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    Bank loans Practices

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    10

    Bank loans Practises

    1. Introduction

    The global nature of financial crisis has made it clear that while financially integrated

    markets have benefits, they also have risks, with significant consequences for the real

    economy. Globally, there is a need for financial sector reform. For advanced factor,

    the global financial crisis has had a severe impact on the real economy as well as the

    financial sector, and has led to extensive government intervention, all of which will

    shape the future financial landscape and actions (Persaud, et al., 2009).

    Developing countries are facing some of the same reality, and must also cope with

    the added burden of significant short and medium-term challenges, including in

    developing their financial systems. The impact of the financial sector failure on

    activities of the real economic sectors has become increasingly evident, propagating

    beyond its initial epicentres to affect other advanced economies, emerging markets,

    and the Arab rich GCC countries (Stijn, 2009).

    While for many GCC the effects of the crisis have been mild compared to the rest of

    the world, its eventual impact may be severe, if the appropriate macro fiscal and

    monetary policies are not properly implemented. Many GCC countries have made

    great strides in strengthening their policy frameworks and robustness to shocks,

    stimulating healthy economic growth, improving current account balance, foreign

    reserve, sovereign wealth fund and the financial systems. But many remain highly

    vulnerable to a deep global downturn that is so closely linked to oil price shock

    (World Bank loans, 2008).

    GCC financial market linkages to the reset of the world are considered strong, and a

    second round effects of the economic slowdown on the financial system could be

    particularly severe. Without additional fiscal stimulus, the prospect for fast recovery

    may be limited for most GCC countries due to binding financing constraints and

    fragile debt positions for some financial institutions, utility and real-estate

    companies. This could both deepen and prolong the crisis in GCC countries, and set

    back the aggressive growth agenda (Ellaboudy, 2010).

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    The financial crisis

    markets continue to

    countries, policy-ma

    with development tar

    This chapter briefly o

    for policy before fo

    including GCC regio

    2. Bank loans Standard

    The global crisis has

    four causal factors f

    Sweden in 1991, and

    have made this crisis

    2.1Rising Asset Pric

    As with the other m

    particularly in the US

    shown in Fig(1), the

    six quarters prior to

    countries similar pric

    in credit, resulting in

    Fig. 1. Credit and lever

    11

    is still evolving and policy must ensure t

    perate as complements. In emerging mark

    ers must also consider the compatibility o

    ets and their level of institutional developm

    utlines the causes of the crisis and discusses

    using on the specific challenges facing de

    and Kuwait state.

    s

    everal interconnected causes. It is helpful to

    miliar to recent financial crises such as i

    Japan in 1992; and four causal factors that a

    nique in its breadth and depth (Brunnermei

    es

    jor crises, house prices rose sharply leadi

    and other advanced countries such as the

    S house prices rose more than 30 percent

    the beginning of the crisis. In emerging

    increases were observed, often associated

    n escalation of household leverage (Calomi

    ge growth fuelled housing price increases.

    hat regulation and

    ts and developing

    proposed reforms

    nt (Stijn, 2009).

    the general lessons

    veloping countries

    separate them into

    Norway in 1987,

    re less familiar and

    r Markus, 2009).

    g up to this crisis

    K and Iceland. As

    rom 2004, peaking

    markets and other

    ith a rapid growth

    is, et al, 2009).

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    2.2The Credit Boo

    Facilitating these risi

    households rose rapi

    historically low inter

    debt servicing relati

    often coincide with l

    consumption, and inv

    and falling below tren

    For many emerging

    with increases in cap

    and exchange rates a

    which eventually rev

    lead to increased le

    standards, which is

    subprime mortgages i

    of credit booms led

    Further, the longer th

    Levchenko, 2009).

    Fig. 2. International fin

    12

    ng asset prices was a boom in credit. In th

    ly after 2000 which driven largely by mor

    est rates and financial innovation. Despite

    e to disposable income reached record hi

    rge cyclical fluctuations in economic activi

    estment rising above trend during the build

    d in the unwinding phase (Mendoza and Ter

    arket economies, these credit booms had

    tal inflows. Credit booms also drive increa

    s seen in the US and Eastern Europe respe

    rsed and were a catalyst for this crisis. As

    verage of borrowers and lenders and a

    ow all too obvious to point out, particul

    n the US. In this way, while it is the case t

    to a financial crisis, they do increase the

    e boom persists, the greater the probability

    ancial integration for credit booms.

    e US, financing to

    gages outstanding,

    low interest rates,

    ghs. Credit booms

    y with real output,

    p phase of a boom

    ones, 2008).

    clear relationship

    ses in house prices

    tively and both of

    well, credit booms

    ecline in lending

    rly in the case of

    hat only a minority

    likelihood of one.

