Australian Geothermal Energy Conference, Nov. 17, 2011
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Transcript of Australian Geothermal Energy Conference, Nov. 17, 2011
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FINANCING GEOTHERMAL Status in North America
Alexander Richter Canadian Geothermal Energy Association (CanGEA) ThinkGeoEnergy.com @thinkgeoenergy 17 November 2011 – Australian Geothermal Energy Conference, Melbourne/Victoria, Australia
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ThinkGeoEnergy.com
• Global news • Job Portal • Geothermal Power
Plant Map • Social media • iPhone app • Free pictures • Services
in December 2011
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GEOTHERMAL FINANCING
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Financing geothermal projects
Start-up Exploration/ Pre-Feasibility
Feasibility/ Resource Verification
Detailed Design & Construction
Start of Operation
Venture Capital
Development Equity
Drilling Equity
Project Equity
Tax Equity
Mezz./ Bridge Debt, Const. Financing
Project & Vendor Financing
• Developers
• IPPs (Development Pipeline)
• Resource Speculators
• Venture Capitalists
• Private Equity
• Public Markets
• Financial Partners
• Private Equity
• Strategic Partners
• Financial Players
• Large IPPs with ability to monetize PTCs
Source: Islandsbanki
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TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE
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Clean Technology Market on TSX and TSXV
• Total Market Cap: $18 bn
• Companies: 131
• New Listings 2011: 6
• Equity Capital raised in 1H
2011: $723 m
• 32% of TSX issuers
graduated from TSX Venture
Exchange
Source: TSX
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Strong Growth in Key Market Metrics
Analyst Coverage Avg. Analyst Coverage for Clean Technology Companies by Market Cap
Strong analyst coverage combined with growth in trading and liquidity provides positive market fundamentals for Clean Technology companies to finance and grow.
1
3
5
910
Market Capitalization (C$ Millions)
150-500 >1,000 50-150 <50 500- 1,000 Source: Capital IQ, December 2010
Volume of Shares Traded Millions of Shares Traded in the Clean Tech Sector
1,446
2,9513,364 3,553 3,580
2006 2010 2008 2009 2007
Source: TSX
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Top 10 Clean Technology Financings Last Twelve Months
Company Sector Transaction Date
Transaction Type
Equity Raised (C$)
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. Hydro & Wind 2011 March Secondary Offering $165 M
5N Plus Inc. Solar Manufacturing 2011 April Secondary Offering $125 M
Westport Innovations Inc. Transportation (Energy Efficiency)
2010 Nov Secondary Offering $123 M
Boralex Inc. Hydro & Wind 2010 Sept Secondary Offering $109 M
EcoSynthetix Inc. Specialty Chemicals 2011 Aug IPO $100 M
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. Hydro & Wind 2010 Sept Secondary Offering $85 M
Capstone Infrastructure Corp. Infrastructure 2011 June Secondary Offering $75 M
Ram Power Corp. Geothermal 2011 May Secondary Offering $70 M
Capstone Infrastructure Corp. Infrastructure 2011 Jan Secondary Offering $69 M
GWR Global Water Resources Corp. Water 2010 Dec IPO $61 M
Source: TSX TSXV Market Intelligence Group (MiG) , LTM = Last Twelve Months from August 2010 to August 2011
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STOCK DEVELOPMENT
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Renewable energy equity performance
S&P 500 has outperformed renewables since early 2010
Source: Íslandsbanki, Bloomberg and Bloomberg New Energy Finance
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North American Geothermal Stocks
Ram Power (RPG)Nevada Geothermal Power (NGP) US Geothermal (GTH)
Alterra Power (AXY)Ormat Technologies
(ORA)
Chart courtesy of Google Finance
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INVESTMENTS & FINANCING
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Pace of new investments remains strong
…Despite difficult markets looking at the complete renewables sector
Source: Íslandsbanki, Bloomberg and Bloomberg New Energy Finance
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Asset financing - Lead arrangers
Rank Organisation Disclosed Value ($m)
