Bank M&A 2015: The Next Wave for Community Bank …Bank M&A 2015: The Next Wave for Community Bank...
Transcript of Bank M&A 2015: The Next Wave for Community Bank …Bank M&A 2015: The Next Wave for Community Bank...
Austin Associates Webinar Series
Bank M&A 2015: The Next Wave for Community Bank Consolidation March 24, 2015
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PRESENTERS
Craig Mancinotti - Joined the firm in 1982 and co-
manages the firm’s investment banking and strategic
consulting divisions. Received a Bachelor’s degree in
Business Administration and an MBA from the University
of Toledo. Served as an instructor at the Stonier
Graduate School of Banking and the Bank
Administration Institute School. Served for ten years as a
director of a $400 million Midwest community bank.
Annual speaker at “Acquire or Be Acquired”
conferences. Licensed rep of IBS (a registered broker
dealer) and holds Series 63 and 79 (Investment
Banking) licenses.
Rick Maroney - Joined the firm in 1984 and co-
manages the firm’s investment banking and strategic
consulting divisions. Received a Bachelor’s degree in
Business Administration and an MBA from the University
of Toledo. Served as an instructor at the Stonier
Graduate School of Banking. Annual speaker at
“Acquire or Be Acquired” conferences. Licensed rep of
IBS (a registered broker dealer) and holds Series 63 and
79 (Investment Banking) licenses.
Craig Mancinotti Managing Director & Principal Investment Banking & Consulting
Rick Maroney Managing Director & Principal Investment Banking & Consulting
Managing Directors of Investment Banking
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Community bank advisors for more than 40 years
Specialized services through multiple practice areas
Investment Banking
Strategic Consulting
Financial Management
Risk Management and Compliance
Technology Solutions
Owners are consultants/managers
Over 200 bank/thrift clients in 2014 from 26 states
Nationally-ranked leader in community bank M&A for 3 decades
AUSTIN ASSOCIATES OVERVIEW Consulting and Investment Bankers to Community Banks
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M&A EXPERIENCE Top Financial Advisors in Whole Bank Deals (2007 – YTD 2015)
Source: SNL Financial. Data through March 9, 2015.
Note: More than 100 firms are reported in the SNL M&A Advisory rankings.
Some deal values are not reported. Rankings exclude terminated deals.
Announced
Overall Number of Deal Value
Rank Advisory Firm Deals ($mils)
1 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods 289 $43,844
2 Sandler O'Neill & Partners, L.P. 274 $56,962
3 Raymond James & Associates, Inc. 91 $4,080
4 Hovde Group, LLC 70 $3,322
5 Sheshunoff & Co. Investment Banking LP 53 $1,441
6 Capital Corporation, LLC 48 $231
7 Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. 45 $2,376
8 Austin Associates, LLC 40 $734
T-9 Commerce Street Capital, LLC 37 $1,150
T-9 FIG Partners, LLC 37 $1,054
11 J.P. Morgan Securities LLC 34 $75,766
T-12 D.A. Davidson & Co. 32 $1,896
T-12 KPMG, LLP 32 $349
14 FinPro, Inc. 30 $734
T-15 DD&F Consulting Group 28 $818
T-15 Monroe Financial Partners, Inc. 28 $659
T-15 Professional Bank Services Inc. 28 $482
T-18 National Capital, LLC 25 $180
T-18 RBC Capital Markets, LLC 25 $15,800
20 Bank Advisory Group, LLC 23 $800
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WEBINAR AGENDA March 24, 2015
M&A Trends: What Factors are Driving Consolidation
Buy-Side Perspective: How to Price the Deal
Strategic Mergers: Critical Issues to Address
Sell-Side Strategies: The Importance of Process and
Negotiating the Exchange Ratio
M&A REVIEW
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DRIVERS OF BANK M&A Key Factors
Sluggish growth and profitability
Drive for economies of scale
Improved asset quality – reduced credit marks
Regulatory burden – director and management fatigue
Bank equity values up +/-50% since 2013
Equity pricing gap between the big and small banks
Premium deals being announced
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INDUSTRY PROFITABILITY
Source: SNL Financial
Note: Results are based on median statistics for all bank and thrifts.
