AutobestSummit Series First Edition on Autonomous...

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© AutoVista Group 2016. Reproduction and commercial distribution is strictly prohibited Autobest Summit Series First Edition on Autonomous Driving Bucharest, June 13th 2018

Transcript of AutobestSummit Series First Edition on Autonomous...

Page 1: AutobestSummit Series First Edition on Autonomous Driving2018.autobestsummit.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/...KPMG 2017 –place 9 confirmed for autonomous and self-driving cars,

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AutobestSummit Series

First Edition on Autonomous Driving

Bucharest, June 13th 2018

Page 2: AutobestSummit Series First Edition on Autonomous Driving2018.autobestsummit.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/...KPMG 2017 –place 9 confirmed for autonomous and self-driving cars,

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We are Europe’s leading provider of automobile business intelligence

About Autovista Group

Established and well-respected brands,

e.g. Glass’s, Schwacke, Eurotax, Autovista

Present in over 30 countries

850+ employees

Subsidiare/ Licentiati/ Parteneri de distributie

• Australia

• Austria

• Belgium

• Bosnia

• Croatia

• Czech Republic

• Finland

• France

• Germany

• Hungary

• Italy

• Ireland

• Luxembourg

• Netherlands

• Poland

• Portugal

• Romania

• Serbia

• Slovakia

• Slovenia

• Spain

• Sweden

• Switzerland

• United Kingdom

• Belarus

• Italy

• Latvia

• Lithuania

• Malaysia

• Norway (cooperation partner)

• Russia

• Greece

Page 3: AutobestSummit Series First Edition on Autonomous Driving2018.autobestsummit.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/...KPMG 2017 –place 9 confirmed for autonomous and self-driving cars,

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Page 4: AutobestSummit Series First Edition on Autonomous Driving2018.autobestsummit.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/...KPMG 2017 –place 9 confirmed for autonomous and self-driving cars,

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Design

Manufacturers

Car To MarketSpecificationServiceMaintenance

Enters Market

New car dealersFinance companiesConsumersManufacturers

SpecificationForecastServiceMaintenanceMarket Insight

New Delivery

Fleet owners & operatorsInsurance companiesLeasing companiesConsumers

Car To MarketSpecificationServiceMaintenance

Used Vehicle

Finance companiesUsed car dealersAuction PlatformsConsumers

ValuationSpecificationForecastMaintenanceMarket Insight

Maintenance requiredInsurance companiesBody shopsFleet ownersConsumers

ServiceMaintenance

Vehicle damagedInsurance companiesBody shopsFleet ownersUsed car dealersConsumersServiceMaintenanceValuationRepair

Write off

Insurance companiesBody shopsConsumers

Valuation

Disposal

Salvage dealersInsurance companiesConsumers

Service Maintenance

VIN Identification

WVWZZZ3CZGE144902

Data fabricatie 12/2015

Prima inmatriculare01/2016

Pret echipare suplimentara2664 euro

Pret total 29712 euro

Specification, Standard and Optional Equipment

VW Passat 2.0 TDI Comfortline

Cilindree 1.968 cmc

Putere maxima KW/CP 110/150

Pret echipare standard 27048 euro

Residual Value Service Maintenance Future Residual Value

17573 KM Service – 618.82 euro 4 years /100.000 km

Trade in 17.032 euro Wear – 1156.66 euro Trade in price – 38.1%

Retail 19.052 euro cu TVA Consumption : 4.8/3.8/4.1 Retail price – 43.1%

U/E/M 100 km

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The introduction of autonomous driving is achieved by different stages of development

Source: Telegraph Media Group Limited 2017; Continental AG

Defined levels of autonomous driving

Driver only Assisted Partial automationConditional automation

High automation Full automation

Leve

lEx

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leD

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uto

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L0 L1 L2 L3 L4 L5

Driver continuously in

control of steering andacceleration.

No systems intervene –only those that warn the

driver.

N/AACCLKA

The driver must constantly monitor the drive

Traffic Jam Assist (combination of ACC &

LKA)

Highway Patrol (incl. lane changes)

Urban Automated Driving

Full end-to-end journey

The system can take over the entire dynamic driving

task in all use cases.

The driver is no longer required at all.

The driver must constantly monitor the drive. He must

be ready to resume control immediately

System performs

longitudinal and lateral driving task in a defines

use case

The driver does not need to monitor the drive, but

be ready to resume control within a given time

frame if the system so requests.

The driver would not be required at all during these

cases – neither for monitoring, nor as backup.

The system can take over

either steering oracceleration/ deceleration.

The driver must continuously carry out the

other.

The system takes over

both steering andacceleration/ deceleration

in a defined use case.

The system takes over steering acceleration/

deceleration in a defined use case. It is capable of recognising its limits and

notifying the driver.

The driver can hand over

the entire driving task to the system in a defined

use case.

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What are the key trends until 2025?

KPMG 2017 –place 9 confirmed for autonomous and self-driving cars, i.e. not the main “key trend” until 2025, yet

Source: KPMG „Global Automotive Executive Survey 2017“, 2017

#1

#2

#10

#9

#6

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NEDC to WLTP (Worldwide harmonized Light vehicles Test Procedures)WLTP new regulation

- Replaces NEDC (old methodology )

- Has impact on the vehicle weight, consumption and emissions.

Valuable data from Eurotax in order to

- Identify the car using VIN in order to get the full equipment data (standard and options) and establish the right fuel consumption, that leads to level CO2 emissions.

New WLTP standard could be used for

- Taxation levels (ex. Belgium and Austria model already in place)

- Regulation for vehicle access in the city center based on emissions

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Autonomous Driving

already is coming

it will be transformational until the true benefits – level 5

during the next 5 years the topic will peak on the “hype cycle”

the technological possibilities and use cases are fascinating

the cars will become more expensive, require huge investments andthey will trigger all kinds of discussions and regulations that OEMsneed to adhere to

unless these cars are restricted to very unique and separated areas inthe streets, any non-autonomous car or even a pedestrian willcompletely destroy your autonomous driving experience as theautonomous car will always have to be the most defensive party onthe road. Autonomous cars also have the potential to create hugetraffic jams as they will break of everything and everyone.

Page 9: AutobestSummit Series First Edition on Autonomous Driving2018.autobestsummit.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/...KPMG 2017 –place 9 confirmed for autonomous and self-driving cars,

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What are the key trends until 2025?

KPMG Survey 2016: Autonomous and self-driving on #9, i.e. not yet the “hype of the day”

Source: KPMG „Global Automotive Executive Survey 2016“, 2016

#1

#2

#3

#4

#5

#6

#7

#8

#9

#10

#11

2013 2014 2015 2016

#1

#2

#3

#4

#5

#6

#7

#8

#1

#2

#3

#4

#5

#6

#7

#8

#9

#10

#11

#1

#2

#3

#4

#5

#6

#7

#8

#9

#10

#11

#1

#2

#3

#4

#5

#6

#7

#8

#9

#10

#11

Connectivity and digitalisation

Hybrid electric vehicles

Battery electric mobility

Market growth in emerging markets

Fuel cell electric vehicles

Mobility-as-a-service

Customer data/ big data

Platform strategies and modular production systems

Autonomous and self-driving cars

Downsizing and optimisation of the ICE

Rationalisation or production in Western Europe

50

49

46

46

45

42

41

39

38

37

29

Percentage of executives rating a trend as extremely

important

Ran

kin

g

OEM captive financing and leasing Innovative urban vehicle design concepts

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