    (DellAriccia, and

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    2.3Marginal Loans and Systemic Risk

    The boom in asset prices and household credit and the marked decline in lending

    standards were associated with the creation of marginal assets whose viability relied

    on continually favourable economic conditions. As with the subprime market in the

    US, several eastern European countries had their own form of vulnerability to a

    downturn. Similar to the 1997/8 South East Asian crisis, large fractions of eastern

    European domestic credit including to household were denominated in foreign

    currency, such as Euros, Swiss francs, and yen. While lower interest rates relative to

    local currency made these loans more affordable, borrowers ability to service these

    loans and their creditworthiness depended on continued exchange rate stability.

    Favourable conditions also spurred large-scale derivative markets such as

    collateralised debt obligations, with pay-offs that depended in complex ways on

    underlying asset prices. The pricing of these instruments was often dependent on

    increasing house prices that in turn would facilitate the refinancing of underlying

    mortgages (Chauffour, et al, 2009).

    2.4Regulation and Supervision

    Throughout this period, regulatory approaches prudential oversight of financial

    innovation were simply not up to speed. As in the past but this time in the advanced

    countries, a significant part of the financial sector operated outside of the bank

    loaning regulations. This bank loaning system, while providing important avenues for

    intermediation, grew without sufficient oversight, creating enormous systemic risks.

    As in previous crises, the focus of authorities remained primarily on the liquidity and

    insolvency of individual institutions rather than on the resilience of the whole

    financial system. A key challenge for policy-makers is to take what we know now

    and design a system that would have made it possible to know all this before the

    financial global crisis (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    2.5Mortgage Loans

    In contrast to previous crises, the current crisis largely originates from overextended

    households particularly as a result of subprime mortgage loans. Mortgages defaults

    complicate efforts to mitigate the crisis. Unlike in the corporate sector, there are

    limited established best practices for how to deal with large scale defaults, moral

    hazard problems and equity and distribution issues involving households (Acharya, et

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    al, 2009). In the US,

    disappearing securiti

    refinance mortgages l

    the increase in defa

    pressure on house pri

    US house prices we

    negative equity and

    household credit also

    increases in leverage

    As real estate prices

    intermediaries at risk

    involvement of so m

    predecessors. It is un

    house prices, but wh

    (Acharya, et al, 2009)

    Fig. 3. Housing price

    14

    a vicious cycle of rising foreclosures, fallin

    sation markets quickly developed. The

    eft vulnerable borrowers with higher month

    lt rates and foreclosures in turn placed a

    es. As shown in Fig (3) for the first time si

    e declining nationally and many mortgage

    incentives to leave from their mortgages.

    expanded rapidly in the run up to the crisi

    nd vulnerabilities (Adrian, et al, 2008).

    fell, the quality of loan portfolios decline

    especially in markets where values grew

    ny homeowners makes this crisis far more c

    clear how to deal with the added complexi

    t is clear is that it will make the recovery

    .

    and loan portfolios.

    g home values and

    educed ability to

    ly payments, while

    further downward

    ce the Depression,

    s faced substantial

    In several cases,

    s, leading to sharp

    d putting financial

    rapidly. The direct

    omplicated than its

    y of sharply lower

    eriod much longer

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    2.6Financial Marke

    Financial integration

    international risk sh

    transmitting financial

    major cause of the c

    origins of the crisis l

    simply because of th

    assets represent abou

    reserve currency asse

    markets has significa

    Fig. 4. Increasing rates

    A major reason for

    securities and other

    economies and by g

    Wealth Funds in se

    associated funding prthose that had heavily

    15

    ts Interconnection

    as increased dramatically over the past dec

    ring, competition and efficiency, but als

    shocks across borders. Financial integrati

    isis, but it has made this crisis global. In a

    ie in the US, there would have been wides

    size of the US economy. As Shown in F

    t 31% of global financial assets and the U

    ts is about 62%. But the greater interconnec

    tly increased the global severity of this crisi

    of the international financial integration.

