Background for Salmonella Summit - USDA
Transcript of Background for Salmonella Summit - USDA
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Background for Background for Salmonella Salmonella SummitSummit
Stan BaileyStan BaileyUSDA,ARS, BEARUSDA,ARS, BEAR
Athens, GAAthens, GA
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SalmonellaSalmonella and and salmonellosissalmonellosis::the health burdenthe health burden
Estimated annual burden:Estimated annual burden:1.4 million cases (of which 32,000 are culture pos)1.4 million cases (of which 32,000 are culture pos)16,000 hospitalizations16,000 hospitalizations500 deaths500 deaths
Acute gastroenteritis (92%)Acute gastroenteritis (92%)Illness 3Illness 3--5 days5 days
Invasive diseaseInvasive diseaseBacteremiaBacteremia (5%)(5%)Meningitis, Meningitis, osteomyelitisosteomyelitis, others (0.1%), others (0.1%)
Urinary infections in older women (3%)Urinary infections in older women (3%)
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Per Per FoodNetFoodNet the estimated annual incidence reduction the estimated annual incidence reduction from baselines established in 1996from baselines established in 1996--1998 through 20051998 through 2005
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Yers Shig List Campy 157 Sal
% Reduction
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SalmonellaSalmonella positive broiler carcasses by yearpositive broiler carcasses by year
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
% Positive
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SalmonellaSalmonella positive broilers by quarterpositive broilers by quarter
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
J-M 05 A-J 05 J-S 05 O-D 05 J-M 05
% positive
18.3 %
19.7%
14.2% 14.5%
12.0%
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FSIS targets U.S. Poultry FSIS targets U.S. Poultry
Fall 2005: PreFall 2005: Pre--harvest harvest SalmonellaSalmonella meeting meeting ––Athens, GAAthens, GAWinter 2006: PostWinter 2006: Post--harvest harvest SalmonellaSalmonella meeting meeting ––Atlanta, GAAtlanta, GAUndersecretary Raymond and Administrator Undersecretary Raymond and Administrator Masters released new policy and series of action Masters released new policy and series of action points designed points designed ““to assistto assist”” the broiler industry in the broiler industry in reversing the upward trend of high positive reversing the upward trend of high positive SalmonellaSalmonella setssets
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Not just poultryNot just poultry
June, 2006 June, 2006 –– FSIS administration states that it FSIS administration states that it will not just be poultry that faces increased will not just be poultry that faces increased scrutiny. Swine and ground beef have also had scrutiny. Swine and ground beef have also had increases in increases in SalmonellaSalmonella. FSIS efforts to reduce . FSIS efforts to reduce Salmonella Salmonella will continue to focus across all meat will continue to focus across all meat commodities.commodities.
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Why havenWhy haven’’t t SalmonellaSalmonella infection rates infection rates in the U.S. population been reducedin the U.S. population been reduced
Despite claims to the contrary, the Despite claims to the contrary, the ListeriaListeria, , E. coliE. coliO157:H7 and O157:H7 and CampylobacterCampylobacter examples may not examples may not necessarily apply to the necessarily apply to the Salmonella Salmonella situationsituationSalmonellaSalmonella is far more complexis far more complexWe need better attribution We need better attribution We need better risk assessmentsWe need better risk assessments
