Aviation & Climate Change › environmental-protection › GIACC › ... · 2012-05-18 · Aviation...
Transcript of Aviation & Climate Change › environmental-protection › GIACC › ... · 2012-05-18 · Aviation...
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Aviation & Climate Change
Presentation to GIACCICAO, Montreal
February 26, 2008
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Aviation & Climate Change
Why are we here today?
What are the challenges?
What is the industry doing?
The way forward
Expectations of ICAO & GIACC
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Aviation & Climate Change
Why are we here today?
What are the challenges?
What is the industry doing?
The way forward
Expectations of ICAO & GIACC
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Strong Industry track record
Over the last 40 yearsSoot has been eliminatedNoise reduced 75%Fuel efficiency improved 70%
Further 25% by 2020 ATA 30% by 2025
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Our carbon footprint is small but growing
From 2% today to 3% in 2050 (IPCC)
Global CO2 Emissions
Source: IPPC/WRI
Aviation’s Contribution to CO2 Emissions
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
GIACC’s Mandate: Vital & Urgent
ICAO Assembly in September:
Unanimous support (179 States) for a comprehensive approach
IATA 4-pillar strategy
179 States mandated ICAO to:Take strong leadershipDevelop an aggressive plan of action
Policy issues need resolution
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Aviation & Climate Change
Why are we here today?
What are the challenges?
What is the industry doing?
The way forward
Expectations of ICAO & GIACC
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Growing carbon footprintFuture traffic growth: 5.2% per annum
Emissions growth: ~3% per annum
Imperative to decouple
Constraints:Safety firstLong implementation timelinesSingle fuel technologyDependence on governments
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Aviation & Climate Change
Why are we here today?
What are the challenges?
What is the industry doing?
The way forward
Expectations of ICAO & GIACC
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Our Vision Is for carbon neutral growth
Leading to a zero carbon emissions future
Requires a comprehensive Industry approach
Airlines, manufacturers, airports, ATM
Requires government supportInfrastructureEconomic Incentives
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
TechnologyAirframe, engineCleaner bio-fuels, new energy sources
InfrastructureImprove air routes, ATM & airport procedures
Aircraft operationsDrive for maximum efficiency & minimum weight
Economic instrumentsIncentives to finance technology R & D Carbon offsets & trading
IATA Four Pillar Strategy
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Inspiring InnovationSolar Impulse
Image of Solar Impulse…Paul has it
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Carbon Neutral Growth
Infrastructure
Economic instruments
Time
100
200
Operations
Traffic growth (5% pa)
Technology
Emissions growth (2-3% pa)
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Short term:AerodynamicsWeight reductionsEngine upgrades
Medium term - 2020:New wing & fuselage profilesNext generation engines
Pillar 1: Technology - AircraftLong term:
Entire new aircraft design
IATA actions:Industry united and mobilizedTechnology roadmap Regulatory environment
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Pillar 1: Technology - Alternative FuelsSeveral Industry initiatives
Airbus Gas-to Liquids Test 0208Virgin Biofuels Test 0208Air New Zealand Biofuels Test Q408
IATA actionsProvide information and knowledgeDevelopment of fuel specificationSupport Drop-In fuels100% sustainable fuels in long term
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Pillar 2: Operations“Green Team”programme
30 Gap Analyses in 2007– Saving US$ 1.3bn and 7m tonnes of CO2
Target of further 6 m tonnes in 2008
Flight Operations:APU vs. Ground PowerFlight ManagementContinuous Descent Approach
Engineering & Maintenance:Weight reductionMaintenance actions (e.g. SQ)
Dispatch:Flight Planning accuracy (LH, LIDO)Fuel planning
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Pillar 3: Infrastructure
Fuel savings 2007:
US$ 817 million377 routes80 airports3.73 million tonnes CO2
Optimisation of routes & terminal areas
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Implement the global planPerformance-based navigation
Single European SkyU.S. NextGenContinued expansion of RVSM
Russia, Central Asia and Africa
Airports Arrival / departures proceduresContinuous Descent Approaches (CDA)Focus on problem areas, e.g. JFK, LHR, Pearl River Delta
Reduced separation in oceanic airspace
Pillar 3: Infrastructure: Government Action Needed
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Bay of Bengal Cooperative Air Traffic Flow Management
Advisory System (BOBCAT)
Implemented 5 July, 200750,000 tonnes CO2
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China: implemented 21 Nov1.1 M tonnes CO2
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Panama approach procedures
Fuel savings 2007:US$ 7 million31,000 tonnes CO2
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Economic Measures
Taxes and charges do nothing for environment
Emissions tradingCould play a role, if properly designedMust be fair, global and voluntary
Carbon offsetting programmesInfluence consumers’ behaviourNumerous airline offset programmes Need harmonisation, certification & recognition
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Carbon Offsetting
26+ airlines offer carbon offset programmesIATA developing industry level programme
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Aviation & Climate Change
Why are we here today?
What are the challenges?
What is the industry doing?
The way forward
Expectations of ICAO & GIACC
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Holistic approach imperativeEncompassing all 4 pillars
Clear role for governmentsInfrastructure upgrades essential
Incentives for R&D
Incentives for all industry players
Penalties do nothing for innovation & growth
Taxation / charges take money away from solutions
Landing / take-off slot limits ineffective
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Positive economic incentives rather than penalties
Emissions Trading could be a useful tool ….. BUT!Domestic or regional solutions are sub-optimalAuctioning is a concealed tax that robs airlines ability to investAll funds collected must be re-invested in the aviation industry
Carbon Offsets as a transition toolBridge the time gap before new technologies kick inNo double counting
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Aviation & Climate Change
Why are we here today?
What are the challenges?
What is the industry doing?
The way forward
Expectations of ICAO & GIACC
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
An aggressive and comprehensive plan of action
Build on the work of CAEP and other bodiesNo need to re-invent the wheel
Clear metrics and timelines
Streamlined & focussed process
Secure States’ commitments to R&D and infrastructure
Positive economic incentives over penalties
Need for impetus to change the policy framework
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February 26, 2008GIACC MONTREAL
Post Kyoto Framework will be set
ICAO’s last opportunity to:Demonstrate leadership
Propose a concrete action plan to the Kyoto II / Copenhagen process
URGENCY! - We have 2 to 3 years!
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Anything is possible
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Air transport was built by turning dreams into reality
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Aviation & Climate Change
Presentation to GIACCICAO, Montreal
February 26, 2008