Asymmetric Labor Market Effects of the 2008-9 Crisis
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18.12.2010 EAF-Challenges to Employment Policy in Turkey 1 Asymmetric Labor Market Effects of the 2008-9 Crisis Prof. Seyfettin Gürsel Director Assist. Prof. Gökçe Uysal-Kolaşin Vice Director Bahçeşehir University Center for Economic and Social Research (Betam)
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Asymmetric Labor Market Effects of the 2008-9 Crisis. Prof. Seyfettin Gürsel Director Assist. Prof. Gökçe Uysal-Kolaşin Vice Director Bahçeşehir University Center for Economic and Social Research (Betam). Employment and Labor Force ( Seasonally adjusted ). Unemployment. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Asymmetric Labor Market Effects of the 2008-9 Crisis
18.12.2010 EAF-Challenges to Employment Policy in Turkey
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Asymmetric Labor Market Effects of the 2008-9 Crisis
Prof. Seyfettin GürselDirector
Assist. Prof. Gökçe Uysal-KolaşinVice Director
Bahçeşehir University Center for Economic and Social Research (Betam)
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Employment and Labor Force (Seasonally adjusted)
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UnemploymentSeasonally adjusted unemployment rate and total number of unemployed
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Non-Agricultural Employment and Labor Force (Seasonally adjusted)
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Non-Agricultural UnemploymentSeasonally adjusted NA unemployment rate and number of unemployed
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Sectoral Change in Employment
Grey line: raw series Blue line: Seasonally adjusted series
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Decompositon of Employment ChangeSeasonally Adjusted QoQ
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Decomposition of unemployment (YoY change)
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Decomposition of unemployment - Male (YoY change)
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Decomposition of unemployment - Female (YoY change)
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Employment in Manufacturing Sector (YoY change)
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Regular/casual Wage Earners in NA Sectors (YoY change)
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Difference in Differences – Calculation Methodology
Difference in difference = (Female emp. aged over 30 (t+1) - Female emp. aged over 30 (t)) - ( Male emp. aged over 30 (t+1) - Male emp. aged over 30 (t) )
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Difference in DifferencesDifference in formal and informal employment changes (NA)
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Diff in Diff – Industry of employmentDifference in formal employment changes (in thousands)
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Diff in Diff – EducationDifference in formal employment changes (in thousands)
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Employment in Service Sector (YoY change)
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Own Account Workers in NA Sectors (YoY change)
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Employment and Growth
NA Labor Force NA Employment
2005.Q1-2008.Q2 % 0,8 % 0,9
2008.Q2-2009.Q2 % 0,9 % -0,7
2009.Q2-2010.Q3 % 0,6 % 1,3
Quarterly average growth rates
Annual average growth rates NA Labor Force NA Employment
2005.Q1-2008.Q2 % 3,2 % 3,6
2008.Q2-2009.Q2 % 3,6 % - 2,8
2009.Q2-2010.Q3 % 2,4 % 5,2
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