    the rapid spread of this crisis is that man

    S-originated instruments were held widely

    vernments through foreign exchange reser

    veral emerging markets. From these dir

    oblems, spillovers quickly arose. Emergingrelied on external financing, and paradoxica

    de bringing greater

    a higher risk of

    n is not in itself a

    ny event, since the

    read repercussions

    g (4) US financial

    S dollars share of

    edness of financial

    (Gorton, 2008).

    mortgage-backed

    in other advanced

    ves and Sovereign

    ct exposures and

    markets especiallylly those with more

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    liquid markets, were affected through pressures on their capital account and bank

    loans funding (Claessens, 2009).

    2.7Opaque and Complex Financial Instruments

    Schuermann has also burgeoned in the last decade, with more than 70% of

    nonconforming mortgages in the US being securitised by 2007, up from less than

    35% in 2000 (Schuermann, et al., 2008). This expansion of the originate and

    distribute model exacerbated agency problems; risk assignments became murkier and

    incentives for due diligence worsened, leading to insufficient monitoring of loan

    originators and an emphasis on boosting volumes to generate fees (Gorton, 2008).

    The resulting opaqueness of balance sheets made it difficult to separate healthy and

    unhealthy institutions. This uncertainty contributed to the freezing of the interbank

    loans markets and forced further sales of securities to raise funds, turning a liquidity

    crisis into a solvency crisis (Ghosh, 2009).

    2.8High Leverage of Financial Institutions

    Historically high leverage has limited the systems ability to absorb even small

    shocks and led to the rapid decline in confidence and increase in counterparty risk

    early on in the crisis. Historically high loan-to-income values in the US left

    households highly exposed and forced some high loan-to-value mortgage holders into

    negative equity. In advanced countries' financial sectors, high leverage meant that

    initial liquidity worries quickly deteriorated into serious solvency concerns. While

    initial recapitalisations were relatively large and rapid these were limited to only a

    few bank loans and often fell short of losses (Brunnermeier, 2009).

    Most of advanced economies are suffering a decline in industrial production and are

    considered in recession; on the other hand, export sector which is considered to be

    the vehicle for economic growth in emerging and developing economies is slowing

    dramatically. The continuation of deleveraging by the bank loaning sector and sharp

    declines in consumer and business confidence has triggered a dramatic drop in

    domestic demand across the globe (Ashcraft, 2008).

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    3. Bank loanss Loams Functions

    With the causes outlined, we turn to the short-run agenda and the direct lessons from

    this crisis. The large government interventions raise many complex issues regarding

    exit. While these interventions have generally had the desired effect of restoring

    stability, by their nature they distort the sector and this should be of acute concern to

    policy-makers in the short run. In terms of structural reforms, a number of areas are

    being investigated (Claessens, et al, 2009). First, this crisis has exposed weaknesses

    in national financial architecture particularly with the treatment of systemically

    important financial institutions, the assessment of risks, and the framework for

    resolving financial distress. But also fiscal and monetary policies have come into

    questions. The crisis has also highlighted how the international financial architecture

    has failed to keep up with the rapid pace of integration (Gupta,et al., 2008).

    3.1 Intervention Governments Plans

    The scale of the policies implemented to counter the global recession has been

    substantial, amounting to double digit percentages of GDP for many advanced

    countries. On top of more accommodating monetary and fiscal measures, these

    policies include liquidity provision, support for short-term wholesale fundingmarkets, guarantees of liabilities, purchasing of illiquid assets and capital injections

    to bank loans. It is generally agreed while serious risks remain and these may provide

    a justification for continued policy intervention, the distortions resulting from these

    interventions should be removed as quickly as possible as economic and financial

    condition allow (Kamara, et al., 2009).

    The perverse long-term consequences of state-owned bank loans are well-

    documented and, while most countries are likely to avoid the worst effects,

    distortions are likely. Policy measures aimed at encouraging bank loans to lend, for

    example, have often had a bias toward local lending, putting international operations

    at a disadvantage. Policy interventions have also affected international capital flows

    and financial intermediation. When a country such as Ireland issues guarantees on

    deposits and other liabilities, this has quickly had beggar-thy-neighbour effects,

    forcing other countries to adopt similar measures. Many emerging markets, unable to

    match such guarantees, have suffered from capital outflows as depositors and other

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    creditors seek the safer havens. If the unwinding of interventions is not coordinated

    internationally, it can aggravate still weak confidence, create new distortions, and can

    potentially be anti-competitive. Government unwinding therefore needs to be

    coordinated as well as reform (Claessens, et al., 2007).