ROAA and ROAE Since 2000
2000Y 2001Y 2002Y 2003Y 2004Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009Y 2010Y 2011Y 2012Y 2013Y 2014Y
> $1 Bil 1.16% 1.17% 1.26% 1.25% 1.20% 1.21% 1.17% 0.93% 0.46% 0.32% 0.63% 0.77% 0.92% 0.91% 0.91%
< $1 Bil 1.07% 0.99% 1.06% 1.02% 1.01% 0.97% 0.94% 0.83% 0.59% 0.45% 0.56% 0.64% 0.72% 0.71% 0.76%
0.00%
0.30%
0.60%
0.90%
1.20%
1.50% Return on Average Assets
2000Y 2001Y 2002Y 2003Y 2004Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009Y 2010Y 2011Y 2012Y 2013Y 2014Y
> $1 Bil 14.40% 13.61% 14.16% 13.87% 13.12% 12.87% 12.24% 9.42% 4.34% 3.15% 5.80% 7.00% 8.08% 8.45% 8.30%
< $1 Bil 10.66% 9.59% 10.39% 9.83% 9.90% 9.47% 9.04% 7.91% 5.44% 4.08% 5.12% 5.85% 6.49% 6.54% 6.98%
0.00%
4.00%
8.00%
12.00%
16.00%
20.00% Return on Average Equity
15 Yr. Average = 0.95%
15 Yr. Average = 9.92%
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BANK EQUITY VALUES
Source: SNL Financial.
Note: Earnings based on core performance, if available. Excludes M&A targets and acquired/defunct companies.
Publicly-Traded Banks & Thrifts Since 2000
2000Y 2001Y 2002Y 2003Y 2004Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009Y 2010Y 2011Y 2012Y 2013Y 2014Y 2/28/2015
> $1 Billion 12.3 14.3 13.6 16.8 17.9 15.4 16.7 14.0 15.6 16.2 16.3 13.3 12.6 15.8 15.3 14.8
< $1 Billion 11.6 13.0 13.8 16.8 17.5 16.4 16.9 16.1 14.2 14.3 14.2 12.3 12.0 13.2 13.7 13.8
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Median Price / LTM EPS
2000Y 2001Y 2002Y 2003Y 2004Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009Y 2010Y 2011Y 2012Y 2013Y 2014Y 2/28/2015
> $1 Billion 179% 224% 217% 261% 286% 259% 265% 190% 164% 121% 139% 111% 121% 154% 146% 130%
< $1 Billion 113% 128% 136% 157% 168% 160% 157% 129% 92% 79% 77% 69% 76% 90% 94% 96%
0%
100%
200%
300%
Median Price / Tangible Book Value
15 Year Avg. = 129%
15 Year Avg. = 14.7
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CONSOLIDATION TRENDS
Source: FDIC.gov
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Mergers (533) (417) (332) (273) (319) (310) (342) (321) (293) (179) (197) (196) (208) (232) (274)
Failed (7) (4) (11) (3) (4) 0 0 (3) (25) (140) (157) (92) (51) (24) (18)
New Charter 223 146 95 118 128 179 194 181 98 31 11 3 0 2 0
Charters 9,904 9,614 9,354 9,181 8,976 8,833 8,680 8,534 8,305 8,012 7,658 7,357 7,083 6,812 6,509
Y-Y % Chg. -3.1% -2.9% -2.7% -1.8% -2.2% -1.6% -1.7% -1.7% -2.7% -3.5% -4.4% -3.9% -3.7% -3.8% -4.4%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
(750)
(500)
(250)
0
250
500
To
tal N
um
ber o
f Ch
arte
rs
Ad
dit
ion
s a
nd
Elim
inati
on
s
High Barriers to Entry Low Barriers to Entry
Since 2000
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ANNUAL M&A VOLUME & PRICING
Source: SNL Financial.
2015 data through February 28, 2015.
Since 2000
253 251 209 262 268 267 296 283 143 109 176 145 216 223 287 39 0
100
200
300
400
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Number of Deals
183% 174% 168% 204% 213% 218% 225% 211% 159% 117% 119% 110% 117% 124% 135% 141%0%
60%
120%
180%
240%
300%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Median Price/Tangible Book
15 Yr. Average = 214
15 Yr. Average = 164%
M&A PRICING STATS Current Market Update 2014 – YTD 2015
Source: SNL Financial. YTD 2015 data through February 28, 2015.
Note: Based on median statistics. S-Corporation selling companies have been adjusted to C-Corporation status using a 34% tax rate.
