Avis - Investor Presentation - November 2012 FINAL
Transcript of Avis - Investor Presentation - November 2012 FINAL
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Presentation to Investors
November 2012
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Forward-Looking Statements
Statements about future results made in this presentation constitute forward-lookingstatements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.Such forward-looking statements include projections.
These statements are based on current expectations and the current economicenvironment. Forward-looking statements and projections are inherently subject tosignificant economic, competitive and other uncertainties and contingencies, many ofwhich are beyond the control of management. The Company cautions that thesestatements are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materiallyfrom those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements.
Important assumptions and other important factors that could cause actual results to differmaterially from those in the forward-looking statements and projections are specified in theCompany's most recently filed Form 10-K, most recently filed Form 10-Q and other SECfilings.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, whichspeak only as of the date stated, or if no date is stated, the date of our last earnings
conference call.This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SECrules. Important information regarding such measures is contained within this presentation,including in the Glossary section.
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The Business Today
Investing in Profi table Growth Initiatives
Driving Revenue and Earnings
Strong Financial Performance
Driving Sustained, Profitable Growth
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Avis Budget Provides Vehicle Rental Services Worldwide
10,000locations
10,000locations
490,000vehicles490,000vehicles
28 mill iontransactions
28 mill iontransactions
125 mil lionrental days125 mil lionrental days
$7 billionannual
revenue
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Locations in More Than 175 Countries
Owned and joint-venture territories
Licensed territories(a) Source: Airport authorities, Euromonitor
A Global Leader in the Car Rental Industry
#2
#1
#1#1
#1#1
#2
Share position
#2
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Diversified Revenue Sources
Avis vs. BudgetCommercial vs.
LeisureOn-Airport vs.
Off-Airport
30%70% 50%50% 30%70%
U.S. vs.International
40%60%
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The Business Today
Investing in Profi table Growth Initiatives
Driving Revenue and Earnings
Strong Financial Performance
Driving Sustained, Profitable Growth
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$4.5
$5.0
$5.5
$6.0
2008 2009 2010 2011
Solid Post-Recession Revenue Recovery
Note: Results exclude Avis Europe
LTM Revenue($ in billions)
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2009 2010 2011
(a) Pro forma to include Avis Europe; convertedto US$ at average 2011 exchange rates(b) Includes Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa
Substantial Worldwide Licensee Revenue Stream
Licensee Revenue(a)
($ in millions)
$123 $125$132
North America
Europe
OtherInternational(b)
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$1,181
$342
$83
$922
Cash FlowFrom
Operations
CapitalExpenditures
VehiclePrograms
Free CashFlow
Free Cash Flow of More Than $900 Mil lion Since 2007
Note: Data is cumulative for years 2007-2011(a) Excluding vehicle depreciation(b) Including vehicle depreciation
- =+(a)
($ in millions)
(b)
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2012 Year-to-Date Results
(a) Excluding the acquisition of Avis Europe, volume increased 4%, revenue increased 3% and Adjusted EBITDA increased 13%(b) Excluding certain items
Strategic Initiatives Contr ibuting toRecord Growth and Profitabili ty
+34%+33%
+39% +41%
Volume Revenue AdjustedEBITDA
DilutedEPS
(a,b) (b)
(a)
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Investing in Profitable Growth Initiatives
The Business Today
Driving Revenue and Earnings
Strong Financial Performance
Driving Sustained, Profitable Growth
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Driving Sustained, Profitable Growth
Strong Financial Performance
Strategically
Accelerate
Growth
Expand Our
Global
Footprint
Put the
Customer
First
Drive
Efficiency
Throughout
theOrganization
Key Messages
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Numerous Init iatives for Accelerated Growth
InitiativeExpandsMargins 2012 Results
(a)
` Grow international inbound ; +7% volume` Grow small-business rentals ; +8% volume` Grow ancillary revenues ; +7% revenue` Co-brand local market locations (b) ; +121 locations
(a) North America; year-to-date as of September 30, 2012(b) 590 locations in total, representing over half of our local market footprint
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Brands
Growth
Opportunity
Synergies
` Enables us to control our brand proposition globally
Expanding with the Acquisition of Avis Europe
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` Expanding Budget in Europe is a significant opportunity
` Increases our presence in faster-growing markets
` Provides meaningful cost and revenue synergies
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Annual Savings
($ in millions)
`Cost savings
` Inbound volume
` Performance Excellence
` Ancillary sales
` Cost savings` Expand Budget
` Performance Excellence
European Integration Plan to Generate Significant Benefits