    3.1.1 Fiscal Policy

    Batini in (Batini, et al., 2009) stated that separate from direct interventions such as

    bank loans recapitalisation, this crisis highlights two important measurements for

    fiscal policy.

    First is that budget deficits were not reduced sufficiently during boom years when

    revenues were high and its a policy which in some countries limits the fiscal space

    available to fight the crisis.

    Second is the structure of taxation. In most countries, the tax system is biased toward

    debt financing through deductibility of interest payments. This skew in favour of

    higher leverage increased the vulnerability of the private sector to shocks and should

    be reduced.

    3.1.2 Monetary Policy

    The role of the asset prices in the crisis re-opened the debate over the question

    whether monetary policy should be used to dampen asset prices booms. First it is

    important to note that not all booms are alike. What matters is not so much the asset

    price boom in itself, but who holds the assets and the risk, how the boom is financed,

    and how an eventual bust might affect financial institutions (Laeven,et al., 2008). It

    is clear that the mandate of monetary policy should include macro-financial stability,

    not just price stability. In this sense, this crisis challenges the Greenspan doctrine that

    bubbles are hard to predict and monetary policy is too blunt an instrument to deal

    with them (International Monetary Fund, 2008).

    In future, monetary policy should take into account bubbles, and in particular the

    combination of asset bubbles with leverage. Asset price booms involving financial

    intermediaries and leveraged financing clearly require a policy response, since they

    imply risks for the supply of credit to the wider economy. Other booms, for example

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    the dotcom bubble, can be left to run their course. It is the connection of bubbles with

    leverage and the potential fallout from the bursting of the bubble that should concern

    policy-makers (Reinhart, et al., 2008).

    3.1.3 Importance of Bank loans

    The cost of combating the global recession such as the interest rate changes,

    enormous fiscal deficits and government interventions in the financial sector make a

    clear case for regulatory measures offering the first line of defence against systemic

    bank loans distress. The failure of this first line of defence has been a key contributor

    to the financial crisis. In many ways, private market discipline failed, while public

    surveillance failed to fully expose the extent of vulnerabilities and to act decisively.

    At the same time, any regulatory redesign should first take account of, and seek to

    avoid, the possible adverse impacts of regulation on innovation and efficiency.

    Regulation can be intrusive and inefficient. It tends to lag behind financial innovation

    and is vulnerable to industry capture and political influence particularly in emerging

    markets and developing countries (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    Further, it is crucial to recognise that early warnings are less about specifying the

    definition of crises and more about identifying risks and underlying vulnerabilities

    that may trigger loss in confidence and propagate a crisis. Furthermore, as the

    interconnected causes of this crisis make clear, a regulatory framework needs to

    recognize the complexities and be compatible with the incentives of private

    individuals in a way that complements market discipline (Persaud, et al., 2009).

    By observation, it found that regulation should look to provide incentives for the

    private sector to take into account the risk their own activities may cause to the

    system as a whole, particularly for rating agencies and for subsidiaries of

    multinational financial institutions operating in emerging markets and developing

    countries. Resolution frameworks, meanwhile, need to allow for the failure of

    individual institutions to ensure that market discipline is effective in preventing this

    outcome. Beyond incentives, the sheer scale of this crisis makes the case for a wider

    informational and possibly regulatory perimeter whose remit needs to stretch across

    borders an industries. Regulators must be able to proactively monitor all financial

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    activities; not simply those within the financial sector; that pose systemic risks

    (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    This requires greater monitoring of various types of institutions, not just bank loanss,

    as to their capital, liquidity and risk management. All with an increased focus on their

    potential to create systemic risk.

    Further, regulatory approaches need to dampen the pro-cyclical nature of financial

    markets and ensure better information disclosure and corporate governance to

    facilitate improved market discipline. To achieve all this, it is perhaps obvious but

    nevertheless necessary to point out that authorities will require more resources and

    more power (Batini, et al., 2009).

