Bank of the Ryukyus Management Briefing for FY2015€¦ · Bank of the Ryukyus Management Briefing...
Transcript of Bank of the Ryukyus Management Briefing for FY2015€¦ · Bank of the Ryukyus Management Briefing...
Bank of the Ryukyus Management Briefing for FY2015
By Masaru Mukaesato
Winner of the 23nd (fiscal 2014) Bingata Design Contest presented by the Bank of the Ryukyus
The Financial and Economic Environment of Okinawa Prefecture
1
2
From Japan’s Southern Tip to the Heart of East Asia
Population growth rate 0.40% (Ranked second in Japan, 2014)* No. 1 ranked Tokyo: 0.68%
1.07% (highest in Japan: 2007-2020 forecast rate of real economic growth (Japan Center for Economic Research))
Okinawa
China 1.3 billion
Japan 130 million
Center of a massive market with a population of 2.0 billion
Within a four-hour traveling distance by air
ASEAN 600 million
Forecast rate of economic growth
Prefectural Income (per person)
¥2.10 million (worst in Japan, 2013)* National average: ¥2.84 millionTokyo: ¥4.50 million
Savings per Household¥5.19 million (worst in Japan, 2015)* No. 1 ranked Tokyo Metropolitan Area: ¥24.64 million
National average: ¥18.05 million
Sources: Okinawa Prefecture, Cabinet Office, Ministry of Internal Affairs and CommunicationsSources: Okinawa Prefecture
■Overview of Okinawa Prefecture
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
Feb.'92 Feb.'94 Feb.'96 Mar.'98 Mar.'00 Mar.'02 Mar.'04 Mar.'06 Mar.'08 Mar.'10 Mar.'12 Mar.'14 Mar.'16
Bank of Japan Tankan
Japan Okinawa( Business condition diffusion index : Strong-Week)
Mar.’16+7
Mar.’16+46
3
■Economic Trends (Bank of Japan Tankan)
High Level Exceeding 40
* Drawn up using “new base” numerical values from December 2014Source: Bank of Japan, Naha Branch
4
OKINAWA PREFECTURESHIKOKU AREA
TOKAI AREA
KINKI AREA
CHUGOKU AREA
KYUSYU AREA
KANTO ARE
KOSHINETSU AREA
HOKURIKU AREA
TOHOKU AREA
HOKKAIDO AREAFine
Fine, partly cloudy
Cloudy
Rain
Cloudy, rain in places
Fine since July 2013
Fine in Okinawa only
■Regional Economic Climate Chart (April 2016)
Source: Regional Banks Association of Japan
100.0 101.0
101.7 101.9 100.8 98.8
96.0
92.8
89.2
85.4
100.0
103.5
106.9 109.4
110.7 111.3 111.0 110.3 109.2 107.5
70
80
90
100
110
120
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Projected Population
Japan Okinawa
(1995年=100)
10 Years
5
2.13%1.91%
1.75% 1.76%1.54%
1.42%1.29% 1.37% 1.42%
2.88%
2.38% 2.31%
1.95% 1.87% 1.82%1.72%
1.87% 1.94%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Birthrate TrendsJapan Okinawa Government Target(1.8%)
325 300 264 247 226 201 191
694 793
862 904 866 831 763
86 121 183
243 324 373 415
8.6%11.7%
16.1%19.8%
25.0%28.1% 30.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Youth population Working-age populationElderly population Elderly population ratio (Right scale)(Thousands)
■Population (Future Estimates, Birthrates)
Okinawa Prefecture’s population is projected to increase for the foreseeable future
(Source: Prepared from census figures provided by Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications through to 2010 as well as estimates for 2015 and beyond provided by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)
Okinawa Prefecture Population Seen in Relation to Age Groups
(Source: Prepared from census figures provided by Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications through to 2010 as well as estimates for 2015 and beyond provided by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)
Source: MHLW
Peak
100.0 106.5
111.7 114.5 115.2 114.8 113.5 111.1
100.0
110.3
120.8
128.9 135.1
139.6 143.0 145.5
65
75
85
95
105
115
125
135
145
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Estimates of the Number of HouseholdsJapan Okinawa(1995年=100)
Peak
6(Source: Prepared from estimates as of March 2014 provided by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)
■Estimates of the Number of HouseholdsContinued increase in the number of households
5.0%5.3%
4.4%3.9%
5.1%4.6%
4.0%
3.4%
8.4%
7.8% 7.9%7.4% 7.5%
7.1%
5.7%
