Bayesian BelieverBayesian BelieverBrought to you by the

Lyrics: Brad CarlinMusic: Neil Diamond/The Monkees/Smashmouth

I thought inference was just a fairy tale,

Confused by stats and probability.

Frequentist approachesmade no sense to me.

Summarizing evidence by p?!

Then I saw Tom BayesNow I'm a Believer!

Without a traceof doubt in my mind!

I’m a Bayesian!Oh, I’m a believer,

I couldn’t p now if I tried!

I thought likelihood was just

the only thing.

Turn the crank andget the MLE.

What's the use of thinking? Disconnect your brain.

Play along and minimize the pain.

MLE!

Then I saw Tom BayesNow I'm a Believer!

Without a traceof doubt in my mind!

I’m a Bayesian!Oh, I’m a believer,

I couldn’t p now if I tried!

GIVE IT UP FOR DON HEDEKER!!

SAS was out to get me. That's the way it seemed.

Fixed effects and forced normality!

Then I saw Tom BayesNow I'm a Believer!

Without a traceof doubt in my mind!

I’m a Bayesian!Oh, I’m a believer,

I couldn’t p now if I tried!

Then I saw Tom BayesNow I'm a Believer!

Without a traceof doubt in my mind!

Oh, I’m a believer, yeah, yeah

I’m a believer!

Bayes Rules!