Beazley results 2014

38
Generic title white Results for the year ended 31 December 2014 Thursday, 5 February 2015

Transcript of Beazley results 2014

Page 1: Beazley results 2014

Generic title white

Results for the year ended 31 December 2014

Thursday, 5 February 2015

Page 2: Beazley results 2014

Disclaimer notice

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Certain statements made in this presentation, both oral and written, are or may constitute “forward looking statements”with respect to the operation, performance and financial condition of the Company and/or the Group. These forwardlooking statements are not based on historical facts but rather reflect current beliefs and expectations regarding futureevents and results. Such forward looking statements can be identified from words such as “anticipates”, “may”, “will”,“believes”, “expects”, “intends”, “could”, “should”, “estimates”, “predict” and similar expressions in such statements or thenegative thereof, or other variations thereof or comparable terminology. These forward looking statements appear in anumber of places throughout this document and involve significant inherent risks, uncertainties and other factors, known orunknown, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company, or industry results, to bematerially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward lookingstatements. Given these uncertainties, such forward looking statements should not be read as guarantees of futureperformance or results and no undue reliance should be placed on such forward looking statements. A number of factorscould cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in these forward looking statements.The information and opinions contained in this presentation, including any forward looking statements, are provided, andreflect knowledge and information available, as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change withoutnotice. There is no intention, nor is any duty or obligation assumed by the Company, the Group or the Directors tosupplement, amend, update or revise any of the information, including any forward looking statements, contained in thispresentation.All subsequent written and oral forward looking statements attributable to the Company and/or the Group or to personsacting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements referred to above and containedelsewhere in this document.

Page 3: Beazley results 2014

Contents

Overview of 2014 4-8

FinancialsPerformance 10Investments 11-12Reserves 13-14Capital 15-16

Underwriting review 17-21

Our vision and strategy 22

Outlook for 2015 23

Appendix 25-35

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Pages

Page 4: Beazley results 2014

Generic title white

Overview of 2014

Page 5: Beazley results 2014

Strong performance in a competitive market

• Profit before income tax of $261.9m (2013: $313.3m)

• Return on equity of 17% (2013: 21%)

• Gross premiums written increased by 3% to $2,021.8m (2013: $1,970.2m)

• Combined ratio of 89% (2013: 84%)

• Rate reduction of 2% on renewal portfolio (2013: increase of 1%)

• Prior year reserve releases of $158.1m (2013: $218.0m)

• Net investment income of $83.0m (2013: $43.3m)

• Second interim dividend of 6.2p (2013: 5.9p) taking full year dividend to 9.3p (2013:Full year 8.8p). Special dividend of 11.8p (2013: 16.1p)

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Page 6: Beazley results 2014

• Combined ratio of 89% in line with our long term average

• Growth in gross premiums written of 3% to $2,021.8m

US platform generated premiums in excess of $0.5bn for the first time

Specialty lines, our largest division, achieved growth of 8%

• Investment in:

People – success in recruiting and retaining the best quality talent

Products

Infrastructure to enhance ease of doing business

Geographies - opened offices in Dubai and Dallas

• Active capital management continues

• Investment team is strengthened and insourced

Continued progress with our strategic initiatives

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Cover

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1,741.6 1,712.51,895.9 1,970.2 2,021.8

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Gross premiums written ($m)

19%

6%

19%21%

17%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Return on equity (%)

Sustained high performance

7.5 7.9 8.3 8.8 9.3

2.5

8.4

16.111.8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Dividends per share (p)

Special Interim and second interim

52%62%

53%45% 49%

36%

37%

38%39%

40%

88%99%

91%84% 89%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Combined ratio (%)

Expense ratio Claims ratio

Page 8: Beazley results 2014

Excellent total shareholder return (TSR) and NAV growth

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Sh

are

ho

lder

retu

rn(%

)

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

150%

175%

200%

225%

250%

275%

300%

325%

31 December 2009 31 December 2010 31 December 2011 31 December 2012 31 December 2013 31 December 2014

NAV target range(RFR +10% p.a. toRFR +15% p.a.)

NAV growth(Including dividends)

TSR growth(1 month average)

Page 9: Beazley results 2014

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Financials

Page 10: Beazley results 2014

Strong performance across all metrics

Year ended31 December 2014

Year ended31 December 2013

% Increase /(Decrease)

Gross premiums written ($m) 2,021.8 1,970.2 3%

Net premiums written ($m) 1,732.7 1,676.5 3%

Net earned premiums ($m) 1,658.9 1,590.5 4%

Profit before income tax ($m) 261.9 313.3 (16%)

Earnings per share (pence) 26.1 33.6

Dividend per share (pence) 9.3 8.8

Special dividend (pence) 11.8 16.1

Net assets per share (pence) 170.3 160.6

Net tangible assets per share (pence) 158.3 149.6

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Page 11: Beazley results 2014

