Benefit Realisation for Defence Capability …...Benefit Realisation for Defence Capability...

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Benefit Realisation for Defence Capability Investment Projects - Delivering Force Design Projects that Make a Difference 1 Research School of Management, ANU College of Business and Economics, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 2601 2 Force Design Research Group, Strategic Capability Analysis Branch, Joint & Operations Analysis Division, Defence Science & Technology Group, Canberra Airport ACT 2609 Ofer Zwikael 1 , Elham Merikhi 1 , Ivan Garanovich 2 , Terence Weir 2 , Kevin Johns 2

Transcript of Benefit Realisation for Defence Capability …...Benefit Realisation for Defence Capability...

Page 1: Benefit Realisation for Defence Capability …...Benefit Realisation for Defence Capability Investment Projects - Delivering Force Design Projects that Make a Difference 1 Research

Benefit Realisation forDefence Capability Investment Projects -

Delivering Force Design Projects thatMake a Difference

1Research School of Management, ANU College of Business and Economics, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 2601

2Force Design Research Group, Strategic Capability Analysis Branch, Joint & Operations Analysis Division, Defence Science & Technology Group, Canberra Airport ACT 2609

Ofer Zwikael1, Elham Merikhi1, Ivan Garanovich2, Terence Weir2, Kevin Johns2

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Outline

• Project benefit realisation

• Project portfolio selection

• Applying benefit and portfolio theories to Force Design

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Defence Integrated Investment Program (IIP) is focused on investment projects

DCAP Vision: Delivering an integrated Joint Force by Design that is capable, potent and agile in achieving

the strategic Defence objectives directed by the Government of Australia

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Design Force Project Portfolio Selection Questions

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What benefits do we target?How do these benefits support DCAP vision?What capabilities are required to achieve the

target benefits?How do we select project and programs to

achieve the vision?

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Project Benefit Realisation

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Implementing Organisational Strategy

Source: Organisational Project Management Maturity Model (OPM3), Project Management Institute (PMI), 2007

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• Completed on time and within the budget• Number of drivers using the tunnels (33,000

vehicles per day) is only third of the expectations

The Sydney Cross City Tunnel

Source: Zwikael, O., Smyrk, J. R. (2011). Project Management for the Creation of Organisational Value. Springer-Verlag, London, UK. ISBN 978-1-84996-515-6 (print book); ISBN 978-1-84996-516-3 (ebook).

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What is a Project?Building the tunnels is not a projectBuilding the tunnels is a (major) part of a projectThe project is reduced travel time in Sydney

CBD

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The Input-Transform-Outcome (ITO) Model

Outputs

Inputs

Process Utilization

Outcomes

OutcomesInputs

Source: Zwikael, O., Smyrk, J. (2012). A general framework for gauging the performance of initiatives to enhance organizational value. British Journal of Management, 23, S6-S22.

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Outputs are commonly delivered but project objectives are not met

The UK Office of Government Commerce reported that “30–40% of systems to support business change deliver no benefits whatsoever”

The Problem Definition

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The Benefit Management Process

1. Benefit definition (project goal setting, business case appraisal)

2. Benefit management (project governance and leadership)

3. Benefit realization (through project output utilization)

4. Benefit evaluation (measuring project ownership success)

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Target Benefits Definition: The NKS Project in Sweden

Project target benefits:• Development of novel treatments through healthcare, research and education• More efficient health care processes• Improve safety, integrity and care of patients

Case Study:

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Return

Project Selection Principle

The project

portfolioResources

Benefits to support DCAP

vision

Funds

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Project Portfolio Selection

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Project portfolio selection problem (PPSP)

Organizational performance

PPSP is the selection of subset of project proposals to be funded to optimize organizational performance given limited resources

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Project portfolio selection framework

Project portfolio’s

attractivenessA2

A1

Project portfolio’s

return

Project portfolio’s

risk

Individual projects’ returnsA3

Technical interdependencies among projects

A4Benefit interdependencies among projects

Resource interdependencies among projects

Threats &

opportunities

Strauss and Stummer (2006), Yu et al. (2012), Sefair et al. (2016), Mutavdzic and Maybee (2015)

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Benefit interdependency 1

Resource interdependency 2

Technical interdependency 3

1 Carazo (2015)2 Spradlin & Kutoloski (1999)3 Chien (2002)

Projects’ interdependencies$1000/day $2000/day

Data set

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Project portfolio selection framework

Project portfolio’s

attractiveness

Risk interdependencies among projects

Individual projects’ risks

A2

A1

Project portfolio’s

return

Project portfolio’s

risk

A5

Individual projects’ returnsA3

A6

Technical interdependencies among projects

A4Benefit interdependencies among projects

Resource interdependencies among projects

Threats &

opportunities

Strauss and Stummer (2006), Yu et al. (2012), Sefair et al. (2016), Mutavdzic and Maybee (2015)

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Risk interdependencies among projectsRisk interdependencies arise over time from overall social and economic changes and can affect multiple projects1. For example, a change in the inflation rate can increase the expected return of a project, as an opportunity, and simultaneously reduce that of another project, as a threat.

Considering risk interdependency in the decision model of PPSP is crucial as it provides the condition to reach a portfolio with lowest level of risk for the same level of return.2

CAL

1 Gear & Cowie (1980)2 )

, Guo, Liang, Zhu, & Hu (2008)Markowitz, H. (1952), Mutavdzic & Maybee (2015

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Project portfolio selection framework

Project portfolio’s

attractiveness

Risk interdependencies among projects

Individual projects’ risks

A2

A1

Project portfolio’s

return

Project portfolio’s

risk

A5

Individual projects’ returnsA3

A6

Technical interdependencies among projects

A4Benefit interdependencies among projects

Resource interdependencies among projects

Threats &

opportunities

Strauss and Stummer (2006), Yu et al. (2012), Sefair et al. (2016), Mutavdzic and Maybee (2015)

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Applying Benefit and Portfolio Theories to

Force Design

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Support to detailed design of the Defence Capability Assessment Program (DCAP)

Development of criteria and metrics for identification and prioritisation of gaps and opportunities

Consistent application of benefit metrics and portfolio theory throughout DCAP to ensure that capability investment decisions meet Defence and Government strategic objectives:- Benefit metrics and measures- Portfolio design- Prioritisation- Multi-criteria decision analysis

Benefit realisation metrics for ongoing IIP monitoring, evaluation and reporting

Consistent application of the same benefit realisation principles throughout the entire DCAP to ensure end to end alignment between IIP investment and strategic objectives

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• Benefit realisation management is the current international best practice in project and portfolio investment (NZ and Norwegian governments, Treasury, NSW local government, industry etc)

• ANU and DST are partnering to develop methods and tools for a consistent application of benefit management and portfolio design principles across the entire DCAP including:

- criteria for identification and analysis of gaps and opportunities

- benefit measures to enable stream and joint prioritisation

- portfolio design principles for options development

- metrics for ongoing IIP monitoring and evaluation

• We aim to apply benefit realisation management principles to ensure cautious alignment between strategic objectives and capability investment throughout the entire Capability Life Cycle

Summary