Automatic Meter Reading Implementation Howard A. Scott, Ph.D. COGNYST CONSULTING, L.L.C. Technology...
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Transcript of Automatic Meter Reading Implementation Howard A. Scott, Ph.D. COGNYST CONSULTING, L.L.C. Technology...
AutomaticAutomatic Meter Meter ReadingReading
ImplementationImplementation
Howard A. Scott, Ph.D.COGNYST CONSULTING, L.L.C.
Technology and Customer Service for the Utility Industry
AMR Training, February 2, 2005
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
AgendaAgenda
• AMR Business Case elements and the thinking that should go into it
• AMR Project Management
• Procurement
• Implementation
• Summary
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
AMR Business AMR Business Case ElementsCase Elements
• Elements of a business case
• The process of building the business case
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
AMR Deployment Strategies Tied to Technology, Business Case
• Rapid, full-scale deployment• Surgical or niche(e.g., hard to reads, large
customers, special needs)• Opportunistic (any field work/meter mgt.)
BusinessPlan
[Deployment]Strategies
ImplementationPlan
Technology
Financial SituationOther capital reqs., revenue, coverageratios, etc.
Needs/DriversImproved operations, con-servation, load mgt., demo-graphics, reliability, etc.
Recommen-dations
RFPProcurement,
etc.
CurrentSituation
Goals,Objectives
Existing Systems (Meter reading, CIS, Load Mgt., Outage Mgt., etc.)
CurrentSituation
Goals,Objectives
Existing Systems (Meter reading, CIS, Load Mgt., Outage Mgt., etc.)
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Typical AMR Strategic Considerations• Alignment with corporate vision,
objectives, strategies• Key issues or drivers• Target customer segments• Available technologies• Standards and interoperability• Technology migration strategies• Expected impact on loads,
capacity requirements, energy purchases
• Density of customers• Business case hurdles• New services• Service area geography
• Data requirements, ownership, management
• Impact on staffing• Impact on policies• Ownership & financing options• Procurement practices• Meter optimisation• Integration with other information
systems• Political and public relations
aspects• Timing• Risk tolerance• Opportunity to collaborate
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Avg. Reading & Customer Service Cost
Reading and Related CustomerService Costs
Value plus
Analysis May Need to Reach Beyond Average Meter Reading Cost
Customers in Groups of 5 Percent
Cost per
read ($)
Average Reading Cost
Meter Reading Costs
AutomateThese
““Tyranny of the Average” Prevents ActionTyranny of the Average” Prevents Action
AMR CostThreshold
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AMR-Produced Information Enables Second-Tier Benefits
Information
Direct Savings
Control
Planning
New Services
How To DoLess Work
Extend Life of Assets
Organization-Wide Perspective Needed To See Problems and
Opportunities
Billing Cus. Serv.
MR,Field
Service Meter Shop
COGNY ST CONSULTING, L.L.C.COGNY ST CONSULTING, L.L.C.
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Utility Customer Service Consists of Several Key Processes
. . .BeginState
EndState
• On-cycle meter reading
• “Advanced” services reading
• Billing
• Remittance Processing
• Collections
• Opening and closing accounts
• High bill investigations
• Theft Investigation
• Outage investigation, restoration
• Load research
• Handling other customer inquiries and complaints
• Establishing new services
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More Sophisticated Applications Have More Stringent Data Requirements
• Monthly kWh reading – one read per month• Off-cycle meter reading – read within several days• Monthly kW demand – 2nd register, or interval monitoring• Power demand – kW, kVA, KVAR peak values (and time of
occurrence)• Static time of use – cumulative consumption in multiple tiers• Real-time pricing – communication to customer• Curtailment or interruptible service – communication to customer,
real-time read• Power quality monitoring - instantaneous drops, phase voltage
measurements• Outage detection – real-time monitoring
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Time of Use Metering Requirements
• Significant differential (true marginal cost)
• Time-synchronization• Highly reliable data• Customer education• Customer-based
usage control technology
• Database to store history and bill from
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Hours
Cost
per
kW
H
Peak
Off-Peak
Shoulder
Each application hasrelated requirements
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Benefits and Costs for Key Customer Segments
CUSTOMER SEGMENT
Rural
Suburban Residential
Small Commercial
C&I
Etc.