5.1%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Trends in the Overall Unemployment RateJapan Okinawa
7
8.5%8.1% 8.4%
7.9%
6.8%5.9%
4.6%3.9%
5.3%4.9%
4.3%3.6%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Male Unemployment Rate TrendsOkinawa Japan
7.0%6.3% 6.6%
5.6%4.7%
4.2%
4.2%3.7%
4.8%4.2%
3.7%3.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Female Unemployment Rate Trends
Okinawa Japan
Employment conditions on improving trend
(Source: Labor force survey by Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Okinawa Prefecture)
■Employment Conditions (Trends in the overall unemployment rate)
-10.0-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.04.06.08.0
10.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2
2013 2014 2015 2016
Actual Salary Amounts (Comparison with Same Month in Previous Year)
Japan Okinawa
8
-18
-33
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Mar.'11 Sep.'11 Mar.'12 Sep.'12 Mar.'13 Sep.'13 Mar.'14 Sep.'14 Mar.'15 Sep.'15 Mar.'16
Trends in Employment Conditions DI (Bank of Japan TANKAN)
Japan Okinawa
Importance of Improving Labor Productivity■Employment Conditions (Bank of Japan TANKAN, Actual Salary Amounts)
(Employee Surplus) – (Employee Shortage) / % point
Employee Surplus
Employee Shortage
(Source: Bank of Japan, Naha Branch Short -Term Economic Survey of Enterprises in Okinawa (Tankan)
Business size of five or more employee
(Source: Okinawa Prefecture Department of Planning , Statistics Division Monthly Labor Statistics
Both Commercial and Residential Land Prices in Okinawa Rising at More Than National Levels
+2.0%
-12.0%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Jan.'91 Jan.'96 Jan.'01 Jan.'06 Jan.'11 Jan.'16
Commercial-use land (YoY)
Japan Okinawa
0.9%
+1.7%
-12.0%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Jan.'91 Jan.'96 Jan.'01 Jan.'06 Jan.'11 Jan.'16
Residential-use land (YoY)Japan Okinawa
-0.2%
9
■Trends in Land Prices
(Source: Land prices published by Japan’s Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism)
280 376 550 893 1,501
5,135 5,459
5,862
6,164 6,261
5,415 5,835
6,413
7,058
7,763
373.4 390.5
433.9
516.9
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Billions of YenVisitors from other parts of Japan (Left scale)Visitors from overseas (Left scale)Revenues from tourism (Right scale)
(19.3%)(8.6%)(5.2%) (6.5%)(4.9%)
(87.3%)(91.4%)
(93.5%)
(94.8%)
(95.1%)
(Source: Statistical overview of the number of tourists entering Okinawa Prefecture)* Figures inside ( ) show composition ratios
?
10
Taiwan
340,000
38%
Korea
160,000
17%
Hong
Kong
120,000
14%
Chaina
110,000
13%
Others
150,000
18%
Taiwan470,000
32%
Korea290,000
20%
Hong Kong
180,00012%
Chaina290,000
20%
Others240,000
16%
2014 Total: 0.89 million
2015 Total: 1.5 million
Breakdown of Foreign Travelers by NationalityVisitor Numbers to Okinawa
■Tourism (Visitor Numbers to Okinawa)
(Thousands)
145 163 229 377
654
1,077
138 116 146
173
238
424
283 279 375
550
892
1,501
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Okinawa Visitor Numbers by Air/Sea RoutesAir Routes Sea Routes
(Thousands)
11
Scheduled Overseas Routes (Fiscal 2015)10 Routes
Number of Overseas Flights Operated from Naha Airport in a WeekFiscal2010 Fiscal201530Flights ⇒ 153Flights
52 53 67 5680
115
18747 49
52 65
73
84
144
0 55 1
3
13
109
102 112125 130
162
219
457
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Trends in Numbers of Cruise Ships Visiting Ports in Okinawa Prefecture
Naha PortIshigaki PortTaira PortNakagusuku PortOthers
Needs survey of cruise ships visiting main ports in Okinawa being conducted
In April 2016, large cruise ship visited Port of Nakagusuku for first time in about 10 years
★Topics
(Times)
Five-Fold Increase
PlannedActual
■Tourism (Overseas Visitors by Air/Sea Routes)
(Source: Statistical overview of the number of tourists entering Okinawa Prefecture) (Source: Created by the Bank of the Ryukyus from documents drawn up by Okinawa General Bureau that were based on interviews with port operators (Okinawa Prefecture, Naha Port Authority, City of Miyakojima, City of Ishigaki).)