    3.1.4 International FinancialArchitecture

    As recognised by the various G20 Summits, the real economic costs of this crisis

    highlight the need for cooperation and action on an international scale as well. The

    organisation of regulation and supervision needs greater coordination across

    countries in both the design of regulation and the monitoring of systemic risk. The

    collapses of Lehman Brothers and the Icelandic bank loans have shown that one

    country, acting on its own, cannot deal with large, complex and globally active

    financial institutions (Persaud, et al., 2009).

    This includes a need for better risks assessments and better ways to deal with

    financial distress. The overarching challenge is to convince country authorities to

    take actions to deal with vulnerabilities, particularly during good times (Batini, et al.,

    2009).

    First, better risk assessment. International coordination is needed for identifying and

    reducing vulnerabilities and risks. The working across borders only supported by

    significant information sharing, can one hope to connect the dots between financial

    institutions, markets, and countries.

    To enhance their awareness of risks policymakers need to balance voluntary

    assessments with mandatory compliance. Multilateral and bilateral assessments could

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    be used more systematically to examine macro-prudential risks and the progress on

    multilaterally agreed policies. Regardless how the framework adapts, more analysis

    is needed on the linkages between financial sector and macroeconomic performance

    to make risk assessment more effective (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    Second, obtaining more accurate and timely information. Better information requires

    enhancing the accessibility of existing data, developing new sources, and promoting

    transparency and disclosure more generally.

    Furthermore, data needs to cover non-bank loans financial institutions, such as

    insurance companies and other non-bank loans financial institutions, and allow a

    better understanding of how credit risk is transferred. Better information is needed on

    the financial operations of large non-financial corporations that have significant links

    in national economies and potentially across borders (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    Third, better cross-border crisis management arrangements. International

    coordination is needed for resolving financial distress. While there is uncertainty over

    the role of global imbalances, what is certain is that gross capital flows between

    countries can cause severe problems when there is no robust regulatory regime to

    manage these in times of crisis. The issue which proved the essential need for

    universal crisis overcome method (Gorton, et al., 2008).

    Such system failure requires clear and binding rules on burden sharing for weak or

    failed cross-border financial institutions. The first best solution, a global financial

    regulator is unlikely to materialise soon. But a new charter for internationally active

    bank loans, greater harmonisation of rules and practices, and enhanced coordination

    are all possibilities, especially for closely integrated financial systems (Ghosh, et al.,

    2009).

    Fourth, better liquidity provision to both financial institutions and countries for

    policy makers must aim to prevent spillovers becoming solvency issues by expanding

    the role of lenders of last resort, particularly for cross-border bank loans. Many

    international factors act as an obstacle but the expansion of Special Drawing Rights

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    agreed in principle in the G20 meeting in April, represents a positive step (Persaud, et

    al., 2009).

    Fifth, governance changes are needed. To make this all possible, changes to the

    international financial governance and representations underway in both rule-making

    and decision-making bodies, such as the G20 and IMF will help. These will help in a

    number of general areas for improvement (Persaud, et al., 2009).

    4. Sources of Bank loans

    In order to understand the reason behind how the global crisis has affected

    developing countries. While many countries are better positioned than in the past to

    deal with these challenges, they are still faced with a number of short- and medium

    t`1erm challenges for financial sector development. World industrial production and

    trade are declining sharply (International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook,

    2009), while labour markets are deteriorating at a fast pace, particularly in the United

    States. The decline in commodity prices, especially oil prices from a peak of about

    $140 dollar in July 08 to around $50 in March 09, is providing some support to

    commodity importers, but is weighing heavily on growth in commodity exporters

    like the GCC Countries. Global growth is set to deteriorate considerably. Activity is

    expected to slow down from 3 percent in 2008 to percent in 2009 before starting

    to recover gradually in 2010 (International Monetary Fund, World Economic

    Outlook, 2009). Advanced economies in general are facing their biggest great

    depression contraction (Ellaboudy, 2010).

    Furthermore, Japan and the European Union have been impacted severely by the

    decline in external demand, while uncertainty about the direction of the economy is

    negatively affecting consumption and business investment in the United States.

