Australia: Land of plenty (opportunities for smart infrastructure)
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Transcript of Australia: Land of plenty (opportunities for smart infrastructure)
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AUSTRALIA: LAND OF PLENTY (OF OPPORTUNITIES FOR SMART INFRASTRUCTURE)FLAVIO ROMANO
2CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
CONTENTS
1. Setting the Context: Australia’s Strategic Challenges
2. The Role for Smart Infrastructure
3. The Path Forward
3CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
THE CHALLENGES
4CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
CHALLENGE ─ POPULATION GROWTH
Projected Population 2007-2056 Capital Cities and Australia
Capital cities = 67.0%
Capital cities = 63.6%
Capital cities growby 10.4 million
Source: ABS Catalogue No. 3222.0, Released 4 Sept 2008 – Medium level projections
5CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
CHALLENGE ─ POPULATION GROWTH
2007 2026 20560
5
10
15
20
25
Medium Growth
PerthBrisbaneMelbourneSydney
Pop
ulat
ion
(mill
ions
)
6CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
CHALLENGE – ECONOMIC CHANGE
1900–01 1950–51 2000–010%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3 3 410
310
8
8
5
31
25
48
12
22
1220 30
410
3 6
Australia’s GDP by Industry Sector, 1900–2001 (%)
MiningAgricultureManufacturingServices (incl. technology)ConstructionPropertyGovernment
Source: ABS Year Book Australia 2005
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 7
OTHER CHALLENGES
Australian modelling of demand growth for economic infrastructure shows:
Freight demand is set to double by 2035
The cost of urban congestion to increase from $9.4 billion in 2005 to
$20.4 billion by 2020
Electricity shortages on the East Coast by 2014-15 without further investments
Urban water demand to increase 42% by 2026 and 76% by 2056
8
$250bnLow estimate
$300bnHigh estimate
$30bnper year, every year
2010
2015
2020
THE AUSTRALIAN INFRASTRUCTURE TASK
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
Source: Infrastructure Australia
9
CHALLENGE – FISCAL CONSTRAINTS
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| Source: Intergenerational Report 2010, Chart 3.2
Projected Fiscal Gap
10
DEMAND/SUPPLY
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
11CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
THE ROLE FOR SMART INFRASTRUCTURE
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 12
STATE OF PLAY
Transport Intelligent Transport Systems Level 3
EnergySmart energy meters
Water & IrrigationSmart irrigation sensors
CommunicationsThe National Broadband Network provides the key enabling technology for supporting smart infrastructure that can help achieve efficiencies across all sectors
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 13
INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
Monash-CityLink-Westgate (M1) Motorway (managed road)75 km road corridor = busiest road in Victoria (160,000 vehicles per day)$1.4 billion investment + 7% in smart infrastructureElectronic information + coordinated ramp signals = real time travel informationCongestion and incident managementVariable speed limits
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 14
INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
In 2009, NSW introduced time of day tolling = $4 up from $3 at peak times and $2.50 at other times
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 15
INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
The National Managed Motorways Strategy:
High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) priority (1.2 average)Full lane control e.g. tidal contra flowsRamp meteringFreight only networks for added safety and economic valueSpreading peak demand – telepresencing/staggered work hour strategy
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 16
INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
Singapore’s Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) system varies road prices based on traffic patterns to maintain an optimal speed range (85 th percentile).
Washington DC Capital Beltway HOT Lanes:Addition of 22.4 km of HOT/bus lanes to the I-495 with dynamic tolling due 2013One estimate: 11 billion litres of fuel spent in congestion in the US annually
United States’ Public Law 106-346 (2000) and the Telework Enhancement Act (2007)
Federal agencies required to develop employee telepresencing strategies.Reducing peak demand on urban transport infrastructure by 5%Australian report: -320,000t CO2 if 10% employees telework ½ time
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 17
SMART ENERGY METERS
Australia is a very energy-intensive economy Debate has focused on the supply-side of generation but is slowly moving
towards demand-side measures:
Consumption choicesConsumption efficiency
Shortages predicted on the East Coast from 2014. Network efficiency
In NSW, 8% (6400 GWh) annually is lost in transmission
Capital city smart meter programmesMandatory in new dwellings in many catchmentsVictoria rolling out to all premises by 2013Moratorium on mandatory smart meter use in VIC and NSW
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 18
SMART ENERGY METERS
Boulder, ColoradoSmart energy meters that enable full control:
Choice of energy source (coal, hydro, nuclear, etc)Consumer’s tolerance for interruptions to supply
which appliances must not be interrupted?Pricing regime based on sensitivity to fluctuations in price Emissions intensityManagement of appliances
programmed meters that can deliver just-in-time hot water obviating the need to waste energy keeping large quantities of water heated
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 19
WATER & IRRIGATION
Big issue for Australia = arid continent.Water restrictions are widespread and stringent.Household sector smart water meters allow consumers greater, real time understanding of their water consumption but not common.Irrigation sector is adopting smart sensors to identify areas of most need.Potential synergies between energy and water smart meters largely unexplored.
20CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
THE PATH FORWARD
CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May| 21
CHALLENGES TO OVERCOME
More collaboration both within and between infrastructure sectors More collaboration with international partners/leaders More accurate understanding of the cost/benefit dimension of proposed
smart infrastructure technologies Is a specific proposal worth doing? How will we know it was worth doing?
More engagement from the community Need to address privacy concerns Need for a national framework Need for common standards for smart technologies
22CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
KEY MESSAGE
Plenty of opportunity in Australia for smart infrastructure solutions that increase the efficiency of new and existing infrastructure assets, thereby delaying costly new builds and generating positive environmental externalities.
23CeBit Australia 2012| Flavio Romano| 22 May|
Thank you.