(Forecast)
12
Airport name Number of service routes
1 Tokyo International 492 Naha 273 Fukuoka 264 New Chitose 265 Osaka International 24
Takeoff and Landing Handling CapacityCurrent After expansion135,000/year
【Second Runway at Naha Airport】Additional construction of a 2,700m runway to address the increase in air travel demand
M Meetings, Incentive Travel⇒Able to hold conferences, side meetings and linked exhibitions for
5,000 people at the same time⇒Able to accommodate 4,000 people in seated dinner style
Conventions, Events⇒Capable of holding academic conferences that are increasing in
size in Asia and elsewhere⇒Enables integrated use of exhibition and multipurpose halls as an
exhibition space covering approx. 40,000㎡⇒Can accommodate large-scale concerts for audiences of approx. 27,000
■Tourism (Second Runway at Naha Airport, MICE)
Total project expenses
Commencement of construction
Completion of construction
About ¥198 Billion January-2014 December-2019
(Source: Okinawa Prefecture)
185,000/year
Schematic Layout Diagram of Large-Scale MICE Facility
Basic Functions of FacilityMulti-purpose hall Approx. 7,500㎡
Foyer, etc. Approx. 2,500㎡Exhibition hall 30,000㎡
Small- and medium-size conference rooms (second floor) Approx. 7,500㎡
Layout diagramA schematic view that matches facility’s functions and scale with site’s shape, this diagram is designed to effectively position the facility’s basic functions and its other necessary functions at fitting out stage.
■Okinawa Promotion Budget
0
100
200
300
400
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
(Billions of Yen)
Excerpt from a comment by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on December 24, 2013
Secured an annual budget of more than ¥300 billion to help develop and promote Okinawa throughout the current Okinawa Development and Promotion Plan period (fiscal 2012 to fiscal 2021)
13(Source: Japan’s Cabinet Office)
14
■Projects in Okinawa Prefecture (Planned)
Redevelopment of vacant lot at former postal service’s Furujima public housing complex
Kinser landfill development
Aircraft overhaul base upgrade project Smart City development
Land adjustment project in Taketomi district of Itoman City
Itoman City/Itoman City Central Market upgrade projects
Fishing harbor development project
Land adjustments
Okinawa Electric LNG Power Station Project to extend the Okinawa Municipal monorail
Multipurpose arena
Use of vacant lot at Gimbal Training Ground
Project to develop the Naha City Agricultural Market disaster prevention district
Hotel
University of the Ryukyus Hospital
Sale of lots for Toyosaki Town/airport logistics use
Hotel
Hotel
Hotel
Hotel
Development of seven properties, including hotels, near Kokusai Street
Hotel Hotel
Hotel Hotel
Hotel
Hotel
Hotel
Hotel Naha Port Comprehensive Logistics Center
Hotel
Hotel Shimoji-shima Airport utilization
Hotel
Hotel Okinawa Prefectural Yaeyama Hospital
Hotel
Hotel
Hotel
Hotel
Hotel
Awase land readjustment project
Private-sector businesses Public worksMain island of Okinawa
Miyako island / Shimoji island / Irabu island Ishigaki island / Taketomi island
Financial Results for FY2015
15
Profit/Loss
Business Scope
Topics
Consolidated
Non-consolidated
Total financing surpassed ¥2 trillion milestone
OCS, Ltd. made wholly owned subsidiary
16
■Financial Highlights
First final profit* broke through ¥10.0 billion barrier
Increased revenue and earnings for three consecutive periods
* Net income for the period attributable to the owners of parent company
■Financial Summary (Non-Consolidated)
Increased revenue and earnings for three consecutive periods
FY2015 FY2014Year-on-year change
Ordinary revenue 40.2 +1.5 38.7
Business gross profit (a) 31.7 +0.5 31.2Expenses (b) 22.4 +0.4 22.0
Real net business profit (c=a-b) 9.3 +0.2 9.1
Net credit costs (d) 1.3 ▲0.2 1.5
Other extraordinary gain/loss (e) 0.3 ▲0.1 0.4
Ordinary profit (f=c-d+e) 8.3 +0.3 8.0
Net income 5.0 +0.8 4.2
(Billions of Yen)
* Increase and decrease is presented on a financial statement basis.17
FY2015 FY2014Year-on-year change
Ordinary revenue 59.9 +4.9 55.0
Ordinary expenses 49.8 +4.4 45.4
Ordinary profit 10.0 +0.5 9.5
Extraordinary gains or losses 4.0 +3.5 0.5
Gain on negative goodwill 4.3 +3.8 0.5
Net income for the period attributableto the owners of parent company 10.3 +4.8 5.5
Besides Individual Contributory Factors, Making OCS into Subsidiary Increased Revenue and Earnings
18
■Financial Summary (Consolidated)
(Billions of Yen)
* Due to revision under the Accounting Standard for Business Combinations “consolidated net income” has been revised to ““net income for the period attributable to the owners of parent company.”