    Economic growth in these countries is now expected to contract by two percent in

    2009, followed by a modest rebound in 2010 (International Monetary Fund, World

    Economic Outlook, 2009). Economic growth in emerging and developing economies

    is also slowing sharply. Financing constraints, lower commodity prices, weak

    external demand, and associated spillovers to domestic demand are expected to

    weigh on activity. As a result, growth is projected at 3 percent in 2009, a markdownof 3 percentage points compared with the April 2008 World Economic Outlook and

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    less than half the p

    (International Moneta

    The possibility of c

    economic activity. O

    Arabia being the larg

    close to set target,

    countries may be c

    demand and rising in

    The prospect for m

    demand in certain e

    will be minimum pr

    other commodities. In

    Nations Department

    risks are becoming an

    4.1 Short-term Polic

    Many emerging mar

    the crisis. First, a sud

    led to the unwinding

    the global downturn a

    Fig. 5. Net Flows to E

    23

    ce in 2007, before rebounding to around

    ry Fund, World Economic Outlook, 2009).

    mmodity prices recovery is small giving

    EC production cuts , including members

    est, could ultimately help to support oil pri

    ince the possibility of expanding product

    nstrained at the current price level. How

    ventories will continue to impact the marke

    tal price increase depends on constructi

    erging and developing economies. The im

    viding the less income elastic demand for

    flation expectation is likely to drop below

    f Economic and Social Affairs, February 2

    increasing concern in some countries (Ellab

    Challenges

    ets and developing countries experienced t

    en stop of capital inflows driven by global d

    of positions. Second, a collapse in export de

    s shown in Fig(5) and Fig (6).

    erging Economies.

    5 percent in 2010

    the slowing global

    f the GCC , Saudi

    es if implemented

    on for non-OPEC

    ever, still slowing

    t in the short term.

    n and investment

    act on food prices

    food compared to

    worldwide (United

    09), and deflation

    udy, 2010).

    o shocks early in

    eleveraging, which

    mand as a result of

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    Fig. 6. Merchandise Ex

    In these circumstanc

    considerably lower in

    need official external

    emerging markets an

    macroeconomic polic

    groups (Claessens, et

    For their short-term

    facilities from major

    institutions such as

    another source, both t

    through credit lines (

    Further, expansionarDepending on fisca

    24

    ports.

    s, greater official financing became a cruci

    flows and sometimes even outflows of priva

    financing to expand their policy space. Fund

    developing countries allowed them to purs

    ies, including policies to protect the poor a

    al, 2009).

    external financing needs, some countries

    advanced economy central bank loanss. Int

    he IMF, through its new and existing ins

    hrough direct balance of payments support a

    ersaud, et al., 2009).

    fiscal policy can be deployed to supportl constraints, many countries allowed n

    al ingredient. With

    e capital, countries

    s made available to

    ue such supportive

    d other vulnerable

    applied for swap

    rnational financial

    truments; provided

    d as a contingency

    economic activity.t only automatic

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    stabilizers to operate, but can also increased discretionary spending. Conventional

    fiscal multipliers may well be relatively small in emerging markets and developing

    countries, and the impact of fiscal stimulus on activity is more uncertain (Batini, et

    al., 2009).

    Such calls for less conventional measures such as providing credit guarantees. For

    countries in severe crisis, fiscal support is best geared towards maintaining financial

    sector confidence and solvency. Even more so than with advanced countries,

    however, it is critical that governments must have a credible exit strategy. Fiscal

    expansion will often require a credible exit strategy that places government finances

    on a long-term sustainable footing. Not only will this help contain the costs of

    financing the short-term stimulus but it will also strengthen investor confidence and

    help facilitate the resumption of capital inflows in the recovery phase (Claessens, et

    al, 2009).

    Global deflationary pressures and widening interest differentials compared to

    advanced countries allow much room for lower interest rates, and where interest rates

    are reaching zero, quantitative measures can also be required. A key question is how

    much to depreciate and countries needed to weigh up their options. Those with

    floating exchange rates considered the impact of a depreciation on their

    competitiveness compared with its impact on their balance of payments (Persaud, et

    al., 2009).

    4.2 Medium-Term Policy Challenges

    As well as policies to mitigate the short-term consequences, countries must also

    consider longer term measures to prevent future crisis and continue their

    development strategies. The integration of emerging markets and developing

    countries into the global financial system has happened very rapidly: many now

    developed countries took more than 50 years after World War II to completely open

    up and even today do not have the same degree of foreign bank loans presence and

    offshore equity trading as some emerging markets (Batini, et al., 2009).

