Assessment of ESDD on High-Voltageinsulators Using Artificialneuralnetwork

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    Electric Power Systems Research 72 (2004) 131136

    Assessment of ESDD on high-voltage insulatorsusing artificial neural network

    Ahmad S. Ahmad a,, P.S. Ghosh a, S. Shahnawaz Ahmed b, Syed Abdul Kader Aljunid a

    a College of Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Selangor, Malaysiab Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Bangladesh University of En gineering and Technology, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh

    Received 12 November 2003; received in revised form 10 March 2004; accepted 13 March 2004

    Available online 15 June 2004

    Abstract

    The environmental and weather conditions cause flashover on polluted insulators leading to outages in a power system. It is generally

    recognized that the main causes leading to the contamination of insulators are marine pollution as found in the immediate neighborhood of

    the coastal regions, and solid pollution as found in the dense industrial areas. This research is directed towards the study of contamination of

    insulator under marine pollution. The effects of various meteorological factors on the pollution severity have been investigated thoroughly.

    A new approach using ANN as a function estimator has been developed and used to model accurately the relationship between ESDD with

    temperature (T), humidity (H), pressure (P), rainfall (R), and wind velocity (WV). The ANN-predicted ESDDs have been compared with the

    measured ones for a practical system.

    2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    1. Introduction

    With the ever increasing demand for electrical power,

    there has been a steady growth in transmission line voltages

    required for optimum and economic transfer of large blocks

    of power over long distances. As the level of transmission

    voltage is increased, switching and dynamic overvoltages

    and withstand ability of the insulators under polluted con-

    ditions have become most important factors in determining

    the insulation level of the system. At the coastal areas the

    high-voltage insulators are affected by salt particles that set-

    tle on the insulators surfaces. The winds that blow from the

    sea carry the salt particles. These particles are not danger-

    ous in its dry condition but with high environmental humid-

    ity or drizzle rain conditions the salt can absorb the wa-

    ter and form a thin film with high conductivity. This layer

    gives an ideal path for the leakage current to pass from the

    high-voltage conductor to the ground. The conductivity of

    this layer depends on the type of salts [1,2] that form the

    layer on the insulators. High failure rate of polluted insu-

    Corresponding author. Tel.: +60-3892-872-76;

    fax: +60-3892-635-06.

    E-mail address: [email protected] (A.S. Ahmad).

    lator due to the flashover has been found near the coastalareas [3].

    Contamination monitoring is important for addressing an

    effective solution against pollution flashover. Meteorologi-

    cal conditions vary considerably from the coastal areas to

    the inland areas and play an important role in the deposi-

    tion rate of pollutants and electrical behavior of insulators.

    The survey [3] proved that the insulator contamination prob-

    lem is strongly environment dependent and no generalized

    anti-pollution criteria can be offered. The determination of

    outdoor insulation level and design, in a new location is

    a difficult matter without having some information on the

    severity of prevailing pollution. It is, therefore, imperative to

    have a reasonable and accurate assessment of site severity.

    Works in Refs. [49] have found considerable relation-

    ships between the contamination severity in terms of equiv-

    alent salt deposit density (ESDD) and flashover with respect

    to the meteorological parameters. But at the most the re-

    search can study the effect of one or more of these param-

    eters on ESDD or on flashover. An attempt has been done

    in Ref. [10] to relate most of the meteorological parameters

    with ESDD and develop a new mathematical model using

    multiple regression analysis technique. However, regression

    analysis cannot capture to the full extent the uncertainties in

    an unknown relationship like that of ESDD.

    0378-7796/$ see front matter 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    doi:10.1016/j.epsr.2004.03.009

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    In the last decade many research have been carried out on

    the application of ANN in many fields that require modeling

    the uncertainties. It has been used successfully in capaci-

    tor control [11], finding complex electric stress distribution

    along the insulator surface [12], alarm processing [13], pat-

    tern recognition of partial discharges [14,15] and in pollu-

    tion discharge modeling [16]. In this paper a new approachusing ANN as function estimator has been developed and

    used to model accurately the relationship between ESDD

    (the dependent factor) and most of the meteorological pa-

    rameters (the independent factors) such as temperature, hu-

    midity, pressure, rainfall, and wind speed. The multi-layer

    feed forward neural network is employed in this study. The

    approach has been tested for a practical and live system sited

    in the East Coast of Malaysia and compared with actual field

    data.