Portfolio delivered 1.9% annualised return

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In

vestm

en

tre

turn

($

m)

An

nu

ali

sed

In

vestm

en

tR

etu

rn

8.5

22.5

36.1

46.829.0

16.8

46.5

43.3

36.2

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1st half 2nd half Return

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Minor changes to portfolio mix

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31 December 2014 31 December 2013

Government,Quasi

Government && Supranational,

41.6%

Investment Grade Credit,33.5%

Other Credit,1.8%

Syndicated BankLoans, 2.3%

Equity linkedfunds, 3.3%

Hedge funds/uncorrelatedstrategies, 8.3%

Illiquid credit assets, 1.0%

Cash and CashEquivalents, 8.2%

Government,Quasi

Government &Supranational,

42.8%

Investment Grade Credit,34.8%

OtherCredit, 2.1%

Equity linkedfunds, 3.2%

Hedge funds/uncorrelatedstrategies, 8.4%

Illiquid credit assets, 0.1%

Cash and CashEquivalents, 8.6%

Page 13: Beazley results 2014

Continued prior year reserve releases

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-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

11.0%

12.0%

13.0%

14.0%

15.0%

-15

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

105

120

135

150

165

180

195

210

225

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Specialty lines Political risks and contingency Life accident and health Marine Property Reinsurance % of NEP

Reserv

ere

leases

($

m)

Page 14: Beazley results 2014

Whole account reserve strength within our target range

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Ab

ove

actu

ari

alesti

mate

(%

)

6.1%

6.7%6.4%

6.7%

7.5% 7.4%

8.2%7.9%

7.4%

6.9%

8.2%

7.1%

0%

5%

10%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 15: Beazley results 2014

Capital management discipline continues

• We have returned capital of $711.6m in the past 6 years

• This represents 112% of our 2009 post rights-issue market capitalisation

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Fu

nd

sre

turn

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tosh

are

ho

lders

($

m)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

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70%

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90%

100%

110%

120%

0

50

100

150

200

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350

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450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Perc

en

tag

eo

fm

ark

et

cap

itali

sati

on

at

20

09

rig

hts

issu

e

Interim and final dividends Special dividend Share buybacks % of market capital

Page 16: Beazley results 2014

Updated capital position remains strong

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Year ended31 December 2014

$m

Year ended31 December 2013

$m

Lloyd’s economic capital requirement (ECR) 1,359.0 1,321.8

Capital for US insurance company 107.7 107.7

1,466.7 1,429.5

• Group capital requirement:

• Our funding is made up of our own equity (on a Solvency II basis) plus $256.3m of debtand an undrawn banking facility of $225.0m.

• At 31 December 2014 we have surplus capital of 30% of ECR, including Solvency IIadjustments.

• We will be paying a special dividend of 11.8p, reducing the surplus to 20% which iswithin our current target range of 15% to 25% of ECR.

Page 17: Beazley results 2014

Generic title white

Underwriting review

Page 18: Beazley results 2014

Underwriting review – 2014 achievements

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• Combined ratio of 89%

• 3% growth achieved on gross premiums written in 2014

19% growth in locally underwritten US premiums to $537.0m

• 2014 rate reduction on renewals 2%

• Favourable claims experience including lower than average catastrophe activity

• We continue to reserve consistently, maintaining our surplus over actuarial estimatebetween 5-10%

Page 19: Beazley results 2014

Underwriting review

Year Ended

31 December 2014

Year Ended

31 December 2013

Gross premiums written ($m) 2,021.8 1,970.2

Net premiums written ($m) 1,732.7 1,676.5

Net earned premiums ($m) 1,658.9 1,590.5

Expense ratio 40% 39%

Claims ratio 49% 45%

Combined ratio 89% 84%

Rate change on renewals (2%) 1%

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Page 20: Beazley results 2014

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Cumulative rate changes since 2008

Rate

ch

an

ge

(%

)

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

All divisions

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Cumulative rate changes since 2008

Rate

ch

an

ge

(%

)

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Life, accident & health All divisions

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Cumulative rate changes since 2008

Rate

ch

an

ge

(%

)

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Life, accident & health Marine Political risks & contingency Property Reinsurance All divisions

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Cumulative rate changes since 2008

Rate

ch

an

ge

(%

)

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Life, accident & health Marine Political risks & contingency Property Specialty Lines Reinsurance All divisions

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Page 24: Beazley results 2014

2015 underwriting outlook

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• Rating trends expected to continue

Increasing competition in large risk market

Positive effect of US and UK economic growth

• Continued opportunities for moderate growth

Specialist SME products

US strategy: target growth by offering more products in our major US offices

Green shoots: transaction liability, US LAH, environmental

Investing in talent who bring new expertise and new relationships

Page 25: Beazley results 2014

Our strategy is directed towards the achievement of our vision – to become,and be recognised as, the highest performing specialist insurer – andcomprises:

