David C. Adams President

Automated Vehicles How Soon? How Disruptive

May 27, 2016. CCIF – Montréal, QC

Global Automakers of Canada (GAC)

Associates

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Complexity of the Modern Automobile

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Informationisbeautiful.net, 2015, Codebases v 0.9, Sept 24, 2015

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Space Shuttle

18,000 pages of text

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Complexity of the Modern Automobile

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Informationisbeautiful.net, 2015, Codebases v 0.9, Sept 24, 2015

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Boeing 787

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Complexity of the Modern Automobile

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Informationisbeautiful.net, 2015, Codebases v 0.9, Sept 24, 2015

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Space Shuttle

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Mars Curiosity Rover

Boeing 787

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Facebook

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Mouse DNA

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What’s driving vehicle automation?

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“The human driver is the most intelligent but least reliable element of the active driving process.”

John Cooper Vehicle Integrated Functions IAV Automotive Engineering Inc.

What are the “drivers” behind AVs

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Which one is the automated vehicle?

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2014 Acura RLX

Google Car prototype

BOTH !

• LKAS • ACC • LDW • FCW • ETC.

Automated Driving Assistance System (ADAS)

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Lane– keeping assist system

Controls to access LKAS and ACC

Forward and Rear Collision Warning

Introduction of ADAS

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Boston Consulting Group, 2015 , A Roadmap to Safer Driving Through Advanced Driver Assistance Systems

Understanding the technology: it’s important

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http://www.mycardoeswhat.org/

AV leadership and implementation

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By 2020, manufacturers are expected to offer enhanced self-driving capability that includes the ability to change lanes and follow simple directions from a navigation system. Drivers will still be needed to monitor progress and be prepared to take over when the traffic situation gets too complex. Truly driverless cars are expected by 2025, but this date will depend on legislative changes as well as steady improvements in technology.

- Navigant Research

Source :Navigant Research

Levels of Automation

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SAE International. Handout, Automated Driving Levels of driving automation are defined in new SAE international StandardJ3016. :

http://www.sae.org/misc/pdfs/automated_driving.pdfhttp://www.sae.org/misc/pdfs/automated_driving.pdf

AV “Common Language” - SAE J3016 Standard

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AV development is bifurcated

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“Something Everywhere” • Integration and addition of new AV

technologies with each subsequent generation of vehicle

“Everything Somewhere” • Fully automated pods /vehicles

oriented for specific use or specific geographic area

Automated driving: Now

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Volvo S60 – Drive Me Audi A7 - piloted driving

Lexus GS 450h – Mobility Teammate BMW i3 - Active Assist

https://youtu.be/bslJVikdUjohttp://www.volvocars.com/intl/about/our-innovation-brands/intellisafe/intellisafe-autopilot/this-is-autopilot

The Importance of Reliable Data

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http://www.bild.de/regional/dresden/google-maps/google-maps-hat-waldschloesschen-bruecke-in-ozzy-osbourne-bruecke-umbenannt-36410020.bild.html

Interpretations of an automated driving future

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Nissan Intelligent Driving System (IDS) Concept

Honda Wander Stand concept

Mercedes-Benz Vision Concept

https://youtu.be/h-TLo86K7Ck

Why 2020 is a key year

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"Our vision is that no one is killed or injured in a new Volvo by 2020.”

Anders Eugensson Head of Government Affairs, Volvo

Nissan, Toyota and Honda all want to be positioned to showcase highly automated vehicles to the world to take Olympic athletes to their events at 2020 Olympics in Tokyo.

"Apple, which has been working secretly on a car, is pushing its team to begin production of an electric vehicle as early as 2020.“

- Bloomberg

“We think sometime after 2020 we will be ready for the first highly automated functionality, which means the driver will be actually able to do something other than monitor the system.“

Michael Aerberhard, BMW

Make no mistake: AV technology is an industry disruptor

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“The tech companies will take as much space as we are ready to abandon.”

- Carlos Ghosn, CEO Nissan Motor Co.

Apple iCar?

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"A car has batteries; it has a computer; it has a motor; and it has mechanical structure. If you look at an iPhone, it has all the same things. It even has a motor in it"

Tony Fadell Former SVP, Apple

Consumer Acceptance of AVs

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Source: EY 2015, Who’s in the driving seat?

Obstacles to Automated Vehicle Adoption

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• Not Technical….

• But rather: o Legal o Jurisdictional o Insurance o Social

Piloted Driving

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https://youtu.be/EPTIXldrq3Q?list=UU5f97D60yHa7UE9rFfbej8g

2 Bloor St W Suite 1804, PO Box 5 Toronto, ON M4W 3E2 Tel 416.595.8251 | globalautomakers.ca David C. Adams President dadams@globalautomakers.ca

Contact us

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