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SalmonellaSalmonella outbreaksoutbreaksgood attribution data does not existgood attribution data does not exist
In recent years more outbreaks associated with In recent years more outbreaks associated with produce (Roma tomatoes, cantaloupes, sprouts) produce (Roma tomatoes, cantaloupes, sprouts) than with meat productsthan with meat productsPoultry, meat, and eggs are still considered Poultry, meat, and eggs are still considered significant (and possibly primary) sources of significant (and possibly primary) sources of outbreaks and sporadic casesoutbreaks and sporadic cases
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Serotypes in humans Serotypes in humans
RankRank 20022002 20032003 20042004
11
22
33
44
55
66
77
88
99
1010
TyphimuriumTyphimuriumaa 21.921.9
EnteritidisEnteritidis 15.815.8
13.013.0
6.16.1
3.73.7
2.22.2
1.81.8
1.81.8
1.71.7
1.41.4
NewportNewport
HeidelbergHeidelberg
JavianaJaviana
MontevideoMontevideo
MuenchenMuenchen
OranienburgOranienburg
SaintpaulSaintpaul
TyphimuriumTyphimuriumaa 19.719.7
EnteritidisEnteritidis 14.514.5
11.511.5
5.45.4
4.94.9
2.52.5
2.52.5
2.32.3
1.61.6
InfantisInfantis 1.61.6
NewportNewport
HeidelbergHeidelberg
JavianaJaviana
MontevideoMontevideo
SaintpaulSaintpaul
MuenchenMuenchen
OranienburgOranienburg
19.219.2TyphimuriumTyphimuriumaa
EnteritidisEnteritidis
NewportNewport
JavianaJaviana
HeidelbergHeidelberg
MontevideoMontevideo
I 4, [5],12:i:I 4, [5],12:i:--
MuenchenMuenchen
InfantisInfantis
14.114.1
9.39.3
5.05.0
4.94.9
2.42.4
2.12.1
SaintpaulSaintpaul2.12.1
BraenderupBraenderup1.91.9
1.91.9a Includes var. 5- (Formerly var. Copenhangen)
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Top 4 Salmonella serotypes in the U.S. 1970 – 2003
Top 4 Salmonella Serotypes in the United StatesIsolation rates per 100,000 population: 1970-2003
Serotype Enteritidis Heidelberg Newport Typhimurium
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03
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Level of AttributionLevel of Attribution
Genus levelGenus levelSpecies (serotype) levelSpecies (serotype) levelPFGE type (how many enzymes?)PFGE type (how many enzymes?)Phage typePhage typeAntibiogramsAntibiogramsDNA sequencingDNA sequencingHow much discrimination is too much?How much discrimination is too much?
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Salmonella Salmonella (from NARMS)(from NARMS)
~50,000 isolates tested ~50,000 isolates tested since 1997since 1997Serotypes Serotypes
Vary over timeVary over timeVary by sourceVary by source
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Aggregated by source and clinical statusTop serotypes by Source for Salmonella slaughter isolates (1997Top serotypes by Source for Salmonella slaughter isolates (1997--2004)2004)
SOURCESOURCE
RankRank CattleCattlen=6,489n=6,489
ChickenChickenn=8,641n=8,641
SwineSwinen=3,554n=3,554
TurkeyTurkeyn=2,925n=2,925
SerotypeSerotype PctPct SerotypeSerotype PctPct SerotypeSerotype PctPct SerotypeSerotype PctPct
11 MontevideoMontevideo 14.0%14.0% KentuckyKentucky 33.1%33.1% DerbyDerby 25.6%25.6% HeidelbergHeidelberg 21.4%21.4%
22 AnatumAnatum 9.0%9.0% HeidelbergHeidelberg 21.7%21.7% Typhimurium Typhimurium varvar 55--aa 11.1%11.1% HadarHadar 16.2%16.2%
33 NewportNewport 7.6%7.6% Typhimurium Typhimurium varvar 55--aa 6.4%6.4% JohannesburgJohannesburg 6.4%6.4% SeneftenbergSeneftenberg 8.5%8.5%
44 MuensterMuenster 7.1%7.1% TyphimuriumTyphimurium 5.1%5.1% InfantisInfantis 6.3%6.3% ReadingReading 7.2%7.2%