    2. Onsite measurements and research methodology

    The pollution severity at a test location is quantified in

    terms of equivalent salt deposit density stated in units of

    mg/cm2 NaCl. ESDD is the equivalent amount of NaCl that

    would yield the same conductivity at complete dilution. The

    interpretation of ESDD data may be different from place to

    place but its value provides a basis of classification of con-

    tamination severity. ESDD is widely used in Malaysia for

    determining salt contamination level. If the value of ESDD

    is equal or greater than 0.03 mg/cm2, the insulators are then

    washed [17]. The site measurement activities are carried

    out daily during dry season at Sultan Ismail Power Station

    in Paka, Terengganu, Malaysia, utilizing three samples oftypical tension type Cap-and-Pin glass insulators which are

    commonly installed on transmission lines in that area. The

    samples were taken down from the scaffold and the pollu-

    tants were removed by washing the insulators using paint-

    brush and distilled water. Every contaminated sample for

    each test was washed by immersing it in distilled water and

    the contamination value was measured by determining the

    conductivity or the rate of rise of the conductivity value for

    the polluted water after washing the insulator. Using such

    procedure, ESDD can be determined. The knowledge about

    contamination behavior and level will help in the establish-

    ment of maintenance policy because both critical months

    and exposure periods of the year can be obtained.

    The pollution severity is measured in terms of ESDD

    under five varying meteorological factors, e.g. temperature

    (T), humidity (H), pressure (P), rainfall (R), and wind ve-

    locity (WV). Efficient modeling of pollution severity and

    flashover voltage is of paramount interest to all engineers in-

    volved in the design of transmission line insulators. Among

    the various artificial neural network presented so far, the

    multi-layer feed-forward network with back-propagation

    technique is employed in the present study to model

    ESDD = f(T, H, R, P, WV). The neural network is trained

    with the help of data obtained from site measurement and

    the training accuracy has been assessed by root mean square

    error (RMSE).

    3. Details of ANN algorithm

    Artificial neural network algorithm has been used suc-cessfully in many applications. It is useful because it acts as

    a model of real-world system or function. The model then

    stands for the system it represents, typically to predict or to

    control it. ANN can model a function even if the equation

    describing it is unknown; the only prerequisite is represen-

    tative sample of the function behavior and that is from the

    experimental data and not from a theoretical understanding.

    Fig. 1 shows the schematic diagram of a multi-layer feed

    forward network used in this paper. The neurons in the net-

    work can be divided into three layers: input layer, output

    layer, and hidden layers.

    It is important to note that the feed forward network sig-

    nals can only propagate from the input layer to the output

    layer through the hidden layers. Each neuron of the output

    layer receives a signal from all input via hidden layer neu-

    rons along connections with modifiable weights. The neural

    network can identify input pattern vectors, once the connec-

    tion weights are adjusted by means of the learning process.

    The back-propagation learning algorithm [18] which is a

    generalization of WidrowHoff error correction rule [19] is

    the most popular method in training the ANN and is em-

    ployed in this work. This learning algorithm is presented

    here in brief. For each neuron in the input layer, the neuron

    outputs are given by

    Oi = neti (1)

    HIDDENLAYER

    INPUT

    LAYER

    OUTPUTLAYER

    INPUTS (R, WV, P, T, H)

    DESIRED OUTPUTS ESDD

    Fig. 1. The structure of a multi-layer neural network.

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    A.S. Ahmad et al. / Electric Power Systems Research 72 (2004) 13 1136 133

    where neti is the input of neuron i and Oi the output of

    neuron i. Again, for each neuron in the output layer, the

    neuron inputs are given by

    netk =

    Nj

    j=1

    wkjOj, k = 1, . . . , N k (2)

    where wkj is connection weight between neuron j and neuron

    k, and Nj, Nk are the number of neurons in the hidden and

    output layers respectively; the neuron outputs are given by

    Ok =1

    1 + exp((netk + k)/0)= fk(netk, k, 0) (3)

    where k is the threshold of neuron k, and the activation

    functions fk a sigmoidal function. For the neurons in the

    hidden layer, the input and the outputs are given by the

    relationships similar to those given in the Eqs. (2) and (3)