Total Tangible NPAs/ Median Median
Assets Equity/ LTM LTM Total Price/ Price/ Price/
Deals By Seller's Assets # ($000) Assets ROAA ROAE Assets Book Tg Book LTM EPS
> 1.0 Billion 28 $1,481,569 9.21% 0.82% 6.54% 1.36% 159% 173% 21.8
$500 Million - $1.0 Billion 37 $669,983 9.82% 0.70% 7.37% 1.49% 148% 152% 19.0
$100 - $500 Million 145 $201,272 10.18% 0.55% 5.06% 1.48% 123% 126% 21.9
< $100 Million 112 $51,845 9.61% 0.30% 2.73% 0.89% 115% 115% 27.6
Deals by Seller's ROAE> 10% 37 $307,484 9.20% 1.15% 11.87% 1.22% 174% 175% 15.3
5% - 10% 111 $235,268 10.26% 0.76% 7.04% 1.07% 148% 149% 19.9
0% - 5% 112 $111,306 10.14% 0.33% 2.91% 1.40% 116% 118% 36.3
< 0% 54 $93,239 8.01% -0.63% -7.48% 3.76% 112% 114% NA
Deals by Seller's NPAs/Total Assets< 1% 116 $101,241 10.15% 0.59% 5.48% 0.42% 148% 150% 23.3
1% - 3% 117 $247,106 9.84% 0.62% 5.90% 1.75% 136% 141% 19.9
3% - 5% 32 $121,995 10.25% 0.27% 2.71% 3.76% 111% 111% 28.6
> 5% 39 $131,104 7.57% -0.15% -1.37% 7.24% 98% 98% 24.9
Deals by RegionMid Atlantic 30 $484,400 9.40% 0.41% 4.20% 1.14% 118% 127% 23.8
Midwest 129 $98,531 9.61% 0.48% 4.41% 1.22% 132% 137% 20.1
Northeast 12 $203,164 10.36% 0.46% 4.38% 0.81% 141% 141% 26.4
Southeast 65 $246,730 9.88% 0.53% 4.64% 2.09% 135% 137% 21.8
Southwest 56 $129,173 10.11% 0.49% 4.96% 1.04% 135% 135% 17.7
West 33 $173,180 10.53% 0.52% 3.78% 2.01% 126% 133% 22.6
All Bank & Thrift Deals 326 $148,856 9.85% 0.49% 4.45% 1.35% 132% 136% 21.4
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BUY-SIDE PERSPECTIVE
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M&A FROM A BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE
EPS dilution/accretion analysis
Tangible book value impact (dilution/earnback period)
Internal rate of return (IRR)
Pro forma capital ratios
Market optics: guideline transaction comparison
Strategic importance and risk assessment of specific
opportunity determines “acceptable” levels
Critical Buy-side Metrics
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EPS DILUTION/ACCRETION ANALYSIS
Compare stand-alone EPS to pro forma EPS post-acquisition
Conventional wisdom: If pro forma EPS equals or exceeds
stand-alone EPS; then the deal has acceptable financial
returns.
Reality: EPS Accretion does not necessarily mean that a deal
has acceptable financial returns.
Example: An all cash deal that is EPS neutral/modestly accretive
If you are investing capital in a deal, it is important to earn a
return commensurate with the amount invested and risk of
the deal.
Note: Purchase accounting requirements complicate this analysis.
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TANGIBLE BOOK VALUE EARNBACK
Tangible book considered “sacred” following financial crisis
Dilution to tangible book value per share (“TBVPS”) must be
fully recovered in a “reasonable” period of time
Market expects TBVPS earnback in four years or less
For a strategically important deal – TBVPS earnback should
not exceed five to six years
We are transitioning from TBVPS framework back to one
based on P/E ratios
Note: Purchase accounting requirements complicate this analysis.
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INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (“IRR”)
IRR defined: Rate of return that equates the present value of
future projected cash flow to the amount of initial investment
Many different ways to calculate; together with subjective
assumptions – “show me the math”
Minimum acceptable IRR is a matter of opinion!
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PRO FORMA CAPITAL RATIOS
Capital is not King…it is King Kong!
Adequate pro-forma capital levels are essential to regulatory
approval (and are essential to a disciplined long-term
acquisition strategy)
What about Basel III?