55 TyphimuriumTyphimurium 5.6%5.6% HadarHadar 4.7%4.7% AnatumAnatum 6.2%6.2% AgonaAgona 5.1%5.1%
66 Typhimurium Typhimurium varvar 55--aa 5.5%5.5% MonophasicMonophasic 3.8%3.8% HeidelbergHeidelberg 4.0%4.0% SchwarzengrundSchwarzengrund 4.3%4.3%
77 KentuckyKentucky 5.3%5.3% EnteritidisEnteritidis 3.3%3.3% ReadingReading 4.0%4.0% MuensterMuenster 4.0%4.0%
88 MbandakaMbandaka 4.0%4.0% MontevideoMontevideo 2.6%2.6% TyphimuriumTyphimurium 2.9%2.9% Saint PaulSaint Paul 4.0%4.0%
99 CerroCerro 3.9%3.9% ThompsonThompson 2.6%2.6% AgonaAgona 2.8%2.8% ArizonaArizona 2.9%2.9%
1010 AgonaAgona 3.7%3.7% SchwarzengrundSchwarzengrund 2.2%2.2% MuenchenMuenchen 2.2%2.2% TyphimuriumTyphimurium 2.7%2.7%
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Top SerotypesTop Serotypes-- Slaughter Slaughter ChickenChicken
0
200
400
Num
ber
Kent
ucky
Heide
lberg
Typh
imuri
umHa
dar
Mono
phas
icEn
terit
idis
Mont
evide
oTh
omps
on
Schw
arze
ngru
nd
1999
2001
2003
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
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Serotypes in humans vs. Serotypes in humans vs. chicken (slaughter) 2004chicken (slaughter) 2004
RankRank HumanHuman Chicken (slaughter)Chicken (slaughter)
11
22
33
44
55
66
77
88
99
1010
TyphimuriumTyphimuriumaa 19.219.2
EnteritidisEnteritidis 14.114.1
9.39.3
5.05.0
4.94.9
2.42.4
2.12.1
2.12.1
1.91.9
1.91.9
NewportNewport
JavianaJaviana
HeidelbergHeidelberg
MontevideoMontevideo
I 4, [5],12:i:I 4, [5],12:i:--
MuenchenMuenchen
SaintpaulSaintpaul
44.444.4KentuckyKentucky
TyphimuriumTyphimuriumaa
HeidelbergHeidelberg
EnteritidisEnteritidis
SchwarzengrundSchwarzengrund
MontevideoMontevideo
ThompsonThompson
MbandakaMbandaka
InfantisInfantis
13.413.4
13.113.1
6.66.6
2.82.8
2.32.3
1.71.7
1.51.5
BraenderupBraenderup I 4,[5],12:I:I 4,[5],12:I:--1.51.5
1.41.4
a Includes var. 5- (Formerly var. Copenhangen)
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Percent ofPercent of S. S. EnteritidisEnteritidis isolates tested isolates tested
8.4
22.9
17.714.1
0.52.3
6.63.83.2
1.62.62.9
14.515.817.7
19.416.3
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005*
Perc
ent
Chicken (slaughter) Human
*Preliminary data
CDC data not available for 2003
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Percent ofPercent of S. S. Kentucky isolates tested Kentucky isolates tested
47.1
25.2 25.8
44.4
36.436.330.826.928.3
05
101520253035404550
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005*
Perc
ent
Chicken (slaughter) Human
*Preliminary data
CDC data not available for 2003
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Distribution Distribution TyphimuriumTyphimurium ––Slaughter isolates (1997Slaughter isolates (1997--2004)2004)
42%
31%
21%
5% 1%
ChickenCattleSwineTurkeyEgg
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Total confirmed DT104 by Total confirmed DT104 by source 1997source 1997--20042004
45%
19%
18%
2%
8%
1%2%
2% 3% Swine
Cattle
Dairy Cattle
Cat
Chicken
Dog
Turkey
Horse
Other*DT104 + complex A,B & C,
Total =1330 confirmed
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DT104 by DT104 by sourcesourceaa
aDT104 + complex A,B & C
16
25
40 39
57 59
41
68
11
50
34
2572
98131515
0102030405060708090
100
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
Num
ber
Diagnostic Slaughter On farm
Swine n=597
3 2 1 1 14
11 12
18 14 16
4 31 2 1
7
0102030405060708090
100
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
Num
ber
Diagnostic Slaughter On farm Other
Chicken n=101
3
13
35
18
10
4
10
23 2
37
46
20 20
10 14
3
0102030405060708090
100
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
Num
ber
Diagnostic Slaughter On farm
Cattle n=251