Cycle Reads
Off-cycle Reads
Watch-dog.
Pro-filing
AM
R A
pp
lic
ait
on
Etc.
Data requirementsBenefits/willingness-to-pay/revenueSystem InterdependenciesDirect costsIndirect costsRisk factors
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Model and Quantify Existing Processes
Customergets billfor prior
consumption
Customercallsabout
high bill
CSRattempts
to resolveon phone
Resolved
Customerpays bill
(unhappy?)
CSRdispatches
re-read
ReadwasOK
CSRdispatchesinvestigator
Access
Problemfound
Customergets
adjustment
100,000/yr
Y
N
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
50,000/yr 40,000/yr
Correct,rebill
30,000/yr
20,000/yr
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Redesign Existing Processes Incorporating Vision
AMR/CISflags high
consumption
Customernotified
Customerresolvesproblem
CustomerCalls
Customerpays bill
(unhappy?)
CSRdispatchesinvestigator
Access
Problemfound
Investigatorcross-sells
200,000/yr
N
Y
Y
Y
N
N
10,000/yr40,000/yr
5,000/yr
Here’s your consumptionWhy it may be high (rate increase, FAC, etc.)You may feel there’s a problemHere’s how to checkHere’s who you call(We don’t adjust)
CSRattempts
toresolve
Resolved
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Steps in Building AMR Business Case1. Establish project champion, exec. sponsor, core team.2. Get educated: drivers, stakeholders, environment.3. Develop vision of the ideal system. Share with stakeholders. Identify
concerns.4. Establish base information in benefit areas.5. Model key processes in benefit areas, throughputs.6. Conceptually redesign key processes using AMR.7. Repeat steps 5,6 for major combinations of customer segments and
applications. Estimate savings.8. Estimate costs. Assemble benefits and costs into economic/financial model.9. Identify and prioritise barriers, risk factors. Develop mitigation strategies.
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Contribution to Annual Savings from AMR - Composite
On-cycle ReadInitial/Final
Field Inves.
Outage Mgt.
Billing/Acctg.
Cus. Serv.
Theft Rdctn.
Meter Accur.
Load Mgt.
Arrears/Coll.
Cashflow
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Capital Cost—Everything That Must Be Laid Out Up Front to Realize the Benefits
Capital
Cost
Meters Retrofit indexes/registers Meter interface units Data collection equip. Installation Handheld readers/
programmers Communication
infrastructure IT infrastructure
Project management Professional services
(purchasing, legal) Public relations Customer communications Employee communications Human Resources Plan Initial training
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O&M Costs—Everything Required to Use and Keep the System Running
System Operators Communications costs RF licensing fees Data warehousing Back-up and preventive
maintenance On-going training Warranty costs Software maint. fees Data analysts
Maintenance technicians and clerks
Maintenance vehicles and equipment
Inventory, repair parts Shipping for repairs,
replacements
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Direct, Hard Savings & Increased Revenues
Meter Readers Billing Clerks Customer Service Reps. Field Investigators Meter shop and field
service Vehicles, equipment,
insurance, etc. Labour benefits, overhead,
administration Postage, phone, building, etc.
Increased meter registration Reduce theft, losses New service revenues Reduce cash flow/float Reduce outage management
costs
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Some Additional Considerations for Economic/Financial Analysis
• Type and number of meter/MIU situations for installation
• Meters to be changed or replaced versus retrofitted
• Type of labour that will do installations• Suspension of normal meter changeout during
installation• Inflation and discount factors• Lag factor for savings
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Someone Is Going to Ask About the Hard Costs and Savings
• What’s the cost, payback, benefit/cost ratio?• Costs and benefits don’t occur all at once• Other measures: IRR, DCF, NPV,
ROIC, ROA, ???• Sensitivity analysis• Alternative scenarios
Show methe money.