Bank-level Tier 1 leverage ratio of 8% to 9%
Consolidated-level Tier 1 leverage ratio of 7% to 8%
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MARKET OPTICS
Deal pricing multiples to comparable transactions
• Price/Tangible Book Value
• Price/Earnings; Price/Core Earnings
• Premium to Core Deposits (?)
• Estimated Cost Savings
• Estimated Credit Marks
Qualitative evaluation of peer deals, including screens
for asset size, geography and financial performance
Rule: Pricing must be reasonable in relation to market.
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CASE #1: M&A FROM BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE Deal Profile
Buyer Data Seller Data
Company Name Community Bancshares, Inc. Citizens Bank of Ashville, Ohio
Bank Subsidiary Vinton County National Bank NA
Headquarters McArthur, Ohio Ashville, Ohio
SEC Reporting / Ticker No No
Total Assets (03/31/14) $767 Million $105 Million
Year Established 1867 1894
# of Offices 13 4
Deal Information
Deal Announcement Date July 15, 2014
Deal Closing Date November 14, 2014
Deal Terms Whole Bank Deal
Deal Value $12.2
Price / Tangible Book 141%
Price / LTM EPS 12.3 (Including DTA recognition of $626,000 in LTM earnings)
Price / LTM Adjusted EPS (1) 62.7 (Excluding DTA recognition in LTM earnings)
Note: Deal value and pricing ratios as of announcement date. (Target financials as of March 31, 2014)
(1) Adjusted net income equaled $195,000 for LTM period ending March 31, 2014, excluding DTA recognition.
BALANCE SHEET HIGHLIGHTS 2012Y 2013Y YTD 03/14 2012Y 2013Y YTD 03/14
Total Assets $737,044 $751,514 $767,422 $98,645 $98,531 $104,638
Total Loans $475,104 $502,256 $502,638 $56,460 $55,780 $58,718
Total Deposits $642,540 $644,587 $669,115 $81,563 $80,900 $86,976
Total Equity $83,992 $87,976 $90,592 $8,252 $8,499 $8,678
Tangible Equity $79,188 $83,300 $85,948 $8,252 $8,499 $8,678
INCOME STATEMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Net Interest Income $27,577 $26,724 $6,602 $3,431 $3,254 $807
Noninterest Income $3,870 $4,274 $1,058 $671 $593 $227
Noninterest Expense $21,373 $21,214 $5,272 $4,091 $3,558 $866
Pre-Tax Pre-Provision $10,074 $9,784 $2,388 $11 $289 $168
Provision Expense $1,435 $697 $149 $419 $50 $24
Securities Gains/(Losses) $0 $2 $0 $41 ($4) $1
Net Income $6,589 $6,790 $1,658 ($159) $861 $113
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
Net Interest Income / Average Assets (Tax Equivalent) 3.91% 3.60% 3.66% 3.48% 3.28% 3.26%
Noninterest Income / Average Assets 0.52% 0.55% 0.56% 0.66% 0.58% 0.90%
Noninterest Expense / Average Assets 2.88% 2.73% 2.81% 4.04% 3.50% 3.43%
Pre-Tax Pre-Provision 1.36% 1.26% 1.27% 0.01% 0.28% 0.66%
Provision Expense / Average Assets 0.19% 0.09% 0.08% 0.41% 0.05% 0.09%
Securities Gains/(Losses) / Average Assets 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
Return on Average Assets 0.89% 0.87% 0.88% -0.16% 0.85% 0.45%
Return on Average Equity 7.91% 7.87% 7.37% -1.96% 10.84% 5.26%
Efficiency Ratio (FTE) 64.69% 65.37% 66.08% 97.56% 90.66% 82.34%
CAPITAL RATIOS
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio 10.53% 11.05% 11.45% 7.89% 8.07% 8.20%
Total Risk-Based Capital Ratio 16.76% 17.42% 17.95% 14.89% 15.55% 14.96%
ASSET QUALITY
Nonperforming Assets $9,843 $8,083 $8,306 $1,598 $370 $459
Memo: Total Restructured Loans (Not Included in NPAs) $2,808 $986 $178 $992 $948 $643
NPAs/ Total Assets 1.34% 1.08% 1.08% 1.62% 0.38% 0.44%
Note: All Data from SNL Financial.
Community Bancshares data based on FRY-9C filings.