    respectively. The connection weights of the feed forward

    network are derived from the inputoutput patterns in the

    training set by the application of generalization delta rule

    [18]. The algorithm is based on minimization of the error

    function of each pattern p by the use of the steepest descent

    method [18]. The sum of squared errors which is the error

    function of each pattern is given by

    Ep =1

    2

    Nk

    k=1

    (tpk Opk)2 (4)

    where tpk and Opk are target and calculated outputs for out-

    put neuron k respectively. The overall measure of the error

    for all the inputoutput patterns is given by

    E =

    Np

    p=1

    Ep (5)

    where Np is the number of inputoutput patterns in the train-

    ing set. When an input pattern p with the target output vec-

    tor tp is presented, the connection weights are updated by

    using the equations

    wkj(p) = pkOpj + wkj(p 1) (6)

    where is learning rate and the momentum constant. Now,

    pk is defined in two different ways. For each neuron in the

    output layer

    pk= (tpk Opk)Opk(1 Opk) (7)

    and for each neuron in the hidden layer

    pk= Opj(1 Opj)

    Nk

    k=1

    pkwkj (8)

    It is important to know that the threshold of each neuron is

    learned in the way same as that for the other weights. The

    threshold of a neuron is regarded as a modifiable connection

    weight between that neuron and a fictitious neuron in the

    previous layer, which always has an output value of unity.

    4. Pre-processing of data

    Scaling of the inputoutput data has a significant influ-

    ence on the convergence property and also on the accuracy

    of the learning process. It is obvious from the sigmoidal

    activation function given in Eq. (3) that the range of the

    output of the network must be within (0, 1). Moreover, theinput variables should be kept small in order to avoid sat-

    uration effect caused by the sigmoidal function. Thus, the

    inputoutput data must be normalized before the initiation

    of training of the neural network. In this work nine different

    schemes have been tried for scaling the inputoutput vari-

    ables as detailed in the Ref. [16]. After the normalization,

    the input variables can then be easily made to fall in the

    range (1, 1). Further, the range of the normalized output

    vector component is made to fall within (0, 1).

    5. Problem description

    The proposed modeling of pollution severity in terms of

    ESDD is done with the help of data obtained from site mea-

    surement performed at Sultan Ismail Power Station. The

    meteorological parameters on which the value of ESDD de-

    pends are: temperature in C, humidity in %, air pressure

    in mbar, rainfall in mm2, and wind velocity in m/s. In this

    paper, ESDD = f(T, H, P,R, WV) modeling has been at-

    tempted based on artificial neural network instead of any

    empirical approach. Out of 60 data sets collected from site

    measurement, 46 sets of input/output patterns are used as

    training data set in the training process. Each training pre-

    sentation contains five input nodes characterizing meteoro-logical parameters (T, H, P, R, WV) and one output node

    which provides corresponding values of ESDD. Once the

    neural network is trained by using 46 training sets, it is

    tested using four test data set selected randomly from the

    remaining 14 data set. All inputs and outputs in the train-

    ing patterns are normalized within the respective ranges as

    per different normalizing schemes, before they are used for

    neural network training and testing. Finally, with the help

    of input pattern vectors of rest 10 data set estimated val-

    ues of ESDD are computed using the trained ANN model,

    i.e. ESDD = f(T, H, P, R, WV) and are plotted against the

    measured ESDD values as shown in Fig. 2.

    6. Details of work done

    In applying the learning rule described, there are several

    issues which should be addressed. The optimization process

    has been carried out based on RMSE and less oscillation in

    the error of convergence. From the results in Tables 15, the

    observations that can be made are:

    (a) For the convention learning algorithm with the choice

    of = 0.2, = 0.9 and 11 hidden layers nodes, the

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    134 A.S. Ahmad et al. / Electric Power Systems Research 72 (2004) 131136

    Fig. 2. Comparison between estimated and measured values of ESDD.