• Prudent capital allocation to achieve a well diversified portfolio that is resistantto shocks in any individual line of business

• The creation of an environment in which talented individuals withentrepreneurial spirit can build successful business

• The ability to scale our operations to ensure that client and broker service keepspace, and wherever possible improves, as the company grows

• Consistent investment in product innovations to improve our clients’ risk transfer

Our vision and strategy

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Page 26: Beazley results 2014

Outlook for 2015

• Diversified and well balanced portfolio allowing flexibility in a competitive market

• Difficult market for premium growth - US platform increasingly valuable

• Rating environment to remain challenging

• Further investment in people and products

• Continue to grow organically

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Page 27: Beazley results 2014

Questions?

Any questions?

Page 28: Beazley results 2014

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Appendix

Page 29: Beazley results 2014

Specialty lines incurred claims remain in line with expectations

Net ultimate premium $m

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74%

115%

89%

62%

48%45%

48% 51%

71%70%

62% 60%

52%

28%

15%

79 110 54 93 268 320 339 351 428 462 424 441 432 444 479

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

1993-1996

1997-2000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

6 to latest 6

5 4

3 2

ULR

Net incurred loss ratio at each development year

Net

incu

rred

loss

rati

o(%

)

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US gross premium over 10 years

27

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Architects and Engineers professional indemnity Technology, Media and Business ServicesOther specialty lines PropertyPCG, Marine & Accident and Health

US

gro

ss

pre

miu

ms

($

m)

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Cumulative rate changes since 2001

28

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Life, accident & health Marine Political risks & contingency Property

Reinsurance Specialty lines All divisions

Cu

mu

lati

ve

rate

ch

an

ge

(%

)

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Portfolio management achieves consistent combined ratio through market cycles

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Co

mb

ined

rati

o(%

)

Page 33: Beazley results 2014

Life accident & health

• 32% increase in gross premiums

written

• Positive rate change, mainly in

Australian business

Year ended 31 December

2014 2013

Gross premiums written ($m) 132.2 100.3

Net premiums written ($m) 113.7 96.1

Net earned premiums ($m) 103.0 95.4

Claims ratio 60% 74%

Rate change on renewals 9% (1%)

Percentage of business led 68% 73%

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Page 34: Beazley results 2014

Marine

• 3% increase in gross premium written

• Combined ratio of 78% (2013: 72%)

• Prior year reserve releases of $40.2m

(2013: $47.3m)

Year ended 31 December

2014 2013

Gross premiums written ($m) 325.2 315.9

Net premiums written ($m) 289.9 282.1

Net earned premiums ($m) 282.6 264.4

Claims ratio 38% 34%

Rate change on renewals (6%) (5%)

Percentage of business led 43% 44%

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Page 35: Beazley results 2014

Political risks and contingency

Year ended 31 December

2014 2013

Gross premiums written ($m) 123.2 131.2

Net premiums written ($m) 101.2 110.1

Net earned premiums ($m) 96.9 98.6

Claims ratio 27% 5%

Rate change on renewals (2%) (1%)

Percentage of business led 70% 69%

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• Combined ratio of 78% (2013: 50%)

• Dubai office opened

Page 36: Beazley results 2014

Property

Year ended 31 December

2014 2013

Gross premiums written ($m) 344.7 371.4

Net premiums written ($m) 297.6 308.7

Net earned premiums ($m) 287.9 302.6

Claims ratio 42% 40%

Rate change on renewals (1%) 3%

Percentage of business led 75% 74%

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• Combined ratio consistent at 86%

(2013: 84%)

• Focus on smaller risks

• Continued positive contribution to

group’s profitability

Page 37: Beazley results 2014

Reinsurance

• Combined ratio of 69% (2013: 49%)

• Significant rate pressure

Year ended 31 December

2014 2013

Gross premiums written ($m) 200.8 221.6

Net premiums written ($m) 153.8 171.5

Net earned premiums ($m) 160.1 165.3

Claims ratio 37% 18%

Rate change on renewals (10%) (3%)

Percentage of business led 39% 38%

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Page 38: Beazley results 2014

Specialty lines

• 8% increase in gross premiums written

• Combined ratio of 98% (2013: 97%)

• Contribution to group profit of $71.8m

(2013: $53.2m)

• Prior year reserve releases $29.7m

(2013: $46.6m)

Year ended 31 December

2014 2013

Gross premiums written ($m) 895.7 829.8

Net premiums written ($m) 776.5 708.0

Net earned premiums ($m) 728.5 664.2

Claims ratio 61% 61%

Rate change on renewals - 3%

Percentage of business led 96% 96%

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