Citizens Bank data based on Bank Call Report filings.
Citizens Bank of Ashville, OhioCommunity Bancshares, Inc.
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CASE #1: M&A FROM BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE Historical Performance
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CASE #1: M&A FROM BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE Branch Map
Community Bancshares, Inc.
Citizens Bank of Ashville, Ohio
CASE #1: M&A FROM BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE Guideline Transactions
Seller's Financial Performance Deal Multiples
Tangible
Total Equity/ LTM Price/ Price/ Prem/
Summary Median Results Assets Tangible LTM LTM Efficiency NPAs/ Tangible LTM Core
Sale of Control Transactions ($000) Assets ROAA ROAE Ratio Assets Book Earnings Deposits
Nation (50) $102,253 10.62% 0.62% 5.73% 77.3% 0.58% 127% 21.1 3.8%
Midwest Region (13) $71,074 9.59% 0.65% 5.88% 68.2% 0.73% 127% 20.5 4.1%
Columbus MSA (3)
FFBC / Guernsey Bancorp, Inc. $122,888 7.12% -0.07% -0.83% 85.5% 3.16% 216% NM 8.8%
FFBC / Insight Bank $200,233 12.18% 0.92% 7.44% 68.0% 1.10% 166% 20.9 20.2%
FFBC / First Bexley Bank $295,404 7.69% 1.43% 17.57% 52.0% 0.71% 185% 12.1 12.7%
Citizens Bank of Ashville, Ohio $104,638 8.29% 0.98% 12.35% 87.0% 1.05% 141% 12.3 4.5%
Excluding DTA recognition 0.19% 2.43% 62.7
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CASE #1: M&A FROM BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE Review of Critical Buy-Side Metrics
Key Assumptions Target stand alone growth rate of 1% per year
Baseline ROAA at 0.20%, increasing to 0.37% over 5 years
Cost savings of 34% with two-year phase-in
Pro forma overhead/assets of 2.50%
Credit mark of 2.0%; OREO mark of 10%
Acquisition Modeling Results
1. EPS accretion 10.0% year 1 – cash deal, no new shares
2. TBVPS “earn-back” period 5.4 years
3. IRR of 12.1%
4. Capital – Pro forma Tier 1 leverage ratio of 10.05%
5. Market optics
a) Deal value 141% of TBV and P/E > 60x
b) Guideline transactions suggest Columbus market premium
c) CBI is not SEC and not publicly traded – permits a long-view
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The Math is Irrefutable: Current take-out multiples provide
superior financial returns versus remaining independent for
underperforming banks with limited growth prospects...And
many small banks are underperforming with limited growth
prospects.
Be Proactive: Unsolicited offers are not necessarily “hostile”
and may be greatly appreciated!
Seal the Deal: Although we strongly encourage financial
discipline, a “strategic” deal is often worth the “extra” premium.
Spread the Wealth: Include CIC payments in your modeling;
$$$$ helps secure the support of the target CEO!
M&A FROM BUYERS’ PERSPECTIVE Key Take-Aways for Buyers
STRATEGIC MERGERS
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Challenging operating environment (loan growth, NIM
pressure)
Slow organic revenue growth (and outlook for growth)
Compliance and regulatory costs are increasing
Economies of scale have never been more important
Increased capital requirements
Talent retention and recruitment
Regulatory fatigue
Competing with larger institutions in M&A space
Challenge to get strong community bank stocks to trade at
fair market value
FACTORS INSPIRING STRATEGIC MERGERS Current Performance Challenges
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STRATEGIC MERGERS
Also may be called a “Merger of Equals” or “MOE”
Typically an all stock exchange – sometimes involves a special
dividend/cash payment to equate value
Ownership exchange determined by relative value contribution
with little to no premium paid to either party
Value creation comes from: (i) shared cost savings; (ii) revenue
synergies; (iii) enhanced ability to grow; and (iv) expanded trading
multiples, which means higher pro forma P/Book and P/E multiple