    This rapid and comprehensive financial integration should ideally be met very

    quickly by a broad range of policy adjustments. Developing countries, however,

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    often lack the financial and human resources to respond quickly on a broad front, and

    so unorthodox policy approaches may have a better chance of succeeding. As many

    developed countries have shown historically, government has a limited yet crucial

    role in ensuring financial development, especially during the intermediate and most

    vulnerable stage of internationalization. A crucial challenge is that government

    credibly and legitimately enforces the necessary policies which considered as a

    challenge that continues to stifle development strategies (Batini, et al., 2009).

    Countries need to adjust to large and volatile international financial integration.

    Emerging markets have experienced an extensive internationalisation of their

    financial sector in recent years: gross capital flows have surged and cross-border

    entry has become more common, with foreign bank loanss holding market shares of

    more than 50% in many emerging markets (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    Many issues regarding cross-border financial services provision do not have clearly

    defined best practises, however, and even when these do exist, implementation has

    been complex. This financial crisis has provided a stark example of the lack of clarity

    over the responsibility and liability for deposits of foreign bank loanss subsidiaries

    and branches. This uncertainty has led to the common practice of establishing

    subsidiaries instead of branches. The creation of subsidiaries generates costs,

    however, as international bank loanss tie up capital inefficiently. The large foreign

    presence in bank loansing and capital markets are both foreigners operating in the

    local market cross-border financial services provision, and local institutions using off

    shore markets, make all these issues even more important for emerging markets and

    developing countries and their need to adjust more acute. Countries must consider the

    broader financial sector development strategy and the role of government (Persaud,

    et al., 2009).

    4.3 Governments Financial Turmoil and Insolvencies Preparation

    Countries with pegged exchange rates faced the same question, but must also

    consider their long term exchange rate strategy which may require use of reserves to

    maintain the peg. In some cases, foreign exchange reserves were used to substitute

    for foreign credit lines to bank loanss enabling them to maintain domestic lending

    operations. For those with pegged exchange rates, there was scope to be more

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    flexible, while still ensuring the maintenance of a credible anchor for monetary

    policy (Batini, et al., 2009).

    Many countries needed to provide an adequate framework to facilitate rapid debt

    workouts, particularly as debt restructuring reduces the fallout from exchange rate

    depreciation on unsecured balance sheets, thereby giving greater flexibility to

    monetary policy. Limiting risks of bank loans runs and adopting mechanisms to

    mitigate the risk of systemic solvency problems has also been essential (Ghosh, et al.,

    2009).

    Financial integration can have negative as well as positive impacts. The large

    presence of foreign bank loanss, for example, can hinder local information generation

    and availability, which in turn can reduce the quality of oversight. It can also mean

    that local supervisors have less access to information and know less about the state of

    the local economy.

    Market discipline may work more poorly as well. When the local operation

    represents only a small part of the foreign financial institutions overall balance sheet

    and income, local market discipline may be more limited. The ideal policy and

    regulatory responses are not clear. Some countries have proposed and implemented

    corporate governance requirements for subsidiaries to avoid problems in these firms

    home markets affecting local markets. Others have suggested that subsidiaries of

    foreign bank loanss be listed in the local markets to assure some price discovery.

    While these and other proposals can have benefits, they can also generate costs that

    are passed on to consumers (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    The integration of capital markets can also have adverse developmental effects.

    While large foreign ownership in the local market and significant trading and capital

    raising at off-shore centres such as New York and London has brought many

    benefits, it can also make development strategies more difficult. Some nascent capital

    markets have suffered from internationalisation through declines in local

    liquidity(Ghosh, et al., 2009).

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    In Latin America, for example, the pull of cross-listing and trading from New York

    has been very strong. This can affect local capital market development in a narrow

    sense, since declines in local liquidity make it more difficult for the remaining

    smaller firms to trade and raise new capital; and in a broader sense, since there are

    fewer local financial services such as investment bank loansing, accounting services

    and trading systems (Persaud, et al., 2009).

    As with bank loansing, solutions to the development of capital markets are also

    complex. This is partly because one has to take into account size, location and other

    aspects of the market. Smaller markets with close geographic or time-zone proximity

    to large markets may be best off fully integrating, for example, whereas larger

    markets further removed from financial centres may be able to pursue a more

    differentiated strategy.

    Although the reduced degree of sovereignty is part of globalisation and has many

    benefits not least as a disciplining factor for poor governance as adjustments in both

    the bank loansing sector and capital markets necessarily include a role for

    government. In many now developed economies the state has historically played a

    large role in financial intermediation.