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Other, Less Quantifiable Benefits Can Be Part of Business Case
Employee moraleEmployee turnoverCustomer satisfaction Investor relationsPolitical capital
Environmental qualityBrand recognitionCompetitive positioningConservationSystem reliability
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Risk Factors (Some More Legitimate than Others) and Mitigations Must Be Included
Battery lifeTechnical obsolescenceLacks of standards/
interoperability/ sole sourcing
Unproven technologyReliability and
performanceLong-term viability of
vendor
Excessive failure ratesFailure to hit business case
“targets” Increased maintenance, higher
than expected operating costs Inability to achieve savings
Rejection by various stakeholders
Deregulation, stranding of assets
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
AMR Project AMR Project ManagementManagement
• Dimensions of project management
• The Project Manager and the project team
• Selling the project
• Project planning
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Dimensions of Project Management• Work integration – project plan and control processes• Task definition and scheduling• Scope and time mgt. – consensus on work, deliverables, exclusions,
deadlines, milestones• Procurement – developing, executing and monitoring contracts with
products and service providers• Human resources mgt. – identifying skills and availability, defining
responsibilities, selecting and training staff• Communications – gathering and disseminating information, managing
expectations; key tool for control• Quality mgt. – identifying standards and targets, monitoring• Cost mgt. – budgeting, estimating and control• Change management – adjusting and rescheduling• Risk management
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Measures of AMR Project Success Can Be Multi-Dimensional and Subjective
• On-time• Within budget• Project goals met: delivered substantially what
was expected (specific performance of system)• Intangible benefits realized• Quality of the product – users satisfied• No “casualties,” either to the team or internal
relationships• Potential for long-term benefits created
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Strong Project Manager Most Often Cited as Critical Success Factor
• Project champion• Time should be 100%
dedicated• Must be “on the hook” for the
project• Project Manager Success
Skills– Project planning and budgeting– Systems thinking– Controlling the project– Communications– Salesmanship
• Project Manager Leadership Characteristics- Vision- Enthusiasm- Expectations- Empathy- Courage- Aptitude to subject
(technology)- “Street sense,” political
awareness
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Successful Project Manager Must Address These Issues
• Implementing change in the organization• Fostering creative behaviour, despite obstacles• Gaining resources, support and fair treatment• Avoiding destructive adversarial relationships
with people whose help and cooperation are needed
• Getting subordinates to work together as a team• Wielding organizational “power” (to attract good
people, support)
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Every Successful AMR Project Needs An Executive Sponsor
• “Runs interference” for the PM and team• Helps secure resources and support• Strong and consistent senior management
support is critical to success• Helps PM keep the project on executive
“radar screens”– Regular reports and updates– Opportunities for input
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AMR Project Stages Require Variety of Skills and Knowledge
STAGE Str
ate
gic
Th
ink
ing
Re
se
arc
h
Tea
m B
uild
ing
Se
llin
g
Ne
go
tia
tin
g
Ch
an
ge
Mg
t.
An
aly
sis
Po
litic
al S
av
vy
Le
ad
ers
hip
Tec
hn
olo
gy
Uti
lity
Op
s
Pro
jec
t D
es
ign
Pro
jec
t M
gt.
Pre
se
nta
tio
ns
Ec
on
om
ics
/Fin
.
Bu
dg
eti
ng
IT Le
ga
l/Co
ntr
ac
ts
Pu
blic
Re
lati
on
s
HR
Co
ntr
ac
t M
gt.