Negotiated “one-off deal” – not a competitive bid process
Equal or proportionate (to share ownership) representation on the
board and senior management team
“Best practices” philosophy often followed with other areas
Unique Transaction Characteristics
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“Exchange Ratio” based on “relative value contribution”
Key considerations in analysis:
1. Market capitalization (for public companies)
2. Contribution analysis
3. Pro forma merger analysis
4. Guideline transactions
Timing for Fairness Opinions
FINANCIAL TERMS OF TRANSACTION Process to Establish
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Balance sheet contribution
- Loans
- Core deposits
- Nonperforming assets
Shareholders’ Equity Contribution
- Tangible Common Equity
- Adjusted Tangible Common Equity (w/ fair value adjustments)
Earnings Contribution
- Net Income
- Adjusted Net Income (for nonrecurring items)
- Pre-Tax Pre-Provision Income (core earnings)
Market Capitalization (if applicable)
STRATEGIC MERGERS Contribution Analysis
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Cost savings – typically not as much as an acquisition
Revenue synergies – bring back loan participations, larger credit
relationships, new lines of business
Per share equivalent analysis (adjusted for exchange ratio)
- EPS
- TBVPS
- Dividends
TBVPS recovery period and EPS cross-over period
Expected market price enhancement – multiple expansion
Note: One party is deemed to be the acquirer for accounting purposes
STRATEGIC MERGERS Pro Forma Merger Analysis
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Compatible cultures and operating philosophy
Company and Bank name - which company/charter survives
Company and Bank headquarters
Resulting board of directors - # of seats each / titles
Resulting CEO and transition plan, if applicable
Senior management structure – all C-level positions
Employment contracts / severance / stay bonuses
Resulting benefit plans
Registration or exemption of securities being issued
Use Term Sheet to outline all key issues
STRATEGIC MERGERS Key Nonfinancial Issues
SELL-SIDE STRATEGIES
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Single party negotiated deal
Limited auction (< 10 parties)
Full auction (complete buyer candidate list)
Market assessment and other factors dictate approach:
- Current and previous overtures
- Financial condition of seller
- Market attractiveness of seller
- Confidentiality concerns
- Board/shareholder interests
- Potential lawsuits from shareholder activists (more common
for publicly-traded companies)
MARKETING APPROACH Key Considerations on How to Market the Bank
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Negotiating leverage is critical
Leverage can include willingness to say “NO” or walk-away
Leverage is better if multiple parties are involved
Bidding process – typically two rounds
Multiple party due diligence
Define negotiating roles
Negotiate LOI/DA issues as a whole not one-by-one
NEGOTIATING STRATEGIES Understanding Negotiating Leverage
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CASE #2: THE ART OF THE EXCHANGE RATIO
Buyer Data Seller Data
Company Name First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. ("FMBI") Great Lakes Financial Resources, Inc. ("GLFR")
Bank Subsidiary First Midwest Bank Great Lakes Bank, N.A.
Headquarters Itasca, Illinois Matteson, Illinois
SEC Reporting / Ticker Yes - FMBI No
Total Assets (06/30/14) $8.3 Billion $584 Million
Year Established 1983 1982
# of Offices 102 8
Deal Information
Deal Announcement Date July 8, 2014
Deal Closing Date December 3, 2014
Deal Terms Whole Bank Deal
Deal Value ($mil) $58.2
Price / Tangible Book 132%
Price / LTM EPS 18.3
Consideration Mix 70% stock and 30% cash
Note: Deal value and pricing ratios as of announcement date.