99
31
49
30
12
3
10
30
102030405060708090
100
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
Num
ber
Diagnostic On farm
Dairy n=237
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Phage type Phage type –– Chicken Chicken (regardless of clinical status)(regardless of clinical status)
ChickenChicken1997 n=71997 n=7 1998 n=11 1998 n=11 1999 n=251999 n=25 2000 n=222000 n=22 2001 n=182001 n=18 2002 n=272002 n=27 2003 n=72003 n=7
DT104 N=7DT104 N=7 DT104 N=9DT104 N=9 DT104 N=19DT104 N=19 DT104 N=12DT104 N=12 DT104 N=7DT104 N=7 DT104 N=17DT104 N=17 DT104 N=3DT104 N=3
DT104A N=2DT104A N=2 DT104A N=1DT104A N=1 DT104A N=3DT104A N=3 DT104A N=8DT104A N=8 DT104A N=2DT104A N=2
DT104B N=1DT104B N=1 DT104B N=4DT104B N=4 DT104B N=2DT104B N=2 DT104B N=1DT104B N=1
104L N=1104L N=1
DT12 N=1DT12 N=1
DT120 N=1DT120 N=1 DT120 N=1DT120 N=1
DT126 N=1DT126 N=1
DT193 N=1DT193 N=1 DT193 N=1DT193 N=1 DT193 N=1DT193 N=1
DT208 N=1DT208 N=1 DT208 N=2DT208 N=2
DT65 N=1DT65 N=1
DT1 N=1DT1 N=1
U302 N=1U302 N=1 U302 N=1U302 N=1
UntypableUntypable n=2n=2 UntypableUntypable n=2n=2
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Kentucky PFGE Kentucky PFGE -- ChickenChicken
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S. Newport
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NARMS Patterns Compared to NARMS Patterns Compared to PulseNet USA PatternsPulseNet USA Patterns
VetNet NARMS Top Patterns [All]VetNet NARMS Top Patterns [All] PulseNet USA Top PatternsPulseNet USA Top Patterns
1. JJPX01.0023 (Newport)1. JJPX01.0023 (Newport) 1. JEGX01.0004 (Enteritidis)1. JEGX01.0004 (Enteritidis)
2. JJPX01.0021 (Newport)2. JJPX01.0021 (Newport) 2. JEGX01.0005 (Enteritidis)2. JEGX01.0005 (Enteritidis)
3. JGPX01.0001 (Kentucky)3. JGPX01.0001 (Kentucky) 3. JPXX01.0003 (Typhimurium)3. JPXX01.0003 (Typhimurium)
4. JGPX01.0003 (Kentucky)4. JGPX01.0003 (Kentucky) 4. JEGX01.00024. JEGX01.0002 ((Enteritidis)Enteritidis)
5. JEGX01.0002 (Enteritidis)5. JEGX01.0002 (Enteritidis) 5. JF6X01.0022 (Heidelberg)5. JF6X01.0022 (Heidelberg)
6. JEGX01.0003 (Enteritidis)6. JEGX01.0003 (Enteritidis) 6. JPXX01.0075 (Typhimurium)6. JPXX01.0075 (Typhimurium)
7. 7. TDWX01.0002TDWX01.0002 (Uganda)(Uganda) 7. JABX01.0001 (Agona)7. JABX01.0001 (Agona)
8. JF6X01.0015 (Heidelberg)8. JF6X01.0015 (Heidelberg) 8. JPXX01.0001 (Typhimurium)8. JPXX01.0001 (Typhimurium)
9. JPXX01.0003 (Typhimurium)9. JPXX01.0003 (Typhimurium) 9. JGGX01.0036 (Javiana)9. JGGX01.0036 (Javiana)
10. JF6X01.0011 (Heidelberg)10. JF6X01.0011 (Heidelberg) 10. JP6X01.0001 (Thompson)10. JP6X01.0001 (Thompson)
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Danish Food Attribution ModelDanish Food Attribution Model
Developed by the Danish Developed by the Danish ZoonosisZoonosis CentreCentre
Objective: Objective: To estimate the number of cases of To estimate the number of cases of human human salmonellosissalmonellosis attributable to various animalattributable to various animal--food food sourcessources
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Principal of the Danish ModelPrincipal of the Danish Model
Compare the number of reported human cases caused Compare the number of reported human cases caused by different by different SalmonellaSalmonella types with the distribution of types with the distribution of SalmonellaSalmonella types isolated from the various animaltypes isolated from the various animal--food food sourcessources
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Salmonella associated with specific Salmonella associated with specific animalanimal--food sourcesfood sources
Salmonella Derby
Salmonella AgonaSalmonella Dublin
Salmonella Dublin