* Increase and decrease is presented on a financial statement basis.
5,052
10,3311,193
4,374
235 54
Non-consolidated Consolidated
(Millions of Yen)
Non-consolidated/Consolidated Scale Factor Attributable to Making OCS into Consolidated Subsidiary: 2.04 Times
+ ¥5,279 million
19
■Factors Contributing to Non-consolidated /Consolidated Differences in Net Income for Current Fiscal Year
Factors Contributing to Non-consolidated / Consolidated Differences in Net Income for Current Fiscal Year
Total profit from subsidiaries
Gain on negative goodwill
Minority interest
Others
2.3 2.4
3.4
4.2
5.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Net Income
Increase in Actual Business Net Income, Increase in Net Income due to Decreased Credit Limit Costs/Income Taxes
4,2965,052
136
279
758
251
166
Factors Behind the Change in Net Income
End Mar.’16End Mar.’15
(Millions of Yen)
+ ¥756 million
20
■Factors Behind the Change in Net Income (Non-Consolidated)
(Billions of Yen)
Decrease in net credit costs
Increase in real net business profit
Decrease in total income taxes
Decrease in gains/losses on shares
Others
7.27.8
8.59.1
9.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
9,1679,303
365
359
18
163
382
25
End Mar.’16End Mar.’15
(Millions of Yen)
Increases for Three Consecutive Periods Due to Increased Loan Interest/Gain on Sale of Securities
+ ¥136 million
21
■Factors Behind the Change in Real Net Business Profit (Non-Consolidated)
(Billions of Yen)
Real Net Business Profit Factors Behind the Change in Real Net Business Profit
Increase in interest on loans and bills discounted
Increase in interest on deposits
Decrease in service profit Increase in expenses
Others
Increase in interest on securities / Gain on sale of securities
572.3 611.1 649.1 694.5 741.5
529.7 520.7 559.7
584.0
600.2 114.5 109.7
121.1 120.7
123.7
1,216.6 1,241.6 1,330.0
1,399.2 1,465.5
0.5%
2.1%
7.1%
5.2%
4.7%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
IndividualsCorporationsLocal public authorities and otherRate of increase (Compared with the end of the previous period:Right scale)
22
6.3% in Okinawa Prefecture
■Loans (Non-Consolidated)
Favorable increases in both private and corporate businesses
(Billions of Yen)
Loans (Non-Consolidated)
23
265.9 298.7 320.7 349.4 393.9
104.2 102.2
105.9 97.3
90.9 62.5
60.4 59.8 59.1
55.0
53.8 49.6
61.8 67.7
76.1
65.0 50.2 52.5
49.5 43.5 153.6 144.3
151.6 166.5
161.4 705.3 705.6 752.5
789.8 821.1
-1.6%0.1%
6.6%
5.0%
4.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
0
200
400
600
800
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Real estate, rental and leasing Wholesale and retailConstruction Medical and welfareManufacturing OthersRate of increase (Right scale)
347.1 370.4
390.7 406.5 425.2
59.0
60.3
64.1 69.6
73.3
406.2
430.7
454.9 476.1
498.5
6.3%
6.0%5.6%
4.7% 4.7%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Other loans Mortgage loans Rate of increase (Right scale)
Steady Increases in Business/Consumer Loans■Loans (Business/Consumer Loans)
(Billions of Yen)
Business Loans Consumer Loans
(Billions of Yen)
* Individual business loans are handled in a different manner and as such data does not reconcile with data for loans to corporations on page 22
* Individual business loans are handled in a different manner and as such data does not reconcile with data for loans to corporations on page 22
*“Loan investment yields (nationwide regional banks)” compiled from Regional Banks Association of Japan data 24
91
775 999 1,618 1,320
▲ 1,079 ▲ 1,358 ▲ 1,884 ▲ 1,452 ▲ 1,042
▲ 988 ▲ 583
▲ 885
166365
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Millions of Yen)Earnings yield factorsBalance factorsIncrease/decrease in loan interest compared with same period in previous year
Increased Income for Two Consecutive Periods by Decreased Loan Investment Yields and BalanceIncrease Factors
2.50%2.41%
2.29%2.14%
2.02%1.94%
1.82%1.71%
1.59%1.47% 1.40%
1.31%
0.28% 0.26%0.15% 0.10% 0.09% 0.09%
0.75%0.60%
0.50%0.58% 0.55% 0.57%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