Deal Count
Market Share
1 BNDES $2,148.87 12 9%
2 Kreditanstalt fuer Wiederaufbau (KfW) $1,627.67 10 7%
3 Mitsubishi UFJ Financial $1,441.56 15 6%
4 Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) $1,254.70 17 5%
5 Banco Santander $1,164.03 21 5%
6 European Investment Bank (EIB) $1,052.47 8 4%
7 World Bank $696.20 4 3%
8 Commerzbank $651.47 6 3%
9 Banco Espanol de Credito $610.88 10 2%
10 Banco de Sabadell $591.02 9 2%
11 Societe Generale $570.81 6 2%
12 Lloyds Bank $509.23 8 2%
13 Rabobank $483.84 8 2%
14 Dexia $426.29 4 2%
15 Valero Energy $407.70 1 2%
16 Instituto de Credito Oficial $403.17 7 2%
17 Eksport Kredit Fonden (EKF) $400.57 2 2%
18 Credit Agricole $396.57 8 2%
19 Natixis $390.32 7 2%
20 Caixa Bank $353.43 4 1%
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
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Asset financing - syndicated lenders
Rank Organisation Disclosed Value ($m)
Deal Count
Market Share
1 SNS REAAL $1,378.55 1 27%
1 JC Flowers & Co $1,378.55 1 27%
3 European Investment Bank (EIB) $292.60 2 6%
4 Woori Finance Holdings Co $180.00 2 4%
5 Commerzbank $147.60 1 3%
6 BNP Paribas $139.80 2 3%
7 Rabobank $100.00 2 2%
7 Societe Generale $100.00 1 2%
7 Credit Agricole $100.00 1 2%
7 Natixis $100.00 1 2%
7 ING Groep $100.00 1 2%
12 Kreditanstalt fuer Wiederaufbau (KfW) $88.90 2 2%
13 Banco Santander $79.57 1 2%
13 Banesto $79.57 1 2%
13 Banco de Sabadell $79.57 1 2%
13 Bankia $79.57 1 2%
13 LaCaixa $79.57 1 2%
13 Bankinter $79.57 1 2%
13 Instituto de Credito Oficial $79.57 1 2%
20 Provredna Banka Zagreb $76.30 1 2%
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
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Key challenges for geothermal
• Creditworthiness of smaller firms • Challenges securing debt with recourse on a
single project • Higher transaction costs at the project level
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Geothermal financing
• Equity financing: difficult • Debt financing: not problematic if equity is spent and drilling
results are good
• Money is available but too expensive for developers • Developer needs a couple production wells before getting
equity-financed • Difficult public markets: 80% of steam output before debt
becomes available
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Equity Financing Activity (since Sept-10)
Company Amount Activity
Alterra Power None
ORMAT None
U.S. Geothermal $5.0m Mar-2011 - $1.00 + ½ warrant at $1.075 for 1 year
Nevada Geothermal Power $10.5m Sep-2010 - $0.50 + warrant at $0.70 for 3 years
Ram Power $70.6m May-2011 - $0.55 + warrant at $0.72 for 3 years
Source: John McIlveen, Jacob Securities
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Debt Financing Activity (selected deals)
Company Amount Activity
US Geothermal $9m San Emidio, Bridge loan/ ITC cash grant
Ormat Technologies $152m Development Tuscarora & McGinness Hills, loan guarantee (up to $350m)
US Geothermal $97m Neal Hot Springs development
Ram Power $160m Debt package, San Jacinto
EnergySource $400m Construction finance, Hudson Ranch
Source: ThinkGeoEnergy
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New finance market emerging
• Vendor and/ or EPC contractor financing • Bridge loans secured by ITC cash grants • Operator JVs • IPP JVs • Tax monetization
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De-risked
Joint venture partnerships IRR to partner declines with each stage de-risking
Source: John McIlveen, Jacob Securities
Stage
IRR
Exploration Resource
Inferred Resource
Indicated Resource
Measured Resource
Probable Resource
Proven Resource
Full value 7% Investor IRR declines with site progress
JV JV Vendor Finance
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OUTLOOK
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• Fragmentation of industry • Partnerships • Portfolio of projects vs. diversification into other
technologies • Equity finance
• Drilling finance • Securing debt • Transaction costs • Tax credits
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Contact Alexander Richter Canadian Geothermal Energy Association (CanGEA) [email protected] ThinkGeoEnergy.com [email protected] Follow me:
Twitter: @thinkgeoenergy LinkedIn Group: ThinkGeoEnergy Flickr.com/thinkgeoenergy YouTube.com/thinkgeoenergy Slideshare.com/thinkgeoenergy