    Table 1

    No. of hidden layers = 1, no. of hidden layer nodes = 11, = 0.2,

    = 0.9, no. of iteration = 1000

    Scheme no. Input Output RMSE

    1 Max Max 0.0558

    2 Max Maximin 0.0903

    3 Max Mean and S.D. 0.0903

    4 Maximin Max 0.0513

    5 Maximin Maximin 0.0814

    6 Maximin Mean and S.D. 0.0814

    7 Mean and S.D. Max 0.0362

    8 Mean and S.D. Maximin 0.0730

    9 Mean and S.D. Mean and S.D. 0.0730

    Table 2

    No. of hidden layers = 1, no. of hidden layer nodes = 11, input = mean

    and S.D., output = Max, no. of iteration = 1000

    RMSE Notes

    0.2 0.9 0.0362 High oscillation

    0.2 0.8 0.0365 Less oscillation

    0.2 0.7 0.0386

    0.1 0.8 0.0398

    0.25 0.8 0.0366

    0.3 0.8 0.0366

    Table 3

    No. of hidden layers = 1, = 0.2, = 0.8, input = mean and S.D.,

    output = Max, no. of iteration = 1000

    No. of nodes in hidden layers RMSE Notes

    9 0.0362 High oscillation

    10 0.0375

    11 0.0365 Less oscillation

    12 0.0366

    13 0.0363 High oscillation

    Table 4

    No. of hidden layer nodes = 11, = 0.2, = 0.8, input = mean and

    S.D., output = Max, no. of iteration = 1000

    No. of layers No. of nodes in hidden layers RMSE Notes

    1 11 0.0365 Oscillation

    2 11, 11 0.0383 No oscillation

    best normalization scheme is being optimized in Table 1.

    The number of iterations used in the training process is

    1000. The results of Table 1 indicate that the scheme 7

    of normalization is the best choice for the present work.

    (b) Most of the works on feed forward neural nets use con-

    stant values of and . Rumelhart et al. [18] recom-

    mended that a combination of = 0.25, = 0.9 canyield good results for most problems. But there is still

    no consensus as to what values of and should be

    used in the learning process; rather, the optimal values

    of and may be problem dependent. In the present

    work, extensive studies have been carried out on the ef-

    fect of different values of and on the convergence

    rate of the learning method and are given in Table 2. It

    is evident from Table 2 that the best RMSE is obtained,

    i.e. 0.0362 for = 0.2 and = 0.9, but with high os-

    cillation in the error convergence.

    Whereas for = 0.2 and = 0.8 the RMSE is

    slightly higher, i.e. 0.0365, but with less oscillation in

    the error convergence. So the combination of = 0.2and = 0.8 is the best choice with 11 nodes in the hid-

    den layer. The number of iterations used in the training

    process is 1000. Fig. 3 shows the comparison between

    the high oscillation and less oscillation in the error con-

    vergence for the two cases shown in Table 2.

    (c) As evident from Table 3 the number of hidden layer

    nodes is not a constant factor, rather, it is also problem

    dependent. The number of hidden layer nodes is varied

    from 9 to 13. As seen from the result of Table 3, the best

    RMSE is obtained with nine nodes but the convergence

    is highly oscillatory. Whereas, the RMSE with 11 nodes

    is slightly higher but the convergence of error is lessoscillatory. Thus, for the present work, on the basis of

    minimum RMSE with less oscillation, the number of

    nodes in the hidden layer is optimized at 11 with the

    choice on = 0.2 and = 0.8.

    (d) Table 4 compares the effect of number of hidden lay-

    ers on the convergence rate of the training process. It is

    found that, using two hidden layers has definitely a bet-

    ter effect on the convergence rate than when one hidden

    layer is used, with same number of hidden layer nodes in

    both cases. When two hidden layers are used, although

    the RMS error is increased slightly but the error conver-

    gence is free of oscillation. Thus, in the present work,

    the test output results are calculated, using two hidden

    layers with 11 nodes in each.

    (e) The discussion in Tables 14 reveals that excellent con-

    vergence characteristic for the present work is obtained

    with two hidden layers each containing 11 nodes and

    = 0.2 and = 0.8. The modeled output of the test

    data computed with help of best combination of the

    modifiable parameters are tabulated against the target

    output, that is, data obtained from site measurements in

    Table 5. The RMS error obtained in the training pro-

    cess for 5000 iterations is 0.0338 and the mean absolute

    error (MAE) of the model output is found to be 3.6%.