End Mar.'11 End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Loan investment yieldsLoan investment yields (nationwide regional banks)Deposit yieldsSecurities yields
【Reference】End Sep.’15
■Trends in Earnings Yields (Non-Consolidated)
Trends in Loan Interest Increases/Decreases Trends in Earnings Yields
Significant Increases in Private/Public Money, Including Corporations, Surpassed Two Trillion Yen
25
1,155.9 1,199.6
1,226.2 1,258.5 1,274.2
437.7 468.8 494.6 529.2 580.8
165.2 129.3
161.9 179.4
183.3 1,758.9 1,797.8
1,882.8 1,967.2
2,038.4 7.2%
2.2%
4.7% 4.5%
3.6%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Deposits (Non-Consolidated)Individuals Corporations Public funds Rate of increase (Right scale)
(Billions of Yen)
■Deposits (Non-Consolidated)
55.5 45.5 38.0 28.115.0
62.0 66.8
61.5 69.9
64.5
47.0 38.3 51.6 64.5
80.8
164.6
150.7 151.1 162.5 160.4
0
50
100
150
200
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Billions of Yen) Assets in Custody
JGBs Investment trusts Single-premium insurance
Increased Single-Premium Insurance but Decreased Investment Trust, JGB Balances
Cumulative sales total Balance
Aggregation method for single-premium insurance
26
■Assets in Custody (Non-Consolidated)
* Single-premium insurance: Contract value of single-premium individual pension insurance, single-premium whole life insurance, and single-premium medical care insurance* Not simply comparable as the aggregation method for single-premium insurance up to and including March 31, 2012, was different to that from March 31, 2013, onward
304.6 251.5 279.2 262.9
207.5
122.7 176.5
204.0 187.5
151.8
16.1 12.6
13.1 19.4
15.0
22.6 15.3
29.0 107.7
96.7
466.2 456.1
525.5
577.6
471.3
2.64
2.45
3.44
2.90 2.80
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Years)(Billions of Yen)
JGBs BondsLocal government bonds Other (foreign bonds, etc.)Yen bond duration (Right scale)
Balance Decrease by Redemption of JGBs, Steady Increase in Revenue
27
278.0 246.7
285.1 320.6 314.7
30.7
6.06.4
▲ 2.1
73.4
▲ 260.5
▲ 29.4 0
14.9
▲ 10.2
48.1
223.3
291.6 333.4
378.0
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Billions of Yen)
Interest and dividends Class 5 bondsShare 3 balance of account Total
■Securities (Non-Consolidated)
Securities (Non-Consolidated) Trends in Securities-Related Payments
■Expenses (Non-Consolidated)
10.0 10.1 10.1 9.9 9.8
10.1 10.1 10.4
10.7 11.0
1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 21.3 21.4 21.7 22.0 22.4
74.73%73.13%
71.72%70.64% 70.69%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
0
5
10
15
20
25
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Billions of Yen) Personnel expenses Non-personnel expensesTaxes OHR(Right scale)
Increase, Due to Increases in Non-Personnel Expenses and Taxes ; OHR Flat
28
Trends in Expenses and OHR
■Credit Limit Costs/Written-off Loans (Non-Consolidated)
▲ 1.4
0.4▲ 0.2 0
0.70.3
1.2 2.5
1.50.7
1.0
1.3
0.9
0.60.40.3
0.3
0.2
00
▲ 0.6
-0.5
-1.0
-0.5 -0.7▲0.3
2.8 2.5
1.51.3
8.1%9.8%
13.4%
16.2%17.1%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
-2.5
-1.5
-0.5
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Gain on amortized loansOther amountsLoan amortizationSpecific allowance for credit lossesGeneral provision for credit lossesTotalReserve ratio for risk management loans (Right scalr)
29
2.5
10.2
2.4 2.9 3.1
9.6
13.8
20.4 19.4 18.9
9.1
8.28.0 8.4 8.7
21.2
32.231.0 30.7 30.81.73%
2.57%
2.31%
2.18% 2.09%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Substandard loans Loans in danger of defaultClaims in bankruptcy Written-off loan ratio (Right scale)
(Billions of Yen)
Credit Limit Costs/Written-off Loans on Downward TrendTrends in Net Credit Limit Costs
(Billions of Yen)
Trends in Written-off Loans
■Capital Ratio (Non-Consolidated)
90.6 92.3
106.9 106.8 102.2
9.82% 9.68%
10.50%
9.15%8.75%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Regulatory capital Capital ratio (Right scale)(Billions of Yen)
Capital Adequacy Ratio Declines as Subordinated Debt Redemption Causes Capital Amount Decrease
922.1 953.5
1,017.7
