debtors’ Collection Period Ratio
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Ratio Debtors’ collection period ratio
Description Measures the time period its takes the organization to collect the cash from customers from the date of sale
Formula (Average debtors/Credit sales) x Annual working days
Interpretation • Acceptable range 30 - 60 days• Indication of the liquidity of the trade
receivables• Indication of the credit management of the
organization – measured in comparison to credit policy
• A low ratio indicates an efficient sale cycle • A high ratio may indicate a significant
investment in debtors or create of revenue through credit
Creditors’ Repayment Period Ratio
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Ratio Debtors’ collection period ratio
Description Measures the time period its takes the organization to pay creditors from the date of purchases
Formula (Average creditors/Credit purchases) x Annual working days
Interpretation • Acceptable range 30 - 60 days• A high ratio may indicate liquidity problems
– inability to meet obligations when due• A high ratio may indicate a low financial or
creditworthiness risk• Must be viewed in conjunction with the
debtors’ collection ratio and liquidity ratios• High ratio indicates the utilization of
interest-free debt to funds operations
Operating Cash Flow Ratio
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Ratio Operating cash flow ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to pay its short-term obligations from cash generated from operations
Formula Cash from operations/Current liabilities
Interpretation • Acceptable range 1:1• Indication of the organization’s ability to
meet its short-term obligation from cash generated from operations
• A ratio of less than 1:1 indicates a financial risk as the organization cannot pay its short-term obligations from internal cash generated
• A high ratio indicates that the organization generates sufficient to funds expansions and replacement of assets
Operating Cash Margin Ratio
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Ratio Operating cash flow ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to convert sales into cash
Formula Cash from operations/Revenue x 100%
Interpretation • Acceptable range 10% - 15%• Indication of the organization’s ability to
convert is sales into cash to finance its obligations
• Indication of the organization risk to service its investors from operations – pay taxes. Dividends and interest
• Indication of the “cash” efficiency and performance of the operating activities of the organisation
Cash Debt Cover Ratio
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Ratio Operating cash solvency ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to pay all its obligations from the cash generated from operations
Formula Cash from operations/Total liabilities
Interpretation • Acceptable range 1:1• Indication of the organization’s ability to
meet its short-term obligation from cash generated from operations
• A ratio of less than 1:1 indicates a financial risk as the organization cannot pay its short-term obligations from internal cash generated
• A high ratio indicates that the organization generates sufficient to funds expansions and replacement of assets
Cash Interest Cover Ratio
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Ratio Operating cash solvency ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to pay debts service costs from the cash generated from operations
Formula (Cash from operations + Interest paid + Tax paid)/Interest paid
Interpretation • Acceptable range 6 – 8 times• Indication of the ability of the organization
to pay service costs from the cash generated from operations
• A ratio less than zero indicates that the organization cannot pay its interest costs from operations – increase the financial risk to the business
Cash Return on Assets Ratio
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Ratio Cash return on asset ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to generate cash from the ulisation of its resources
Formula Cash from operations/Total assets x 10%
Interpretation • Acceptable range 20% - 35%• Indication of the efficiency of management
to utilise its resources to generate cash• Indication of management’s efficiency in
allocating resources to cash and value creation activities
• Indication of the effective allocation of resources to develop and maintain the competitive advantage of the organisation
Cash Re-investment Ratio
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Ratio Cash re-investment ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to generate cash from the acquire resources for expansions and replacement purposes
Formula Cash from operations/Acquisition of non-current assets
Interpretation • Acceptable range 20% - 35%• Indication of the efficiency of management
to plan to have sufficient cash to replace and acquire assets
• A low ratio indicates that the organization is dependent of external funding to sustain its activities to achieve its goals
• A high ratio indicates that management has planned adequately for sustain operating activities
Financial Stability Ratios
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Financial stability ratios measures the ability of the organization to
meet its long-term obligations while at the same time having sufficient resources available to sustain its
operations.
Common ratios:1. And solvency ratios2. Debt to equity ratio3. Working capital to asset ratio4. Debt to equity ratio5. Free cash flow ratio
Financial Stability Ratio – Free Cash flow
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Ratio Free cash flow ratio
Description Measures the ability of the organization to generate cash from operations which exceed its capital expenditure requirements
Formula Operating cash flow – Capital expenditure
Interpretation • Indication of the organization to generate organic growth (internal growth)
• Indication of the organization to generate sufficient cash to pay returns to equity investors
• Indication of the organization to maintain its competitive advantage
• Indication of the organization financial flexibility for growth and expansion
Financial Stability Ratio – Working Capital to Assets
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Ratio Working capital to total assets ratio
Description Measures the liquidity of the organization in terms of its ability to easily convert its assets in cash to meet financial obligations
Formula Working capital/Total assets x 100%
Interpretation • Indication of the organization liquidity to meet its obligations and sustain its operations without causing financial distress
• Indication of the level of resources required to meet its day-to-day operating obligations
• A high ratio may indicate that management is not using its resources efficiently – cash resources are tied up in working capital
Looking Beyond the Numbers
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Questions to ask
• Revenue = Single customer
• Revenue = Single product
• Revenue = Geographical markets
• Supply chain = Single supplier
• Competition = Competitive advantage
• Future potential = Research & Development
• Environment = Regulations
Summary
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Summary
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Summary
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Summary
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