First Midwest and Great Lakes Financial – Deal Profile
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FIRST MIDWEST & GREAT LAKES Historical Performance
BALANCE SHEET HIGHLIGHTS 2012Y 2013Y YTD 06/14 2012Y 2013Y YTD 06/14
Total Assets $8,099,839 $8,253,407 $8,305,247 $628,421 $581,057 $583,947
Total Loans (Includes HFS) $5,387,570 $5,719,099 $5,969,449 $255,535 $237,359 $251,101
Total Deposits $6,672,255 $6,766,101 $6,895,250 $499,737 $479,606 $478,583
Total Equity $940,893 $1,001,442 $1,039,438 $53,188 $47,839 $53,299
Tangible Equity $659,834 $725,076 $764,476 $46,811 $41,462 $46,922
INCOME STATEMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Net Interest Income $265,668 $260,132 $130,002 $18,878 $17,202 $8,567
Noninterest Income $102,427 $112,202 $52,853 $3,100 $4,377 $1,586
Noninterest Expense $264,183 $256,737 $127,855 $19,610 $17,338 $8,812
Pre-Tax Pre-Provision $103,912 $115,597 $55,000 $2,368 $4,241 $1,341
Provision Expense $158,052 $16,257 $6,782 $600 $0 $0
Securities Gains/(Losses) ($921) ($36) $5,590 $366 $261 $705
Net Income ($21,054) $79,306 $36,164 $1,831 $3,284 $1,325
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
Net Interest Income / Average Assets 3.28% 3.14% 3.11% 3.02% 2.84% 2.91%
Noninterest Income / Average Assets 1.26% 1.35% 1.26% 0.50% 0.72% 0.54%
Noninterest Expense / Average Assets 3.26% 3.10% 3.05% 3.14% 2.86% 3.00%
Pre-Tax Pre-Provision 1.28% 1.40% 1.31% 0.38% 0.70% 0.46%
Provision Expense / Average Assets 1.95% 0.20% 0.16% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00%
Securities Gains/(Losses) / Average Assets -0.01% 0.00% 0.13% 0.06% 0.04% 0.24%
Return on Average Assets -0.26% 0.96% 0.86% 0.29% 0.54% 0.45%
Return on Average Equity -2.18% 8.16% 7.06% 3.52% 6.50% 5.23%
Efficiency Ratio (FTE) 67.14% 66.56% 67.25% 88.04% 79.46% 86.00%
CAPITAL RATIOS
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio 8.40% 9.18% 9.61% 9.66% 10.52% 10.83%
Total Risk-Based Capital Ratio 11.90% 12.39% 12.20% 17.24% 19.02% 18.94%
ASSET QUALITY
Nonperforming Assets $133,176 $95,979 $100,592 $13,933 $14,147 $13,175
Memo: Total Restructured Loans (Not Included in NPAs) $6,867 $23,770 $5,697 $1,668 $1,895 $2,616
NPAs/ Total Assets 1.64% 1.16% 1.21% 2.22% 2.43% 2.26%
Note: All Data from SNL Financial.
(1) First Midwest data based on SEC filings.
(2) Great Lakes data based on FRY-9C filings.
Great Lakes Financial Resources, Inc.First Midwest Bancorp, Inc.
38 First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. Great Lakes Financial Resources, Inc.
FIRST MIDWEST & GREAT LAKES Branch Map
Jun-14
Deposits
City ($000)
Homewood $189,555
Blue Island $132,907
Lansing $50,898
Mokena $46,632
Matteson $32,916
Alsip $27,848
Total Deposits $480,756
GLFR Full-Service Branches
*Does not include limited-service
offices in Flossmoor and Blue Island.
39
Transaction priced initially at $375/share; GLFR wanted to
preserve that per share value as much as possible
First determined no election process – each share gets:
$112.50 in cash (30% of $375), plus
a certain number of FMBI shares
Negotiating the exchange ratio – the typical buyer and seller
concerns on interim period stock movement
Buyer wants to protect from dilution
Seller wants to protect transaction value
GLFR didn’t want traditional “outs” from movement in stock
price (e.g., indexed walk away rights)
FIRST MIDWEST & GREAT LAKES The Challenge: Negotiating the Exchange Ratio
40
FIRST MIDWEST & GREAT LAKES The Exchange Ratio Starting Point
Stock portion initially valued at $262.50 a share (70% x $375)
Initial FMBI stock price based on 20-day volume weighted
average price prior to signing the definitive agreement
The initial exchange ratio:
Stock Value $262.50
FMBI Price $16.68
Exchange Ratio 15.737
Dilemma – protecting the $262.50 value within the dilution
tolerance of FMBI
Solution: collars, cap and a creative “floor” mechanism
Formula Description Note 1 Note 2
FMBI Average Stock Price $12.37 $12.51 $13.34 $14.18 $15.01 $15.85 $16.68 $17.51 $18.35 $19.18 $19.19 $20.01 $20.02 $20.85
% Change to FMBI Avg. Stock Price -25.86% -25.00% -20.00% -15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 15.06% 19.94% 20.00% 25.00%