1,167.1 1,168.5
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Billions of Yen)
Risk Assets
* Calculated by Basel III national standard from March 31, 2014 30
Capital Ratio
FY2016 FY2015(Forecasts) Year-on-year change
Ordinary revenue 38.7 ▲1.5 40.2
Ordinary profit 6.4 ▲1.9 8.3
Net income 4.3 ▲0.7 5.0
(Billions of Yen)
Decrease of ¥700 Million Expected in Current Period Net Income
31
* Increase and decrease is presented on a financial statement basis
■Earnings Forecasts for FY2016 (Non-Consolidated)
FY2016 FY2015(Forecasts) Year-on-year change
Ordinary revenue 59.0 ▲0.9 59.9
Ordinary profit 7.7 ▲2.3 10.0
Net income for the period attributable to the owners of parent company
4.9 ▲5.4 10.3
Annual dividend per share 35 - 35
Profit Decline Expected Due to Recoil from Gain on Negative Goodwill and Other Factors
* Due to revision under the Accounting Standard for Business Combinations “consolidated net income” has been revised to ““net income for the period attributable to the owners of parent company.”32
■Earnings Forecasts for FY2016 (Consolidated)
(Billions of Yen)
* Increase and decrease is presented on a financial statement basis
(Yen)
■ROE/PBR (Consolidated)
33
2,216 2,290 2,368
2,567
2,780
0.50
0.59 0.57
0.67
0.45
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Magnification)(Yen)Net Assets per SharePBR (Right scale)
61 72
130146
271
88 131 156
2.8%3.2%
5.6%5.9%
10.2%
3.8%5.3%
5.9%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Yen)Net Income per ShareNet Income per Share (excluding negative goodwill, etc.)ROEROE (excluding negative goodwill, etc.)
* Calculated on share price at March 31 each year
Net Income/ROE per Share Net Assets/PBR per Share
Bank of the Ryukyus Strategy
34
■Long-Term Vision
Providing Our Customers with the Three “S’s” (Value)
Providing zero lead-time services
A partner that sympathizes with customers’ thoughts and feelings
Sympathy
Speed
The Bank of the Ryukyus Group that is our customers’ bank of preference and enjoys
the overwhelming support of the local community.”
Unique solutions from a bank that possesses local knowledge
Solution
35
■New Medium-Term Management Plan (April 2015 to March 2018)
Shared Value 2015-Establishing value provided to customers by displaying the Group’s comprehensive capabilities-
Boost growth strategies
Corporate Business StrategyGrowth Strategies
Promote comprehensive trading by building solid customer relations
‐Review BPR/organizations from perspectives that maximize customer relations‐
‐Create business opportunities that utilize information‐
‐Strategic rebuilding of human resources and promotion of diversity‐
‐Provide one-stop services that leverage Group capabilities-
Capability StrategyRebuild value creation capabilities
by strengthening IT/human resources, etc.
Individual Business Strategy
‐Provide growth-field support and comprehensive solutions‐
‐Establish life-plan sales stance by omni-channel processes‐
Group Strategy
IT/Sales Information Strategy
Organizational / Business Process Reengineering
(BPR) StrategyHuman Resource Strategy
36
■Priority Issues for Fiscal 2016 in Consideration of Negative Interest Rate
“Ahead of Schedule Realization” of Medium-Term Measures
Stimulation of Demandfor Finance
Encourage Flow from Savings to Investment
Diversification of Revenue Sources
Priority Issue Ⅰ
Strengthening of Field Capabilities
Based on understanding of customer businesses, steadily supply financing linked to customer growth
Sales branches/headquarters functions to cooperate and propose most suitable portfolios in accordance with customer life plans
Expand bank business fields by targeting innovative businesses, traditional and different demographics, etc.
Provide the Ryugin Group’s transaction value through the highest number of sales channels in Okinawa
Dealing with Negative Impact of Different Dimension in Quantitative Easing while Aiming to Improve Profitability by Boosting Policies!
37
Priority Issue Ⅱ Priority Issue Ⅲ
Priority Issue Ⅳ
Number of Successful Applicants for Medical Manager Exam Surpasses 100!
