Austock Brokers Healthcare Seminar · Cautiously optimistic about outlook - double digit profit...
Transcript of Austock Brokers Healthcare Seminar · Cautiously optimistic about outlook - double digit profit...
Austock Austock Brokers Healthcare SeminarBrokers Healthcare Seminar24 March 200324 March 2003
Half-year Financial Highlights
NPAT up 25% to $18.5m
Group EBIT up 14% (almost 10% excluding new hospital acquisitions)
All divisions contributed to strong EBIT growth
EBIT Margin remains high at 10.5% (excluding new hospital acquisitions)
Strong occupancy levels maintained:
admissions up 9%, compared with previous year (up 5% excluding Cairns and Lake Macquarie)
Cautiously optimistic about outlook - double digit profit growth targeted for foreseeable future
Financial Performance
Int. Dividend (cents/share)
EPS (cents/share)
NPAT
Profit before tax
EBIT
EBITDA
44%6.5¢(Franked)
4.5¢(Unfranked)
23%14.4¢ 11.7¢
25%18.514.8
23%26.021.2
14%32.928.9
12%45.140.2
21%320.2264.8Operating Revenue
% Inc.2002
$m2001
$m
Half-year Ended 31 December
Net Profit Growth
6.5
9.5
14.816.3
18.5
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0$m
Dec'00 Jun'01 Dec'01 Jun'02 Dec'02
Half year
NPAT up 25% for half-year
Earnings per share
6.0
8.2
11.712.8
14.4
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Ce
nts
per
share
Dec'00 Jun'01 Dec'01 Jun'02 Dec'02
Half-year
Basic EPS up 23% for the half-yearDouble digit growth anticipated for the full-year
EBIT Growth
18.4
21.1
28.9 29.4
32.9
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
$m
Dec'00 Jun'01 Dec'01 Jun'02 Dec'02
Half-year
EBIT up 14% for the half-yearEBIT margin 10.5% (excluding new hospital acquisitions)
Occupancy – Patient Days
200
250
300
350
400
Jun'00 Dec'00 Jun'01 Dec'01 Jun'02 Dec'02
Half-year Ended
Inpatient
Total (Inpatient & DayPatients)
Strong occupancy levels maintained with admissions up 9% (5% excluding new hospital acquisitions, Cairns and Lake Macquarie)
2 Questions to be answered
Why is Ramsay performing better than most?
Why do we believe that the private hospital sector is still conducive to growth, for the better operators -despite industry challenges?
Operational & Strategic Direction
Commitment to micro-management Appropriate decentralised management
Experience management team
Strong staff recruitment and retention programme “The Ramsay Way”
Strong doctor and industry relationships
Focus on sustainable cost management
On going organic EBIT growth
Operational & Strategic Direction
Developing a quality portfolio of strategically positioned hospitals
Priority to investing in existing business
• Targeting 15% return on assets
Acquisitions based on strict investment criteria
• Strategic fit
• Moderate to low operating risk
• EPS positive and 15% ROI in short-medium term
Strong negotiating position with the Health Funds
Exploring opportunities outside the private hospital sector, close to core competencies
Industry Challenges
Moved from 30% to 45.6% to 44%; minimal drop out –sustainable high demand in key areas
Health Fund membership levels:
Quality and strategic position of hospital portfolio, seeking to at least cover higher costs.
Health fund negotiations:
Emphasis upon risk management enhancement programme.
Increased cost of medical indemnity insurance:
Preferred employer status, seek to recover higher wage costs from health funds.
Nursing shortage & increased cost of wages:
ResponseIssue
A Balance Health Care System
Both political parties acknowledge that they cannot afford to fund the rising cost of health care
Aging populationOver 65 years old - usage is 5 x higherEscalating cost increases
Who pays? The answer - encourage user paysAustralians prefer to be treated in a private hospital – by a ratio of two to one (TQA research 2000)
62% of Australians believe private hospitals should be given a greater role in the provision of overall health care. (TQA research 2000)
Success of Government Initiatives
In 2000/01 private hospitals treated an extra 245,000 patientsPublic hospital treatments fell by 5,000 patients, a reversal of all former trendsIn the same period public hospitals received an extra $362 millionAll figures show a surge of private hospital usage:e.g. between 1996 & 2001 an increase of 90% in
separations for patients over 75 years vs. public increase of 30%
Expanding role of the Private Sector
Private hospitals are now performing the majority of surgery in Australia – 52%Together private hospitals and day surgeries treat 4 out of every 10 hospital patients in AustraliaOver 2000/01 capital investment by private hospitals grew to $450 million – up 28% on the previous yearAustralia’s private hospital sector are now providers of complex, high-end acute care; doing the bulk of the work in a number of services and specialties
Industry Conducive to Growth
We believe that the private hospital sector is still conducive for growth for those operators with:
Good managementFocused strategic directionsA portfolio of hospitals in which Health Fund member demand, drives health fund negotiations
Outlook
Comfortable with market consensus for NPAT of approximately $37m for FY 2003
Scope exists for continuing organic growth of existing business
Acquisitions provide opportunity to enhance growth and profit outlook
Targeting double-digit growth foreseeable future
Exploring opportunities outside the private hospital sector, close to core competencies
QuestionsQuestionsQuestions
AppendixAppendixAppendix
Revenue Growth Time Line
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
$m
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002Financial Years ended 30 June
PerthVeteran HospPrivatisation
Feb’94
BrisbaneVeteran Hosp Privatisation
Jan’95
RHC listed on the ASX
Sept’97
Co-located North ShorePrivate Hosp
Opened Jul’98
Alpha Hosp Group
Acquired May’01
Cash Flow
Except for operating movements in working capital, the half-year EBITDA has translated into strong gross operating cash flow. The effective cash flow management is consistent with prior financial years.
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY Dec'02
EBITDACash Flow
Annual
$m
Half-Year2003 FY
Financial Indicators
(1) Alpha (acquired May’01) excluded as only one month of trading for the period(2) Cairns (acquired Nov’02) excluded as only one month of trading for the period(3) Calculated using rolling 12 months figures
14.313.912.18.0ROE (3)
(NPAT/Shareholder Funds) %
14.314.914.411.7ROIC (3)
(EBIT/Funds Employed) %
78737083Net Gearing %
31 Dec’02(2)
30 Jun’0231 Dec’0130 Jun’01(1)
Six months ended
Facility Portfolio
O p e r a t i n g D i v i s i o n s
N u m b e r
o f F a c i l i t i e s
L i c e n c e d
B e d s
V e t e r a n 2 8 3 0
C o - l o c a t e d 3 3 7 6
R e g i o n a l M e d i c a l – S u r g i c a l * 1 0 8 5 9
P s y c h i a t r i c 8 5 5 2
R e h a b i l i t a t i o n 2 1 1 9
T o t a l s 2 5 2 , 7 3 6
* Including the Coffs Harbour Day Surgery
Revenue Analysis
Revenue byPayor Source
6%
52%
7%
35%
Health Insurance Dept. Veteran Affairs
Government Other
Revenue by Operating Division
29%22%
36%10% 3%
Veteran Medical-SurgicalCo-located PsychricatricRehabilitation