Fixed or Floating Exchange Ratio Range: Option Fixed Floating Fixed Floating Fixed Cap
Stock Consideration Description:
Fixed Exchange
15% or more decline
in FMBI stock price
Floating Exchange
5% - 15% decline
in FMBI stock price
Fixed Exchange
based on +/- 5%
to FMBI stock price
Floating Exchange
5% - 15% increase
in FMBI stock price
See Note 1
for GLFR
option
Fixed
See Note 2
Cash Consideration Description: Fixed at $112.50
per share
Fixed at $112.50
per share
Fixed at $112.50
per share
Fixed at $112.50
per share Fixed at $112.50
Pricing Analysis
Exchange Ratio 17.589 17.589 17.589 17.589 16.612 15.737 15.737 15.737 15.022 14.369 14.369 14.369 14.364 13.789
FMBI Stock Price $12.37 $12.51 $13.34 $14.18 $15.01 $15.85 $16.68 $17.51 $18.35 $19.18 $19.19 $20.01 $20.02 $20.85
Stock Value Per Share $217.50 $220.04 $234.71 $249.38 $249.38 $249.38 $262.50 $275.63 $275.63 $275.63 $275.77 $287.47 $287.50 $287.50
Cash Value Per Share $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50 $112.50
Total Value Per Share $330.00 $332.54 $347.21 $361.88 $361.88 $361.88 $375.00 $388.13 $388.13 $388.13 $388.27 $399.97 $400.00 $400.00
% Change to Announced Deal Value -12.0% -11.3% -7.4% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% 0.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%
Stock Consideration % 65.9% 66.2% 67.6% 68.9% 68.9% 68.9% 70.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.9% 71.9% 71.9%
Cash Consideration % 34.1% 33.8% 32.4% 31.1% 31.1% 31.1% 30.0% 29.0% 29.0% 29.0% 29.0% 28.1% 28.1% 28.1%
Aggregate Deal Value ($000) $51,183 $51,576 $53,852 $56,127 $56,127 $56,127 $58,163 $60,198 $60,198 $60,198 $60,220 $62,035 $62,040 $62,040
Effective Dividends Per Share $5.63 $5.63 $5.63 $5.63 $5.32 $5.04 $5.04 $5.04 $4.81 $4.60 $4.60 $4.60 $4.60 $4.41
Note 1: Below $330.00 per share in stock/cash value, alternative consideration option to GLFR is provided.
Note 2: Total value to be capped at $400.00 per share.
41
FIRST MIDWEST & GREAT LAKES Exchange Ratio Solution: A Series of Collars, Cap and Floor
42
-25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
FMBI Price $12.51 $13.34 $14.18 $15.01 $15.85 $16.68 $17.51 $18.35 $19.18 $20.02 $20.85
Deal Value $332.54 $347.21 $361.88 $361.88 $361.88 $375.00 $388.13 $388.13 $388.13 $400.00 $400.00
$275.00
$300.00
$325.00
$350.00
$375.00
$400.00
$425.00Deal Value Per Share
-25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
FMBI Price $12.51 $13.34 $14.18 $15.01 $15.85 $16.68 $17.51 $18.35 $19.18 $20.02 $20.85
Exchange Ratio 17.589 17.589 17.589 16.612 15.737 15.737 15.737 15.022 14.369 14.364 13.789
12.000
13.000
14.000
15.000
16.000
17.000
18.000
19.000Exchange Ratio
% Change in FMBI Stock Price
% Change in FMBI Stock Price
Alternative Consideration Option = $330.00
Cap = $400.00
15% decline in FMBI stock price results in only 3.5% decline in deal value
FIRST MIDWEST & GREAT LAKES Exchange Ratio Solution: A Series of Collars, Cap and Floor
43
The Process is Critical: Carefully consider the process
including a full assessment of a negotiated vs. auction process
Maintain Leverage: Negotiating leverage is either having
multiple options or the willingness to say “No”
Understand the Mechanics of Stock Deals: In a normal M&A
environment stock deals are more prevalent and drive
premiums…the Exchange Ratio is the most critical financial
term for both the buyer and seller
Focus on Interim Period Risks: Protect the 4 to 6 month
interim period between signing definitive agreement and
closing/receiving shares
SELL-SIDE STRATEGIES Key Take-Aways for Sellers
44
Thank you for joining us today! We
would appreciate hearing from you.
If you have questions or comments
regarding today’s Webinar, or if you
would like to discuss how Austin
Associates can assist your bank
with any aspect of an M&A strategy,
please contact us.
Thank you!
Craig Mancinotti Managing Director & Principal Investment Banking & Strategic Consulting
419-517-1769
Rick Maroney Managing Director & Principal Investment Banking & Strategic Consulting
419-517-1766
SPEAKER CONTACT INFORMATION