    As an example of the need for intervention, countries with a large foreign bank

    loansing presence may find that multinational financial institutions will not

    internalise the effects they have on the local financial markets and economy

    compared to a smaller domestic institution. It should be noted, however, that

    intervention can be difficult to implement in a transparent way given the weakness of

    domestic institutions. The application and adaptation of international standards.

    International standards have a natural bias towards the circumstances of currently

    developed countries, including a more liberal institutional environment, and those

    countries regulatory structures (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    Further, standards are often too sophisticated and can assume too much in terms of

    the supporting institutional infrastructure. In time, developing countries will

    overcome these problems but in the meantime, inefficiencies from using the wrong

    standards and new risks may arise (Ghosh, et al., 2009).

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    Better prioritisation of the standards more relevant for the circumstances of

    developing countries is needed. Probably the elements common to many of the

    standards, regulatory governance, governance, transparency which would be key to

    adopt and implement first, however, little formal analysis exists top guide policy

    makers. A broader issue is how to adapt standards over time to countries

    circumstances. And according to-date developing countries have had a small stake in

    the global standard setting bodies (Ghosh, et al., 2009).

    It is not just the relevance of standards to developing countries circumstances, but

    also their legitimacy that matters. In all countries, governments and politicians

    struggle to make the case for adopting better international practices and the large gap

    between local and international rules makes this even more difficult for emerging

    markets and developing countries. It would therefore be helpful to have some over-

    representation in standard setting bodies to tilt the bargaining positions more towards

    emerging markets and developing countries (Claessens, et al, 2009).

    5. Conclusion

    The process of standards setting, the adaptation of standards to different

    circumstances, compliance, the importance of regional and global trade agreements

    and the legitimacy of the global financial system are deep and complex issues on

    which further analysis is required to assure that the needs of all countries are

    appropriately met (Claessens and Underhill, 2005).

    Throughout, it is important to point out that a key component of financial sector

    reform is legitimacy and credibility, but in these countries this is made more difficult

    by a number of factors.

    First, some of these countries have a large institutional hurdle to overcome to reach

    international standards.

    Second are the constraints of existing policies, such as pegged exchange rates, and

    circumstances, such as large debts.

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    Finally, there are political economy constraints. These run deeper than simple lack of

    capacity and low pay of supervisors, they relate to the lack of political will, lack of

    accountability, and plain corruption. Overlooking these issues is dangerous. Granting

    too much power to bank loansing supervisors in an environment with limited

    accountability, for example, risks only misuse (Persaud, et al., 2009).

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    5. References

    Bank for International Settlement (BIS), Quarterly Review, March 2006

    Bank for International Settlement (BIS), Quarterly Review, June 2008

    Sven Behrendt, When Money Talks. Arab Sovereign Wealth Funds in the Global

    Public Policy Discourse, Carnegie Papers, No. 12, October 2008

    Citigroup, Dubai Real Estate and Emaar. Slowdown Morel likely than the Collapse

    Expected by Investors, Research Note, October 9, 2008

    David Cobham, Ghassan Dibeh (ed.), Monetary Policy and Central Banking in the

    Middle East and North Africa (London: Routledge, 2008)

    Fitch Ratings, External Debts of the Emirates, International Special Report, October

    31, 2008; Bank for International Settlement (BIS), International Banking and

    Financial Market Developments, Quarterly Review, June 2008

    Matthew Higgins, Thomas Klitgaard, and Robert Lerman, Recycling Petrodollars,Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Current Issues in Economics and Finance 12,

    no. 9, December 2006

    Hawkamah, The Institute for Corporate Governance/Institute of International Finance

    (IIF), Comparative Survey of Corporate Governance in the Gulf Cooperation Council

    An Investor Perspective, Task Force Report (September 2006)

    Institute for International Finance (IIF), Summary Appraisal Gulf Cooperation

    Council Countries, Washington, August 15, 2006

    Institute for International Finance (IIF), Regional Briefing Gulf Cooperation Council,

    May 31, 2007

    International Monetary Fund (IMF), Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and

    Central Asia, October 2008

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    International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Economic Outlook, Chapter II: Oil

    Prices and Global Imbalances, April 13, 2006

    Stephen Jen, How Big Could Sovereign Wealth Funds be by 2015? Morgan

    Stanley Research Note (May3, 2007)