■Corporate Business Strategy (Medical/Welfare Field)
47
66
82
967
7
10
10
54
73
92
106
49.6
61.8
67.7
76.1
0
20
40
60
80
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
Grade 2 Medical Managers Grade 3 Medical Managers Loans (Right scale)(Billions of Yen)(Persons) Medical and Welfare Promotion
Group established December 2014
Triumphal celebration jointly held with those from Okinawan medical institutions who passed exam
38
Based on declining birth rate and growing proportion of elderly people, strengthen support systems geared toward medical/welfare field
Medical Managers and Trends in Loan Balances Development of Human Resources Familiar with Medical Management
Holding of Medical Seminars
Overseas Sales Channel Development Backup by Holding Joint Meetings
Third Business Forum to Convey Okinawa’s Culinary and Visual Charms Held
Hong Kong Gourmet Food Business Meeting~ Yamagata Bank, Hachijuni Bank, Musashino Bank,
Bank of the Ryukyus ~
Other Joint Sponsorship
Nagano Prefectural, Nagano Prefectural SME Promotion Center, Yamagata International Economic Development Support Organization
2015 Japanese Foods“Premium”
Trade FairSponsor: JTB East Japan
Taiwan
October 2015Singapore
December 2015Hong Kong
February 2016
39
■Corporate Business Strategy (Sales Channel Expansion Support )
■Overseas NetworksBuilding frameworks capable of responding to various overseas development needs
Nippon Asia Halal Association
Okinawa Prefecture Department of Commerce, Industry and Labor, Asia Economic Strategy
Division
Chinatrust Financial Holding Co.,Ltd (Taiwan)
Halal business support
Overseas development
support
Foreign bank
partners
Bank of the Ryukyus
Okinawa Prefectural Government Hong Kong
Representative OfficeJoint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign
Trade of Vietnam
Metropolitan Bank and Trust Company (Philippines)
Kasikornbank PCL. (Thailand)
MHC Co., Ltd.
Brand Research Institute, Inc.
Halal Japan Business Association
Employee dispatch
Asia Creative Works Pte Ltd
J-Will International (Thailand) Co., Ltd.
Nippon Export and Investment Insurance
DBJ Asia Financial Support Center
Aioi Nissay Dowa Insurance Co.,Ltd
Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Company, Limited
Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd.
Naha City/Bank of the RyukyusJoint Sponsorship
Establishment Support Seminar
Collaboration with Naha City
Collaboration with Yonabaru Town
41
Partnership Agreement with Aozora Bank
Entrepreneur Support/Training Implemented
【Student Category】Team name
Let’s begin!!(Chubu Agricultural High School)
Plan name
“Establishment of highly nutritious vegetable cultivation utilizing ocean’s untapped resources”
【General Category】Team name
Ryukyu Diet Chickens
Plan name
Activation of Okinawa poultry industry by accumulating poultry-related technologies
◆ Business matching ◆ Interregional cooperation◆ Industry, government, academia financial cooperation◆ Human resource development ◆ Increased sophistication of financing
【Main Business Alliance Areas】
■Corporate Business Strategy (Regional Regeneration [1])
Agreement signed January 26, 2016
Specialty Product Development Support
Agreement signed February 26, 2016
Providing a Variety of Finance Procurement MeansFinance Procurement by Crowd-Funding
Bank of the RyukyusCustomers(Cyber agent/crowd funding)
Posted on “Makuake” site, sponsor recruitmentProvision of financing
In Return (Provision of Premium Goods and Services)
Supporters
Introduction of “Makuake”
First Project
Cooperation Introduction of users wishing to buy products
Provision of financing
42
<Schematic Diagram>
Project OverviewTurning tuna into raw ham!? “Raw
ham from the sea,” smoked Okinawa-farmed tuna for which no
additives at all are used
■Corporate Business Strategy (Regional Regeneration [2])
Bank of the Ryukyus
Areas of joint research:Quality comparison of lettuces produced in plant factories and grown outdoors
Areas of joint research:Composition (mixing) of concrete repair material made with fly ash (coal ash) and performance-related research, including resistance to salt damage
Zero-emission Technology OkinawaFirst Project
in Okinawa
Areas of joint research:Preferential examination with regard to other Kibimaruton pork meats
Fukumaru Nojo Farming Corporation
Kamiya Sangyo Co., Ltd.
43
Research Results
■ Industry-Academia Collaboration (Corporate Business Strategy)Utilizing Bank of the Ryukyus networks to match University of the Ryukyus with local companies
Industry-Academia-Government Partnership Agreement with University of the Ryukyus
Housing-Related Loans Meeting Diverse Needs
Sales launched February 2015
Target area widened May 2016
An Okinawan Bank First!
44
■Corporate Business Strategy (Expansion of Product/Service Lineups)
Expansion of product/service lineups in tune with customers’ varying life plans
An Okinawan Bank First!
An Okinawan Bank First! An Okinawan Bank First!