Ma
rke
tin
g
Exploration X x x X x x
Trial X X X x x x x x x
Business Case X x X x X x X X X x X X
Approval/$$$ x X x x X X x X x X
RFP x X x x X X X x x X X x
Selection x x X x x X X
Negotiation x x X x X x x X
Imple. Planning X x X x X X X X X X x
Install x x X x X x x X
O&M x x x X
Integration X x x X x x X X x x X x X
SKILL/KNOWLEDGE
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Continuity of Teams Between Phases Ensures Smooth Project Progress
FeasibilityStudy Team
ProcurementTeam
ImplementationTeam
Operating Team
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Project Manager Must Build Team
• Complement PM’s own skills and expertise• Not the same as the PM’s assistants or direct reports• Provides input and “buy-in” by different stakeholders• Identify expertise and skills needed, search for resources• Convince stakeholders to lend resources• Skills and subject matter expertise – different ones are
needed at different times• Enthusiasts• Seek personal and organizational diversity (engineering,
customer service, financial, legal, regulatory, procurement, metering, operations, audit, marketing)
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
START END•Work tasks are largely independent•Work has to be close supervised
Project Plan with Decision Points Is Easier to Manage
START END•Management complicated by interdependencies
START ENDPhase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
• Decision points represent opportunities to review assumptions
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AMR Project Engineering – Build Work Breakdown Structure
• Organize project into hierarchy– Phases – 1st level– Activities – 2nd level– Tasks – 3rd level
• Unit: task– Start and end dates– Duration (after schedule has been developed)– Effort estimate– Deliverable, completion measurements– Quality measurements– Standards
• Detailed tasks should be assignable to one person or role• Responsible parties must acknowledge assignment
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Most People Underestimate How Long it Takes to Complete a Task
Estimates of Project Task
At Project Initiation
During Project
Planning
At Beginning of Execution
Actual
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
±10% Is a “Direct Hit”
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Estimates Provide Opportunity for Reality Check
• Use standard estimates or make them up– Weighted AVErage = [Optimistic + 4 Most Likely + Pessimistic] 6– Networking for others’ experiences– Delphi technique
• Adjusted Effort = Standard Skill Factor (1 – IF) (1- PTE), where– Skill Factor: Expert=0.5, Highly skilled=0.75, Average-1.– WIF = Work interruption factor, typically 30% (meetings, idle time)– PTE = Part-time effect
– If person working full-time on project, PTE = 0– If person working ¾ time on project, PTE = 10%– If person working ½ time on project, PTE = 15%– If person working ¼ time on project, PTE = .2
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Project Plan Includes Risk Assessment, Contingency Planning
• Assess Risk Factors– Size of project – duration, cost, resources, number of stakeholders,
interfaces– Stability - sponsorship and support, continuing priority, Change required in
organization (e.g., staffing, policies)– Experience – organization's experience with this type of project, team’s
experience
• Question assumptions– Technology doesn’t work as promised– Key team member leaves project/reorganization– Customers don’t accept
• Estimate Seriousness = Likelihood Impact• Develop and agree on contingency strategies: prevention,
mitigation, or acceptance
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Procurement • System Selection Criteria
• Vendor Relationships
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Several Factors Influence AMR Technology Selection
• Amount of data needed• Expected features• Anticipated impact on system
operations• Cost• Ease of interaction with other
systems• Industry experience with this
technology• Expected future uses• Ability of different utility
departments to work together
• Expectations and enthusiasm of utility managers
• Decision-making and procurement processes
• Degree of risk-aversion• Growth rate• Capital budget• Meter location• Existing meter population
(type, age, make and model)
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Vendor Selection Criteria Reflect Organization’s Needs
• Cost: capital versus life-cycle• Responsiveness to requirements• Clarity of the proposal• Strength of vendor team• Personnel designated for the project• Experience, references• Creativity, innovation• Support, warranties
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Precedence Relationships - Contract, RFP and the Detailed Statement of Work
• Don’t rewrite RFP into the contract – it’s an attachment• Don’t write DSOW into the contract – too hard to change• Determine what should be in the contract and what should
be in the DSOW
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Implementation Implementation • Implementation scenarios and organization
• Pre-installation planning elements
• Project control system
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Implementation Considerations • Implementation Planning Team, subteams• Project Management Team• Managing product and service suppliers• Project schedule, milestones, Gantt chart, etc.• Training of utility staff• Vendor/utility coordination• Equipment delivery, inspection and inventory• Installation procedures• Project installation control system• Communications plan• Human resources plan• CIS integration/synchronization• Process and policy adjustments
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Implementation Organization for General Contractor Scenario
Cus. Ser. Rep.
Comm.Rel.
Other
ProjectManager
Ass’t. ProjectManager
Admin.Ass’t.
FieldInsp.
FieldInsp.
Reviews progress,provides resources,solves problems,overall guidance
Manages overallproject, internal liaison
Supervises fieldoperations, installations
Assist installers,inspect installations,troubleshoot
Reconciles,work orders,
confirms workcompleted
AMR Project Steering Committee
Operat’nsRep.
HR Rep.IT Rep.
FieldInsp.
. . .