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    Table 5

    No. of hidden layers = 2, no. of hidden layer nodes = 11, = 0.2, = 0.8, input = mean and S.D., output = Max, no. of iteration = 5000,

    RMSE = 0.0338

    No. of iteration

    = 5000; RMSE

    = 0.0338 rain (R)

    (mm2); range: 053

    Wind velocity,

    WV (m/s);

    range: 19

    Pressure, P

    (mbar); range:

    10171027

    Humidity, H (%);

    range: 7492

    Temperature, T

    (C); range:

    2530

    ESDD measured

    value (mg/cm2);

    range:

    0.0010770.047808

    ESDD

    estimate value

    (mg/cm2)

    MAE

    (%)

    0 2.5 1022 81 27.5 1.693E03 1.697E03 3.60 3 1024 80 28.25 1.739E03 1.682E03

    0 4 1020 77 29.5 1.739E03 1.938E03

    0.1 4.5 1021 83.5 28 2.267E03 2.259E03

    Fig. 3. Comparison between high oscillation and less oscillation in error convergence for the two cases shown in Table 2.

    Moreover, measured and estimated data of ESDD have

    been plotted for ten tests chosen randomly from the data

    collected at the site as shown in Fig. 2. It is also evident

    from Fig. 2 that the proposed ANN model is superior

    as compared to conventional regression model [10]. To

    Fig. 4. The variation of RMS error vs. number of iterations during training

    process.

    examine the convergence characteristics of the conven-

    tional algorithm, the variations of the root mean square

    (RMS) errors in the learning process is depicted in Fig. 4

    against number of iterations.

    7. Conclusion

    In this paper, ANN has been applied successfully in pol-

    lution severity measurement studies for function estima-

    tion. Modeling of the complex nonlinear function ESDD =

    f(T, H, R, P, WV), the equation of which is unknown, has

    been accomplished accurately. Further comparative analysis

    of the estimated results with the measured data (not used in

    training of ANN) collected from the site measurement amply

    demonstrate the effectiveness of the use of ANN in model-

    ing ESDD that has an unknown nonlinear relationship. The

    estimation of critical contamination level in terms of ESDD

    will help in fixing maintenance policy and addressing an ef-

    fective solution against pollution flashover of high-voltage

    insulators.

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    Ahmad S. Ahmad was born in Diyala, Iraq.He received his B.Sc. in Electrical Engineering

    from the University of Technology-Baghdad in

    1987. He got his Master Degree from Universiti

    Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) in 1999. He is IEEE

    member. Currently he is a Senior Lecturer at the

    Universiti Tenaga Nasional-Malaysia (UNITEN).

    He is also in the final stage of his Ph.D.

    P.S. Ghosh he received his B.Sc. in Electrical En-

    gineering from R.E.C. Durgapur, Burdwan Uni-

    versity in 1988. In 1990 he received his M.Sc. inElectrical Engineering on HV Engineering from

    Jadavpur University, India. He received his Ph.D.

    in Electrical Engineering on Pollution Flashover

    Phenomenon of HV Transmission Line Insula-

    tors from Jadavpur University, India in 1995.

    Currently he is a Senior Lecture at Universiti

    Tenaga Nasional-Malaysia.

    S. Shahnawaz Ahmed received his B.Sc. and M.Sc. in electrical and

    electronic engineering from Bangladesh University of Engineering and

    Technology (BUET), Dhaka, respectively in 1982 and 1984, and his Ph.D.

    in electrical engineering from the University of Manchester Institute of

    Science and Technology, Manchester, U.K., in 1987. Since 1983, he

    has been with BUET where he became a full Professor in 1996. He

    also served on contract as a Professor in Universiti Teknologi Malaysia(UTM) in the period 20002003. Presently he also holds an additional

    responsibility as the Director, Centre for Energy Studies, BUET. His

    research interests include modeling, simulation, real-time control and

    protection of power systems, FACTS, SMES, and photovoltaic arrays. He

    has reviewed and authored many papers in international journals including

    IEE Proceedings and IEEE Transactions. He is a Senior Member in IEEE

    Power Engineering Society, and a Fellow in Bangladesh Institution of

    Engineers.

    Syed Abdul Kader Aljunid was born in Malaysia.

    He received his Diploma in Electrical Engi-

    neering (Light Current) from Technical College,

    Malaysia in 1966. He received his B.Sc. (1stClass Hons.) in Electrical Engineering from the

    University of Strathcylde, UK, 1969. He got his

    M.Sc. in System Engineering from University

    of Surrey, UK, 1973. He received his Ph.D. in

    Electrical Engineering from University of Cali-

    fornia Santa Barbara, USA, 1989. Currently he

    is Professor in EE and also Special Advisor to the Vice Chancellor of

    Universiti Tenaga Nasional.