BENEFITS FROM PHOTOVOLTAICS IN INDIA...Bangalore, 22nd November 2014 How to profit from...
Transcript of BENEFITS FROM PHOTOVOLTAICS IN INDIA...Bangalore, 22nd November 2014 How to profit from...
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BENEFITS FROM PHOTOVOLTAICS IN INDIA
Dr. Thomas Schlegl
Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE
3rd Fraunhofer Innovation and Technology Platform (FIT) Bangalore, 22nd November 2014
www.ise.fraunhofer.de
How to profit from photovoltaics
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Photovoltaic is competitive to other energy sourcesLevelized cost of electricity (LCOE), projections for Germany until 2030
Source: Fraunhofer ISE, 2013
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Dependence on site and market conditionsLCOE for renewable energy sources 2013
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Projections of a strong and long-term market growthPV market development, GW per year
PV Market is growingrapidly, and globally
Transitioning from government subsidies to market based asset financing
Excellent business opportunities for various stakeholders
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Manufacturers: competitiveness
Banks: want their money back
Investors: maximal ROI (yield), minimal risk
Insurances: minimal risk
System operators: high performance ratio and low maintenance effort
Consumers: low costs for electricity at stable supply
Grid operators: easy integration
State: positive job effects
Requirements of stakeholders
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High quality at competitive costs
Highly efficient and reliable
Long-term stable with minimal degradation
State-of-the-art design
Optimal system integration and operation
Adapted grid expansion planning
Understanding the requirements of stakeholdersleads to following requirements
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Support in c-Si technology development and transferFraunhofer ISE offerings for manufacturers, I
Technical and commercial due dilligence studies
Roadmapping for future technology development
Identification of locally available supply chain and customers
CoO analysis and risk assessment for different technology options
Efficiency and performance ratio potential
Profitability analysis
Specification and set up of local production facilities
Total facility layout
Support during procurement of process
Sustainability and environmental impact analysis
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Support in c-Si technology development and transferFraunhofer ISE offerings for manufacturers, II
Benchmark analysis
Auditing of existing or new production lines
Identification of efficiency limitations
Recommendations for evolutionary technology upgrades
R&D collaboration for joint developments
Adapted to customer and local market needs
Transfer of processes and support in further optimisation
Education and scientific exchange
Theoretical and practical training of employees
Supporting local R&D and academic infrastructure
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IEC / UL Certification
Steady State Solar Simulator
Pulsed Solar Simulator (AAA)
NOCT Test Stand
Mechanical Load Test Stand
Hail Test Stand
Several Climate Chambers
Electroluminescence Camera
Infrared Camera
Electrical Safety Test Stand
Module Breakage Test Stand
Reverse Current Test Stand
Certification according to Quality StandardsTestLab PV Modules
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Quality Tests Beyond StandardAdvanced Tests
Extended mechanical load test
Extended hail test
Salt mist test for maritime climate
Damp-heat chamber with integrated UV source
Climate chamber with steady state solar simulator
Enhanced UV test (90-120 kWh/m²)
Potential induced degradation test
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Example:
Comparison of 14 module types of nine manufacturers
400 Thermal Cycles
Damp Heat 2000 hours
Bankability and Quality ControlComparative Testing
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
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P01 P02 P03 P04 P05 P06 P07 P08 P09
Dev
iati
on
in %
Participant
Powerloss in % after 400 Thermal Cycles
Module 1
-37,0
4
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
P01 P02 P03 P04 P05 P06 P07 P08 P09
Dev
iati
on
in %
Participant
Powerloss in % after 2000 hrs Damp Heat
Module 1
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Quality Assurance for Utility Scale PV Plants
Solar resource and yield assessment
Manufacturer quality benchmarking
Module power and energy rating
Module performance check
Module reliability check
Module material check
Final acceptance test
Initial performance and safety verification
PV plant certification
Continuous long-term performance reporting
Failure analyzes and reporting
Optimization and re-powering
Commissioning OperationImplementationPlanning and Design
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Investment in PV – cost saving options for electricity supplyHybrid energy system for German industrial companies
Classes of electricity pricesdepending on demand (Germany)
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
0 6 12 18 24
Load
[kW
]
Hour of day
Sunday winterWorkday summerPV
Electricity load and PV generation
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Elec
tric
ity
pri
ces
for
ind
ust
rial
co
nsu
mer
s [€
/kW
h]
YearBand IA : Cons. < 20 MWhBand IB : 20 MWh < Cons. < 500 MWhBand IC : 500 MWh < Cons. < 2 000 MWhBand ID : 2 000 MWh < Cons. < 20 000 MWhBand IE : 20 000 MWh < Cons. < 70 000 MWhBand IF : 70 000 MWh < Cons. < 150 000 MWhBand IG : Cons. > 150 000 MWh*
Motivation:
Increasing electricity costs while decreasing costs for renewable energy technologies
Increased planning reliability of costs for electricity
In regions with power shortages: improved electricity supply
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Modelling the regional market development, as basis for optimal grid expansion planningExample Germany
LCOE will depend on region
Investments and LCOE depending on investortype
Generation costs –renewable energies
Photovoltaics –private investors
Biogas renewableraw material
Biogas organicwaste
semi-liquid manure
Wind onshore
Electricity generation costs fromrenewable energies in Germany
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Energy system optimizationRegional and national analysis of electricity systems
Long-term Scenarios Technology Portfolios
Location Planning Energy Flows
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Optimization model for grid expansion planning
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SUMMARY
Photovoltaics is already competitive, a strong and long-term market growth is projected
Many business opportunities for various stakeholders as manufacturers, banks, investors, insurances, consumers system operators, grid operators
Fraunhofer ISE offers support for market success within individual objectives
We are happy to support you!
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Thank you for your kind attention!
Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE
Dr. Thomas Schlegl
www.ise.fraunhofer.de