Supportscommunications,
project tracking
ProjectAccountant
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Effective Training is Critical Element of Project Success
• Too often approached haphazardly in tender, procurement stage
• Training costs time and money• Inadequate training: people uncomfortable with system,
don’t take responsibility for learning, don’t use all capabilities, call vendor too much
• Worst case – system performance, reliability suffer• Training must be a vendor-utility partnership• Just-in-time training• Train the trainer• Performance-based training ensures learning• Customized training materials
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Installation Procedures – Working with Contractors
• Standard operating procedures versus non-standard operating procedures
• Employee screening• Replacement versus retrofit; job classifications• Performance criteria for individual installers• No. of installation attempts• AMR programming, data collection• Master schedule – needed for coordination (e.g.,
manual meter reading)• “Don’t touch” criteria and procedures• Adjusting procedures through regular meetings
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Data in Utility's Systems Must Precisely Match Field Components
CustomerPremises
MeterRegister/
IndexMIU DCU
HostController
CustomerInformation
System
COGNY ST CONSULTING, L.L.C.© COGNY ST CONSULTING, L.L.C.©
GeographicInformation
SystemWorkOrder
System
Database Database
Database
Database
- Address- Location- Other Attributes
- Meter #- Service- Location- Etc.
- ID#- Units- Etc.
- ID#- Etc.
AssetMgt.
System
- ID#?- Etc?
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Control System is Critical to Successful Project Management
• Ensures data is transferred accurately• Ensures proper data in billing system• Ensures all work orders get closed• Ensures contractors’ invoices are correct and
promptly paid• Enables project team to manage work• Ensures confidence in system Ensures system is working properly Recommendation: electronic project control
system with paper backup Digital photographs of removed meter
indices/registers
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Effective Communications Smoothes Project, Prevents Costly Misinformation
• Objectives– Increased acceptance– Increase installation
efficiently– Smoother transition
• Branding the project• Timing/reinforcement• Format, media• Content
• Audiences:– Directly impacted
employees– Indirectly impacted
employees– Customers/consumers– Local community groups– Mayors, council(s)– Board– Shareholders– Financial community
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Integration Integration • Objectives
• Technology
• Process Redesign
• Policy Adjustments
• Operations and Maintenance
• Sales and Marketing
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Integration Deals with How the System Benefits Are Realized
• Merging operation of the new system into processes of rest of organization
• Merging maintenance procedures for new system with existing maintenance organization
• Using data from the new system fully for revenue- cycle services, system management
• Applying capabilities of system to new products and services
• Establishing continuous improvement around use of system
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Integration Objectives• Realizing all benefits “sold” in business case• Maximizing benefits/strategic advantages• Ensure system costs remain in line with
projections• Ensuring stability, longevity of system
The Seeds of Integration Must Be Sown Early, So It Is Expected• Project Manager must sell ideas in feasibility stage.• Project team must include personnel from impacted areas.• Stakeholders should go through a process reengineering
exercise, to be revisited later.
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Modifying Policies for AMR• Access to meters, AMR devices• Requirements to permit installation• Responsibly for vandalism• Response to theft of service• Ownership of data• Limitation on adjustments
– Do policy adjustments require changes to charter? Regulatory commission approval?
– Are third parties (advocacy groups) involved?– Timing: how long to change them, when do you start?– Who works on this?
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Operation and Maintenance Protocols• How quickly to respond to missed reads• Ability to estimate; tolerance for estimates• Who reads the meters (job descriptions)• Physical inspections• Tweaking mobile routes to maximize yield• Audits, manual reads• Preventive maintenance on network• Monitoring noise, protecting the frequency
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Sales and Marketing Integration• What was the business case based on? e.g., negative
demand• Need to establish creative process• Providing additional value to customers with new
services derived from the system• Example: TOU, TOD consumption profiles
– Marketing and roll-out; target markets– Service charges– Availability/reliability– Sign-up rates/penetration– Cross selling– Data mining/links to CRM
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SummaryA brief overview was presented:• What is metering?• What is Advanced Metering (AM)?• How do the technologies work?• To what extent is AM in use? • How do you build an AM Business Case?• How do you manage an AM Project?• How is an AM system procured?• What do I have to do to implement an AM project?
Copyright 2005 by , Pequannock, NJ 07440. All rights reserved.
Questions?
Howard A. Scott, Ph.D.
Phone: 973-696-5793
Fax: 973-696-4832