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Salmonella associated with specific Salmonella associated with specific animalanimal--food sourcesfood sources
Salmonella Typhimurium DT12
Salmonella Typhimurium DT66SalmonellaTyphimurium DT12
Salmonella Typhimurium DT110
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Danish model assumptions:Danish model assumptions:
There are There are ““typical typestypical types”” found almost exclusively in found almost exclusively in a single animala single animal--food source food source
Subtypes that occur frequently in several animalSubtypes that occur frequently in several animal--food food sources are distributed relative to the occurrence of sources are distributed relative to the occurrence of the the ““typical typestypical types””
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ARS ARS Historical perspectiveHistorical perspective
Methods developmentMethods developmentCultural and rapid methodsCultural and rapid methodsMethods to identify fecal contaminationMethods to identify fecal contamination
Intervention technologiesIntervention technologiesFeed ControlsFeed ControlsHatchery and egg disinfectionHatchery and egg disinfectionCompetitive ExclusionCompetitive ExclusionChemical treatmentsChemical treatmentsPhagePhageBacteriocinsBacteriocinsSteam pasteurizationSteam pasteurizationVaccine development and evaluationsVaccine development and evaluations
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ARSARS
Interaction with FSIS, FDA and CDCInteraction with FSIS, FDA and CDCResearch ProjectsResearch Projects
New methods to measure process controlNew methods to measure process control
National Programs National Programs –– NARMS, NAHMS, CAHFSENARMS, NAHMS, CAHFSETracking prevalence and antimicrobial resistance from Tracking prevalence and antimicrobial resistance from farm to fork and providing culture collection to better farm to fork and providing culture collection to better understand population genetics and antimicrobial understand population genetics and antimicrobial resistance developmentresistance development
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ARSARSData and Research gapsData and Research gaps
Better AttributionBetter AttributionBetter discrimination tools to distinguish epidemiologically relBetter discrimination tools to distinguish epidemiologically relevant evant subtypes. Possibly new techniques, but definitely better linkagsubtypes. Possibly new techniques, but definitely better linkages es between laboratories and data setsbetween laboratories and data sets
InterventionsInterventionsThink outside the box. Work with industry and regulatory agenciThink outside the box. Work with industry and regulatory agencies es to facilitate approval of new technologies.to facilitate approval of new technologies.Genetic manipulationGenetic manipulationConcern definitely exists that eventually the consumer is going Concern definitely exists that eventually the consumer is going to to rebel against the large amounts of chemicals that are currently rebel against the large amounts of chemicals that are currently being being used to reduce used to reduce SalmonellaSalmonella on processed poultry and meat productson processed poultry and meat products
MethodologyMethodology
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ARSARS
Data and Research gapsData and Research gapsMethodologyMethodology
Near real time methodsNear real time methodsQuantitative methodsQuantitative methods
Risk Assessment Risk Assessment Quantitative data neededQuantitative data neededAttribution data neededAttribution data needed