Sales launched March 2015
Sales launched March 2016
Sales launched September 2015
Immediate Settlement with no Need for Cash⇒Zero time spent waiting in line at ATMs and zero out-of-hours handling charges
Local Currency Withdrawals at Overseas ATMs⇒Convenient, effortless currency exchange
NO Worries of exceeding your deposit account credit limit⇒Targeted at private customers aged 15 and over
Efforts to Become Pioneer Even among Other Banks in JapanLaunched VISA debit card October 2015
More than 200,000
cards issued
45
Cash Back 0.2% of Amount Spent
■Corporate Business Strategy (Credit Card Business)
■Private Business Strategies (Non-Face-to-Face Sales Channels)
46
Transition from a mere Back Office to Profit Center
Sales Capability Strengthening for Non-Face-to-Face Channels⇒Proactive Service Proposals to Customers by Outbound Promotions
Increase in the Number of Seats <36seats ⇒ 50seats>⇒In order to enhance customer support in keeping with the increasing number of loan applications
Installation of Refreshment Rooms⇒Providing a comfortable workplace for employees
DBC
MobileMay 2015 Ryugin Azukari Archive fully operational
May 2014 BankNeo sales support system fully operational
From February 2014 Distribution of 600 iPad devices
April 2015 Introduction of mobile printers
PC
November 2015 Extended functions
From May 2017Launch of occupation-related website
47
April 2016Prepared approx.
1,000 iPhones for employees
Evolution of One-to-One marketing × Transformation in Work Styles■IT/Sales Information Strategy
Home visits
Branch / Loan CenterSeminar
Range of workplaces
Sales support systems
■Group StrategyProvide comprehensive services that leverage Group capabilities
April 2014Ryukyu Leasing Co., Ltd. made consolidated subsidiary
April 2015Okinawa Credit Service Co., Ltd. made wholly owned subsidiary
April 2014Ryugin Hosho Co., Ltd . made wholly owned subsidiary
Ryukyu Leasing Co., Ltd.
Okinawa Credit Service Co., Ltd.
Ryugin Hosho Co., Ltd.
Ryugin DC Co., Ltd. Ryugin Research Institute., Ltd.
Ryugin Business Service Co., Ltd.
Ryugin Office Service Co., Ltd.*
June 2016Plan to Bring Ryugin OfficeService Co., Ltd. In-House
48
Diversity Promotion
33 38 45 57 6719 20 2423 25
35
39
106
44 4547
49
56
97 106121
168
254
0
50
100
150
200
250
End Mar.'12 End Mar.'13 End Mar.'14 End Mar.'15 End Mar.'16
(Staff)FP1 ClassSmall/Medium Enterprise ConsultantsMedical Management ConsultantsPoint of contact financial services
Lawyers 2
Certified Public Accountants 1
Grade 1 Architects 1 and others
Recruitment of Mid-Career Professionals
Human Resource Training
49
Further Improvements in Employment Environment for Women to Excel as Managers
Sending employees to Women Leader Committee
Sponsor: Okinawa Prefectural Management Association
Introduction of Chief System
Reinstatement Assistance
Sending female employees to information exchange meetings to promote the advancement of womenSponsor: Juudankai
Round-table discussion with external instructor(Instructor: Ms.Miura from ResonaBank)
Recommendation for Yukatsu,working
earlier in the morning
Work Style ReformCareer Support
Reinstatement Support
To increase number of female employees occupying management positions to 20 or more (planned timeframe: 5 years)
■ Human Resource Strategy
Trends in Numbers of Professionally Qualified Personnel
*Others actively employed include systems engineers, former megabank employees
■Local Responsibility Activities
50
Proactive Involvement in Local Society
Traditional dyed cloth design contest
Nice Heart Bazaar* Winning of Prefectural Governor’s Award at Okinawa Prefecture
Welfare Community Planning Awards
Sponsor of Ryukyu Golden Kings basketball team
Naha Marathon sponsorship/volunteers
Sports Promotion
Local Event
Support
StrongSupport
for Traditional Culture
Welfare Activity Support
All enquiries regarding this presentation should be addressed to:Bank of the Ryukyus,Limited
General Planning DepartmentTelephone: +81-98-860-3787
Fax: +81-98-862-3672E-mail: [email protected]
The information in this presentation is on a non-consolidated basis unless otherwise specified.
Information is based on summaries of published data, and some totals presented in this presentation may not add up due to rounding.
This material contains information about the future(forward-looking information)such as forecasts, outlooks, objectives and plans concerning the Bank. The forward-looking information was created based on information available as of June 3,2016 and does not represent a guarantee of future performance. Certain assumptions and hypotheses are used for the description of forward-looking information, but these assumptions and hypotheses could be inaccurate from an objective perspective and may not materialize in the future. Forward-looking information involves risks and uncertainties, and we ask readers to refer to the brief notes on the settlement of accounts and securities report of the Bank for more details. The Bank will not update the forward-looking information contained in this material.
■About This Presentation