` Drive Budget growth
` Fleet optimization
` Cost savings
` Performance Excellence
Phase I(2012)
Phase II(2012-15)
Phase III(>2015)
$40
$55-$75
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Building a Fully Integrated Demand/Fleet/Pricing System
ProfitImprovement
Define
` Processes
` Input variables
` Constraints
2012
Implement andRefine
` Pricing module
` Fleet optimization
` Review, analyzeand adjust
2013
Harvest
` North Americain 2014
` International in2015
2014/15
Expect to Generate More Than $50 Mill ion ofIncremental EBITDA by 2014
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Empowerment
Loyalty
Transparency
Trusted Relationship
` Empowering customers withAvis Preferred Select & Go
Improve the Customer Experience to Drive Profits
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` Simplifying our customer materials for better transparency
` Investing in our brands to drive revenue and loyalty
` Capturing a higher share ofourcustomers rental spend
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Driving Revenue and Earnings
The Business Today
Investing in Profitable Growth Initiatives
Strong Financial Performance
Driving Sustained, Profitable Growth
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Revenue to Increase by Approximately 24% in 2012
$5,541
2011 2012E
EMEAEMEA
$7,300
Revenue($ in millions)
$5,900
Note: 2012 estimate as of November 2, 2012
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$260
$283
$312
$347$361
$324
$262
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
North America Per-Unit Fleet Costs to Decline 6-8% in 2012
LTM Monthly Per-Unit Fleet CostsNorth America
2012E$240-$245
1% 8% 26% 55% 65% 53% 52% 60%Risk %
Note: 2012 estimate as of November 2, 2012
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Lower Vehicle Borrowing Rates
5.8%
4.9%
4.0%
2010 2011 2012E
ABS Term Debt Average Rates (a)
Expect to generate more than $25 million of annualinterest savings year-over-year due to lower rates
(a) U.S. only
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Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth Expected
2012 Estimate(a)
Growth vs. 2011(b)
Revenue $7,300 24%
Adjusted EBITDA 825 840 36%
Non-vehicle D&A 110
Interest expense 265
Pretax income 450 465 41%
Income taxes 167 172
Net income $283 $293 40%
Diluted EPS $2.35 $2.45 45%
(a) As of November 2, 2012; excludes certain items such as acquisition-related costs, restructuring costs and amortization of intangible assets(a) recognized in purchase accounting(b) Based on mid-point of range
($ in millions, except per-share amounts)
Expect Free Cash Flow of at least $375 Million
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2013 Outlook
` Expect demand trends in North America will be similar to 2012
` Rapid Budget growth targeted in Europe
Anticipate macroeconomic challenges in Europe
` Full-year benefit from synergies implemented in 2012 will add$15 to $20 mill ion to Adjusted EBITDA
` Asia-Pacific will benefit from the Apex acquisition
` Expect North America fleet costs to increase by at least
$100 mil lion
` Corporate and vehicle interest costs should decline
Note: As of November 2, 2012
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` Not satisfied with our current pricing
`The used car market appears to have peaked
` Pricing has histor ically risen during periods of cost-push
$30
$10
Average Daily Rate Per-unit Fleet Costs
Adjusted EBITDA Impact of a 1% Change in Driver
AverageDaily Rate
Per-unitFleet Costs
North America
($ in millions)
Maximizing Pricing Opportunit ies
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Long-Term EarningsGrowth Opportunity
Growth in developed markets 2% - 4%Incremental growth from developing markets 1% - 3%
Ancillary revenues 1% - 2%
Fleet and yield optimization 1% - 3%
Productivity growth 2% - 4%
Other strategic initiatives 1% - 3%
Inflationary cost increases (2%) - (4%)
Deployment of free cash flow 5% - 2%
11% - 17%
Multiple Sources of Long-Term Earnings Growth
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Driving Sustained, Profitable Growth
Strong Financial Performance
Strategically
Accelerate
Growth
Expand Our
Global
Footprint
Put the
Customer
First
Drive
Efficiency
Throughout
theOrganization
Key Messages
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$30
$13 $12$10
$15
$6 $5$4
Average Daily Rate Rental Days Utilization Per-unit Fleet CostsAverage DailyRate
Rental Days Utilization Per-unitFleet Costs
Adjusted EBITDA Impact of a 1% Change in Driver($ in millions)
North America International
A-1
$45
$19$17
$14
Substantial Margin Improvement
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No Corporate Debt Maturities Until 2014
$700
$250
$725
$130
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Term loan Senior notes Convertible notes
$300
($ in millions)
Note: As of November 8, 2012; pro forma for the planned fourth quarter redemption of 7.75% notes due 2016
$1,425
$250
$380
$50
$450
A-2
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Well-Laddered ABS Term Maturities
($ in millions)
Note: Data are U.S. only as of September 30, 2012
$300
$530 $510
$960 $950 $920
$350
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Refinancing completed
A-3
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7.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Substantial Margin Improvement
Note: Excluding the acquisition of Avis Europe(a) Excluding certain items
Margins haveimproved490 bps
since 2006
LTM Adjusted EBITDA Margin(a)
12.0%
2.3%
A-4
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